Research paper on The Mandela Effect: strong statistical evidence

[BMJ]

13 Sept 2016 - Moses has horns and Hillary has Syphilis

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=dA50gWoXHbc

Published on 14 Sep 2016

OH Hillary ! IS it Syphilis? Or has she been arrested?
Mandela effect -
Moses now has horns, 4 American Presidents assassinated and Mandela quizzes

Dreams have stepped up again with 2 distinct themes, the moon/planets and water/tidal waves

Lots of links at :
http://www.lisamharrison.com/2016/09...yphilis-maybe/

[RunningDeer]

In the OP video, Dr. Blair Reich joins in the conversation with Lisa and Dani @1:24:20.

Dr. Blair Reich Phd put together several quizzes/polls about the "Mandela/Toto Effect. One of the Polls is over 100 questions long, and now has over 30,000 responses. We discussed his research paper that he wrote on this questionnaire in depth, and Blair gives his definition of "Mandela Effect" vs "Toto Effect”.

**********

The last video is where Dr. Blair Reich shares findings and includes links to the quizz(es)/survey(s).

This video of the Moses horns was referenced by Lisa and Dani and the second part is an overview of Dr. Blair Reich poll with 30,000 responses.

Mandela Effect MAILBAG #4 | Moses now has HORNS? And more! |#MandelaEffect

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=-Z-mVQ5oI_A

**********

Mandela Effect Report- 25K responses- Ruling out memory as the cause

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=oe65g0K8ePc

Published on Sep 6, 2016

The Mandela Effect is the difference between recollection for a large group of people and recorded history. Mandela Effect is for small changes like movie lines and titles of media. The Toto Effect is for more tangible changes such as religion, geography, physical products, history etc. Before continuing, if you haven't taken the quiz that is part of this study please do so! http://www.quiz-maker.com/QRVR3A

25k people took this quiz: http://www.quiz-maker.com/QRVR3A. Their results have been analyzed and guesses have been removed. Control experiments were included that indicate people who are extremely confident in their answers are likely to get them right 95% of the time or more. This study mostly rules out memory and mishearing as the likely cause of the Mandela Effect. The actual cause remains unknown and worthy of further study.

Additional quizes have been compiled that focus on more of the substantial changes that are observed:
Here’s a short quiz: http://www.quiz-maker.com/QYN1BOG
Here’s a long and in depth quiz that covers the most topics: http://www.quiz-maker.com/Q6G9ZLT

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by RunningDeer (here)

Mandela Effect Report- 25K responses- Ruling out memory as the cause

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=oe65g0K8ePc

Published on Sep 6, 2016

The Mandela Effect is the difference between recollection for a large group of people and recorded history. Mandela Effect is for small changes like movie lines and titles of media. The Toto Effect is for more tangible changes such as religion, geography, physical products, history etc. Before continuing, if you haven't taken the quiz that is part of this study please do so! http://www.quiz-maker.com/QRVR3A

25k people took this quiz: http://www.quiz-maker.com/QRVR3A. Their results have been analyzed and guesses have been removed. Control experiments were included that indicate people who are extremely confident in their answers are likely to get them right 95% of the time or more. This study mostly rules out memory and mishearing as the likely cause of the Mandela Effect. The actual cause remains unknown and worthy of further study.

Additional quizes have been compiled that focus on more of the substantial changes that are observed:
Here’s a short quiz: http://www.quiz-maker.com/QYN1BOG
Here’s a long and in depth quiz that covers the most topics: http://www.quiz-maker.com/Q6G9ZLT

WOW.





Fascinating video. A real stab at careful research, using statistical analysis on quite a large sample of people (over 20,000). His one-take 90-minute ad-libbed commentary was a little loose, but the paper is not.

Highly, highly recommended, and may well need a thread of its own.

(And, WTF?? Our Solar System is on the Sagittarius Arm of the Galaxy...... isn't it? )

[RunningDeer]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
(And, WTF?? Our Solar System is on the Sagittarius Arm of the Galaxy...... isn't it? )

9-1-1 Ulli…........

Dear Bill,

My antiquated GPS goes wonky when I take it out that far. Heck, it doesn’t even work where I live. So my pretend that I know answer is…it’s between the Sagittarius and Perseus Arms of the Milky Way.

