Sun Stuff: What's up!

[Rocky_Shorz]

wow, popping with the solar stream, so much for quiet...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

Earth side
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Epam_p_7d.gif?foo=1340941994
Before
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/stereo/data/impact_p_B_5m_7d.gif?foo=1340941994
After
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/stereo/data/impact_p_A_5m_7d.gif?foo=1340941994

[MorningSong]

Another M2.2 flare this moring around 9:20 UTC from sunspot 1513 (again)...

Latest fron spaceweather.com:


CHANCE OF FLARES: NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of M-class solar flares today. The likely source would be either sunspot AR1512 or AR1513. Both have 'beta-gamma' magnetic fields that harbor energy for strong flares.

Yesterday in Bispingen, Germany, amateur astronomer Cai-Uso Wohler was monitoring the sun when AR1513 erupted:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/29jun12/m2_strip.jpg

The impulsive M2-class solar flare illuminated Earth's upper atmosphere with a pulse of X-rays and extreme ultraviolet radiation. This, in turn, created a wave of ionization over Europe, which altered the propagation of low-frequency radio transmissions around the continent. Using a receiver tuned to 23 kHz, Dave Gradwell detected the disturbance over Ireland. More ionization waves are in the offing as AR1512 and AR1513 crackle with flares. Stay tuned.

[Rocky_Shorz]

From thebarcaroller:

_CPz40chqdk


in the video he said a 6.3 would be hitting the northern Hemisphere... he needs to adjust his calculator a bit, but one worth watching...

M6.3 - 99km S of Dushanzi, China
2012-06-29 21:07:32 UTC

[MorningSong]

Another M 1.6 flare today at 18:34 UTC from sunspot 1513:

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120630_1826.png

A big (triangle shaped) coronal hole has just turned earthward.... watch for more EQs.

from spaceweather.com:


ARK HOLE IN THE SUN'S ATMOSPHERE: Ultraviolet telescopes onboard NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory are monitoring a vast dark hole--a "coronal hole"--in the sun's upper atmosphere. It has just turned directly toward Earth:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/30jun12/ch_strip.jpg

Coronal holes are places where the sun's magnetic field opens up and allows the solar wind to escape. A stream of solar wind flowing from this particular gap is en route to Earth, due to arrive on July 2nd or 3rd. The impact could spark geomagnetic storms and auroras.

Keep an eye on sunspot 1515...possibility of X-flares is up to 8% chance:

http://solarmonitor.org/data/2012/06/30/pngs/saia/saia_04500_fd_20120630_150008.png

[MorningSong]

Almost X-flare, M5.6 from sunspot 1515 was observed at 10:57 UTC this morning.

...from spaceweater.com:


ALMOST X-FLARE: Big sunspot AR1515 erupted on July 2nd at 10:52 UT, producing an M5.6-class solar flare that almost crossed the threshold into X-territory. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/02jul12/m6_strip2.jpg

A pulse of x-rays and UV radiation from the flare illuminated Earth's upper atmosphere, producing waves of ionization over Europe. Such waves alter the propagation of low-frequency radio transmissions. In Lofoten, Norway, Rob Stammes recorded the ionospheric disturbance using a 60 kHz receiver: data.

The eruption also hurled a CME into space, but not directly toward Earth. The south-traveling cloud could deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetosphere on July 4th or 5th. Stay tuned for updates.

From Solarham.net:


Updated 7/2/2012 @ 15:45 UTC
M5.6 Solar Flare / CME Directed Mostly South
Gigantic Sunspot 1515 located in the southern hemisphere produced a strong M5.6 Solar Flare this morning at 10:52 UTC. This event generated a 10cm Radio Burst (TenFlare) along with a Type II Sweep Frequency Event. This region is in a great location for Earth directed explosions. More information to follow.

CME Update: The M5.6 Solar Flare from earlier today did generate a blob of plasma that looks to be directed mostly towards the south and not towards Earth. More updates later today should a glancing blow be possible.

