vericocha
21st January 2011, 22:47
I have just received this from Patrick. Can members please help in verification of the Data?
Negative Sunspots Precursor to Doomsday in 2012
Researcher Patrick Geryl and his team say: “We found virtually absolute proof that the doomsday will happen in 2012!”
For those following the current cycle, most would notice the slow ramp up of activity compared with the last 50 years. Solar Cycle 24 is at the moment the slowest ramp up since the beginning of measurements in 1755! Also other factors are not following the normal pattern. The F10.7 Flux readings are staying flat and behaving in an unusual manner. Most who read this blog know of Patrick Geryl’s prediction of Armageddon in 2012. Here you will find several warning signs... For instance, the proxy measure for sun spots (10.7 flux) has diminished by more than 50% in just 22 years...
Comparative Periods in Recent Cycles:-
Cycle 19 started Apr 1954 +23mths = March 1956 flux max 175 min 145
Cycle 20 started Oct 1964 +23mths = September 1966 flux max 146 min 89
Cycle 21 started Jun 1976 +23mths = May 1978 flux max 183 min 130
Cycle 22 started Sep 1986 +23mths = August 1988 flux max 195 min 115
Cycle 23 started May 1996 +23mths = April 1998 flux max 142 min 89
Cycle 24 started Dec 2008 +23mths = November 2010 flux max 92 min 78 (to date)
The Ten Centimetre Solar Radio Flux
The radio emission from the sun at a wavelength of 10.7 centimetres (often called "the 10 cm flux") has been found to correlate well with the sunspot number. Sunspot number is defined from counts of the number of individual sunspots as well as the number of sunspot groups and must be reduced to a standard scale taking into account the differences in equipment and techniques between observatories. On the other hand, the radio flux at 10.7 centimetres can be measured relatively easily and quickly and has replaced the sunspot number as an index of solar activity for many purposes.
The 10 cm flux can be used as a daily index or averaged over longer periods to trace out the trends in solar activity. Typically the 10 cm flux is averaged over a month or a year although sometimes a 90 day average is made.
Even though 10 cm flux and sunspot number both indicate activity they have quite different scales. This is evident in the figure where the 10 cm flux never drops below a value of approximately 67 even during solar minimum when the sunspot number is very close to zero.
KUN JE DE 2 LAATSE FOTOS ERAF DOEN,? Dus alleen sunspot number overhouden
Negative Sunspots
Not only the Solar Flux is down, but also something else has emerged that will have a large impact on Solar Cycle 24 and on our civilization. There is a new wave of Alpha/Unipolar sunspots that behave quite differently from the norm. Patrick calls them Negative Sunspots.
In June,July and August 2010 we have witnessed 4 single spots: 1084, 1092, 1093 and 1101.
These dark single spot (alpha) regions are very different to the regions we saw in the first three months of this year when activity was high. Three of the Negative Sunspots began life in a normal magnetic state with their polarity showing the normal pattern. But as they progressed across the face the polarity slowly reversed, ultimately evolving into fully reversed polarity regions.
Another feature of these unusual Negative Sunspots is the associated F10.7 Flux and Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) readings. These spots show little, if any, flare activity and what looks to be occurring is a reduction in F10.7 output when the Negative Spots dominate.
The solar magnetic cycle that flips polarity at the poles approximately every 11 years is dependent on the reversing flux from spent sunspots that migrate to the poles. During this cycle we are already seeing low sunspot activity as well as an increase in the speck ratio. Now we are seeing Negative Sunspots that will continue to erode the power of solar cycle 24.
.
All four Negative sunspots have followed the same pattern on the magnetogram. All four spots started with the black area leading the white, by the meridian the black area completely dominates the white area covering it completely. As the spots move off the face the polarity is reversed with the white area leading, but here's the kicker. One of these spots is in the southern hemisphere. So the northern hemisphere spots started in their correct configuration and changed polarity to finish reversed. 1084 in the south began life in reversed polarity (the dominate area should be white) only to correct itself as it was leaving.
Consistent with Maya Prediction
Negative Sunspot 1084 appeared on June 26 in the Southern Hemisphere, but we are not sure it is a real Negative Sunspot... Because we have found that the Northern Hemisphere is dominant in this cycle, we don’t pay much attention to the Negative Sunspots in the Southern Hemisphere.