And…I’ve included a map with arrows to make it look like I know what I’m talking about. Even better, I’ve added animation to REA-l-l-y make it look like I know what I am talking about.

Pauler

P.S. The geeky me did watch both videos to the end. I've forgotten most of it now, cuz, 10 days ago seems like two months ago.

We live in an island of stars called the Milky Way, and many know that our Milky Way is a spiral galaxy. In fact, it’s a barred spiral galaxy, which means that our galaxy probably has just two major spiral arms, plus a central bar that astronomers are only now beginning to understand. But where within this vast spiral structure do our sun and its planets reside? Our galaxy is about 100,000 light-years wide. We’re about 25,000 light-years from the center of the galaxy. It turns out we’re not located in one of the Milky Way’s two primary spiral arms. Instead, we’re located in a minor arm of the galaxy. Our local spiral arm is sometimes Orion Arm, or sometimes the Orion Spur. It’s between the Sagittarius and Perseus Arms of the Milky Way.

[article]

[Star Tsar]

We call it the Orion Spur or The Orion Cynus Arm!

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)

Highly, highly recommended, and may well need a thread of its own.

I looked carefully to see if the thread should be split: the Mandela Effect research paper, as a standalone topic, is potentially really important, and more than fascinating -- at least, to me.

But, despite some experimentation, it seems impossible... so I took the liberty of changing the thread title to (a) make this more searchable, and (b) reflect accurately what I think the focus of the discussion may be.

If anyone has a link to Dr. Blair Reich's research paper itself, I'd most appreciate if it could be posted here.

• Note @ BMJ: Not at all wanting to wreck your party here. if you'd like a separate thread devoted to all of Lisa and Dani's interviews (on a wide range of subjects, not just this), then we can easily fix that up. Mods can move or copy posts around simply, and our intent here is just to be good librarians, if we can, with the material all in the best sections where it can be found.

[RunningDeer]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
If anyone has a link to Dr. Blair Reich's research paper itself, I'd most appreciate if it could be posted here.

Snippet of article:

Before reading further if you haven’t taken the quiz I implore you do so by visiting this webpage: http://goo.gl/6tXMNM. It doesn’t take very long to complete and will give you a better frame of reference to explore the results.

• Read or download complete paper in PDF format here.
  
• Read or download complete paper in DOC format here.
  
• Review or download spreadsheet of survey results here.

UPDATE: It's not Dr. Blair Reich's research paper itself... still looking.

[RunningDeer]

Here’s contact information. No luck finding the research paper and I don’t have a Facebook account:

Dr. Reich can be reached on facebook through the name blair reich, youtube through aggroed.lighthacker, and steemit as @aggroed.  If you find new effects the youtube channel, Facebook, and in answer spaces provided in the quizzes is an excellent way to contact him about them.

Part of the article:

While the general population demonstrated memory loss on the control experiments those who reported being extremely confident were between 95-98.8% accurate on the controls.  The controls are based on a show from the 90s and an historic event that was in the news from the 90s.  The point of having older experiences was to provide enough time to verify that if memory was a problem 20+ years should have been long enough.
 
The Mandela Effect questions were viewed through the lens of expecting an approximate 5% error tolerance due to memory gap even among the extremely confident quiz takers.  Overall, all of the Mandela Effects in questions came in well past the 5% memory loss threshold and numerous personal testimonials were included.  
 
Berenstein Bears is probably the most famous of the Mandela Effects.  Here we see that more than 80% of the population remember it as Berenstein as opposed to the "actual" name Berenstain.  Quiz takers have vibrant memories of learning it both ways.  Those that heard it as stain are quick to think of stains on a shirt.  Those that learned it as stein often cite the debate of is it pronounced "steen" or "stine?"  While the creators are decedents of Ukrainian Jews whose slavic language is known to be difficult for Americans to pronounce their pronunciation is perfectly clear as "stain" and would not be the source of the difference.  Some evidence has been gathered that Stein used to be the answer in the form of a limited number of official products that have both names on the VHS tape as well as internet archives that have use Stein.
 
In essence it is highly unlikely that memory or simple collective mishearing is the cause of the Mandela Effect.  What is the cause of the Mandela Effect remains unknown and further research is suggested for both Mandela Effects and Toto Effects (which cover more substantial changes such as History, geography, physical products, religion, and anatomy).
 