9WpaDzyW9kI

[MorningSong]

A total of three M-flares were observed yesterday coming from sunspot 1515... solarsoft reveals that all three were preceded by a percursor C-flare... interesting...

Active sunspots at the moment:

Sunspot 1517: yesterday: 1 C-flare
Sunspot 1514: yesterday: 1 B-flare
Sunspot 1513: yesterday: 1 B-flare, 6 C-flares, 1 M-flare
Sunspot 1515: yesterday: 10 C-flares, 3 M-flares

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/02jul12/hmi200.gif

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

Soho has entered in a "keyhole" event, that being, the sat has entered in a position where transmission of data will not be possible for about 12 days! No data available on the SolarMonitor.org Homepage!

http://solarmonitor.org/common_files/NoData/thumb/shmi_maglc_thumb.png

This happens about every 3 months (duh!?)
See links for explainations:

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/hotshots/2004_01_04/
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/soc/keyholes.txt

[Sidney]

A total of three M-flares were observed yesterday coming from sunspot 1515... solarsoft reveals that all three were preceded by a percursor C-flare... interesting...

Active sunspots at the moment:

Sunspot 1517: yesterday: 1 C-flare
Sunspot 1514: yesterday: 1 B-flare
Sunspot 1513: yesterday: 1 B-flare, 6 C-flares, 1 M-flare
Sunspot 1515: yesterday: 10 C-flares, 3 M-flares

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/02jul12/hmi200.gif

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

Soho has entered in a "keyhole" event, that being, the sat has entered in a position where transmission of data will not be possible for about 12 days! No data available on the SolarMonitor.org Homepage!

http://solarmonitor.org/common_files/NoData/thumb/shmi_maglc_thumb.png

This happens about every 3 months (duh!?)
See links for explainations:

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/hotshots/2004_01_04/
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/soc/keyholes.txt

Isn't THAT convenient.?????????????????:rolleyes:

[MorningSong]

SOHO EIT is still in a "keyhole" but the picts are back up at SolarMonitor.org...yaaay!

Sunspot 1515 is still growing win it's delta-gamma-delta (the most active electromagnetic formation) form.... they're predicting 10% possibility of X-flares, 70% possibility for more M-flares in the next 24 hours.

From spaceweather.com:


CHANCE OF FLARES: Sunspot AR1515 continues to grow and crackle with magnetic eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of M-class solar flares and a 10% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours.

Catch the Full Moon out tonight!

[MorningSong]

Four (4) M-flares were observed today; three (3) were from sunsport 1515: an M2.3 at 4:37 UTC, an M5.3 at 9:54 UTC and an M2.3 at 12:24 UTC; one (1) came from sunspot 1513: an M1.8 at 16:39. Will update if things liven up later this evening.

Here's what's new at spaceweather.com:


4TH OF JULY FIREWORKS: Chances of an X-flare today are increasing as sunspot AR1515 develops a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for the most powerful explosions. The sunspot's magnetic canopy is crackling with almost-X class flares, the strongest so far being an M5-flare at 09:54 UT. Each "crackle" releases more energy than a billion atomic bombs, so these are 4th of July fireworks indeed.

The sunspot itself is huge, stretching more than 100,000 km (8 Earth-diameters) from end to end. This movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory shows the behemoth growing and turning toward Earth over the past five days:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/04jul12/ar1515_strip2.jpg

Another picture that dramatically illustrates the size of AR1515 is this 4th of July sunrise shot from Stefano De Rosa of Turin, Italy.

If any major eruptions do occur today, they will certainly be Earth-directed. The sunspot is directly facing our planet, so it is in position to cause radio blackouts, sudden ionospheric disturbances, and geomagnetic storms.

[MorningSong]

According to Solarsoft, another M-flare, M4.6, was observed at 22:09 UTC last night from sunspot 1515. Add that to the list.

