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View Full Version : BOB CHAPMAN ~ "The International Forecaster" UPDATES


peaceandlove
12-05-2009, 12:02 AM
Since Bob Chapman has updates at his website Wednesday and Saturday, and with global financials errant, I thought it would be a good idea to contain them under one thread starting 12/2/2009.



We Are Not Yet Buying Into The Idea Of Recovery

By: Bob Chapman
Posted: December 2nd, 2009

Dubai faces bankruptcy, profits coming from cost cutting, growth not what it is claimed, profits for offshore profits remain in tax-free havens, Fed in Congress crosshairs, stimulus package not reaching small business.

This past week was one of utmost turmoil in world markets. In the midst of an American holiday, Dubai faced bankruptcy for some $100 billion. Another unsuspected untoward event. The exposure of the Dubai event coming as it did could have been discovered at any given time, thus, we question the timing. We can understand why the London market was off some 300 Dow points, but exposure to Dubai was very limited in Europe, the US and in Asia. Could it have been an excuse to take down the US and European markets and gold and silver? We do not know, but we have come to question everything that happens.

We are predicting a very damaging year in 2010 for both stocks and bonds. One of the big questions is the implementation of Basil II and III and the FASB. If their stricter accounting practices are enforced the corporate world is in for a heap of trouble. Financial firms are in particular danger. In this past 3rd quarter non-financial corporate profits fell 12%. The result was that $97 billion of $123 billion in profits came from the financial sector. This is not a balanced performance. It is very disturbing because most of corporate profits come from cost cutting – that is firing employees. That method of fattening the bottom line cannot continue indefinitely. Lending is not supplying those profits, because loan origination is off 16.2% yoy. Loan defaults were up 10% and a record 5% of loans were not current. Lending fell $2.8 billion, the most since records began in 1984. Ninety percent of loans go to consumers and business, which means consumers consumption of GDP, has had to fall. It’s currently 69.3%, down from 72%. Loans to businesses have fallen 6.5% and small and medium-sized businessmen create 70% to 80% of all jobs. That means improving the employment situation is going to be very difficult. The exceptions are transnational conglomerates, which continue to offshore our production and outsource service jobs. Their profits are up 29%, but they have caused unemployment of 7 million good paying jobs over the past nine years. If you remove the financials, profits are up 7% off their lows. The financial stocks have appreciated 135% off their March lows, which we believe leaves them very vulnerable. Industrials are up 80%. While this was going on business profits fell 0.4% in the 3rd quarter with no relief in sight. Growth rates are falling at the highest rate in decades. We are hard pressed to believe that 3rd quarter growth was 2.8%. What growth there was came from the federal government. Not only is employment falling, but wages have been at a standstill and have been for two years. The government says inflation is 1.2%. We say it is 7-1/8%. Without higher wages buying power is falling 5% or so – hardly inducive for consumer consumption.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/We_Are_Not_Yet_Buying_Into_The_Idea_Of_Recovery

Home Page: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/

peaceandlove
12-06-2009, 08:48 PM
Wealthiest Plan on Surviving Financial Chaos

By: Bob Chapman
Posted: December 5th, 2009

Incredulous ideas about the economy from the mouths of the captains of industry, wealthiest have jump on gold accumulation, gold has been ping ponged

We have been reporting on economics and finance for over 40 years, and we thought that we had seen and heard it all. That is, until we heard that Lloyd Blankfein, the CEO of Goldman Sachs, stated that he and his firm were "doing God's work." While we were attempting to process that statement (and indeed we are still attempting to process that statement over a week later), our brains started "smoking." We're still not sure if the "smoke" was on account of seething anger, total perplexity, or both. In any case, before we proceed to tell you what we think about this warped whopper, we ask that you indulge us for a moment as we are all still a bit queasy in the aftermath of hearing this disgusting and disgraceful comment!

Please excuse us while we all collectively barf! --------- Ah, that's better! :naughty:
Now, without any hesitation or doubt, we can categorically say that we have definitely seen and heard it all. This statement, by such an evil, criminal miscreant, is the living, freaking end. We can only vaguely imagine what God is going to do to this slime-ball in the hereafter. One thing is for certain, whatever God has in store for the CEO of the Vampire Squid would raise chills up and down your spine!

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Wealthiest_Plan_on_Surviving_Financial_Chaos

peaceandlove
12-09-2009, 11:08 PM
Forecasting Instability For The Year To Come

By: Bob Chapman
Posted: December 9, 2009

Excerpt:

"An Inconvenient Truth," a film based on a climate-change speech that Gore developed, won the Academy Award for best documentary feature in 2007. (Coincidentally, the next day, the Tennessee Center for Policy Research uncovered that Gore’s Nashville home guzzled 20 times more electricity than the average American household.)

That same year, the Academy elevated Gore's PowerPoint lecture, helping him to snag a Nobel Peace Prize as well.

The academy members' request that Gore return his statue is happening as preparations are under way for next week's United Nations climate change meeting in Copenhagen, where 16,500 people from 192 countries will fly in using private jets, consume 200,000 meals, and produce an estimated 41,000 tons of carbon dioxide, roughly the same as the carbon emissions of Morocco in 2006.

Complete Article: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Forecasting_Instability_For_The_Year_To_Come

peaceandlove
12-10-2009, 12:12 AM
PROOF NEGATIVE interviews BOB CHAPMAN 12/8/2009

VIDEO Part 1 of 6 (10:21): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/5/cNL4I9SVlqs

ramallamamama
12-10-2009, 04:22 AM
I like Bob. Thanks for posting.

peaceandlove
12-10-2009, 07:39 AM
I like Bob. Thanks for posting.

Your welcome ramallamamama (boy, that's a mouth full) :zip:, :lol3:

Just after I posted the last interview, this one came up on the same channel. Many great questions were asked of Bob. He does 10 or 11 interviews a day, so he is busy and there are many interviews to choose from!

He will be receiving new information next week, so I will try to keep track of when that comes out.



This is 12/9/2009 Discount Gold and Silver Trading Interview ~ Valuable Information

VIDEO Part 1 of 5 (10:48): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/4/muOLgXEbWlQ

ramallamamama
12-10-2009, 08:02 AM
Rama is fine, peaceandlove.

I usually catch him on Tuesdays on John Stadmiller's show on RBN. He's been right about a lot of things, I think he's very credible.

peaceandlove
12-13-2009, 02:11 PM
Hi Rama, yep RBN too does good interviews.

BOB CHAPMAN interviewed many times during the day on various shows.

See shows that are posted regularly at:

The Bob Chapman Channel: http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel



Figures Indicate Declines In Net Worth And A Difficult Path To Recovery

By: Bob Chapman
Posted: December 12 2009

real property value losses and a recovery hindered by more foreclosures and higher interest rates, employment to remain flat, figures indicate record losses, continued worries for the economy,

Congressional appropriators agreed Tuesday night to give civilian federal employees a 2 percent pay increase -- which includes a locality pay increase President Obama didn't want.

Government workers will get a 1.5 percent nationwide increase in base pay and a 0.5 percent average increase in locality pay. The final agreement goes against the wishes of Obama, who called for a flat 2 percent jump and no locality increase.

Locality pay helps address the gaps between federal pay and private sector wages in high-cost areas of the country. The Federal Salary Council estimates the current private-public gap is about 26 percent, on average. Locality increases mean a federal worker in Cincinnati might get a smaller increase than a worker in Washington, D.C., because of local costs of living. [Why aren’t Social Security recipients and disabled veterans receiving their COLA raises for the next few years as well?]

US homeowners have lost about $5.9 trillion in value since the housing market’s peak in March 2006 as mounting foreclosures and the recession weighed on prices, according to Zillow.com.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Figures_Indicate_Declines_In_Net_Worth_And_A_Diffi cult_Path_To_Recovery

peaceandlove
12-16-2009, 01:48 AM
Bob Chapman interview last hour of Coast to Coast AM tonight 12/15/2009

First 3 hours:

Consciousness

Executive Director of the world renowned Monroe Institute, Paul Rademacher will discuss the Institute’s exploration of human consciousness, and various mystical experiences including OBEs, NDEs, and how dream states and intuition can maximize creativity.

