bbow73 I don't visit the forum too often due to research keeping things very busy but aim to share the results of that work in the future so I do like to check in. This may have to do with why when I do post I generally am disentangling many connected aspects at once and it's hard to cut any of them out. It's nice to be given some clearance.
You are getting very close to a valuable point about how motivation plays a large factor in determining credibility, but another reply also mentioned how it's amazing what lengths some people go to carry on with something once they've started and begin to feel obligated to carry on, perhaps when they are running out of material.
Another factor is how true experiences can be distorted by trauma and other aftermath, it is rare to find the individual who can have experiences in this category and remember a photographic account of their experiences. There is so much uncertainty and doubt of what of one's experiences really happened and whether the details are accurate, especially those experienced in states that were anything but lucid, i.e. partially conscious, coming in and out of a conscious state, etc.
If the forum were ever to have a thread that tried to pool together all the major bits of information about everything to try and determine what the alternative research community came together to form the greatest consensus on believing has actually happened, I think the results would be quite interesting. Not just for what those bits were, but for why the community believed in them, more than some of the perhaps more outlandish or fringe bits that tend to also get mixed in.
It is of course quite impossible to believe every bit that gets told, all together they would form a very contradicting story about everything.
A gut feeling can span that entire range I was discussing in the long post, in the end there is a kind of real science to it but most people don't take it to that level. But again, the best executed tricks are the ones to watch for (unless of course pretending to fall for a trick is itself a way of accomplishing something else in the future). It always feels a bit sad when you see someone saying they are believing something by gut feeling or "resonating" with it and you have some pretty major evidence for it not being true at all. It's not always appropriate to take up the topic when they are so sure anyway, and hey, perhaps your own evidence is wrong, it's hard to be 100% sure about anything.