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Thread: Sun Stuff: What's up!

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    France Avalon Member Amzer Zo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by Operator (here)
    Quote CME Arrival Time: 2011-09-10 04:15:14.0 GMT
    Just as an exercise ... does this mean that the GMT+8 zone (will be around noon there) will
    be facing the sun optimally when it arrives ? (I know there is still an +/- 6 hours uncertainty)
    I think it will be more like in the evening as 10 pm EST is around 2 am over there (+/- daylight thingy).

    See: I posted 10 pm EST and my post time is 2 am GMT.

    *Edit*

    Oooops, sorry Operator I flunked the "exercise"... didn't pay attention to the + 8...
    Last edited by Amzer Zo; 8th September 2011 at 16:58.
    "La liberté de chacun s'arrête là où commence celle des autres"
    “There is a condition worse than blindness, and that is, seeing something that isn't there.” LRH

    The psycho's utter terror: "This universe is entirely composed -- but for one trivial exception -- of others."

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by Operator (here)
    Quote CME Arrival Time: 2011-09-10 04:15:14.0 GMT
    Just as an exercise ... does this mean that the GMT+8 zone (will be around noon there) will
    be facing the sun optimally when it arrives ? (I know there is still an +/- 6 hours uncertainty)
    G'day Operator,

    Yes that is correct.
    Also for our purposes UT* (such as UTC) is the same as GMT.
    Online conversion resources for those interested:
    http://wwp.greenwichmeantime.com/gmt-converter/
    http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/converter.html

    Kind Regards,
    Panopticon

    Sources:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_Time
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coordinated_Universal_Time
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenwich_Mean_Time
    http://wwp.greenwichmeantime.com/gmt-converter/
    http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/converter.html
    "What we think, or what we know, or what we believe is, in the end, of little consequence.
    The only consequence is what we do."

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    Avalon Member Ineffable Hitchhiker's Avatar
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by MorningSong (here)
    New thread to post info on the sun's activity.

    Yay!
    I really enjoy following your thread.
    This is a new area of learning for me and I am grateful for all the information and appreciate all the work from everybody.
    Thank you.





    Quote Posted by Amzer Zo (here)
    Time to pull out the tinfoil umbrella, it's gona rain compounded particles soon.

    The guys at SolarMonitor haven't updated their site yet and this one is not listed.

    Hehe, armed and ready.
    The heart knows a hundred thousand ways to speak.
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Just comparing notes here,
    Today i 'm really feeling bombed out, all i want to do was sleep.
    Not sure it if is the sun or just me, but generally a very low energy day.
    The greatest privilege of a human life is to become a
    midwife to the awakening of the Soul in another person.”
    ~ Plato

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    Avalon Member MorningSong's Avatar
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    From Spaceweather.com:

    Quote ANOTHER X-FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have detected another strong flare from sunspot 1283. The X1.8-class event at 2238 UT on Sept. 7th produced a bright flash of extreme UV radiation and hurled an inky-dark plume of plasma into space. Click to view the movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:





    Turn your cell phone into a field-tested satellite tracker. Works for Android and iPhone.

    Satellite flybys

    SOLAR RADIO BURSTS: This week's sharp increase in solar activity has turned the sun into a radio transmitter. Bursts of shortwave static are coming from the unstable magnetic canopy of sunspot 1283. Tuesday in New Mexico, amateur radio astronomer Thomas Ashcraft recorded some samples at 21 MHz: listen. Radio listeners should remain alert for this kind of solar activity as sunspot 1283 continues to seethe.

    ANOTHER X-FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have detected another strong flare from sunspot 1283. The X1.8-class event at 2238 UT on Sept. 7th produced a bright flash of extreme UV radiation and hurled an inky-dark plume of plasma into space. Click to view the movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

    This is the third significant flare from sunspot 1283 since Sept. 6th. All three eruptions propelled CMEs in the general direction of Earth. Not one of the CMEs, however, will hit our planet squarely. Glancing blows from the three clouds will commence sometime on Sept. 9th and continue through Sept. 11th, possibly sparking minor geomagnetic storms. Solar flare alerts: text, voice.