In the fourth hour, editor and publisher of The International Forecaster, Bob Chapman, will discuss the latest developments in the economy.

SOURCE: http://www.coasttocoastam.com/show/2009/12/15

I will post the interview here when I see it up on youtube, unless someone sees it before me, feel free to post.

peaceandlove
12-16-2009, 07:27 PM
:Update:

12/16/2009

December 15th 2009 Coast to Coast AM Bob Chapman Interview

VIDEO Part 1 of 4 (10:36): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/3/K3uzLZ4Dago

peaceandlove
12-16-2009, 10:42 PM
The Greatest Outpouring Of Money And Credit In History

Posted: December 16 2009
By: Bob Chapman

12.7 trillion donated to bankers, solving a problem they created, buy bonds, or gamble in the markets? Inflation on the way, could the US default on its debt? Food aid and unemployment rising together, yet another bank collapse, Dubai bailed out.

The past two years have seen the greatest outpouring of money and credit from central banks and governments in history. In most countries interest rates cannot fall much lower being presently under 1% or close to zero. You might call this an attempt at fiat money recovery. As a result of pump priming for the past six months or more investors have returned to the same gambling and risk taking they engaged in before, the losses of which caused the world economy to come to the edge of the financial abyss. All sectors of investment are again affected by a casino mentality.

We see $12.7 trillion donated without their consent of the lender taxpayers to the top world economies, or about 20% of world GDP. These funds, a good part of which will never be retrieved, have been stuffed into the pockets of bankers, Wall Street, insurance companies and GM and AIG. 80% of the problems we have had to face were caused by these very same entities, which along with the Fed, propose to solve the problem they created. It is as if they are the only ones in the world who know best what is good for our system and for us. They as well continue to play in the giant casino as if nothing ever happened...

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/The_Greatest_Outpouring_Of_Money_And_Credit_In_His tory

Barron
12-17-2009, 03:33 AM
For those interested in money and the world's financial mess i'd really encourage looking into: www.marketoracle.co.uk There are always articles on here that tell you how it really is. and i like their newsletter too:
Weekly Newsletter of Featured Analysis and the most popular reads...

Cheers

Other good sites are www.webofdebt.com and Ed griffin's work too.

Kundaflower
12-17-2009, 03:54 PM
Hi all,

Just my opinion..
Bob Chapman is very good in his analysis what IS happening. :thumb_yello
But he dosent offer any real solution to better economy.:mad3:
Only thing he offers to common people is buy gold or silver if economy collapses.:lol3:
But quess what ? There is no gold and silver for everyone.:mfr_omg:
Nor people have enough money to buy if there would be.:trumpet:
Or mayby they can buy a 0,000000000000000000001 grain nugget and live forever with that.:lol3:

Ellen Brown has something to say for those who want know about history and problems of monetary system that are facing today.:trumpet:
I recomend warmly articles in her web side...:thumb_yello:

Love
k:wub2:

peaceandlove
12-18-2009, 01:27 AM
Kundaflower,

I believe both Bob Chapman and Ron Paul are defenders of Austrian Economics http://mises.org/ and not Keynesianism.

For Civilization, It Is Mises or Bust

Mises Daily: Thursday, December 17, 2009 by J. Grayson Lilburne

Excerpt:

Central Banks and Social Retrogression

The Austrian business-cycle theory, first formulated by Mises in 1912, teaches us that in a developed economy, artificial expansions of the supply of money and credit (which now are the exclusive prerogatives of central banks) temporarily lower the rate of interest, which leads to mass error. It causes people to think, like the hunter with poor rope-measuring skills, that they are wealthier than they truly are, which leads them to overconsume and to invest in production processes which are too ambitious given the capital goods available.

Complete article: http://mises.org/daily/3917


Had anyone listened to Bob Chapman or Gerald Celente many years ago, they would have already divested any earnings into gold or silver or other precious metals, protecting themselves from inflation.

If a person has no money or assets to protect, than they would have no need to purchase gold, because it is not about speculation nor about making money, it's about protecting your savings from disappearing as the devaluation of the dollar continues.

I believe Bob Chapman has suggested people buy food first and essentials for security (long term revolving storage) before purchasing gold (long term divesting).

"You must have at least a 6-month supply of freeze dried and dehydrated foods, a water filter for brackish water, and assault weapons with plenty of ammo and clips. You should put as much of your wealth as you can in gold and silver coins and shares. You should not own any stocks in the stock market except gold and silver shares…"

So too, on this forum, the suggestion is to find like minded people and establish ground crews where people can join together, contributing time and resources as opposed to doing it on their own. That alone will help protect what assets they have now, as community is stronger than individuality.

The solution to this crumby economy is to wake people up, return to the constitution and stop outsourcing our jobs...get active, stop accepting what they tell us on mainstream news and stop watching TV!

Change begins with us, with demanding change in our local governments and with continuing efforts to enlighten those that are still hypnotized. :hypo:

Remember it is Corporatism and Crooks that are destroying America, not Capitalism.



In Bob Chapman's interview today at Discount Gold and Silver, he has made the following comments at the start.

I think as each day goes by, people worldwide, particularly sophisticated people, are losing more and more faith and confidence in the central bankers and the governments.

And I think that's going to keep stock markets from going up any higher (they shouldn't be where they are, but they are) and that is starting to seep down into the upper and into the middle class.

Big firms are turning into a casino, they're front running, naked shorting, all the things they are not supposed to be doing and our government does absolutely nothing about it. It's really tragic, unfortunate...but they'll pay because this whole edifice in time is coming down and we're going to be frog marching these idiots from the courthouse to the jail, because that's where they belong. Especially the ones who tell us that they're doing God's work.

Looks like, so far, that Copenhagen meeting has really turned into a real losing situation for the, we'll call them the 'climateers'. I hope it stays that way. It's dreadful what they're going to do or intend to do. And I hope they're very unsuccessful and I think they are.

Hopefully this will shoot down cap and trade.

Next is we got to get Ron Paul's bill Auditing the Fed through the senate.

Then we got to get rid of Bernanke.

Then we got to expose what the Fed is doing.

Then we got to get rid of the Fed.

Then we have to find a way to stop the revolving door between wall street and the treasury department.

And then I think we got a shot at it.

The mainline media on the Copenhagen issue and Cap & Trade; they've just about blotted it out totally from the American media and it's not working. Talk radio and the internet has just taken them apart and they're loosing ground every day.

We're doing a good job, but we got to do a better job. We've got to get more people interested in writing to their congressman about the different issues...we got to get more people at these different sort of events such as tea parties and meetings...anything that brings people together, particularly bringing people from what used to be the left/right paradigm together. It's really, really, really important.

Wednesday 12/16/2009 Interview at Discount Gold and Silver: http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_WED.MP3

Kundaflower
12-18-2009, 01:47 PM
Dear peaceandlove.

I am quoting you::original:

"because it is not about speculation nor about making money, it's about protecting your savings from dissapearing as the devaluation of the dollar continues".
"So too, on this forum, the suggestion is to find like minded people and establish ground crews where people can join together, contributing time and resources as opposed to doing it on their own. That alone will help protect what assets they have now, as community is stronger than individuality.

