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jackovesk
16th June 2011, 09:06
Lunch with David Murray

Must Read for Aussie Avalonians

PUBLISHED : 10 Jun 2011

http://www.afr.com.au/rf/image_lowres/2009-2014/AFR/2011/06/10/Photos/61b5f96a-932d-11e0-99cf-30a8218dc4a1__V2F6481--646x300.jpg
If the Future Fund is not able to comment then the Future Fund is not independent, says David Murray.

Colleen Ryan Journalist

For five years David Murray, as chairman of the Future Fund, has been charged with managing $71 billion of Australian taxpayers’ money. For 13 years prior to that, Murray headed up Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

During the global financial crisis, he was one of the Rudd government’s key external advisers. He made it into the top 10 in the country on The Australian Financial Review Magazine  Power List of 2009 for covert power. “The influence he exerts on the economy would be hard to overestimate,” said Power panellist Peter Mason, chairman of AMP.

But when Murray arrives for lunch with the Financial Review  at Cucinetta Ristorante in Woolwich, he was focused, albeit briefly, on the little things in life. He had just knocked the number plate off his car while parking. Not a good start. It is a glorious Sydney day, the restaurant overlooks Sydney Harbour, the water is gleaming. But Murray isn’t in the mood to relax. Lunch with Murray would be short on small talk.

We begin with a discussion of China. Murray has recently returned from Beijing.

DM: “I had just been in Shanghai. The air is getting worse,”

CR: I comment. “Serious pollution [in China] is a growing problem.” But Murray isn’t here to talk about China. He launches straight into a scientific discussion.

DM: “[Carbon dioxide] has got nothing to do with pollution.”

CR: What do you mean?

DM: “Well carbon dioxide is not a pollutant, it is colourless and odourless. It is not a pollutant.”

CR: Yes, but it is still bad for greenhouse gases?

DM: “No it isn’t. It is a tiny proportion of greenhouse gases.” So, if you believe in the warming of the planet, it is a tiny proportion of that? “There is no correlation between warming and carbon dioxide.”

CR: So if you accept the warming of the planet what should you do?

DM: “Take measures to stop the effects of it,” he declares.

CR: I try again. What about the melting of the glaciers?

DM: “They’re not. The amount of ice in the world is slightly increasing. It is not decreasing. It is just staggering, staggering. “So you call something a pollutant – which it is not, it is actually necessary for life. And then the people who don’t agree with you, you call sceptics or scumbags or doubters or something.” Argument over.

CR: Murray delivers his views in a staccato fashion. His manner brooks little opposition. Murray’s tendency to be forthright led to recent speculation that a Labor government would not reappoint him as chairman of the Future Fund. (In the event, his term was extended for one year, in a March announcement by Treasurer Wayne Swan just two weeks before Murray’s appointment was due to expire.) Murray’s performance at the Future Fund has been solid, if not spectacular. But, under the circumstances, it is hard to imagine that any Australian finance executive could have done better.

Murray was the founding chairman and instrumental in setting up Australia’s first sovereign wealth fund. Not an easy task. He and the board guided it through the global financial crisis, posting just a 4 per cent negative return in 2009 when many sovereign wealth funds around the world lost up to 20 per cent of their capital.

DM: “I just wonder if we could have survived if that had happened [to us],” Murray ponders.

CR: Last year the Future Fund returned 10.6 per cent, and in the first nine months of this year, it had an 11.3 per cent return. It has reduced its share in Telstra from the 17 per cent it began with to less than 5 per cent, without disrupting the market in the stock. And it played a front seat role in overhauling Telstra’s governance, with the departure of chief executive Sol Trujillo and chairman Donald McGauchie. Murray maintains that he did not want another five-year term as chairman, and had informed Finance Minister Penny Wong of his preference last year. But there was a change of general manager and a transitional arrangement with a further one year appointment was considered the best outcome.

His outspokenness on government policies such as the national broadband network and the mining tax was apparently not an issue. David Murray is not a humble man – but there is little evidence of hubris either. He has been too controversial a character to attract the adoration bestowed on some business greats. And he has taken some hits along the way. He seems to have taken that on board and, above all, appears to value his independence. Yet, while Murray is sensitive about his image, he apparently lacks the skills to burnish it. ‘Take me or leave me” is the implied message.

But given all that, he is actually very likeable. Warm but prickly. Smart but dogmatic. His views, whether you agree with them or not, are passionately held. Despite the critics, who claim he has been far too noisy, Murray doesn’t see the chair of the Future Fund as a platform from which to voice his views on policy.