And according to GOES X-ray Flux Monitor, this morning we have also already had two (2) more...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Xray.gif

IPS (Australia) shows three (3) M-flares with 2 large C-flares:


X-Ray Flares

Recent Flare and Fadeout Information (Larger than C8 Only)

Last updated 05 Jul 2012 03:36 UT

Approximate Flare Start : 05-07-2012 0330 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 05-07-2012 0331 UT at Flux C 9.7
Approximate Flare End : 05-07-2012 0334 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT:

Approximate Flare Start : 05-07-2012 0236 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 05-07-2012 0242 UT at Flux M 2.2
Approximate Flare End : 05-07-2012 0254 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT:

Approximate Flare Start : 05-07-2012 0127 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 05-07-2012 0132 UT at Flux C 9.9
Approximate Flare End : 05-07-2012 0136 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT:

Approximate Flare Start : 05-07-2012 0106 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 05-07-2012 0112 UT at Flux M 2.1
Approximate Flare End : 05-07-2012 0122 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT: Micronesia/

Approximate Flare Start : 05-07-2012 0036 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 05-07-2012 0038 UT at Flux M 1.1
Approximate Flare End : 05-07-2012 0040 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT:

Approximate Flare Start : 04-07-2012 2348 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 04-07-2012 2354 UT at Flux M 1.2
Approximate Flare End : 05-07-2012 0004 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT:


http://www.ips.gov.au/Solar/1/8

[MorningSong]

From spaceweather.com:


INCOMING CME: Behemoth sunspot AR1515 is crackling with M-class solar flares and appears to be on the verge of producing an X-class explosion. On July 4th the active region hurled at least four minor CMEs into space, including one toward Earth. Click to view an animated forecast track of the incoming cloud:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/04jul12/cme_strip2.jpg

According to analysts at the Goddard Space Weather lab, who prepared the forecast, the cloud will reach Earth on July 7th around 0600 UT. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras on that date.

In the meanwhile, six (6) M-flares have already occured this morning: an M2.4 at 1:10 UTC, an M2.2 at 2:42 UTC, an M4.7 at 3:36 UTC, an M1.1 at 6:58 UTC, an M 1.3 at /:45 UTC and an M1.8 at 10:48 UTC...all from sunspot 1515. It appears that another has occured just a bit ago...will wait to see the data.

Update:

M6.1 at 11:44 UTC, sunspot 1515

[1inMany]

I'm wondering if I am counting this correctly. I think there have been 15 M class flares in 24-36 hours. Is that right? And I am seeing the graph line still moving in a general upward path. Is that right, too?

[Rocky_Shorz]

M6.1 at 11:44 UTC, sunspot 1515

I noticed the images stopped after launching the huge plasma blob to the south...

so on the anniversary of the London Bombing, July 7th, we're looking at a little Rock and Roll when this wave arrives hitting West Pacific through Europe on it's peak energy...

25% chance of an X Class...

hey Bill, it's only a 4 bullet Roulette until this passes...

[Rocky_Shorz]

camera's are back up and the proton blast passed, let me know if you find any images from the missing time frame...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

and for those of you wondering how these earth directed sunspots are popping off downward instead of at us...


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBDF04fQKtQ

[1inMany]

camera's are back up and the proton blast passed, let me know if you find any images from the missing time frame...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

and for those of you wondering how these earth directed sunspots are popping off downward instead of at us...


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBDF04fQKtQ

Oh, are they missing us? That's amazing! I don't know how to tell that. Is there something else I should be watching?

Much Love,

[MorningSong]

News from spaceweather.com:


HIGH SOLAR ACTIVITY: Behemoth sunspot AR1515 is crackling with M-class solar flares and appears to be on the verge of producing an X-class explosion. NOAA forecasters estimate an 80% chance of M-flares and a 25% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours.

NEW SUNSPOT: A new sunspot is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, and it appears to be a big one. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory caught a first glimpse of the spot's dark cores during the early hours of July 6th:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/06jul12/newspot_strip.jpg

Solar activity is already high. The addition of this new active region could boost the chance of flares even more. Check back later today as the sunspot turns more squarely toward Earth, affording a better view of its size and potential for eruptions.