If this is why you keep sending this forecast then fine..:smoke:

However I think that you are totally, completely, utterly, absolutely, irreversible (enough yet?) wrong by saying that capitalism has nothing to do with our present day crisis in economy and society.:mad3:

Capitalism today promote global freedom in production, trade, investment and banking. Also any involvement by government to economy is considered as crime by these “freedom schools”.
Look what is happening !:wall:

Gold based money is also “artificial expansion of money” or fiat money and who creates it sets a rule how much and when we have it. Now its created as debt and “gold buggies” create it as debt also. :mfr_omg:

Since in modern system money returns to its owner as an asset we can ask
were is democracy and freedom of individual when minority can rule the one of the most important aspect of our life?:sleep_1:

Love
K:wub2:

Ps. peace and love sounds good:thumb_yello:
but i lose it when you say Austrian school:thumbdown:

gibonos
12-18-2009, 03:35 PM
Kundaflower

There can not be capitalism when you have central banks, manipulating money supply.
It's called socialism and it doesn't work.
With austrian school of economics every penny you save now is worth more in the future.
People all over the world are being robbed blind throu infaltion and it's root cause of many things, i.e. black projects, with hard currency it would be much harder to hide.
If the system we operate in is at it's core corrupt, than it penetrates everything, cause it's not honest.
While true capitalism with hard money offers honesty, transparency, it's rewards hard work, people are more independant and self responsible.
Current system treats people as children, in order to get to a point we have no money anymore, gold and silver are the way to go.
What I don't like about Bob Chapman that his language and expertise is very narrow, without any other options (couple a weeks ago he firmly stated that eur/dol will go streight to 1,57 and than break to record low in $, no pullbacks, what happend is the opposite, he let him emotion take over), so I would take everything that he says with a grain of salt.

gibonos

pineal-pilot-in merkabah
12-18-2009, 05:52 PM
hey peace and love what do you think of the information from joel skousen? i heard some info from him on jeff rense and he seemed to think chapman was being disinfoed from his insider. he had an alternative view on the status of the dollar.

peaceandlove
12-20-2009, 12:16 AM
pineal-pilot-in merkabah, I hope you received my PM, just checked Rense website to see if there will be a rebroadcast tonight, but there is no mention yet of what the rebroadcast will be.

For those interested in Bob Chapman's most recent forecast.

Two Years Of Failure In Directing The Economy

Posted: December 19 2009
By: Bob Chapman

Dollar mini rally to end soon, look forward to low interest rates and mega monetization, we dont buy into the claimed recovery, Fed and Wall street cover up their problems, 124 banks failed this year to date, tax break for bailed out Citigroup, Banks manipulating their own books, an economic situation created by design

As we look back and this year comes to an end we find two plus years of failure. Even government admits to 1-1/2 years of negative growth - a sorry record after having poured trillions of dollars into the economy. The recent 3rd quarter results supposedly broke that record. If it did it was the result of government stimulus and Fed monetization. If you look back further you will find a stock market that rallied 54% just to reflect the highs of 1999. House prices have decline to 1990s levels as well. Both markets, which were bubbles, next year will fall again. Americans opened their markets to products of Communist China’s slave labor and China became the world’s biggest exporter. Via free trade, globalization, offshoring and outsourcing, transnational conglomerates have stolen America’s destiny and handed it to China. This is what corporatist fascism is all about.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Two_Years_Of_Failure_In_Directing_The_Economy

peaceandlove
12-20-2009, 09:56 PM
ERSKINE interveiw of BOB CHAPMAN 12/19/2009

Informative interview.

VIDEO 1/4 (10:48): http://www.youtube.com/user/thebobchapmanchannel?blend=1&ob=4#p/u/3/qmad2anlzmM

peaceandlove
12-30-2009, 08:06 AM
Just listening to this interview now, Bob mentioned about 10 days ago he was going to share some new information.

The International Forecaster will publish a new article tomorrow, so there will be some text to read then.

I enjoyed a recent interview by Marines Disquisition on 12/24/2009, same youtube channel.


Hi Rama,

Did you listen to this RBN interview yet?

PaL



Dec 29 2009 Republic Broadcasting Network Interview

"LAST RBN Broadcast of the DECADE"

VIDEO Part 1 of 9 (10:53): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/8/sNTEPREZzY4


In the Part 7 of 9 Video they reference a Ron Paul, Ben Stein crazy moment on Larry King Live yesterday.

Paul and Stein talking over each other...LOL

Here is the complete Larry King LIVE broadcast moment.

VIDEO (9:08): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFdG4eySIU8

peaceandlove
12-31-2009, 07:15 AM
The Rotten Underpinnings Of Our Financial System Exposed

Posted: December 23 2009
By: Bob Chapman

Money supply narrows, troubled banks still on life support, debt and problems will cascade through bond and stock markets, little or no criminal charges against banks and other lenders who bought up toxic waste debts, political influence helps poor banks, profits don't stop Goldman Sachs from generous bailouts and debt forgiveness.

Excerpt:

We have to chuckle when the world is concerned with financial events in Dubai, Iceland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Romania, Hungary, Austria, Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Italy, when all of Europe’s and America’s banks are insolvent. Who is kidding whom? We cannot leave out the brokerage houses and insurance companies. We must admit that the Fed and other central banks have done a good job covering up the mess they deliberately created by deceiving the public, as they prepare for stage 2 of the credit crisis. The only way these companies can continue to “survive” is to continue to keep two sets of books. Decisions by the FASB and the BIS have guaranteed that the charade will continue unbeknownst to the public and professionals alike. We are long past moral hazard and into criminal enterprise. They will operate in a one-world of in reality until they all simply collapse. Each and every day their underlying assets deteriorate. Next to fall over the years 2010 and 2011 will be the stock market and bond market. That should expose the rotten underpinnings and bring about the demise of our financial system. The only question is will we look like Weimar, Zimbabwe or Argentina?

Complete Article: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/The_Rotten_Underpinnings_Of_Our_Financial_System_E xposed



Forward With Caution After Exposing The Fed

Posted: December 30 2009
By: Bob Chapman

Currencies to continue to fall against gold, dollar rally unsustainable, Fed audit a good move, credit crisis for America and England, small gains in some places, plunges elsewhere,

The rally in the dollar and the problems for other currencies prove what we have been saying and that is all currencies will continue to fall vs. gold. The impetus for the dollar rally originates as usual with the government and is added to by the disarray in the economies worldwide, particularly in Europe. One of the things central banks have never learned is that financial engineering only works for a short duration, after that the problem worsens. Even the world’s strongest currencies, the Swiss, Canadian, Aussie and Norwegian, are only holding their own versus gold. The reason why is almost all central banks have done the same thing and that is create money and credit recklessly at the behest of the US government. The US and British financial systems are insolvent. The euro is under severe pressure, because of problems in Greece, Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Italy, and every other central bank is jockeying for position via competitive devaluation. The public may not notice it but the situation is really chaotic. As you can see, the US is never allowed a level playing field, but that is part of what comes with being the international reserve currency. Banks in Britain, Europe and the US continue to take losses, sometimes-severe losses. There is no intermediation going on with the dollar. Its rally is founded on manipulation. We suspect in the future we will have an interesting phenomenon and that is a fall in the dollar, pound and the euro, as gold moves higher as the only viable alternative. The world is going to be shocked when the euro collapses. It won’t happen overnight. It will take a year or two, but it has a good chance of happening. The US dollar cannot and will not for some time to come be a safe haven for wealth. That is because the dollar and the US economy have been deliberately destroyed.

The flight into gold that we have seen has not been sparked by anticipation of inflation, but by a flight caused by a lack of confidence and trust in central banks. If other major governments have monetary problems they cannot be buyers of US Treasuries. They will have to be sellers of dollars. That will drive the dollar lower, further reduce the demand for US funding, force the Fed to further monetize and create more inflation. That in turn drive the dollar lower, but more importantly it will give gold a life of its own. We have found that this is something the public ad professionals refuse to accept. There is going to be a devaluation of the dollar no matter what people think, or want to think in their world of denial and fantasy. Other letter writers who disagree have recently attacked us. They can disagree and that is fine, but we might remind them that we are the ones who have been correct in our predictions 98% of the time, not them.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Forward_With_Caution_After_Exposing_The_Fed

peaceandlove
01-04-2010, 03:09 AM
2010 Full of Uncertainty But Economic Knowledge Can Help

Posted: January 2, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Rewards for incompetence again, few writers bearish anymore, unprecedented borrowing, conditions for business not improving, Wall Street backed up for next time, duties on steel entering China, Blackwater trial whitewashed, back to Glass-Steagall to bring order to the markets

US Markets

The move to give Fannie, Freddie and GMAC unlimited funds and outrageous salaries and bonuses as rewards for incompetence is disgusting, but to be expected from our government. This was the brainchild of our esteemed leader Mr. Obama.