The Maya Calculated a Date For the Start of a Change in the Magnetic Field of the Sun
Patrick Geryl wrote in his book The World Cataclysm in 2012 about his discovery that the Mayas used the sunspot theory to count down to December 21, 2012. According to their calculations, the magnetic field of the sun would start changing at 10 bits of 87.45 days before the end. When subtracting 874.5 (10 times 87.45) days from December 21, 2012 we end up at July 30- 31, 2010. On August 1st, 2010 a complex eruption took place on the sun, indicating changes to the magnetic field of the Sun. Patrick had shared this calculated prediction in his book The World cataclysm in 2012 on page 203 or page 163 (depending printing), yet not published it on his website.
Here is an extract:
I plunged into the numbers and immediately found the most peculiar series I had seen up to now. Bit 16,071 was equal to zero. The previous and the next bit (16,070 and 16,072) had an equal value: 44.7116 degrees. After having found this, I remembered a similar series of the tenth cycle and thereupon I revealed the following extremely peculiar series:
16,061 = 16,081 = 87.1159
16,062 = 16,080 = 42.2043
16,063 = 16,079 = 2.3073
16,064 = 16,078 = 47.0189
16,065 = 16,077 = 91.7304
16,066 = 16,076 = 223.5580
16,067 = 16,075 = 181.1536
16,068 = 16,074 = 225.8652
16,069 = 16,073 = 89.4232
16,070 = 16,072 = 44.7116
16,071 = 0
In other words, bit 16,071 was equal to zero = December 21, 2012. And the previous ten as well as the ten afterwards were each other’s mirror image! The opposite equal values! Or the opposite, seen from bit 16,071! With it the reversal took place at the zero point!
The magnetic field was changing here! I had found it!! This was without any doubt the ultimate solution of a long searched-for riddle!
Cycle Number 10
August 1: Complex Eruption on Predicted Maya Date
It started on July 29... When Negative Sunspot 1092 appeared on the Sun (Northern Hemisphere). This dark single spot region was never seen before by science... It “eats” the Solar Flux and changes polarity while going around the Sun..!
And bit number 10 from the Maya went into action... Negative Sunspot 1092 erupted on the calculated Maya date for the start of the reversal of the magnetic field of the sun!
On August 1st, Negative Sunspot 1092 and the entire Earth-facing side of the sun erupted in a tumult of activity. There was a C3-class solar flare, a solar tsunami, multiple filaments of magnetism lifting off the stellar surface,
large-scale shaking of the solar corona, radio bursts, a coronal mass ejection and more.
The movie recorded by extreme UV cameras onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory shows an enormous magnetic filament breaking away from the sun. Some of the breakaway material is now en route to Earth in the form of a coronal mass ejection (CME).
Seeing the sun erupt on such a global scale has galvanized the international community of solar physicists. Researchers are still sorting out the complex sequence of events and trying to understand why they all happened at once.
On August 4 we witnessed Negative Sunspot 1093 (Northern Hemisphere) . 1093 was classified bipolar on entry which then morphed back to a unipolar structure briefly, 1093 then showed retrospective tendencies splitting in two producing an M class flare and C class flares joining with region 1099. On balance 1093 cannot be considered a negative sunspot. There are a few factors to consider but there is a real chance the weak Alpha type spots may actually diminish the F10.7 Flux & EUV values, this is a difficult area to be precise with and will require future data to establish a clear trend.
