MorningSong
19th April 2010, 21:19
Hello Folks! I have some interesting info to throw at you. I am not a scientist instructed to deceifer the data that I wish to share with you. I'm just going on comparison and reason, and a lot of instinct.
For some time I have been monitoring the effects of Solar Wind in relation to earthquakes and I have stumbled onto something interesting.
Did any of you hear about the day Solar Wind disappeared? Well, it did from December 10-12, 1999.
Please look at this article:
http://www.solarviews.com/eng/sunpr1.htm
Please notice that the solar wind speed was mostly normal but proton/electon density dropped drastically in a very short period of time.
>”This severe change in the solar wind also changed the shape of Earth's magnetic field and produced an unusual auroral display at the North Pole.”<
>”Starting late on May 10 and continuing through the early hours of May 12, NASA's ACE and Wind spacecraft each observed that the density of the solar wind dropped by more than 98%. Because of the decrease, energetic electrons from the Sun were able to flow to Earth in narrow beams, known as the strahl. Under normal conditions, electrons from the Sun are diluted, mixed, and redirected in interplanetary space and by Earth's magnetic field (the magnetosphere). But in May 1999, several satellites detected electrons arriving at Earth with properties similar to those of electrons in the Sun's corona, suggesting that they were a direct sample of particles from the Sun.
"This event provides a window to see the Sun's corona directly," said Dr. Keith Ogilvie, project scientist for NASA's Wind spacecraft and a space physicist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland. "The beams from the corona do not get broken up or scattered as they do under normal circumstances, and the temperature of the electrons is very similar to their original state on the Sun."
Fourteen years ago, Scudder and Dr. Don Fairfield of Goddard predicted the details of an event such as occurred on May 11, saying that it would produce an intense "polar rain" of electrons over one of the polar caps of Earth. The polar caps typically do not receive enough energetic electrons to produce visible aurora. But in an intense polar rain event, Scudder and Fairfield theorized, the "strahl" electrons would flow unimpeded along the Sun's magnetic field lines to Earth and precipitate directly into the polar caps, inside the normal auroral oval. Such a polar rain event was observed for the first time in May when Polar detected a steady glow over the North Pole in X-ray images.”<
>”As the solar wind dissipates on May 11, 1999, the magnetosphere and bow shock around Earth expand to five times their normal size. The aurora, which usually forms ovals around Earth's poles, fills in over the northern polar cap.
According to observations from the ACE spacecraft, the density of helium in the solar wind dropped to less than 0.1% of its normal value, and heavier ions, held back by the Sun's gravity, apparently could not escape from the Sun at all. Data from NASA's SAMPEX spacecraft reveal that in the wake of this event, Earth's outer electron radiation belts dissipated and were severely depleted for several months afterward.”<
Is the same thing happening right now?
This is a 7-day graph of Solar Wind data from today, 19 April, 2010. Notice the “Density” data and how low it has been since the 17th of April.
http://projectavalon.net/forum4/attachment.php?attachmentid=721
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_7d.html
Here you can see the polar cap and it's spectacular aurora of '99:
http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/1999/ast13dec99_1/
Now take a look at today's images of the aurora:
Northern Hemisphere: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapN.html
And here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004191736N19.html
Southern Hemisphere: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapS.html
And here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004191827S19.html
Notice how off-center the southern aurora is. I do not know why this is, but it has been pretty stationary for days.
Just to compare, here is the Northern Hemisphere aurora on the 16th:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004160003N18.html
And for the Southern Hemisphere also on the 16th:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004160055S18.html
I have been watching this intensely since the first of March. The aurora in closing up and this is a symptom of slowing Solar Wind. I don't know if it will continue. We will have to wait and see.
But what does this mean to us here on earth?
>”Dropping to a fraction of its normal density and to half its normal speed, the solar wind died down enough to allow physicists to observe particles flowing directly from the Sun's corona to Earth. This severe change in the solar wind also changed the shape of Earth's magnetic field and produced an unusual auroral display at the North Pole.”<
>”Earth's outer electron radiation belts dissipated and were severely depleted for several months afterward.”<
My hypothesis is this: if we were to get a CME or sudden burst of Solar Wind from a Coronal Hole, Earth is and will be more effected because of the weakened magnapause which gets its repelling ionic charge from a normal flow of solar plasma in Solar Wind, that which ha diminished right now.
Now for the “good” news:
Two huge Coronal Holes formed today. The solar wind burst should reach Earth on the 22nd.
The “bad” news:
A huge solar flare was recorded just before midnight on the 18th. When is the next one and will it hit Earth while the magnetopause is weakened?
Watch the magnetopause here: http://pixie.spasci.com/DynMod/
I admit that nowhere have I seen recent reports on an event similar to 1999 happening right now. I have only compared the event in 1999 to what I can see today. Fool or prophet, I may be right or I may be wrong.
