Something Strange is happening with the Sun

[Rocky_Shorz]

wow... hey Skib where you at?

it is a mesmerizing image...

when is it expected? need to put on my 1000 SPF in time...

[MorningSong]

WELL.... we got another M-class flare this morning:

From Spaceweather.com:

STRONG SOLAR ACTIVITY: For the third day in a row, active sunspot 1261 has unleashed a strong M-class solar flare. The latest blast at 0357 UT on August 4th registered M9.3 on the Richter Scale of Flares, almost crossing the threshold into X-territory (X-flares are the most powerful kind). The number of energetic protons around Earth has jumped nearly 100-fold as a result of this event. Stay tuned for updates.

INCOMING CLOUDS: At least two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are now en route to Earth, propelled toward us by eruptions in the magnetic canopy of sunspot 1261 on August 2nd and 3rd. Analysts at the GSFC Space Weather Lab have just produced a new 3-D model of the advancing CMEs. Click on the image to set the clouds in motion:



According to the model, Earth's magnetic field will receive a double-strike from the clouds on August 4th at 22:39 UT plus minus 7 hours. Mild to moderate geomagnetic storms are possible when the CMEs arrive.

[MorningSong]

Here's lasco2 movie from Aug 1 to present.

Watch the huge CME from today at the end..... solar fireworks at its best!



http://stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu/multistatus.php

[Rocky_Shorz]

one after another, the wave of energy is 3 days long....



those sun beams are coming from the wrong direction...



8/4 14:48

[MorningSong]

Hmmm....well yeah, I agree....hmmmmm

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

From Spaceweather.com:

STRONG SOLAR ACTIVITY: For the third day in a row, active sunspot 1261 has unleashed a strong M-class solar flare. The latest blast at 0357 UT on August 4th registered M9.3 on the Richter Scale of Flares, almost crossing the threshold into X-territory (X-flares are the most powerful kind). The number of energetic protons around Earth has jumped nearly 100-fold as a result of this event. Stay tuned for updates.

Does this mean we will be hearing about more earthquakes in the next few days?

Thank you for all the updates btw.
The stereo pic with the CMEs is amazing.
How would all these CMEs affect us here?

I have no idea how to interpret this data but find it fascinating and am trying to make sense of it all.

[Sidney]

here is a nice explanation (imho) of why we are having the solar activity this week. Dwarf star crosses earths orbit Aug 3rd, etc. interesting reading.




http://planetxtownhall.com/index.php?topic=2192.0

[thunder24]

in the lasco morning soung posted, near the end of the movie on today it seemed like there were more celestal objects that could be seen then previous days. Or am i just seeing things?

peace

[MorningSong]

Thanks, Ineffable Hitchhiker.

It's just impossible for me to stay away from this Sun Passion I have. Don't know why, but I guess that is my mission- to give the "heads up" call.

I would expect more Earth Changing events. Just before the big and quite unexpected Japan quake, there had been a series of M and X flares. Lots of other examples can be found and I am not one to call it all "coincidence".

CME's transmit energy...we are all energy expressed in material....all is effected. SATs out there in space, Earth's Mag field, tectonic plates, lava flows and volcanoes, electric grid, storm systems, plant growth, and our minds as well.... the energy must go somewhere.

Where it will go, We don't know...no way to know, I don't think. All we can do is cross our fingers and get out the tin hats...

@starchild111: I respect the Townhall Forum and have been a member for a long time. Some time ago, Marshall subtracted any support for the person called "Terral". Use you own discression with his info. I always suggest read, research, and research again.

@Thunder24: I did notice the total rush of "particles" in the last photograms... don't know if that is space dust, plasma, or what...but it sure did get pretty crazy there for a while. It does look like a lot of "stuff" was taking a dive right into the path of the CME, though. Opportunistic space critters? lol

[MorningSong]

!!!!!!!New from Spaceweather.com:

""The impact on Earth is likely to be major. The estimated maximum geomagnetic activity index level Kp is 7 (Kp ranges from 0 - 9). The flanks of the CME may also impact STEREO A, Mars and Mercury/MESSENGER." High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras. "

STRONG SOLAR ACTIVITY: For the third day in a row, active sunspot 1261 has unleashed a significant M-class solar flare. The latest blast at 0357 UT on August 4th registered M9.3 on the Richter Scale of Flares, almost crossing the threshold into X-territory (X-flares are the most powerful kind). The number of energetic protons around Earth has jumped nearly 100-fold as a result of this event.

The eruption propelled a bright coronal mass ejection (CME) toward Earth. Click on the image to view a movie of the expanding cloud recorded by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory:



Moving at an estimated speed of 1950 km/s, this CME is expected to sweep up two earlier CMEs already en route. Analysts at the GSFC Space Weather Lab say the combined cloud should reach Earth on August 5th at 13:55 UT plus or minus 7 hours: "The impact on Earth is likely to be major. The estimated maximum geomagnetic activity index level Kp is 7 (Kp ranges from 0 - 9). The flanks of the CME may also impact STEREO A, Mars and Mercury/MESSENGER." High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

http://spaceweather.com/

[MorningSong]

These CMEs all bunched up together are going to be a RIDE, folks!....