On August 25 Negative Sunspot number 1101 appeared (Northern Hemisphere)
Technical Details
Links to SDO animations:
Early 1101 (warning 16Mb)
Late 1101 (warning 16Mb)
The other notable anomaly is the F10.7 Flux levels during these events. Normally the Flux levels are a good general indicator of solar activity, but it has been observed that the F10.7 Flux levels have actually decreased while the Negative Sunspots have appeared and grown. 1084 appeared after a short spotless run; the adjusted high flux reading prior to rotating onto the face was 77.2 after two days it had dropped to 75.5. The reading fluctuated around 75 before dropping further to 74.6 before rotating off the face. The next day was spotless but the flux reading jumped up to 78.3, there was a new plage region that day which proved stronger than the Negative Spot. The following day a weak normal region (1087 with associated plage) moved onto the face pushing the flux reading up to 84.7; the net affect of 1084 was negative. Several weeks later 1092 and 1093 were on the face at the same time along with some large groups and plage areas making it hard to see the influence of the Negative Spots, but the current 1101 region is a different story. 1101 rotated onto the face after an 8 day spotless run (not counting minor specks); the starting point was a high of 76.3. Over the next seven days the reading gradually declined to 73.3, all while 1101 grows larger and darker. On the eighth day a new very small normal region (1102) appeared which immediately sent the reading to 75.4. Something is surely not right here? The F10.7 values are recorded for the day before in each case, but this takes nothing away from the decline observed.
Another Global Eruption in September
In September we noticed Negative Sunspots 1106 and 1108 in the Southern Hemisphere on September 12 and 17 respectively
Another global eruption in the Northern (opposite from the sunspots!) Hemisphere took place on September 22, while the 2 Negative Sunspots where still visible...
GLOBAL ERUPTION:
This morning between 0230 UT and 0600 UT, the northern hemisphere of the sun erupted in a tumult of activity. At least two dark magnetic filaments became unstable and lifted off the stellar surface, a B8-class solar flare flashed from sunspot 1109, and a bright coronal mass ejection billowed into space (SOHO movie). Click on the image to play a time-lapse movie from Solar Dynamics Observatory--and pay attention to the circled regions:
The eruption is reminiscent of the global event of August 1st, which hurled a CME toward Earth and sparked Northern Lights in the United States as far south as Iowa. This time, however, the CME will miss Earth (unless it veers off course) so there should be no resulting geostorms.
Unipolar Sunspot Count Cycle Number 10
Total count of Unipolar sunspots for cycle number 10: 6
Northern Hemisphere : 1092, 1093, 1101
Southern Hemisphere: 1084, 1106, 1108
Cycle Number 9
Maya Date of October 27
Because of the eruption on August 1, we predicted another one on October 27, following a regular cycle of 87 days... Before this date 2 Negative Sunspots appeared:
1113 on October 14 (Northern Hemisphere) and was visible till October 25 (it then turned to the invisible side of the sun)
1115 on October 16 (Southern Hemisphere) and was visible till October 27 (it then turned to the invisible side of the sun)
There where several eruptions from October 23 till early October 28. However the satellites where down for several hours on October 23, 24 and 25...
Complex Negative Sunspot 1117
Complex Negative Sunspot 1117 appeared on October 20 (Northern Hemisphere).
The Unipolar regions continue to dominate. Region 1117 has produced another negative sunspot that now technically classifies the region as bipolar but as can be seen on the SDO we see the familiar magnetic structure that emits MMF with its flux eating capabilities. This complex Negative Sunspot will appear again on the next Maya date!
1117 had its biggest structure on October 27 with a sunspot number of 74. Right on the Mayan date!
A BIG SUNSPOT GETS BIGGER:
Behemoth sunspot 1117 is not merely growing, it is transmogrifying. Click on the image to launch a two-day movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (8 MB):
Since yesterday, the shape-shifting sunspot has developed a "beta-gamma" magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. Any such eruptions will likely be geoeffective because the sunspot is almost-squarely facing Earth. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor developments.
There where several eruptions from October 26 till early October 28, but not from sunspot 1117
We watched these happenings... 4 Solar outbursts starting late October 26 till late October 27... Massive Solar Prominences on October 27
GIANT SUN TWISTER:
Earlier today (Oct. 28th) a twisted filament of magnetism on the sun suddenly untwisted. The result was a spectacular eruption recorded in full-disk detail by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory. Click on the image to set the scene in motion:
Movie formats: 8 MB gif, 3 MB gif, 1.7 MB iPad, 0.7 MB iPhone
At its peak, the twister--or rather, untwister--towered more than 350,000 km above the stellar surface. It appears to have hurled a fragment of itself into space, but not toward Earth; the blast was not geoeffective.