The Hulbert sentiment tracking system shows bond sentiment has collapsed from 23.35 to minus 33%.
Stock pessimism among newsletter writers fell to its lowest level since April 1987, six-months before the equity crash known as Black Monday on October 19, 1987. Those bearish fell to 15.6%, which is a very strong contrarian indicator.

The seven-year note auction had a bid to cover of 2.52 to 1 versus an average price of 2.76 to 1. Indirect, foreign central bank participation was 44.7% versus 62.5%.

The White House is borrowing unprecedented amounts for spending programs. Debt has increased to a record $7.17 trillion in November from $5.80 trillion at the end of 2008.

For the past decade general equities were the worst investment. Gold and silver mining equities were the best performers. The Dow will finish the decade flat, but the dollar has lost 30% of its value rendering stock and bond investments as big losers. The dollar lost 75% of its value versus gold.

As of September 30, 2009, Goldman Sachs posted $42 billion in derivatives and had $115 million in assets. JPMorgan had $79 billion versus $1.7 billion in assets. Both are accidents ready to happen.

The federal government said Wednesday it will take majority control of the troubled auto lender GMAC, providing another $3.8 billion in aid to the company, which has been unable to raise from private investors the money it needs to staunch its losses. GMAC, which already has taken $12.5 billion in direct federal aid along with other forms of government support, is the largest lender to General Motors and Chrysler dealerships and to their auto-buying customers.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/2010_Full_of_Uncertainty_But_Economic_Knowledge_Ca n_Help




Economic Forecast 2010 ~ Coast to Coast AM

Saturday January 2, 2010

Ian Punnett welcomed experts in finance and the economy, including Gerald Celente, Joseph Meyer, Catherine Austin Fitts, and Robert Chapman, to discuss the outlook in 2010 for markets, commodities, and the U.S. Dollar.
Host: Ian Punnett
Guest(s): Gerald Celente, Joe Meyer, Catherine Austin Fitts, Robert Chapman

Robert Chapman Interview LAST HOUR:

VIDEO Part 1 of 4 (10:56): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVm0N_oxsuU

Carol
01-04-2010, 05:01 PM
Excellent.. thank you. :thumb_yello:

peaceandlove
01-06-2010, 10:47 AM
Blessings Carol,

I am in agreement about excellent information coming from Bob Chapman.

PaL

A NEW DOLLAR: an insider from the fed banks meeting

Bob Chapman talks to Melody Cedarstrom about the new dollar and the coming devaluation
recorded on December 28th 2009

VIDEO (2:12): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IHadp7GXSdk&feature=player_embedded

peaceandlove
01-08-2010, 04:57 AM
Still In A Credit Crisis, New Liquidity Threatens Inflation

Posted: January 6 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Market manipulations never fail to shock us, 13 trillion spent into a pit of debt and no relief in sight, unemployment numbers probably higher than they appear, crooks bailed out, taxpayer pays for it, bank lending way down, inflation predicted

Excerpt:

The result of this tremendous infusion of money and credit has been the survival of banking, Wall Street and insurance, and a fall in household net worth of almost $7 trillion. We’d call that an uneven, unbalanced performance. The culprits have been bailed out and the public has paid for it. The next natural question is what will the Treasury and the Fed do for an encore? The treasury is running a $1.7 trillion deficit, and is the go to source for employment. The Fed says it is going to withdraw liquidity from the system and that they intend to raise interest rates in July or there abouts. If this is the case you had best prepare for a deflationary depression. We do not believe the Fed for one second. Do they really believe this will save the dollar? We do not think so.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Still_In_A_Credit_Crisis_New_Liquidity_Threatens_I nflation


Recent Interview:

RADIO LIBERTY

January 10, 2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 5 (10:53): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/4/ISvqPPivKzw

peaceandlove
01-09-2010, 08:09 PM
The Magnitude Of The Downturn Has Set In

January 9th, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Bankruptcy filings increased by a third, job market improvements only amount to less of a slowdown, industries coping with economic downturn, Fed still being deceptive, new unemployment filings also up, xmas presents from Geithner for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

Excerpt:

Chapter 7 filings were up more than 42% as of November 2009, compared with the same period a year earlier, according to the research center. November is the most recent month with analyzed data available. Chapter 13 filings rose by 12% and made up less than a third of 2009 filings as of November.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/The_Magnitude_Of_The_Downturn_Has_Set_In



Bob Chapman on Alex Jones 1/8/2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 4 (9:39): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/3/2PsSXadLAz0

peaceandlove
01-13-2010, 01:06 PM
ALL BOB CHAPMAN ~ SOLO INTERVIEW

Republic Broadcasting Network

1/12/2010

Many topics discussed, extensive interview.

Issue regarding Treasury use of IRA's and 401K's, walking away from mortgages, Obama's citizenship and approval rating, Precious Metal Investing, Geithner, Afghanistan, etc.

VIDEO 1 of 10 (10:58): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/9/Bek3qOxhOx0


Wednesday's International Forecaster Weekly will be posted later on today.

peaceandlove
01-13-2010, 04:50 PM
This interview is staying focused on the economy and information regarding potential loss of retirement funds, IRA's and 401K's.

RADIO LIBERTY INTERVIEW

January 11, 2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 4 (10:48): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/13/81aLHjIRe9Y

peaceandlove
01-14-2010, 05:21 AM
More Market Infintalism, High Unemployment, Shrinkage

Posted: January 13 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Fed credit report says Americans now borrowing a lot less, Goldman Sachs fingered for causing the economic crisis, personal bankruptcies soar, mortgage market shrinking, vacancies grow, tax collections shrink, banks create extraordinary means to keep afloat

Americans borrowed less for a 10th consecutive month in November with total credit and borrowing on credit cards falling by the largest amounts on records going back nearly seven decades.

The Federal Reserve said yesterday that total borrowing dropped by $17.5 billion in November, a much bigger decline than the $5 billion decrease economists had expected.

November’s $17.5 billion drop in total credit was the biggest amount in dollars terms since records began in 1943.

That represents an 8.5 percent fall from the October borrowing level. That was the biggest percentage drop since total credit declined 9 percent in May 1980.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/More_Market_Infintalism_High_Unemployment_Shrinkag e

peaceandlove
01-21-2010, 01:50 AM
Latest Bob Chapman's Forecaster Weekly

Fed and Banks Profits Soar In Economic Downturn

Posted: January 16 2010
By: Bob Chapman

A weak dollar balances nothing, banks taking as much risk as ever, and more, the economy has been eating its own young, Fed makes new credit card rules, significant increase in securities earnings due to Fed response to downturn, pondering the derivative collapse, Obama plans to tax the banks, parasites also profiting wildly, rail traffic still derailed.

We have been told over and over again a weak dollar would build exports and turn our balance of payments deficit down. Well, it hasn’t happened yet.

Goldman Sachs has admitted that they have been front running and opportuning against their clients in the fundamental strategies group, which is not subject to the same regulatory rules that equity research departments are. That is why they are called “Hannibal Lecter” in the business.

They have been setting up clients to take losses so their trading would be profitable. That is like eating your own children. This is the bottom of the moral and ethical totem pole.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Fed_and_Banks_Profits_Soar_In_Economic_Downturn




Economic Mistakes of Years Ago Repeated Again Today

Posted: January 20 2010
By: Bob Chapman

More bailouts were predicted a year ago, will the unemployed be bailed out indefinitely while jobs and money are exported? Fed has been buying government debt, leverage is in vogue again, Fed blowout profit for 2009, more banks closed, real misery exists far beyond official numbers, state of Illinois exposed.