    X-flares of Solar Cycle 24: There have been only a handful of X-flares since the beginning of new Solar Cycle 24. Here is a complete list so far, all in 2011: Feb. 15 (X2), March 9 (X1), Aug. 9 (X7), Sept. 6 (X2), Sept. 7 (X2). Before these five, the previous X-flare occured on Dec.14, 2006, (X1) during old Solar Cycle 23.
    "Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle." Unknown

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by astrid (here)
    Just comparing notes here,
    Today i 'm really feeling bombed out, all i want to do was sleep.
    Not sure it if is the sun or just me, but generally a very low energy day.
    I'm feeling the opposite...it's 3:30am and I'm wide awake...grrrrrrrr.
    Life is what it is. How you perceive it creates your reality.

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    G'day All,

    Sunspot 1283 seems to be almost "pulsing" daily...
    1283 M6 class flare at 15:46 UTC.
    Solar wind is still low (330km/sec), Kp low (2) and Bz is still "North" (1.3nT).
    All clear on the Southern front.

    Kind Regards,
    Panopticon

    Sources:
    http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa.html
    http://spaceweather.com/
    "What we think, or what we know, or what we believe is, in the end, of little consequence.
    The only consequence is what we do."

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by Carolin (here)
    Quote Posted by astrid (here)
    Just comparing notes here,
    Today i 'm really feeling bombed out, all i want to do was sleep.
    Not sure it if is the sun or just me, but generally a very low energy day.
    I'm feeling the opposite...it's 3:30am and I'm wide awake...grrrrrrrr.
    haha, aren't canida and austraila on the opisite sides of the world? (pretty much?)


    edit:

    looks like "yes"(ish)
    http://www.freemaptools.com/tunnel-t...-the-earth.htm
    Last edited by TargeT; 8th September 2011 at 18:22.
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Im in CANADA as well and feeling very relaxed/lazy/no energy as well
    So there goes that theory!

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    I wonder if this caused the us west coast black out.

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by joedjemal (here)
    I wonder if this caused the us west coast black out.
    G'day joedjemal,

    I don't think it did.
    Kp has been low (1).
    Bz still "North" (means less likelihood of CME getting through).
    Solar wind low (305Km/sec).

    I don't reckon this series are a threat as they are reported to be "glancing" the Earth.

    Opinions anyone?

    Kind Regards,
    Panopticon
    "What we think, or what we know, or what we believe is, in the end, of little consequence.
    The only consequence is what we do."

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    Avalon Member Operator's Avatar
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by joedjemal (here)
    I wonder if this caused the us west coast black out.
    Same thought here ... I additionally wonder if all the chemtrailing changed our atmosphere in such a way
    that via conductivity or maybe reflection the arrival of a CME could end up on all kind of unexpected places.

    P.S I also realize it probably did not arrive yet

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    As you can see here, a Geomagnetic Pulse was registered at 12:43 UTC:



    Quote Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD
    Serial Number: 129
    Issue Time: 2011 Sep 09 1243 UTC

    SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
    Observed: 2011 Sep 09 1243 UTC
    Deviation: 16 nT
    Station: Boulder
    And another:

    Quote Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD
    Serial Number: 130
    Issue Time: 2011 Sep 09 1257 UTC

    SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
    Observed: 2011 Sep 09 1250 UTC
    Deviation: 28 nT
    Station: Boulder

    Comment: This was the second of two Sudden Impulses observed.
    http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/arch...ent_month.html



    By and Bz have turned negative....

    http://www2.nict.go.jp/y/y223/simulation/realtime/

    And..Solarsoft says there was an M-class flare this morning around 6:00 UTC. There has been another M-class flare....but it isn't up on the graphs yet.
    Last edited by MorningSong; 9th September 2011 at 13:09.
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    Action without vision just passes the time.
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    From Ionospheric Prediction Service Australia:

    _________________________________________________

    Geomagnetic Warning

    Last updated 09 Sep 2011 14:00 UT
    SUBJ: IPS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING 11/16
    ISSUED AT 06/0551Z SEPTEMBER 2011
    BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.

    INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED
    DUE TO CORONAL MASS EJECTION
    FROM 08-09 SEPTEMBER 2011
    _________________________________________________

    GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST
    08 Sep: Active to Minor Storm periods expected from early in UT day.
    09 Sep: Initially Active, declining to Unsettled conditions.

    _________________________________________________

    Geomagnetic Alert

    Last updated 09 Sep 2011 14:25 UT
    SUBJ: IPS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE ALERT
    ISSUED AT 1425 UT ON 09 SEP 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
    FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

    MINOR GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE IN PROGRESS (K OF 5 REACHED)
    PRELIMINARY AUSTRALIAN REGION K INDICES FOR 09 09 11: 1211 5---


    Kind Regards,
    Panopticon

    Sources:
    http://www.ips.gov.au
    "What we think, or what we know, or what we believe is, in the end, of little consequence.
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    post deleted link didnt work

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    if you look at the lasco 2 movie, it looks to me like this morning around midnight or so (central) there may have been another X.
    Last edited by Sidney; 9th September 2011 at 15:41.

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by panopticon (here)
    From Ionospheric Prediction Service Australia:

    _________________________________________________

    Geomagnetic Warning

    Last updated 09 Sep 2011 14:00 UT
    SUBJ: IPS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING 11/16
    ISSUED AT 06/0551Z SEPTEMBER 2011
    BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.

    INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED
    DUE TO CORONAL MASS EJECTION
    FROM 08-09 SEPTEMBER 2011
    _________________________________________________

    GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST
    08 Sep: Active to Minor Storm periods expected from early in UT day.
    09 Sep: Initially Active, declining to Unsettled conditions.

    _________________________________________________

    Geomagnetic Alert

    Last updated 09 Sep 2011 14:25 UT
    SUBJ: IPS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE ALERT
    ISSUED AT 1425 UT ON 09 SEP 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
    FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

    MINOR GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE IN PROGRESS (K OF 5 REACHED)
    PRELIMINARY AUSTRALIAN REGION K INDICES FOR 09 09 11: 1211 5---


    Kind Regards,
    Panopticon

    Sources:
    http://www.ips.gov.au
    Well that matches exactly with my 'exercise' ... GMT+8 zone would be west Australia

    I'm in GMT-4 and it's almost noon here ... so in about 12 hours it will be midnight here and noon of September 10th
    in west Australia. The expected arrival time is in approx. 12 hours.

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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Quote Posted by joedjemal (here)
    I wonder if this caused the us west coast black out.
    shouldn't have been strong enough.. but who knows?
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    France Avalon Member Amzer Zo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Today's flares:

    "La liberté de chacun s'arrête là où commence celle des autres"
    “There is a condition worse than blindness, and that is, seeing something that isn't there.” LRH

    The psycho's utter terror: "This universe is entirely composed -- but for one trivial exception -- of others."

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  34. Link to Post #60
    France Avalon Member Amzer Zo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Sun Stuff: What's up!

    Summary plots indicating if flares are Earth bound (2sd graph from top):



    Too bad, cannot read anything on it...

    Here is the site where to see it full scale:

    http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
    Last edited by Amzer Zo; 9th September 2011 at 18:39. Reason: Link added.
    "La liberté de chacun s'arrête là où commence celle des autres"
    “There is a condition worse than blindness, and that is, seeing something that isn't there.” LRH

    The psycho's utter terror: "This universe is entirely composed -- but for one trivial exception -- of others."

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