New Unipolar sunspots appeared on the following dates:
1127 on November 16 (Northern Hemisphere) and was visible till November 28
In December we noticed Negative Sunspots 1131 and 1133 in the Northern Hemisphere on December 2 and 5 respectively
A triple eruption took place on December 12, while the 2 Negative Sunspots where still visible...
1131 was visible till December 15
1133 was visible till December 16
TRIPLE ERUPTION: Solar activity surged on Sunday, Dec. 12th, when the sun erupted three times in quick succession, hurling a trio of bright coronal mass ejections (CMEs) into space. Coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the action:
Click here to play a 9 MB gif movie
A preliminary analysis suggests that none of the CMEs will be geoeffective. The expanding clouds should miss our planet.
Are these CMEs related? According to images from NASA's twin STEREO spacecraft and the Solar Dynamics Observatory, the clouds emerged from three distinct blast sites separated by great distances. In each case, a magnetic filament erupted--one near the sun's southeastern limb (CME#1), one near the north pole (CME#2), and one on the far side of the sun (CME#3). Because all three eruptions occurred within a matter of hours, the coronagraph images suggest a single 3-lobed cloud; in fact, they are distinct CMEs.
1140 appeared on December 31 (Northern Hemisphere) and was visible till January 12
First Negative Sunspot without eruption on the sun...? Calm before the storm?
Unipolar Sunspot Count Cycle Number 9
Total count of Unipolar sunspots for cycle number 9: 6
Northern Hemisphere : 1113, 1127, 1131, 1133, 1140
Southern Hemisphere: 1115
Cycle Number 8
Maya date of January 22
Complex Negative Sunspot 1147
It started as a beta configuration...!p are
January 13, 2011
FARSIDE ERUPTION: An active region on the far side of the sun erupted this morning, hurling a bright CME into space. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) saw the cloud emerging over the sun's eastern limb:
Update: Click here to make the cloud expand
NASA's STEREO-B spacecraft happens to be stationed almost directly over the blast site. The spacecraft's extreme UV telescope caught the explosion from the beginning; this movie shows the eruption and the shadowy shock wave it propelled through the sun's atmosphere.
The source of this activity, probably a big sunspot, is on the farside of the sun now, but won't remain there. The sun's rotation is turning it toward Earth. Geoeffective solar activity could commence within days. Stay tuned.
Turn your cell phone into a field-tested satellite tracker. Works for Android and iPhone.
Satellite flybys
January 14, 2011
FARSIDE ACTIVITY CONTINUES: For the second day in a row, an active region on the far side of the sun is exploding and hurling CMEs into space. Click on the image to view a movie of the latest:
Today's eruption was almost as dramatic as yesterday's, and suggests that more eruptions are in the offing.
January 21, 2011
1147 Is behaving unusual. I have superimposed the continuum record to isolate the magnetic influence involved. The major spot is formed by both negative and positive areas with the majority of action happening within the same polarity. I can see a lone unipolar spot reducing radio and EUV flux while other speck regions do their thing...
SDO Sunspot
SUNSPOT ACTIVITY: A rash of small spots is rapidly emerging near the main core of sunspot group 1147, and this could herald an increase in solar activity. Click on the image, below, to launch a 9 MB movie from Solar Dynamics Observatory:
The reason this rash is interesting has to do with its magnetic characteristics. It is an evolving jumble of magnetic polarities, with positive (+) pressing against negative (-) in many places. These are favorable condition for magnetic reconnection and solar flares. researchers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor the region for further developments.
Conclusion:
The Negative Sunspots Dominate the Maya Predictions and Calculations
To conclude: Cycles 10, 9 and 8 where spot on... And we are sure the other cycles are on the Mayan Track to Armageddon in december 2012....
We expect COMPLEX Negative Sunspots to appear before these dates. There is a high chance for complex eruptions (if the sunspots are not too big and in the Northern Hemisphere, because this seems to counteract this effect) on the calculated dates....