Last January we predicted that there would be another stimulus program this year. Congress has already passed legislation to continue unemployment benefits, which the Senate will approve as well. Those out of work cannot survive without such assistance, as our transnational conglomerates continue to send our jobs to foreign lands. The question is will the unemployed, as a result, receive benefits indefinitely, as these elitist corporations park their profits in tax havens tax-free?

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Economic_Mistakes_of_Years_Ago_Repeated_Again_Toda y



Recent Bob Chapman PROOF Interview:

Beginning discussion regarding Brown winning in Massachusetts and the Health Care Package.

VIDEO Part 1 (10:31): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/5/9-6PnOE6Zh0

peaceandlove
01-25-2010, 12:23 AM
We Are In A Depression, Not A Recovery

Posted: January 23 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Accept that we are now in a depression, Stock Markets still grossly overvalued, poverty rates increase across midwest, a lots opportunity to regulate the banks,Goldman Sachs reports record profits and still bonusing employees richly, mainstream America goes on a financial diet, suburbs now home to American poor.

Few professionals are yet willing to admit we have been in a depression for the last year. You have to understand the position that economists and analysts are in. They work for corporations, insurance, Wall Street, banking and government and if they thought we were in a depression and they publicly announced that all chances for advancement would be lost or they would be squeezed out of the firm or simply fired. Under such circumstances can you ever expect that you get the truth? We don’t think so. Furthermore the depression we are enveloped in is far from over.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/We_Are_In_A_Depression_Not_A_Recovery



GO TO:

TheBobChapmanChannel's Channel at youtube for some recent interviews:

Part 1 of 5 "A Marines Disquisition" interview of Bob Chapman 1/21/2009: http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/4/KAAiseo67jE

peaceandlove
01-30-2010, 03:08 AM
A New Approach To Regulating Wall Street Could Be More Than Wishful Thinking

Posted: January 27 2010
By: Bob Chapman

The return of Paul Volcker, bailed out banks out of touch, greedy and arrogant and are due for a change, can there be jail time for Wall Street gangsters? Other countries in a fragile economic state, just as ours is, Bernanke bailed out himself, SEC secret files.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/A_New_Approach_To_Regulating_Wall_Street_Could_Be_ More_Than_Wishful_Thinking



Most recent Radio Interview posted at youtube:

Radio Liberty with Bob Chapman 1/25/2010 (first five parts) Discount Gold and Silver (last five parts)

VIDEO Part 1 of 10 (10:19): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/9/kXxF7MKktYs

peaceandlove
01-31-2010, 11:04 AM
Bailout Recpients Fly Under The Radar While We Remain Exposed

Posted: January 30 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Your assets can be frozen, another reason to hold gold, media requests concerning AIG rescue blocked, China trying to adjust the heat, Bernanke reappointed, Paul Volcker reappears, foreclosures and unemployment still a concern, jump in credit default swaps, airline passenger traffic now flying low.

In the past quarter Verizon eliminated 7,413 jobs to net 222,927.

The SEC now allows money market funds to suspend redemptions, freezing your assets. That rule is designed to push inventors out of money market funds and into US Treasuries and Agency bonds. Anyone whoever had any doubts about the worth of government securities has to now be convinced that their money should be in gold and silver assets. This is the only way to preserve wealth.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Bailout_Recpients_Fly_Under_The_Radar_While_We_Rem ain_Exposed



More recent interview posted yesterday, January 28th, on youtube with discussion regarding current events:

A Marines Disquisition with Bob Chapman first five videos, The Sovereign Economist Interview last five videos

VIDEO Part 1 of 10 (10:40): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/9/-rSp6ih6ULY


:Update:

Another new two interviews popped up again, January 29th, lots of interview choices and sometimes different questions are asked and it requires a lot of listening. :sad:

Alex Jones with Bob Chapman first three videos, Discount Gold and Silver Interview last five videos

VIDEO Part 1 of 10 (10:49): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/7/GRoKIa3wXM8

peaceandlove
02-10-2010, 10:36 PM
Revising The Economic Problems Wont Make Them Go Away

Latest Issue: February 10th, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

The threat of an inflationary depression around the world, metals will survive, currencies will not, Banks holding most of US deposits are broke, Paul Volcker would be a better chairman of the Fed, we need Glass-Steagall back, your deposits bailed out the bankers, nothing anyone can do for Greece, numbers and analysis from the Household Survey.

Continues: http://theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Revising_The_Economic_Problems_Wont_Make_Them_Go_A way



America Not Near To Solving Its Debt Problems

Posted: February 6th, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

tech industry salaries down 14 percent but healthy, unemployment not going away elsewhere, foreigners buying less USA, calling for blood on Wall Street, stock market set to decline more, finger pointed directly at the FED and its owners for the problems that have been caused.

Continues: http://theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/America_Not_Near_To_Solving_Its_Debt_Problems




The second wave of mortgage defaults and foreclosures will hit the economy this year

Posted: February 6th, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

The second wave of mortgage defaults and foreclosures will hit the economy this year. Not only will we have failure in prime loans and option-arm loans, but we are faced with a new crop of subprime and ALT-A loans put into motion by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae and FHA.

Continues: http://theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/The_second_wave_of_mortgage_defaults_and_foreclosu res_will_hit_the_economy_this_year



Most recent interview posted at TheBobChapmanChannel on youtube.

Republic Broadcasting Network

February 9, 2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 9 (10:48): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/8/Yw9LgVI3PYA

peaceandlove
02-14-2010, 05:54 PM
Bulls and Bears Sound Off But Fed Reserved

Posted: February 13 2010
By: Bob Chapman

The relationship Goldman-Sachs has with Greece, Obama poses a threat to the Internet, are we to exchange our freedom of the internet for Net Nannies? Large amount of exposure for US banks in financially troubled european countries, China dumps US assets, Bull and Bear Survey,

Under the guise of “protecting Americans” and choosing itself in so-called “national security,” the current Obama administration wants to be able to control the ability of people and organizations to access the Internet.

This concept on its face seems very harmless and in the best interest of the country, however, having the ability to “turn the Internet off or shutting down sites that Obama considers “dangerous” including particular political groups, individuals or organizations who espouse differing views has far reaching political, financial, moral and legal implications.

Such a policy imposed under Executive Order to control what enters Internet sites and what is shared daily would stifle free speech in direct violation of the First Amendment rights of all Americans.

Continues with Videos: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Bulls_and_Bears_Sound_Off_But_Fed_Reserved

justpeter
02-18-2010, 11:15 AM
I think Bob Chapman has a lot of good information. I used to get his newsletter for quite a few years and he was right more often than not.

When the major banks collapsed here in the UK a while ago I remember our Prime Minister saying that the government had no idea there was a problem looming. Well, he should have asked me because I knew all about it at least a year before it happened, thanks to Bob Chapman.

Sometime around 1999 I started buying gold from anywhere I could get it, mainly on ebay, because of Bob Chapman. Meanwhile the British Government sold about 60% of our country's gold at the bottom of the market. Since then the price of gold has quadrupled, effectively losing the country billions of pounds.

Anyway, it would be nice to live in a world where money wasn't necessary but until we do then I'm glad some people are telling us the facts and not just government spin.

peaceandlove
02-18-2010, 05:39 PM
justpeter,

I guess you are one of the many lucky ones who valued Bob Chapman's financial advice many years ago.