WAVES OF IONIZATION: Sunspot AR1515 is strobing Earth with C- and M-class solar flares. Each pulse of x-rays and extreme UV radiation creates a wave of ionization in our planet's upper atmosphere. These sudden ionospheric disturbances, also known as "SIDs," alter the propagation of radio signals around Earth. Yesterday, amateur scientist Roberto Battaiola detected a series of SIDs over Pantigliate, Italy:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/06jul12/waves_strip.jpg



Listen to radar echoes from satellites and meteors, live on listener-supported Space Weather Radio.

Spaceweather Radio is on the air

HIGH SOLAR ACTIVITY: Behemoth sunspot AR1515 is crackling with M-class solar flares and appears to be on the verge of producing an X-class explosion. NOAA forecasters estimate an 80% chance of M-flares and a 25% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours. X-flare alerts: text, voice.

NEW SUNSPOT: A new sunspot is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, and it appears to be a big one. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory caught a first glimpse of the spot's dark cores during the early hours of July 6th:

Solar activity is already high. The addition of this new active region could boost the chance of flares even more. Check back later today as the sunspot turns more squarely toward Earth, affording a better view of its size and potential for eruptions.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery

WAVES OF IONIZATION: Sunspot AR1515 is strobing Earth with C- and M-class solar flares. Each pulse of x-rays and extreme UV radiation creates a wave of ionization in our planet's upper atmosphere. These sudden ionospheric disturbances, also known as "SIDs," alter the propagation of radio signals around Earth. Yesterday, amateur scientist Roberto Battaiola detected a series of SIDs over Pantigliate, Italy:

"I monitored the radio frequency of 21.75 kHz," he says.

More SIDs are in the offing as AR1515 continues to crackle with strong solar flares. In fact, a really big SID could occur if, as expected, AR1515 produces an X-class flare before it rotates off the solar disk a few days from now. Stay tuned.

And...


INCOMING CME: On July 4th, sunspot AR1515 hurled at least four minor CMEs into space. Most flew south of the ecliptic plane (the orbital plane of the planets), on track to miss everything. One of them, however, appears to be heading toward Earth. Click to view an animated forecast track of the incoming cloud:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/04jul12/cme_strip2.jpg

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/04jul12/cme_strip2.jpg

[Rocky_Shorz]

camera's are back up and the proton blast passed, let me know if you find any images from the missing time frame...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

and for those of you wondering how these earth directed sunspots are popping off downward instead of at us...


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBDF04fQKtQ

Oh, are they missing us? That's amazing! I don't know how to tell that. Is there something else I should be watching?

Much Love,

well, imagine a cannon pointed at the side of a barn, no way to miss...

but it does, again and again and again...

knowing physics, you understand to veer the path of a Cannon ball at the speed it is fired by a cannon, is no easy feat...

in fact, far beyond our current technology, which is a speaker magnet and a kid that runs really fast... ;)

is it God and a Legion of angels? pure luck, or invisible helpers that officially don't exist?

does it matter who, or is the important part knowing we're covered so we can go on living in peace, knowing it will all be ok?

[MorningSong]

An X-flare yesterday????

Yep, X1.1 at 23:08 UTC!

http://www.ips.gov.au/Solar/1/8

From spaceweather.com:


X-FLARE: For days, giant sunspot AR1515 has looked capable of producing a really strong explosion. On July 6th it finally did. Yesterday, the sunspot's magnetic canopy erupted, producing a brief but potent X1.1-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/07jul12/x1_strip2.jpg

The explosion hurled a CME into space. According to this movie from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, the cloud appears to be heading south and away from Earth. However, we cannot yet rule out a glancing blow to our planet on July 8th or 9th. Stay tuned for further analysis.

Look at the CME movie one more time. The speckles near the end are caused by energetic protons accelerated by the flare. Guided toward Earth by solar magnetic fields, the protons are peppering Earth-orbiting satellites, causing "snow" in imaging systems and posing a slim threat for single-event upsets (computer glitches).