Just look at this new Cygnet Streamer model:



http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaS...1&cygnetId=261

[MorningSong]

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=wdBtrDm48j0

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

Posted by MorningSong (here)

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=wdBtrDm48j0

Great video! Thanks.
Subscribed !

Thanks also for your explanantion. It is going to be an interesting time, the next few days.
And yes, have donned my tinfoil hat.

[MorningSong]

From Spaceweather.com:

ONE DOWN, TWO TO GO: As predicted by analysts at the GSFC Space Weather Lab, the first of three CMEs produced by the recent spate of flare activity reached Earth during the late hours of August 4th. The impact was weak and is not expected to produce strong geomagnetic storms. Two more CMEs are still on the way and, as described below, they may have merged into a single cloud that could produce significant storming when they reach Earth on August 5th at 10:00 UT (plus or minus 7 hours). A new model of all 3 CMEs is now available; stay tuned for updates.

From NOAA/ Space Weather Prediction Center:

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was high. Region 1261 (N15W49) produced
a M9/2B at 0357Z. This event had associated Type II and Type IV
radio sweeps and a CME with an approximate speed of 2100 km/s in
STEREO A COR-2 imagery. Region 1261 has appeared to decay in the
southern most trailing spots and is classified as a Dai spot class
with a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic classification. Region 1263
(N17W18) has been relatively stable, only managing a few C-class
flares. Region 1263 is classified as a Dki spot class with a
Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic classification. New Region 1266 (N18E38)
was numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. Further M-class activity is expected from Region
1261. Region 1263 has the potential for M-class activity as well.
There continues to be a chance for isolated major flare activity.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
at geosynchronous orbit crossed the 10 PFU threshold at 0635Z and
reached a peak of 80.1 PFU at 1030Z. The greater than 100 MeV
proton flux at geosynchronous orbit crossed the 1 PFU threshold at
0510Z and reached a peak of 1.8 PFU at 0740Z. This proton event was
associated with the M9 flare at 0357Z.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at minor to major storm levels with a chance for
severe storm periods as the effects of three CMEs are expected to
impact the Earths geomagnetic field early on 05 August. Active to
minor storm levels are expected on 06 August. Unsettled to active
levels are expected on 07 August.

III. Event Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
Class M 75/75/65
Class X 15/15/10
Proton 95/50/30
PCAF red

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Aug 116
Predicted 05 Aug-07 Aug 115/110/110
90 Day Mean 04 Aug 096

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Aug 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 050/050-030/030-015/020

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/30/25
Minor storm 35/30/15
Major-severe storm 50/20/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/30/25
Minor storm 30/30/20
Major-severe storm 55/30/15

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html

[Rocky_Shorz]

Posted by Rocky_Shorz (here)
one after another, the wave of energy is 3 days long....

bumped to keep handy...

[Calz]

Quite interesting take on the current solar situation. From Gillilands email.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=oGkUA1g8YdQ

[MorningSong]

As of 17:30 UTC, the Earth is being impacted by the double M-class CME:



Auroral Activity has picked up greatly, from Activity Level 1 to Level 8 in just a couple hours:

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/Plots.html

Latest Mag simulation:



From Spaceweather.com:

CME IMPACT--NOW: NASA's ACE spacecraft, which measures the speed of the solar wind just upstream of Earth, indicates that a CME impact on our planet is in progress. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras in the hours ahead.

UPDATE: Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab report a strong compression of Earth's magnetosphere in response to the CME impact. "Simulations indicate that the magnetopause separating magnetospheric and solar wind plasma is close to the geosynchronous orbit starting at about 19:20 UT on August 5th. Spacecraft [in these] orbits may be directly exposed to solar wind plasma and magnetic field."

According to the Integrated Spaceweather Analysis System, CME Arrival Prediction, the duration should be for 5 Hours.

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html

[MorningSong]

KP Index is at Level 8:

[Trinity]

Posted by Calz_Avaretard (here)
Quite interesting take on the current solar situation. From Gillilands email.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=oGkUA1g8YdQ

I very much feel and understand your message.
Thank you so much for posting. You've done a fantastic job in explaining this.

Trinity

[Darla Ken Pearce]

Wow. This is all so exciting! As we watch these developments ~ The stock market is crashing big time.

The media just released a massive amount of new information about the crime of U.S. and Truman dropping the atomic bombs on Japan at the end of WW2 and what a crime against humanity with pictures never known about or released prior to this date.

Another Moon has been seen and recorded making the Earth look like it may have two moons instead of just one. Worth watching for further developments. I love that we are seeing these great events coming first, from the sun, as these CME's are blowing Adamantine particles towards earth to enhance and bring about our full consciousness. At long last, this train is pulling out of stationary mode and is now going at warp speed ahead!

We are watching the Greatest Show on Earth right now in this thread! Many thanks to all for keeping us informed! Woo Woo! Let the celebrations begin! xoxoxox