Lastly, timing of when people started experiencing this effect was studied using Google Analytics that show most searches for terms that have undergone the Mandela Effect begin in earnest on or about July 2015.

[RunningDeer]

FFT: If it's an ongoing An Ongoing Investigation then the paper is not available.

Experienced and Recalled Reality for 4,782 survey respondents versus Current Recorded History
An Ongoing Investigation
Blair Reich, PhD; Independent Investigator

NOTE: Feel free to delete any and all of my above posts.

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by RunningDeer (here)

UPDATE: It's not Dr. Blair Reich's research paper itself... still looking.

Okay, I found it.. on Scribd:
http://scribd.com/document/323817055...corded-History

It's a free download, but one has to have an account. I've re-uploaded it to the Avalon server, here:
http://projectavalon.net/Exploring-t...ed-History.pdf

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)

I've re-uploaded it to the Avalon server, here:
http://projectavalon.net/Exploring-t...ed-History.pdf

I'd highly recommend browsing the 'testimonials' (quiz-taker comments) section... which runs for 27 pages, from p.26 to p.53. Some of the comments are fascinating, from people with excellent memories who handled these items (like movie posters) professionally at first hand -- enough to make you stop and stare out of the window for quite a long time.

* One very brief extract only (p.35) -- there's much more like this! -- that had me laughing (in sympathy with, not at, the poor guy, who was so perplexed he couldn't stop swearing )

It was the first time in my life I EVER had a ""sinking feeling"" in my stomach... [snip...] ...the first time in my life I felt like I would throw up from a combination of disorientation and nauseousness because my perception of reality was completely shattered. Then comes the entire Berenstein bears (What the f*ck my Auto-correct wants to use Berenstain?) and that let me know something was very, very wrong with this entire situation. I still don't understand it, and honestly I don't want to understand it.

I do think now Dr Reich slightly messed up the 'NASA manned missions' and the 'Universal blood donor' questions (which can both be argued to be ambiguous or easily misunderstood). But overall, this is compelling evidence for something extremely odd going on. It can clearly be built on and improved/expanded -- but that's what scientific method research is all about.

[bluestflame]

remember the moonraker ( james bond) movie where one of the villians henchmen "jaws" falls off the ski lift into the arms of a buxom blonde thick glassed woman with braces ( that's the connection cos it adds to the " love at first site" thing )

now she doesn't have braces ( no i don't mean she outgrew them ) she never had them !

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Aj1lTyy-HxE

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by bluestflame (here)
remember the moonraker ( james bond) movie where one of the villians henchmen "jaws" falls off the ski lift into the arms of a buxom blonde thick glassed woman with braces ( that's the connection cos it adds to the " love at first site" thing )

now she doesn't have braces ( no i don't mean she outgrew them ) she never had them !

Really! I distinctly remember the girl's braces. (It was a perfect little cinematic touch, to match Jaws' metal teeth. ) I suspect there are many more anomalies like this... what's coming to view and discussion right now are just those which are most easily noticed.

One that was rather more worrying was a story (I think this was recounted by Dr Reich in his commentary: it's not in the paper) of a couple, who had been together a while, who were eating sandwiches. The woman had carefully prepared the man a sandwich in a very particular way. But he told her he didn't like it very much that way... something to do with the mayonnaise, if I remember. (Reference, please, from someone who has a little time to find the timestamp on the video!) The woman, baffled, pointed out that she had always made his sandwiches that way, every time. He had no recall of that -- at all. (Wow)

[Hervé]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
[...]

It was the first time in my life I EVER had a ""sinking feeling"" in my stomach... [snip...] ...the first time in my life I felt like I would throw up from a combination of disorientation and nauseousness because my perception of reality was completely shattered. Then comes the entire Berenstein bears (What the f*ck my Auto-correct wants to use Berenstain?) and that let me know something was very, very wrong with this entire situation. I still don't understand it, and honestly I don't want to understand it.

[...]