[1inMany]

well, imagine a cannon pointed at the side of a barn, no way to miss...

but it does, again and again and again...

knowing physics, you understand to veer the path of a Cannon ball at the speed it is fired by a cannon, is no easy feat...

in fact, far beyond our current technology, which is a speaker magnet and a kid that runs really fast... ;)

is it God and a Legion of angels? pure luck, or invisible helpers that officially don't exist?

does it matter who, or is the important part knowing we're covered so we can go on living in peace, knowing it will all be ok?

I have no desire to debate it, lol, but I do believe we have help! I wasn't sure which source of information to watch to see if any or all of these flares are earth directed. I only have the "GOES XRay Flux" graph thing, and I can usually see all the flares...just not which way they explode. I haven't had as many physical symptoms from this whole batch of flares, so either I'm finally getting adjusted or they really aren't coming this way :)

Thanks, Rocky.
Much Love,

[Vince]

Hello :)
Yesterday (friday the 6th) the main french cellular operator "Orange" has seen it's whole network knocked down for "unkown reasons" as say the french news... 40 or more millions of french users (as Orange is owning the "physical" network and renting it to other operators) were unable to use their cellphone for more than 10 hours.
Could it be that the sun is the real culprit ? What's your opinion dear Avalon friends :) ?

[MorningSong]

Hello Vince!

It is very possible that space weather is the cause. Here in the N-central Alps, I have been having probs with the cell phone as well as the internet connection whether due to the wild thunderstorms we've been having or all of these solar flares... I just don't know which (maybe both).

Thanks for the heads up!

[MorningSong]

Here's the latest from SuspiciousObservers:

JjHsexVc8l8

[Rocky_Shorz]

still no comment from anyone about the X Cannon that just swung by us not releasing until it safely passed?

almost popping continuous since passing too...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

here is a graph showing activity after the sunspot passed our danger zone

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/stereo/data/impact_p_A_5m_7d.gif?foo=1340941994

that is what our graph should have looked like this last week, instead, almost no activity...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Epam_p_7d.gif?foo=1310524799

[Eram]

still no comment from anyone about the X Cannon that just swung by us not releasing until it safely passed?

almost popping continuous since passing too...


Hey Rocky,

I would like to know more about it, but You'll have to make an effort explaining it, because I know very little about all this. :)

What's all this about cannons and passing us?

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

Good morning. :)
Yep, I have been watchig this closely.
Have had a huge migraine for days!

d5IKKKpaEaA

From her blog (http://trudi-tmw.blogspot.ca/)

Well there we have it the long awaited for X eruption and it is earth bound. For days it hard harbored the energy for the largest classification of flares. At 23:08 UT on July 6, 2012 it unleashed an X1.1-class solar flare. Geomagnetic storm is expected.
Whether or not the class X1.1 flare came from the active region AR11515 or its sister sunspot AR 11514 is now being re-examined at NOAA and Goddard Space Center. Sunspot AR11514 is relatively close to its sister sunspot and being at an angle for the SDO satellite it could be confusing. From the angle SDO had captured the flare it seems to be coming from 11515 but then again maybe not.

As the source region for this flare is near the west solar limb, elevated proton fluxes are associated with it already making its mark on our geomagneticsphere.
More


The explosion hurled a CME into space. According to this clip from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO-LASCO), the cloud appears to be heading south and away from Earth. However, we cannot yet rule out a glancing blow to our planet on July 8th or 9th. Stay tuned for further analysis.

Look at the CME clip from SOHO-LASCO one more time. The speckles near the end are caused by energetic protons accelerated by the flare. Guided toward Earth by solar magnetic fields, the protons are peppering Earth-orbiting satellites, causing "snow" in imaging systems and posing a slim threat for single-event upsets (computer glitches)

We’ve had more CME’s bombarding our geomagnetosphere than it is possible to count, some did manage to break through our magnetosphere. With the class X1.1 added onto it at a high velocity wind towards earth data indicated a radiation storm around the poles, still ongoing.

Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from these coronal holes

While 11515 will still blast out X flares we can expect more of the same from this new sunspot 11519 coming around the bend and this could really interesting when two massive sunspots join forced to hurl CMEs towards us.