I think of Bob Chapman as the Jordan Maxwell of the financial world. :naughty:

PaL


Economy Stagnant When Action Is What Is Needed

Posted: February 17 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Probable head count in Census around 320 Million, What is Bernanke hiding at the Fed? No end to zero interest rates after 14 months, China to change some things, Greek basket case, California even worse than Greece, home owners stuck with houses worth less than what they paid

When the next census is over America will probably have 320 million people. The number of Americans 50 years ago was about 184 million. Our budget then was about $100 billion. Today it is supposed to be $3.8 trillion. We call that spending gone wild. Government control of the economy has become bigger and all consuming at what will prove to be an unsustainable pace. Markets are telling us the world has serious sovereign debt problems as witnessed recently with the financial debacles in Ireland and now Greece with others to follow. Arrogant government, Fed officials and Wall Street telling us the borrowings are necessary to save our economy, when in fact just the opposite will prove to be true.
Chairman Bernanke tells us inflation expectations are stable and will be subdued for some time to come. Our big questions are what is he hiding at the Fed? Why doesn’t he want an audit? What has the Fed been doing that it doesn’t want us to know about? Could it be the funnel of insider information flowing to Wall Street and banking or the operations of the “Presidents Working Group on Financial Markets”? In their minutes it would be found that inflation is recognized as a friend not an enemy. The independence Mr. Bernanke speaks about is a subterfuge to keep what the Fed is doing away from prying eyes. We do not believe this is any way to run a monetary system.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Economy_Stagnant_When_Action_Is_What_Is_Needed



At the beginning of the following interview Bob makes a statement about the movement of the military and their families which hasn't happened in 50 years.

Green T Hour
2/4/2010
VIDEO Part 2 (10:53): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/11/uVtdwvizN6U



The first part of this interview has his commentary regarding Greece and the PIIGS.

A Marines Disquisition
2/11/2010
VIDEO Part 1 (10:46): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/7/1_rdLx6c0BQ



Throwing this in as an after the fact, just finished listening to it.

Sometimes it feels like there's nothing new, yet new inside information does come out and new daily updates on the market become available.

Discount Gold and Silver Wednesday 2/17/2010 Interview

1 HOUR: http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_WED.MP3

peaceandlove
02-23-2010, 08:20 AM
Signs of Recovery And Signs of Warning

Posted: February 20 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Some recovery noted, finally, subprimes proven unsustainable, insurers and secret payments, tax credit may boost real property, Fed sits on Bear Stearns garbage, The massive markdown of Maiden Lane, warning signs for the market says Greenspan

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Signs_of_Recovery_And_Signs_of_Warning



In this Discount Gold and Silver Trading interview with Bob Chapman last Friday the 19th he answers a question regarding Benjamin Fulford's latest Black Dragon Society 'earth shattering announcement' news with "Gobbly Goop, Pure Gobbly Goop!" (about the last 1/2 - 1/3 inch of the MP3)

1 HOUR MP3: http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_FRI.MP3

Monday, Wednesday and Friday Bob Chapman Interviews: http://www.discountgoldandsilvertrading.net/main.htm



ALEX JONES 2/19/2010 interview with Bob Chapman

VIDEO Part 1 of 5 (10:45): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/12/0TRwYwjeQPo

Also available at same youtube channel is most recently posted 2/22/2010 Radio Liberty Interview.

peaceandlove
02-26-2010, 07:15 AM
Bonuses for Wall Street And Unemployment Elsewhere Continue To Grow

Posted: February 24 2010
By: Bob Chapman

The motivations of men in high places, Goldman and Greece, dollar rally will soon end, trillions in debt while Wall Street makes record profits, shareholders pay for fraud proposed market reforms do not go very far, Bonuses greater than ever before on Wall Street, more problem lenders.

People should not underestimate the rational of those in high places because their agenda may be totally different then what they say it is. That includes the predicament of Dubai and Greece and a host of other nations that include the US and UK. The credit crisis, borne of the subprime crisis just didn’t happen; it was planned that way. Are we supposed to believe that the Fed took interest rates close to zero and that they flooded the monetary system with money and credit, because they were incompetent or stupid, hardly? The Fed, banking and Wall Street knew subprime loans were not AAA, but triple BBB. They all knew the syndication of these bonds were a fraud, which they allowed and which kicked off the credit crisis. Again, all is not as it seems to be. Thus, those of you who believe it was greed and incompetence are wrong. Up until four years ago it was Sir Alan Greenspan who sold his soul out to the Illuminists, now it is Ben Bernanke.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Bonuses_for_Wall_Street_And_Unemployment_Elsewhere _Continue_To_Grow


Drew Raines of A Marines Disquisition Radio Show iterates the fact that Bob Chapman's research is repeatedly plagiarized (ie. Max Keiser for one). Mr. Chapman states he doesn't mind so much.

February 25, 2010

Discussion includes purchases of IMF's by China and India.

VIDEO (10:56): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/4/JGLSs_-17h0

peaceandlove
03-03-2010, 03:43 PM
Big Players Get Out Of Risk And In To Gold

Posted: February 27 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Who will be the buyers of US bonds? Questionable Fed policy to keep economy afloat, liquidity drain to keep pressure on gold and silver, George Soros putting his money in gold companies, upheaval in currency markets, TARP was to pay out the people responsible, difficulties for small and mid-sized banks.

Excerpt:

The Fed, panic-stricken stock investors and the US public, that's who! The Fed will continue to feed money to foreign banks via currency swaps, this time in secret, and will continue to feed leveraged funds into secret Fed-supported off-shore hedge funds to invest in treasuries and agencies. Then you will see the PPT plunge the stock markets periodically to push money out of those markets into US treasuries. The problem there is, that although investors may buy short-term treasuries because they can't think of anything else on the spot, they are going to be looking for other venues, like gold, silver and commodities, both because the US economy and dollar are going to be looking rather sickly, and because rising interest rates due to an increase in perceived risks is going to destroy bond values. They will hold the bonds while the blood-letting is ongoing to take advantage of the increase in bond prices, but then they are going to have to find another location for their assets in short order when that blood-letting stops, and that means gold and silver. After the stock markets around the world have been bled down to whatever level the PPT is told to bring the markets down to by our shadow government, guess who's next? That's right, the American people and their pensions, 401(k)'s and IRA's. You will be offered the option to buy an annuity from an insurance company, who will fund it's obligations under that annuity, with, well, you guessed it, US treasury bonds. After the government gets its foot in the door with voluntary annuities, you can be sure that mandatory annuities are next. The only problem with these proposed annuities, beside abysmal rates of return, is that after the US government goes bankrupt, the US treasuries will be worthless and the insurance companies will be unable to deliver on their annuities, leading them into bankruptcy and further government takeover, and leaving you with a big goose egg for retirement income. That is where we are headed unless you take action to stop them.

Complete Forescast: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Big_Players_Get_Out_Of_Risk_And_In_To_Gold



Recent Radio Interviews: http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u

:Update:

Today's Discount Gold and Silver Trading interview: http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_WED.MP3

GET OUT OF CITIBANK!

peaceandlove
03-03-2010, 11:28 PM
Economic Downturn hits Lenders and Borrowers Alike

Posted: March 3, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Commercial real estate in trouble, lenders will be hit as hard as borrowers, Greece suffers heavily during downturn, Germany wont buy any more greek sovereign debt, M3 and M4 down to nothing, China remains as largest holder of US debt. IMF comments on US dollar, debt problems in Florida and California, child labor at factories that supply Apple computers

We are not going to go into the lurid details regarding residential and commercial real estate, but we are going to give you some highlights. We began telling subscribers to sell real estate in June of 2005, long before anyone else. We picked the top just as we did in September 1988 at the top.