I am still investigating this unusual event in 1999. I will be keeping an eye on the actual data, too.
All comments are more than welcome.
For some time I have been monitoring the effects of Solar Wind in relation to earthquakes and I have stumbled onto something interesting.
Did any of you hear about the day Solar Wind disappeared? Well, it did from December 10-12, 1999.
Please look at this article:
http://www.solarviews.com/eng/sunpr1.htm
Please notice that the solar wind speed was mostly normal but proton/electon density dropped drastically in a very short period of time.
>”This severe change in the solar wind also changed the shape of Earth's magnetic field and produced an unusual auroral display at the North Pole.”<
>”Starting late on May 10 and continuing through the early hours of May 12, NASA's ACE and Wind spacecraft each observed that the density of the solar wind dropped by more than 98%. Because of the decrease, energetic electrons from the Sun were able to flow to Earth in narrow beams, known as the strahl. Under normal conditions, electrons from the Sun are diluted, mixed, and redirected in interplanetary space and by Earth's magnetic field (the magnetosphere). But in May 1999, several satellites detected electrons arriving at Earth with properties similar to those of electrons in the Sun's corona, suggesting that they were a direct sample of particles from the Sun.
"This event provides a window to see the Sun's corona directly," said Dr. Keith Ogilvie, project scientist for NASA's Wind spacecraft and a space physicist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland. "The beams from the corona do not get broken up or scattered as they do under normal circumstances, and the temperature of the electrons is very similar to their original state on the Sun."
Fourteen years ago, Scudder and Dr. Don Fairfield of Goddard predicted the details of an event such as occurred on May 11, saying that it would produce an intense "polar rain" of electrons over one of the polar caps of Earth. The polar caps typically do not receive enough energetic electrons to produce visible aurora. But in an intense polar rain event, Scudder and Fairfield theorized, the "strahl" electrons would flow unimpeded along the Sun's magnetic field lines to Earth and precipitate directly into the polar caps, inside the normal auroral oval. Such a polar rain event was observed for the first time in May when Polar detected a steady glow over the North Pole in X-ray images.”<
>”As the solar wind dissipates on May 11, 1999, the magnetosphere and bow shock around Earth expand to five times their normal size. The aurora, which usually forms ovals around Earth's poles, fills in over the northern polar cap.
According to observations from the ACE spacecraft, the density of helium in the solar wind dropped to less than 0.1% of its normal value, and heavier ions, held back by the Sun's gravity, apparently could not escape from the Sun at all. Data from NASA's SAMPEX spacecraft reveal that in the wake of this event, Earth's outer electron radiation belts dissipated and were severely depleted for several months afterward.”<
Is the same thing happening right now?
This is a 7-day graph of Solar Wind data from today, 19 April, 2010. Notice the “Density” data and how low it has been since the 17th of April.
http://projectavalon.net/forum4/attachment.php?attachmentid=721
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_7d.html
Here you can see the polar cap and it's spectacular aurora of '99:
http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/1999/ast13dec99_1/
Now take a look at today's images of the aurora:
Northern Hemisphere: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapN.html
And here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004191736N19.html
Southern Hemisphere: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapS.html
And here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004191827S19.html
Notice how off-center the southern aurora is. I do not know why this is, but it has been pretty stationary for days.
Just to compare, here is the Northern Hemisphere aurora on the 16th:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004160003N18.html
And for the Southern Hemisphere also on the 16th:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/html/201004160055S18.html
I have been watching this intensely since the first of March. The aurora in closing up and this is a symptom of slowing Solar Wind. I don't know if it will continue. We will have to wait and see.
But what does this mean to us here on earth?
>”Dropping to a fraction of its normal density and to half its normal speed, the solar wind died down enough to allow physicists to observe particles flowing directly from the Sun's corona to Earth. This severe change in the solar wind also changed the shape of Earth's magnetic field and produced an unusual auroral display at the North Pole.”<
>”Earth's outer electron radiation belts dissipated and were severely depleted for several months afterward.”<
My hypothesis is this: if we were to get a CME or sudden burst of Solar Wind from a Coronal Hole, Earth is and will be more effected because of the weakened magnapause which gets its repelling ionic charge from a normal flow of solar plasma in Solar Wind, that which ha diminished right now.
Now for the “good” news:
Two huge Coronal Holes formed today. The solar wind burst should reach Earth on the 22nd.
The “bad” news:
A huge solar flare was recorded just before midnight on the 18th. When is the next one and will it hit Earth while the magnetopause is weakened?
Watch the magnetopause here: http://pixie.spasci.com/DynMod/
I admit that nowhere have I seen recent reports on an event similar to 1999 happening right now. I have only compared the event in 1999 to what I can see today. Fool or prophet, I may be right or I may be wrong.
I am still investigating this unusual event in 1999. I will be keeping an eye on the actual data, too.
All comments are more than welcome.