I think this commentator inadvertently put his finger onto the very phenomenon when mentioning "my Auto-correct"... :

Some sort of pareidolia which would encompass all types of memories and replacing "what's there" with something else one holds in one's mind, whatever that is, whether "filters," implants,"brainwashing," post-hypnotic overlays, natural or electronic telepathic suggestions or plain vacuum filling fantasies... which, on another hand, could be an indication of how successful the "overlaying" of the "false" memory/knowledge program has been...

[sunwings]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)

Really! I distinctly remember the girl's braces. (It was a perfect little cinematic touch, to match Jaws' metal teeth. ) I suspect there are many more anomalies like this... what's coming to view and discussion right now are just those which are most easily noticed.

One that was rather more worrying was a story (I think this was recounted by Dr Reich in his commentary: it's not in the paper) of a couple, who had been together a while, who were eating sandwiches. The woman had carefully prepared the man a sandwich in a very particular way. But he told her he didn't like it very much that way... something to do with the mayonnaise, if I remember. (Reference, please, from someone who has a little time to find the timestamp on the video!) The woman, baffled, pointed out that she had always made his sandwiches that way, every time. He had no recall of that -- at all. (Wow)

This one is new to me thanks! Also this is a Physical M.E. as supposed to a verbal M.E.. One question I would like to throw into the mix is do we think there is a positive or negative force behind this? I´m pretty sure they are malevolent forces pulling their hair out as the masses are being woken up and reality is appearing to be easily altered and far from physical as we have always been told!

[RunningDeer]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
I've re-uploaded it to the Avalon server, here

Link correction:

Exploring the Mandela Effect - Experienced and Recalled Reality for 25,210 survey respondents versus Current Recorded History

Note from Bill: THX, and fixed

[RunningDeer]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
I'd highly recommend browsing the 'testimonials' (quiz-taker comments) section

I have proof of one of the example from the 'testimonials' pdf survey:

I started researching the mandela effect when someone told me about C3PO's silver leg. Ive watched star wars more times than I can remember and NEVER did he have the silver leg.

Here’s a picture of my son (#10), brother, sisters
and myself in the early 1980's.

[Hervé]

Examples of "Auto-correct" pareidolia filling in for what's NOT there:

7H15 M3554G3 53RV35 7O PR0V3 H0W 0UR M1ND5 C4N D0 4M4Z1NG 7H1NG5! 1MPR3551V3 7H1NG5! 1N 7H3 B3G1NN1NG 17 WA5 H4RD BU7 N0W, 0N 7H15 LIN3 Y0UR M1ND 1S R34D1NG 17 4U70M471C4LLY W17H 0U7 3V3N 7H1NK1NG 4B0U7 17, B3 PROUD! 0NLY C3R741N P30PL3 C4N R3AD 7H15.

PL3453 F0RW4RD 1F U C4N R34D 7H15.

and:

Aoccdrnig to rscheearch at Cmabrigde Uinervtisy, it deosn't mttaer in waht oredr the ltteers in a wrod are, the olny iprmoetnt tihng is taht the frist and lsat ltteer be at the rghit pclae. The rset can be a toatl mses and you can sitll raed it wouthit a porbelm. Tihs is bcuseae the huamn mnid deos not raed ervey lteter by istlef, but the wrod as a wlohe.

[RunningDeer]

If you plan to take the survey, I'd suggest you wait on these links:

Google page with examples of The Mandela Effect

Site with videos and Q&A test

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by RunningDeer (here)

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
I'd highly recommend browsing the 'testimonials' (quiz-taker comments) section

I have proof of one of the example from the 'testimonials' pdf survey:

I started researching the mandela effect when someone told me about C3PO's silver leg. Ive watched star wars more times than I can remember and NEVER did he have the silver leg.

Here’s a picture of my son (#10), brother, sisters
and myself in the early 1980's.

Lovely photo!!

This article is hilarious (and interesting)
http://theshiznit.co.uk/feature/fu c...silver-leg.php
(^^ to get this link to work, remove the added space in the URL (this is an Avalon software auto-censor problem )

But, a serious question... shouldn't your photo have magically changed, as well? My first encounter with the Mandela Effect (not even called that then) was several years ago, when I was copied in on an e-mail conversation between Mars image researchers. One swore blind that a certain feature was present, and the other agreed, but then when they went to check their printed hard-copy photos, the photos had changed. They were dumbfounded.