7 Tuesday, April 19, 2011
6 Friday, July 15, 2011
5 Tuesday, October 11, 2011
4 Friday, January 6, 2012
3 Tuesday, April 3, 2012
2 Friday, June 29, 2012
1 Wednesday, September 26, 2012
0 Thursday, December 20, 2012 = Armageddon
Negative Sunspots Precursor to Doomsday in 2012
Researcher Patrick Geryl and his team say: “We found virtually absolute proof that the doomsday will happen in 2012!”
For those following the current cycle, most would notice the slow ramp up of activity compared with the last 50 years. Solar Cycle 24 is at the moment the slowest ramp up since the beginning of measurements in 1755! Also other factors are not following the normal pattern. The F10.7 Flux readings are staying flat and behaving in an unusual manner. Most who read this blog know of Patrick Geryl’s prediction of Armageddon in 2012. Here you will find several warning signs... For instance, the proxy measure for sun spots (10.7 flux) has diminished by more than 50% in just 22 years...
Comparative Periods in Recent Cycles:-
Cycle 19 started Apr 1954 +23mths = March 1956 flux max 175 min 145
Cycle 20 started Oct 1964 +23mths = September 1966 flux max 146 min 89
Cycle 21 started Jun 1976 +23mths = May 1978 flux max 183 min 130
Cycle 22 started Sep 1986 +23mths = August 1988 flux max 195 min 115
Cycle 23 started May 1996 +23mths = April 1998 flux max 142 min 89
Cycle 24 started Dec 2008 +23mths = November 2010 flux max 92 min 78 (to date)
The Ten Centimetre Solar Radio Flux
The radio emission from the sun at a wavelength of 10.7 centimetres (often called "the 10 cm flux") has been found to correlate well with the sunspot number. Sunspot number is defined from counts of the number of individual sunspots as well as the number of sunspot groups and must be reduced to a standard scale taking into account the differences in equipment and techniques between observatories. On the other hand, the radio flux at 10.7 centimetres can be measured relatively easily and quickly and has replaced the sunspot number as an index of solar activity for many purposes.
The 10 cm flux can be used as a daily index or averaged over longer periods to trace out the trends in solar activity. Typically the 10 cm flux is averaged over a month or a year although sometimes a 90 day average is made.
Even though 10 cm flux and sunspot number both indicate activity they have quite different scales. This is evident in the figure where the 10 cm flux never drops below a value of approximately 67 even during solar minimum when the sunspot number is very close to zero.
KUN JE DE 2 LAATSE FOTOS ERAF DOEN,? Dus alleen sunspot number overhouden
Negative Sunspots
Not only the Solar Flux is down, but also something else has emerged that will have a large impact on Solar Cycle 24 and on our civilization. There is a new wave of Alpha/Unipolar sunspots that behave quite differently from the norm. Patrick calls them Negative Sunspots.
In June,July and August 2010 we have witnessed 4 single spots: 1084, 1092, 1093 and 1101.
These dark single spot (alpha) regions are very different to the regions we saw in the first three months of this year when activity was high. Three of the Negative Sunspots began life in a normal magnetic state with their polarity showing the normal pattern. But as they progressed across the face the polarity slowly reversed, ultimately evolving into fully reversed polarity regions.
Another feature of these unusual Negative Sunspots is the associated F10.7 Flux and Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) readings. These spots show little, if any, flare activity and what looks to be occurring is a reduction in F10.7 output when the Negative Spots dominate.
The solar magnetic cycle that flips polarity at the poles approximately every 11 years is dependent on the reversing flux from spent sunspots that migrate to the poles. During this cycle we are already seeing low sunspot activity as well as an increase in the speck ratio. Now we are seeing Negative Sunspots that will continue to erode the power of solar cycle 24.
.
All four Negative sunspots have followed the same pattern on the magnetogram. All four spots started with the black area leading the white, by the meridian the black area completely dominates the white area covering it completely. As the spots move off the face the polarity is reversed with the white area leading, but here's the kicker. One of these spots is in the southern hemisphere. So the northern hemisphere spots started in their correct configuration and changed polarity to finish reversed. 1084 in the south began life in reversed polarity (the dominate area should be white) only to correct itself as it was leaving.
Consistent with Maya Prediction
Negative Sunspot 1084 appeared on June 26 in the Southern Hemisphere, but we are not sure it is a real Negative Sunspot... Because we have found that the Northern Hemisphere is dominant in this cycle, we don’t pay much attention to the Negative Sunspots in the Southern Hemisphere.
