Solar weather and earthquake predictions

[Fairy Friend]

Well, earthquakes are high in number and Peru recently had a 5.6. So this is my first earthquake prediction on this thread. The earth, the Sun and Venus are in alignment and even though the proton count is not extremely high (not quite normal), I am going to say Java or Papa New Guinea as a possible Six magnitude earthquake in the next few days. Feeling rather tired and thought I'd check the bz and it was south but I think I might have been mistaken on that but because there are so many quakes they sometimes will set off a bigger one.

[Fairy Friend]

And still another M class flare coming in.

[Fairy Friend]

And the flares continue. ...more coming in.

[Fairy Friend]

Flares continue...X flare.

[Fairy Friend]

Interesting one of those flares did produced a cme according to suspiciousObservers but I am not sure if it was the one I had identified as. I am still feeling some what hot and flushed and expect more flares but not popping that I usually do get, so assuming this will settle down first before it pops again. Also feeling some twinges and aches that started after this flare. So the next one may have a little bit of a coronal mass ejection. It seems to not want to cut loose quite yet.

[Fairy Friend]

I think a minor M flare coming in.

[Fairy Friend]

M1.4 indeed minor flare. Energy is just very intense yet.

[Fairy Friend]

I am starting to get popping again but not too intense of energy I'm thinking around M4 Class maybe coming up in a while. The cme noted above was a few days ago.

[Fairy Friend]

Another M class flare coming in.

[Fairy Friend]

M 3.5 flare came in.

[Fairy Friend]

Make that 2 M flares.

[Fairy Friend]

The huge sunspot is turning away but I think it has at least one more pop for us. Putting it again in the M 4 to M 6 range.

[Fairy Friend]

Posted by Fairy Friend (here)
Well, earthquakes are high in number and Peru recently had a 5.6. So this is my first earthquake prediction on this thread. The earth, the Sun and Venus are in alignment and even though the proton count is not extremely high (not quite normal), I am going to say Java or Papa New Guinea as a possible Six magnitude earthquake in the next few days. Feeling rather tired and thought I'd check the bz and it was south but I think I might have been mistaken on that but because there are so many quakes they sometimes will set off a bigger one.

Tonga had a 6.1 magnitude quake.

¤=[Post Update]=¤

Another incoming flare.

[Fairy Friend]

Only an M 1.6 flare.

[Fairy Friend]

I'm feeling a lot of energy and it's getting rather heavy and intense although the popping is rather minor and just started. But I still think we're going to get a parting pop from the big guy and the M4 to M6 range. A little ways off, 4 hours or so. Note above the alert went out before I had an opportunity to post on the M 1 flare. Also my listing of the magnitude of the flare may be off if it is coming from an alert sometimes they are not perfect and sometimes I just eyeball the graph to give a quick estimate.

According to suspiciousObservers this is the largest sunspot in 25 years and it has been quite the learning curve for me.

[Fairy Friend]

No big pop from the big sunspot but there is a cme coming from the back side of the sun.

[Fairy Friend]

Looks like we are getting another minor flare now. The giant sunspots seems to be whispering it's goodbye. Had one barely M class prior to this. Bz is slightly south so this is good, we don't want this or the filament also present to do any big popping.

[Nick Matkin]

Earthquake in Nottinghamshire.

Nick

[Fairy Friend]

Getting but minor flares as the big guy exits the scene. I will take the lots of little pops over a bigger one at this point. Feels pretty quiet now.

I still feel hot with a lot of energy but no popping.

We are still listed as an 85% chance of m-class flare and a 45% chance of a X class flare going off.

[Fairy Friend]

Had some minor flares and this last M 2.3 may not have come from the big sunspot. Still feeling hot and flushed but no major popping.