DM: “If you look back over it I haven’t said much at all . . . there are people deliberately in the media a lot more than I am.” And the kicker: “If the Future Fund is not able to comment then the Future Fund is not independent.”

CR: Today, however, the views expressed are his own. Murray had chosen Cucinetta because it is a local favourite and close to his Hunters Hill home where he lives with his wife Stephanie and youngest child. He settled on the main course special – chicken involtini with spinach and sultanas on a bed of baby lentils. I chose the risotto special with salmon and mascarpone. A glass of wine each – Vasse Felix chardonnay – and then it was back to the big issues of the day.

CR: “The boom has been wasted,” Murray declares. Isn’t that a bit harsh when we have come out of the financial crisis quite well? Not according to Murray.

DM: “We have a boom with no discernible productivity improvement, rising indebtedness, a strong currency hurting our other export industries. There’s been no policy response of any effectiveness. The guarantee was costless. The guarantee was easy to do, should have been done, that was the right response. The rest of it, in hindsight, not necessary at all. “At any time, every council in Australia has got some shovel-ready work, they could have done some if that was the worry.” So that would have been more effective than giving taxpayers money to spend at stores? “Well half of it got spent, half of it got saved. “Ideally governments should always have some of the highest-quality long-term projects on their books ready to go – for counter-cyclical purposes or for these situations.”

CR: Do we have that now?

DM: “[B]No, because the methodology by which you determine which ones are important and which ones are not is pretty much lost on the political process.”

CR: Murray has strong views, too, on the role of the public service.

DM: “One of the best defences you can have is a highly effective public service capable of fearless advice.”

CR: And he is a strident defender of states’ rights and a believer in small government:

DM: “Under our system, the states do most things that cost money yet, since the Second World War, the Commonwealth collects most taxes including income tax . . . I would far prefer to allow the states to tax whatever they like and cause them to compete with one another to see who wants to live there and who prospers and who doesn’t. Just about everything the Commonwealth touches they waste money.”

CR: Lunch with Murray is bit like a tutorial. There is no let-up. But it is not boring either. Murray describes himself as a passionate Australian.

DM: “The reason I am passionate about [policy] is because I am a passionate Australian. My parents and grandparents were brought up in wars and depressions and I feel strongly about being able to express a point of view and being able to participate in a democracy and defend a democracy.”

CR: Murray’s grandfather lost an arm in WW1, his father spent four years in prisoner of war camps in Germany in WW2. Murray, now 62, was born in Armidale and raised on Sydney’s north shore, his father a Commonwealth Bank manager and his mother a teacher. When he left school (St Aloysius at Milsons Point) he eschewed university and joined the Lindfield branch of the Commonwealth Bank – he was to stay with the bank for 39 years, one-third of that time as chief executive. His university education (a Bachelor of Business from UTS and an MBA from Macquarie University) were mostly completed part-time, while continuing to work. In his early career he spent two years with the bank in Papua New Guinea where, as a member of the Citizens Military Force, he would re-enact WW2 battles.

Murray has been married twice and has four children ranging in age from 27 to 8. There has been some speculation that Murray has his eye on a future in politics after his term at the Future Fund is complete in April next year. Is there a grain of truth in that?

DM: “No,” Murray says firmly. “I think if you have been fortunate enough to have had a lot of great experiences then it’s useful to think about whether you can make a difference but I am a great believer in specialisation. You can criticise politics but there is a degree of politics that is required to do what politicians do and in its own funny way it is a specialised area and I don’t pretend to have any special skills in the political process. I might be able to make some contribution to policy but I haven’t been brought up in politics. “It is a different and important role but it is different. Similarly not many politicians convert to business to commerce.”

CR: But Murray is not ready to put his feet up. Come next April, when his role at the Future Fund is finished, he is headed back to the private sector –

DM: “that’s where human beings create value, that’s where it’s done every day”.

CR: On that note, lunch is over. It’s time to fix that number plate.

http://www.afr.com.au/p/national/lunch_with_david_murray_dbZ3Z3QmNQgA3nykjhOSoN

PS - Its Good to Know their are some Honest Aussies with COMMONSENSE in high places that are on our side!

Thanks for reading this...

Regards,

Jack

jackovesk
20th June 2011, 16:39
More TRUTH from David Murray!

June 21, 2011

Future Fund boss David Murray sounds warning on $500bn debt..!