Residential real estate won’t hit bottom until 2013 and who knows how long it will bump along the bottom. At the end of the year we have a whole new generation of sub prime and ALT-A mortgages coming due for reset. In addition there are the pick and pay loans that are in trouble, and 52% of problems lie, if you can believe it, in prime loans. Residential real estate countrywide is off 32% with a number of areas off 50% or more. In the next two years that national figure will show losses of 45% to 50%, and the former 30 hot city markets will be off 50% to 70%. We predicted this in November of 2004. All the savings of America for three generations of Americans will be lost, and these same Americans will be saddled with horrendous amounts of debt spawned by our Wall Street controlled Treasury and the Federal Reserve. These are the bankers who have robbed you and will continue to rob you until you are destitute and enslaved.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Economic_Downturn_hits_Lenders_and_Borrowers_Alike

:Update:
3/4/2010
In this March 3rd interview of Bob Chapman at Discount Gold and Silver Trading, he talks about inside information regarding a possible test 'bank holiday' before the year is out and that the actual number of troubled banks is over 2000, not 780 (which is an absolute lie). He starts talking more about it just under a quarter of the way into this MP3. http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_WED.MP3




China holds more U.S. debt than numbers indicate

Posted by Matt Hawes on 03/02/10 11:52 AM

From The Washington Times:

"The U.S. Treasury data almost certainly understate Chinese holdings of our government debt because [the U.S. figures] do not reveal the ultimate country of ownership when [debt] instruments are held through an intermediary in another jurisdiction," Simon Johnson, an economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, told the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, a bipartisan forum established by Congress in 2000 to monitor the security implications of the U.S. economic relationship with China....

Read the rest: http://www.campaignforliberty.com/blog.php?view=33130




China’s Hidden Debt Risks 2012 Crisis, Northwestern’s Shih Says

By Bloomberg News

March 3 (Bloomberg) -- China’s hidden borrowing may push government debt to 96 percent of gross domestic product next year, increasing the risk of a financial crisis in the world’s third-biggest economy, Professor Victor Shih said.

“The worst case is a pretty large-scale financial crisis around 2012,” said Shih, a political economist at Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, who spent months researching borrowing transactions by about 8,000 local-government entities. “The slowdown would last at least two years and maybe longer,” the author of the book “Factions and Finance in China” said in a phone interview March 1.

Continues: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aN94MF7BDx_A

SOURCE: http://solari.com/blog/




Lower Chinese PMI: Canary in the coalmine?

March 2, 2010
Posted by Prieur du Plessis under China, Investment

China’s PMI numbers for February were released yesterday and received surprisingly little media attention. Although I am usually not keen to slice and dice single-month statistics too intensely, the latest suite of manufacturing indices does seem to warrant more than cursory attention.

Firstly, a summary of the numbers as provided by the China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing (CFLP) and reported by the Li & Fung Group.

Continues: http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2010/03/02/lower-chinese-pmi-canary-in-the-coalmine/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+wordpress%2FVYxj+%28Investmen t+Postcards+from+Cape+Town%29&utm_content=Yahoo!+Mail

SOURCE: http://solari.com/blog/

peaceandlove
03-06-2010, 11:56 PM
The Albatross of Sovereign Debt

Posted: March 6 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Sovereign Debt hinders nation states, Interrogations for the Fed to answer, debt burdened California, Fed integrity in question, Gold still a good investment play, unemployment benefits for now, volatile swings in housing demand,

Sovereign debt hangs like an albatross around the necks of too many countries. There are 17 medium-size to large countries that are close to, or are bankrupt. Many are being kept solvent by using two sets of books and by marking to model. As you know we expect these bankruptcies to take place by the end of 2011. That will be accomplished at meetings such as we saw in the 1970s at the Smithsonian, the Plaza Accord of 1985 and the Louvre Accord of 1987. There will be a realignment of currencies.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/The_Albatross_of_Sovereign_Debt




Alex Jones Interview of Bob Chapman

March 5, 2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 4 (10:50): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/3/FC44iZ2HPqc

peaceandlove
03-10-2010, 11:44 PM
Pondering Our Collapse While We Watch Others Fall

Posted: March 10, 2010
By: Bob Chapman

The current dollar rally wont endure, questions for the future of the Euro, No collapse of currency overnight, but we see it coming, record low interest rates drive bond purchases, Fed will continue to feed the economy, the threat is deflationary depression, China continues to dump dollars, US in a box, Fannie and Freddie bondholders should not hold their breath, unemployed are also exhausted...

Every important factor we see is working against the dollar and we believe that trend is irreversible. That means the present dollar rally probably cannot endure and it could well be the time to short the USDX.

Excerpt:

We see a general contraction of credit worldwide and unless reversed the inevitable will unfold. What is even more dangerous than in the 1930s is the enormous leverage that exists today. When this comes down it will be with a thundering roar. That is because few have the ability to pay. It is totally inconceivable that the US government can pay back its liabilities. That means that other nations that hold 60-1/2% of their foreign exchange in US dollars will take tremendous losses from which they won’t easily recover. China and Japan, along with Middle East oil producers, will take unbelievable losses. All creditors will be big losers.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Pondering_Our_Collapse_While_We_Watch_Others_Fall

peaceandlove
03-14-2010, 02:21 AM
US Federal Reserve Dealing in Magic and Secrets

Posted: March 13 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Fed makes money out of thin air to solve deflation with inflation, credit crisis continues, frustrations with politicians, not healthy to have over 3 trillion in t-bills held in foreign hands, Fed fights audit legislation, Threats to the Eurozone...

Excerpt:

The financial system in America is on the edge of default. A recent poll found that 92% of those surveyed wanted to unseat their current representative or Senator in Washington and only 21% believed that government enjoyed the consent of the governed. It’s very obvious people are not happy with the political, economic and financial situation presently. Eighty percent believe that government is enmeshed in partisan infighting. Not only between parties, but within parties as well. Politicians are very aware of these numbers and are frantic to get reelected. The public has recoiled in disgust. People are demanding that the power of government be curbed. People are sick and tired of paid off corrupt politicians, more than half of whom have been in office for more than ten years.

Complete Forecast: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/US_Federal_Reserve_Dealing_in_Magic_and_Secrets



There are a number of recent interviews at TheBobChapmanChannel at YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel

If you scroll down there is a March 11th Marine's Disquisition interview below the March 10th Alex Jones interview.

I listened to the Marine's Disquisition interview:

Part 1 of 5: http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/19/gx5-B-FGv7U

peaceandlove
03-17-2010, 08:33 PM
Expose Transgressions and Set Boundaries on Stimulus Packages

Posted: March 17 2010
By: Bob Chapman

AIG dragged onto the carpet for publishing falsified debt ratings, fines called for when fraud charges should be laid, white collar crime knows no end, books cooked, real estate downside points to deflationary depression, debt continues to grow, borrowing in the debt market again. stimulus packages knowing now boundaries.

The past week the Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal sued Moody’s Investors Services and Standard & Poor’s over falsified debt ratings. This suit is the first of its kind against rating agencies under the state’s unfair trade practices law. The AG is seeking penalties and fines that could reach into billions of dollars.

We in this publication have asked for three years why no civil or criminal charges were not brought against these raters, but also against the banks, brokerage firms and the Federal Reserve, which colluded with them in this scam that cost investors worldwide trillions of dollars? These bonds are the collateralized debt obligations, which the Fed purchased from financial institutions over the past year to the tune of $868 billion, which the American taxpayer will have to pay the losses on.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Expose_Transgressions_and_Set_Boundaries_on_Stimul us_Packages



Freedomizer Radio Interview with Bob Chapman

March 16, 2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 7 (10:56): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/6/L0GqC5ktStk

peaceandlove
03-20-2010, 11:12 PM
The Impact of Bubbles And The Future of Risk

Posted: March 20 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Bubbles of years ago being felt today, why rescue people from their mistakes? Destructive economic processes at work, many countries on the verge of bankruptcy, America now holds debt far beyond its ability to pay back, Debasement the order of the day, Bill Gross of PIMCO looks to developing nations for stability...

There was no turning back after June 2003. The last bubble was in the process of being created. The collapse of real estate, both residential and commercial, had been put in place and their fateful journey had begun. The credit expansion had begun and there would be no stopping it until it had run its course. Currently the credit crisis is in its initial 30th month with a possible end in sight. If quantitative easing is withdrawn, money and credit is dramatically reduced and interest rates are increased, deflation will start to make headway. In today’s circumstances we have a sovereign debt crisis, which is worsening. You put all this together, and in the absence, further stimulation of one form or another, the world could easily fall into a deflationary depression.

