Unified Serenity
13th December 2011, 18:08
I just came across this little story:
Hurricane predictors admit they can’t predict hurricanesMonday, December 12, 2011
By Tom Spears
Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, revered like rock stars in Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice because it doesn’t work.
William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no value.
The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities as hurricane seasons approach — a much more cautious approach. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do next.
Gray, recently joined by Klotzbach, has been known for decades for an annual forecast of how many hurricanes can be expected each official hurricane season (which runs from June to November.) Southerners hang on his words, as even a mid-sized hurricane can cause billions in damage.
Last week, the pair dropped this announcement out of a clear, blue sky:
“We are discontinuing our early December quantitative hurricane forecast for the next year ... Our early December Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts of the last 20 years have not shown real-time forecast skill even though the hindcast studies on which they were based had considerable skill.”
Now, it occurs to me that we know HAARP can and does manipulate the weather and is believed to have played a role in recent years regarding Katrina and the mega storm that hit the East Coast of the United States. It seems there has been an effort to ruin forecasts and malign them so that we no longer get these assessments. Most people don't know they can go online to Dutchsinse and other sites to see stuff and prepare for EQ and other events. I wonder what they will do as fear porn is too useful, but are they changing how it will be delivered? Keep us on edge, bring up the air siren and have us running for cover?
Hurricane predictors admit they can’t predict hurricanesMonday, December 12, 2011
By Tom Spears
Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, revered like rock stars in Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice because it doesn’t work.
William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no value.
The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities as hurricane seasons approach — a much more cautious approach. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do next.
Gray, recently joined by Klotzbach, has been known for decades for an annual forecast of how many hurricanes can be expected each official hurricane season (which runs from June to November.) Southerners hang on his words, as even a mid-sized hurricane can cause billions in damage.
Last week, the pair dropped this announcement out of a clear, blue sky:
“We are discontinuing our early December quantitative hurricane forecast for the next year ... Our early December Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts of the last 20 years have not shown real-time forecast skill even though the hindcast studies on which they were based had considerable skill.”
Now, it occurs to me that we know HAARP can and does manipulate the weather and is believed to have played a role in recent years regarding Katrina and the mega storm that hit the East Coast of the United States. It seems there has been an effort to ruin forecasts and malign them so that we no longer get these assessments. Most people don't know they can go online to Dutchsinse and other sites to see stuff and prepare for EQ and other events. I wonder what they will do as fear porn is too useful, but are they changing how it will be delivered? Keep us on edge, bring up the air siren and have us running for cover?