FUTURE Fund chairman David Murray has urged governments to heed the lessons of the European and US sovereign debt crises as growing state and federal borrowing pushes their financial liabilities past half a trillion dollars in the new financial year.

Analysis by The Australian finds the states are forecasting their net-debt levels will surge from almost $102 billion this year to $135bn next year to help fund upgrades to rundown electricity, water and other infrastructure.

This will help push their net financial liabilities - a figure that includes liabilities for pension benefit schemes - to a record $285bn next year.

On top of this, the federal government's net debt levels will rise from $82bn this year to $107bn next year - largely to fund the budget deficit - helping to drive their liabilities from $200bn to $227bn.

The surge in debt prompted Mr Murray to warn that this could force the private sector to compete for funds as the resources sector booms.

http://resources3.news.com.au/images/2011/06/20/1226078/837343-deeper-in-the-red.jpg

"If the economy is already indebted, and terms of trade are at an all-time high, causing capacity constraints in the economy, incremental indebtedness of governments will crowd out the private sector," Mr Murray, a former Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief executive, told The Australian.

"This includes the indebtedness of both state and commonwealth governments. The lessons from Europe and the US is that high public indebtedness can lead to significant structural difficulties."

The debt crisis in Europe has forced governments to cut public services and pensions, while the US is struggling to raise the $US14.3 trillion ($13.4 trillion) debt ceiling to avoid defaulting.

Yesterday, European governments failed to agree on releasing a E12bn ($16.1bn) loan that would spare Greece from defaulting on its debt.

In Australia, the federal opposition seized on the debt crisis in the US - where a political debate is raging over its debt ceiling - to argue that Labor had stymied debate about increasing debt levels outlined in the May budget.

"The Gillard government is still borrowing $135 million a day and that combined with increased state borrowings is pushing up the price of credit and crowding out business access to finance," opposition finance spokesman Andrew Robb said.

Wayne Swan's office last night stressed that net debt was expected to peak at less than one-tenth the level of other major advanced economies and accused the opposition of "cheap politics".

Ratings agency Standard & Poor's had said recently Australia has strong finances underpinned by low public debt. :nono:

Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry director of economics and industry policy Greg Evans said the states could not "just keep on relying on the commonwealth to bail them out".

"There is fairly strongly embedded waste and inefficiency in state budgets. It's been a reform-free zone pretty much over the past decade," Mr Evans said.

The state's debt binge threatens to inflame tensions between federal Labor and Coalition states at October's tax summit.

Victorian Treasurer Kim Wells said Victoria's debt would have been less if the state had not lost $2.5bn in GST receipts. "Victoria relies for a large portion of its revenue on the vagaries of the Commonwealth Grants Commission formula, which has proven volatile and unpredictable," he said.

Queensland Treasurer Andrew Fraser said that state's debt was largely to fund infrastructure as well as the reconstruction effort after natural disasters. "We can't go on expecting the states to decrease their revenue bases as our growing population demands more in the way of infrastructure and services," he said.

Standard & Poor's associate director of corporate and government ratings, Claire Curtin, said she did not expect the states would spend as much on infrastructure as they were forecasting, partly because of capacity constraints in the economy.

The AA+-rated states of Queensland and Tasmania could still run up higher debt levels, while AAA-rated states such as Victoria and Western Australia were "still comfortably beneath our outlook triggers for negative outlook action".

Colonial First State Global Asset Management's head of investment markets research, Stephen Halmarick, said demand for government bonds would be strong because the new Basel 3 liquidity rules require banks to hold government and semi-government securities. "Australian states and the commonwealth still look in exceptionally good shape compared with other places around the world in terms of debt. It's all relative," Mr Halmarick said. :nono:

NSW has the highest net financial liabilities for the non-financial public sector - a key measure for ratings agencies that includes core government as well as trading enterprises such as utilities. These are set to rise from $94bn this year to $111bn in 2014.

NSW Treasurer Mike Baird has warned there is little room for further deterioration in the situation as net debt and unfunded superannuation liabilities could reach a point where the state's credit rating would be reviewed.

However, Mr Baird said: "We are so behind in infrastructure that we can't afford to not get on with infrastructure.".

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/future-fund-boss-david-murray-sounds-warning-on-500bn-debt/story-fn59niix-1226078857809

PS - JuLiar Gillard is following the NWO Globalists Agenda to a Tee..! We are in Big Trouble if this Fabian Socialist continues in Power!

Cjay
21st June 2011, 10:26
I can't remember a Labour government, state or federal, that has been fiscally responsible in my lifetime.