Everyone wants to be rescued from their mistakes and that simply can’t happen. In the meantime to finance this illusion they both go deeper and deeper into debt.

Europe is far more advanced into their destructive process. The euro zone is headed toward dissolution and perhaps the European Union as well.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/The_Impact_of_Bubbles_And_The_Future_of_Risk



FRIDAY 3/12/2010 Discount Gold and Silver Interview:

MP3 (about an hour): http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_FRI.MP3

SOURCE: http://www.discountgoldandsilvertrading.net/Radio_Show.htm



Recent Interviews The Bob Chapman Channel at YouTube (not really his channel, someone using his name): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u

peaceandlove
03-24-2010, 10:43 PM
A Rise in Unemployment And Moral Hazard To Contend With

Posted: March 24 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Bubbles come and go but the Fed remains, derivative madness, no good sense for liquidity, tariffs can turn the world, moral hazard in the media spotlight, fence building now to keep out the drug war in Mexico, flush with cash but actually insolvent...

Excerpt:

If we hadn’t left the gold standard on 8/15/71 we wouldn’t be in the fix we are in today. We do not have that standard, but after all else has collapsed we will then again regain that standard. We no longer have free markets and continued injections of liquidity will not work, only purging the system will work and its time is fast drawing to such a conclusion. Remember you cannot understand how this game works, unless you can understand the criminal Illuminist mind and their past history. Once you understand the rest is simple.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/A_Rise_in_Unemployment_And_Moral_Hazard_To_Contend _With

shybastid
03-25-2010, 12:50 AM
PeaceandLove? I'm curious...I enjoy reading your posts. I don't comment on all of them because:
A) yours are fast and furious when your on a roll

B)My typos are embarrasing and I look like a "dolt" when I try to be serious.

C) My points are'nt usally as valid as others that post here.


Question? Where's our little buddy Barny Frank been during all this?

Is He:

A) Hiding because he was disappointed a Kennedy in his State was replaced by a Republican that has no real track record and Barney did not call him to say "welcome" regardless of party?

B) Embarrassed that he DID"NT call Kennedy's replacement for congrats even though the replacement voted Democrat?

C) Happy ANY attention away from Barney is good for the country?
"Quiet Barney" "Shhhhh" "Lay Low untill after the vote"

I'm just sayin.......

Thoughts?
Remember, I'm not a teabagger,a republican or democrat..
As Grouch Marx said "I'd never belong to a club that would have me as a member."

Except maybe Camelot/Avalon

peaceandlove
03-25-2010, 02:43 PM
C) My points are'nt usally as valid as others that post here.
Question? Where's our little buddy Barny Frank been during all this?
I'm just sayin.......
Thoughts?

All points are valid shybastid because YOU are valid.

Here is a recent interview of Barney Frank

Ken Pittman vs. Barney Frank 3/23/2010
VIDEO Part 1 of 3: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f5pUb_iR_Dk


:Update:

Early on in this 3/24/2010 interview at http://www.discountgoldandsilvertrading.net/

MP3 (1 Hour): http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_WED.MP3

Jim Roger's statements are quoted by the guest host regarding the Euro breaking in the next 15 to 20 years.

Chapman says he's been watching Rogers for 40 years.

"He's a disinformation specialist."

He does not agree with Jim's methodology and he doesn't agree with his disinformation.

Chapman states: "If the Euro goes down, it's going to go down in the next two years."



HALFWAY through the interview Bob comments on Ron Paul's recent statement that ObamaCare will be repealed by a national bankruptcy.


:Update:

Very end of the interview before Bob is cut off and after Alfred comes back:

Bob and Alfred are talking about our government declaring us all to be animals.

Drug laws passed in 1971 by Nixon based on a definition of drugs that presumes people to be animals.

Evidence of a pagan religion being imposed upon the people.

Discussing the sale of body parts to pay bills.

It's not an accident that government wants us reduced to the status of animals.

One of the reasons is the Declaration of Independence (all men created equal and endowed by their creator with unalienable rights)

UN-A-LIEN-ABLE???

All the medical bills (Health Care Bill) will be based on the presumption that we are livestock, that we are not men and women made in God's image.

peaceandlove
03-27-2010, 01:08 AM
Tide turning?

Gold and Silver up.

US Treasury auctions were keeping gold and silver down.

Rigging of markets...

Is Kitco an appendage of the US government?

Dollar correction?

3/26/2010 Bob Chapman

on discountgoldandsilvertrading.net Radio Show.

MP3 1 HOUR: http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_FRI.MP3

peaceandlove
04-02-2010, 12:00 AM
Failed Banks and Failed Billions

Posted: March 31 2010
By: Bob Chapman

Re-flating a dying bubble, Greece and Euro problems fuel world markets, Lehman Bros collosal fraud, a plan to tax banks, bank failures amount to billions, signs of a vanishing recovery.

Bubbles have a hard time coming to an end, especially in residential real estate. Underlying forces such as government intervention to prolong the agony and the abject stupidity of builders extends the bubbles. We are in a vast home inventory expansion and builders are going to build 535,000 new homes...

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Failed_Banks_and_Failed_Billions


Discount Gold and Silver Trading Interview of Bob Chapman

3/31/2010

Click ahead a quarter of an inch to get past advertising and show introduction :sleep_1:

MP3 (1 hour): http://libertyarchives.com/farlive/FS2_WED.MP3

peaceandlove
04-05-2010, 02:34 AM
Recent Growth In Economy Is But A Mirage

Posted: April 3 2010
By: Bob Chapman

A smoke and mirrors Economy, a rigged market means you will lose, capital controls now in place, market manipulation is public policy, stock market overpriced by manipulations, no monetary tightening without a collapse, predictions of gains and losses in job markets.

We have an economy run on smoke and mirrors, based on the manipulation of markets. That was accomplished via the executive order signed by President Ronald Reagan in 1988 in the aftermath of the stock market collapse of October 19, 1987, known as the “President’s Working Group on Financial markets.” This order intended to be implemented during emergencies has been used to manipulate markets worldwide 24/7. We experienced an example of this misuse of power when the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose from 6,500 to 10,900 over this past year. This rise was aided by TARP and a host of other programs that injected trillions of dollars into the economy, which, of course, the American citizen is responsible for. The result is we do not have free investment markets. A secret group led by the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury Department runs them. The SEC and the CFTC play their parts as government agencies to make sure the public doesn’t know what is going on.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Recent_Growth_In_Economy_Is_But_A_Mirage



A Marines Disquisition interview of Bob Chapman

April 1, 2010

Starting with private payrolls falling short.

VIDEO Part 1 of 5 (10:54): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/4/rXubyjZRjLM

peaceandlove
04-09-2010, 03:33 AM
A Debt Level Great Enough To Threaten The Dollar Rating

Posted: April 7th, 2010:
By: Bob Chapman

Your purchasing power is less and less with every passing day, changes coming to currencies, no end to corruption in government, Wall Street, and banking, US states on the verge of bankruptcy, economic and financial zombies on the old continent, globalization has brought us to the brink of collapse, Interest rate volatility to come soon, US debt far over GDP, property abandoned.

Almost every day in almost any currency your purchasing power in terms of gold is less and less. Thus, these currencies in which you save the fruits of your labor are cheating you out of your savings.

The US dollar is particularly vulnerable because of its staggering debt even though it is the world reserve currency. In fact the debt is so onerous that we believe the quality rating of the dollar could be lowered by the end of the year. Many other currencies face the same dilemma and in the final analysis only gold will be worth what it is today or in the future.

Unless the US government expropriates Americans’ retirement plans they won’t be able to fund their sovereign debt.

Continues: http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/A_Debt_Level_Great_Enough_To_Threaten_The_Dollar_R ating



A Marines Disquisition interview of Bob Chapman

4/8/2010

VIDEO Part 1 of 5 (10:25): http://www.youtube.com/user/TheBobChapmanChannel#p/u/4/F6fvWtN9VqI