The Maya Calculated a Date For the Start of a Change in the Magnetic Field of the Sun
Patrick Geryl wrote in his book The World Cataclysm in 2012 about his discovery that the Mayas used the sunspot theory to count down to December 21, 2012. According to their calculations, the magnetic field of the sun would start changing at 10 bits of 87.45 days before the end. When subtracting 874.5 (10 times 87.45) days from December 21, 2012 we end up at July 30- 31, 2010. On August 1st, 2010 a complex eruption took place on the sun, indicating changes to the magnetic field of the Sun. Patrick had shared this calculated prediction in his book The World cataclysm in 2012 on page 203 or page 163 (depending printing), yet not published it on his website.
Here is an extract:
I plunged into the numbers and immediately found the most peculiar series I had seen up to now. Bit 16,071 was equal to zero. The previous and the next bit (16,070 and 16,072) had an equal value: 44.7116 degrees. After having found this, I remembered a similar series of the tenth cycle and thereupon I revealed the following extremely peculiar series:
16,061 = 16,081 = 87.1159
16,062 = 16,080 = 42.2043
16,063 = 16,079 = 2.3073
16,064 = 16,078 = 47.0189
16,065 = 16,077 = 91.7304
16,066 = 16,076 = 223.5580
16,067 = 16,075 = 181.1536
16,068 = 16,074 = 225.8652
16,069 = 16,073 = 89.4232
16,070 = 16,072 = 44.7116
16,071 = 0
In other words, bit 16,071 was equal to zero = December 21, 2012. And the previous ten as well as the ten afterwards were each other’s mirror image! The opposite equal values! Or the opposite, seen from bit 16,071! With it the reversal took place at the zero point!
The magnetic field was changing here! I had found it!! This was without any doubt the ultimate solution of a long searched-for riddle!
Cycle Number 10
August 1: Complex Eruption on Predicted Maya Date
It started on July 29... When Negative Sunspot 1092 appeared on the Sun (Northern Hemisphere). This dark single spot region was never seen before by science... It “eats” the Solar Flux and changes polarity while going around the Sun..!
And bit number 10 from the Maya went into action... Negative Sunspot 1092 erupted on the calculated Maya date for the start of the reversal of the magnetic field of the sun!
On August 1st, Negative Sunspot 1092 and the entire Earth-facing side of the sun erupted in a tumult of activity. There was a C3-class solar flare, a solar tsunami, multiple filaments of magnetism lifting off the stellar surface,
large-scale shaking of the solar corona, radio bursts, a coronal mass ejection and more.
The movie recorded by extreme UV cameras onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory shows an enormous magnetic filament breaking away from the sun. Some of the breakaway material is now en route to Earth in the form of a coronal mass ejection (CME).
Seeing the sun erupt on such a global scale has galvanized the international community of solar physicists. Researchers are still sorting out the complex sequence of events and trying to understand why they all happened at once.
On August 4 we witnessed Negative Sunspot 1093 (Northern Hemisphere) . 1093 was classified bipolar on entry which then morphed back to a unipolar structure briefly, 1093 then showed retrospective tendencies splitting in two producing an M class flare and C class flares joining with region 1099. On balance 1093 cannot be considered a negative sunspot. There are a few factors to consider but there is a real chance the weak Alpha type spots may actually diminish the F10.7 Flux & EUV values, this is a difficult area to be precise with and will require future data to establish a clear trend.
