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Old 02-03-2010, 07:39 PM   #56
bashi
Avalon Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 214
Default Re: Swineflu : The next wave

A lot of fear mongering is possible, as long as the real facts are unknown. One significant number, which is published weekly on Fridays by the CDC is the percentual part of deaths in the overall number of deaths occurring for the previous week. This number gives a very clear indication of the direction we are heading to. The graph from last Friday is this:



You might notice that the pandemic declaration of the CDC in June 2009 is not at all based on the number of P&I deaths occurring in the USA.


I personally would not be alarmed until the graph would look something like this:



The above graph had been modified by me for demonstration purposes only.



The upcoming future graphs are likely to be available under these addresses:

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi04.htm 4th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi05.htm 5th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi06.htm 6th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi07.htm 7th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi08.htm 8th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi09.htm 9th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi10.htm 10th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi11.htm 11th week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi12.htm 12 week
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpi13.htm 13th week

You might have noticed that you have to change in these URLs only the number of the week you would like to look at.
For week XY you have an URL of

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekly...10/bigpiXY.htm

In this way you can make up your own mind, how serious the situation really might be.


.

Last edited by bashi; 02-04-2010 at 12:32 AM.
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