A short clip from shaggietrip (http://www.youtube.com/user/shaggietrip)
aKZNUUgLKaw


I am sure some people will be feeling the effects (and our planet too).
Much love to everyone.

[MorningSong]

Yesterday afternoon around 16:32 UTC, Sunspot 1515 gave a M6.9 salute on its way to the other face of the sun prompting a new proton event:

DGVGhXBPc1k

What's new at spaceweather.com:


MANY CMEs: During the late hours of July 8th, a series of rapid-fire explosions on the sun propelled three coronal mass ejections (CMEs) into space. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded their exit:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/09jul12/cme_strip2.jpg

Despite the number of eruptions and the breadth of the billowing ejecta, Earth is little affected. All of the clouds appear set to miss our planet. Nevertheless, this flurry of CMEs highlights the currently-high level of solar activity. It is only a matter of time before a significant CME comes our way. Stay tuned for stormy space weather.

AURORA SURPRISE: July 9th began with a brief but beautiful display of auroras over North America..... he source of the display was not an explosion on the sun, but rather a fluctuation in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). The IMF near Earth tipped south, briefly opening a crack in our planet's magnetosphere. Solar wind poured in and ignited the lights.

More auroras could be in the offing. A CME that left the sun on July 6th might deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on July 9-10. NOAA forecasters estimate a 25% to 30% chance of polar geomagnetic storms if and when the cloud arrives.

ANOTHER BIG SUNSPOT: As one big sunspot (AR1515) turns away from Earth, another one is turning toward our planet. AR1520, now emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, stretches more than 127,000 km (10 Earth diameters) from end to end:

AR1520 has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. So far, however, the sunspot's magnetic canopy is crackling with lesser C-flares. The calm before the storm? NOAA forecasters estimate an 80% chance of M-flares during the next 24 hours.

RE: Auroras....the actual level of plasma penetration is at 10 right now (was 2 hrs agoi):

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/gif/pmapNst.gif

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/gif/pmapSst.gif

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/

[Rocky_Shorz]

still no comment from anyone about the X Cannon that just swung by us not releasing until it safely passed?

almost popping continuous since passing too...




Hey Rocky,

I would like to know more about it, but You'll have to make an effort explaining it, because I know very little about all this. :)

What's all this about cannons and passing us?

link to cannon ball... ;) (http://projectavalon.net/forum4/showthread.php?29825-Sun-Stuff-What-s-up-&p=517638&viewfull=1#post517638)

in this image, we are looking from earths direction and you can watch the images as the different flares pop...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

when you are watching one spreading out as it is coming at us, that is a direct hit...

when we have sunspots popping off 15 flares a day swinging towards our planet, and as they are pointed directly at us they go silent, building up massive energy until it passes our danger zone causing a massive sunflare CME when it releases, but always after past our true danger zone, off to the side the Xray flashes knock out communications, but nothing like a massive CME of plasma launched at our planet.

I am continuing to point each of these out to everyone... because the technology to control the sun is beyond us...

we have friends...


what just passed us was an event the government has been preparing worst case scenario situations for. Electric grids world wide drop with down times of up to 3 months...

What I am trying to point out is I don't think it will be allowed to happen, now if this is an amazing technology Black Ops is using, I'm impressed... but then why would the elites be worried if they knew they could protect this planet...

[Eram]

in this image, we are looking from earths direction and you can watch the images as the different flares pop...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

when you are watching one spreading out as it is coming at us, that is a direct hit...

when we have sunspots popping off 15 flares a day, swinging towards our planet, and as they are pointed directly at us they go silent, building up massive energy until it passes our danger zone causing a massive sunflare CME when it releases, but always after past our true danger zone, off to the side the Xray flashes knock out communications, but nothing like a massive CME of plasma launched at our planet.

I am continuing to point each of these out to everyone...

we have friends...

Thanks for the explanation.

I get the part where you say that the sun ejects solar flares and that some of them are pointed at earth. They are so big that they should have caused disruptions in communications etc., but they don't and that is reason to believe that we are protected.