On August 25 Negative Sunspot number 1101 appeared (Northern Hemisphere)
Technical Details
Links to SDO animations:
Early 1101 (warning 16Mb)
Late 1101 (warning 16Mb)
The other notable anomaly is the F10.7 Flux levels during these events. Normally the Flux levels are a good general indicator of solar activity, but it has been observed that the F10.7 Flux levels have actually decreased while the Negative Sunspots have appeared and grown. 1084 appeared after a short spotless run; the adjusted high flux reading prior to rotating onto the face was 77.2 after two days it had dropped to 75.5. The reading fluctuated around 75 before dropping further to 74.6 before rotating off the face. The next day was spotless but the flux reading jumped up to 78.3, there was a new plage region that day which proved stronger than the Negative Spot. The following day a weak normal region (1087 with associated plage) moved onto the face pushing the flux reading up to 84.7; the net affect of 1084 was negative. Several weeks later 1092 and 1093 were on the face at the same time along with some large groups and plage areas making it hard to see the influence of the Negative Spots, but the current 1101 region is a different story. 1101 rotated onto the face after an 8 day spotless run (not counting minor specks); the starting point was a high of 76.3. Over the next seven days the reading gradually declined to 73.3, all while 1101 grows larger and darker. On the eighth day a new very small normal region (1102) appeared which immediately sent the reading to 75.4. Something is surely not right here? The F10.7 values are recorded for the day before in each case, but this takes nothing away from the decline observed.
Another Global Eruption in September
In September we noticed Negative Sunspots 1106 and 1108 in the Southern Hemisphere on September 12 and 17 respectively
Another global eruption in the Northern (opposite from the sunspots!) Hemisphere took place on September 22, while the 2 Negative Sunspots where still visible...
GLOBAL ERUPTION:
This morning between 0230 UT and 0600 UT, the northern hemisphere of the sun erupted in a tumult of activity. At least two dark magnetic filaments became unstable and lifted off the stellar surface, a B8-class solar flare flashed from sunspot 1109, and a bright coronal mass ejection billowed into space (SOHO movie). Click on the image to play a time-lapse movie from Solar Dynamics Observatory--and pay attention to the circled regions:
The eruption is reminiscent of the global event of August 1st, which hurled a CME toward Earth and sparked Northern Lights in the United States as far south as Iowa. This time, however, the CME will miss Earth (unless it veers off course) so there should be no resulting geostorms.
Unipolar Sunspot Count Cycle Number 10
Total count of Unipolar sunspots for cycle number 10: 6
Northern Hemisphere : 1092, 1093, 1101
Southern Hemisphere: 1084, 1106, 1108
Cycle Number 9
Maya Date of October 27
Because of the eruption on August 1, we predicted another one on October 27, following a regular cycle of 87 days... Before this date 2 Negative Sunspots appeared:
1113 on October 14 (Northern Hemisphere) and was visible till October 25 (it then turned to the invisible side of the sun)
1115 on October 16 (Southern Hemisphere) and was visible till October 27 (it then turned to the invisible side of the sun)
There where several eruptions from October 23 till early October 28. However the satellites where down for several hours on October 23, 24 and 25...
Complex Negative Sunspot 1117
Complex Negative Sunspot 1117 appeared on October 20 (Northern Hemisphere).
The Unipolar regions continue to dominate. Region 1117 has produced another negative sunspot that now technically classifies the region as bipolar but as can be seen on the SDO we see the familiar magnetic structure that emits MMF with its flux eating capabilities. This complex Negative Sunspot will appear again on the next Maya date!
1117 had its biggest structure on October 27 with a sunspot number of 74. Right on the Mayan date!
A BIG SUNSPOT GETS BIGGER:
Behemoth sunspot 1117 is not merely growing, it is transmogrifying. Click on the image to launch a two-day movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (8 MB):
Since yesterday, the shape-shifting sunspot has developed a "beta-gamma" magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. Any such eruptions will likely be geoeffective because the sunspot is almost-squarely facing Earth. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor developments.
There where several eruptions from October 26 till early October 28, but not from sunspot 1117
We watched these happenings... 4 Solar outbursts starting late October 26 till late October 27... Massive Solar Prominences on October 27
GIANT SUN TWISTER:
Earlier today (Oct. 28th) a twisted filament of magnetism on the sun suddenly untwisted. The result was a spectacular eruption recorded in full-disk detail by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory. Click on the image to set the scene in motion:
Movie formats: 8 MB gif, 3 MB gif, 1.7 MB iPad, 0.7 MB iPhone
At its peak, the twister--or rather, untwister--towered more than 350,000 km above the stellar surface. It appears to have hurled a fragment of itself into space, but not toward Earth; the blast was not geoeffective.
New Unipolar sunspots appeared on the following dates:
1127 on November 16 (Northern Hemisphere) and was visible till November 28
In December we noticed Negative Sunspots 1131 and 1133 in the Northern Hemisphere on December 2 and 5 respectively
A triple eruption took place on December 12, while the 2 Negative Sunspots where still visible...
1131 was visible till December 15
1133 was visible till December 16
TRIPLE ERUPTION: Solar activity surged on Sunday, Dec. 12th, when the sun erupted three times in quick succession, hurling a trio of bright coronal mass ejections (CMEs) into space. Coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the action:
Click here to play a 9 MB gif movie
A preliminary analysis suggests that none of the CMEs will be geoeffective. The expanding clouds should miss our planet.
Are these CMEs related? According to images from NASA's twin STEREO spacecraft and the Solar Dynamics Observatory, the clouds emerged from three distinct blast sites separated by great distances. In each case, a magnetic filament erupted--one near the sun's southeastern limb (CME#1), one near the north pole (CME#2), and one on the far side of the sun (CME#3). Because all three eruptions occurred within a matter of hours, the coronagraph images suggest a single 3-lobed cloud; in fact, they are distinct CMEs.
1140 appeared on December 31 (Northern Hemisphere) and was visible till January 12
First Negative Sunspot without eruption on the sun...? Calm before the storm?
Unipolar Sunspot Count Cycle Number 9
Total count of Unipolar sunspots for cycle number 9: 6
Northern Hemisphere : 1113, 1127, 1131, 1133, 1140
Southern Hemisphere: 1115
Cycle Number 8
Maya date of January 22
Complex Negative Sunspot 1147
It started as a beta configuration...!p are
January 13, 2011
FARSIDE ERUPTION: An active region on the far side of the sun erupted this morning, hurling a bright CME into space. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) saw the cloud emerging over the sun's eastern limb:
Update: Click here to make the cloud expand
NASA's STEREO-B spacecraft happens to be stationed almost directly over the blast site. The spacecraft's extreme UV telescope caught the explosion from the beginning; this movie shows the eruption and the shadowy shock wave it propelled through the sun's atmosphere.
The source of this activity, probably a big sunspot, is on the farside of the sun now, but won't remain there. The sun's rotation is turning it toward Earth. Geoeffective solar activity could commence within days. Stay tuned.
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Satellite flybys
January 14, 2011
FARSIDE ACTIVITY CONTINUES: For the second day in a row, an active region on the far side of the sun is exploding and hurling CMEs into space. Click on the image to view a movie of the latest:
Today's eruption was almost as dramatic as yesterday's, and suggests that more eruptions are in the offing.
January 21, 2011
1147 Is behaving unusual. I have superimposed the continuum record to isolate the magnetic influence involved. The major spot is formed by both negative and positive areas with the majority of action happening within the same polarity. I can see a lone unipolar spot reducing radio and EUV flux while other speck regions do their thing...
SDO Sunspot
SUNSPOT ACTIVITY: A rash of small spots is rapidly emerging near the main core of sunspot group 1147, and this could herald an increase in solar activity. Click on the image, below, to launch a 9 MB movie from Solar Dynamics Observatory:
The reason this rash is interesting has to do with its magnetic characteristics. It is an evolving jumble of magnetic polarities, with positive (+) pressing against negative (-) in many places. These are favorable condition for magnetic reconnection and solar flares. researchers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor the region for further developments.
Conclusion:
The Negative Sunspots Dominate the Maya Predictions and Calculations
To conclude: Cycles 10, 9 and 8 where spot on... And we are sure the other cycles are on the Mayan Track to Armageddon in december 2012....
We expect COMPLEX Negative Sunspots to appear before these dates. There is a high chance for complex eruptions (if the sunspots are not too big and in the Northern Hemisphere, because this seems to counteract this effect) on the calculated dates....
7 Tuesday, April 19, 2011
6 Friday, July 15, 2011
5 Tuesday, October 11, 2011
4 Friday, January 6, 2012
3 Tuesday, April 3, 2012
2 Friday, June 29, 2012
1 Wednesday, September 26, 2012
0 Thursday, December 20, 2012 = Armageddon