Sadly for me there are so many words and language that I don't understand that it's difficult to get a better picture of what's going on here. To take a good look at what you are pointing at so to speak.


when we have sunspots popping off 15 flares a day, swinging towards our planet, and as they are pointed directly at us they go silent, building up massive energy until it passes our danger zone causing a massive sunflare CME when it releases, but always after past our true danger zone, off to the side the Xray flashes knock out communications, but nothing like a massive CME of plasma launched at our planet.

The blue parts of your text... I don't understand...
I can make a guess at it, but still...

sorry :)

Is there a website or a dummy e-book somewhere that I can read to get some better understandings into this matter? because it is interesting.

[Rocky_Shorz]

well Spaceweather.com is one of the best information sources on everything related to these topics...

when you are watching the orange image and see a huge blob of white launch away from the sun, it is a CME (a chunk of the sun blown into space...)

most flares emit energy, but it is just particles which affect communications and satellites but a chunk of Plasma 50 times the size of our planet hitting us is a completely different story.


this sunspot swinging towards us now is also a loaded cannon capable of popping an X at us...


but I'm confident we will see it silently past like all the others...

another thing to note, think of all the sunflares this last week, and yet almost no quake activity...

the dark energy waves have been pretty flat this whole time...

but, now they are starting again...

[Rocky_Shorz]

another thing I've noticed is how sun activity affects the Jet Stream, June ends the hottest 6 month period in recorded history...

look at this link to see the current Jetstream over America...

Jet Stream (http://www.10news.com/wxmap/4290862/detail.html)

http://virga.sfsu.edu/jetstream/jetstream_pac/small/1207/12070606_jetstream_pac_small.gif

and yes there is a complete break in the Jetstream while this Cat 5 Geomagnetic Storm is going on...

http://squall.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_init_00.gif

[Rocky_Shorz]

that was strange, all the threads were from back in 2010...

the shutdown of the FBI computers must be happening

http://virga.sfsu.edu/pub/jetstream/jetstream_norhem/1207/12071000_jetstream_norhem.gif

[Rocky_Shorz]

and for those of you who think this is confusing here is an image created by a Supercomputer to show what is going on...

http://qim.cf.quoracdn.net/main-i-20e726a4fd59cf658e145be26dd946d9221d7668
Homa Karimabadi’s team, in close collaboration with Dr. William Daughton at Los Alamos National Laboratory, is currently using the OLCF’s Jaguar supercomputer to better understand the processes giving rise to space weather.


Like many other things, however, our sun is prettier at a distance. Turns out the sun is a violent place where magnetic fields and fusion energy spew plumes of radiation into outer space and at Earth, a phenomenon referred to by space physicists as space weather.

Fortunately for us, Earth's magnetic dipole creates a type of shield known as the magnetosphere. Unfortunately, though, it's not perfect. The radiation unleashed by the sun in the form of an ionized gas known as plasma can occasionally sneak past Earth's defenses in a process known as magnetic reconnection, creating the northern lights and wreaking havoc on electronics and our daily lives. These solar storms can knock out whole power grids, rendering entire regions without electricity and, ironically, light. So far more than $4 billion in satellite damage from space weather has been documented. And more airlines are beginning to fly closer to the poles, where there is maximum solar radiation and a potentially greater risk to passengers. While ancient civilizations often worshipped the sun, modern humans occasionally have reason to rue it... link (http://www.ornl.gov/info/features/get_feature.cfm?FeatureNumber=f20120206-00)

latest image of the new Sunspot

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_211_193_171_1024.jpg

[Sidney]

The morning sun shining in my window this morning, was brighter than I have ever seen it. Strange, getting one of those solar headaches too. Thanks to you guys keeping up on this stuff, I havent really had time to follow it this summer. Much appreciated.!!!!!!:grouphug:

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

From SpaceWeather.com (http://spaceweather.com/)




X-FLARE! Big sunspot AR1520 unleashed an X1.4-class solar flare on July 12th at 1653 UT. Because the sunspot was directly facing Earth at the time of the blast, this is a geoeffective event. Stay tuned for updates about possible CMEs and radio blackouts.

NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded a flash of extreme ultraviolet radiation from the blast site:

http://i49.tinypic.com/n3u7vb.jpg

The UV and X-ray pulse from the flare will have partially ionized Earth's upper atmosphere on the dayside of our planet, disturbing the normal propagation of radio signals. Watch the Realtime Space Weather Gallery (http://spaceweather.com/gallery/)for possible reports of sudden ionospheric disturbances and other effects.


http://i50.tinypic.com/axl1fq.jpg



From SolarWatcher (http://www.youtube.com/user/SolarWatcher/featured)

BREAKING NEWS: MAJOR X1.4 Solar Flare - July 12, 2012
Dqnp66vaSSA

Major X1.4 Solar Flare and CME
Active Region 11520 just unleashed a major and long duration eruption reaching X1.4 at 16:52 UTC Today. Associated with this blast was a Strong R3 Radio Blackout over central America. A Coronal Mass Ejection(CME) watch is now in affect as this eruption was in an earth-facing position. will update shortly

[Rocky_Shorz]

I was out for a walk between 9:30 and 10 this morning and was suddenly so dizzy I felt like falling over, had to grab a tree...

this energy doesn't just affect electronics...

they photo every 12 minutes and the blast only takes 9 minutes to reach us, maybe they need to swap in a faster image processor if they are planning on using them to protect our grid...

they were knocked out before knowing it was coming...

[Wind]

This is going to be a wild ride...

[Sidney]

I too am feeling the affects. I usually do, but today, feeling vertigo type symptoms too.

[Wind]

I too am feeling the affects. I usually do, but today, feeling vertigo type symptoms too.

I concur. I've been having the same symptoms for the last week when the solar flares have been bombarding the Earth. Coincidence? I think not. I never normally feel dizzy.

[Rocky_Shorz]

the hairs on people's arms raise before a lightening strike, maybe you are so in tune with the earth the extra energy is affecting you...

I take a walk on the beach and let it flow into the water...

maybe you are just missing the release...

[Vince]

UK mobile phone operator O2 just suffered the same kind of massive failure as Orange in France last week, coincidence ? I don't think so...
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/mobile-phones/9395286/O2-restores-mobile-phone-service-after-24-hour-failure.html

[MorningSong]

WOW! I go out very rarely and what happens....we get a X-fllare!

I am not normally one who likes to sunbathe, but today I decided I would jsut to try to even up my "farmer brown" crazy-quilt tan. Around 3:00 pm, it was only 27°C and a light breeze was blowing. I got all my stuff together, sunbed ready, towel, cold drink, book, sigs, etc...plopped down like a plump mozzarella...and , shoot, I couldn't stand it...after only 20 minutes sweat was rolling and even under my bathing suit I was turning red! And the brightness of the sunlight was literally blinding me! Crazy! Nonetheless, I gave up on my short-lived lizzard day.

We are now experiencing a proton effect from the flare...


Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1
Serial Number: 292
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1851 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 12 1835 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/Global.png

[Sidney]

Any chance this is why the clouds are moving east to west??? This is not normal weather patterns. Normal is west -ish to east - ish.

[MorningSong]

The Northern Hemisphere Jetstream usually moves W to E (yet N and S like a carousel as well) like you say, but, here in N. Italy, we've been getting a lot of crazy wind currents and storms from the E moving W, too.

Not sure what is causing it...the meteo guys say cold air from the poles spinning off the polar stream moving southeast (oops, I meant to say southwest).... ???

[greybeard]

South west wind is our norm--- not this year, North east for the last month approx and cold with it 11c -`15c.
Dizzy floating feeling also.
Not your normal Scottish Summer.
Chris

[Sidney]

I also have to get off my chest, that I am really sick to death of all of the footage that they are clipping out of the SOHO videos. 6 hours here, 2 hours there, 3 days sometimes. SEVERAL hours missing just in the last 24. Really pisses me off. Sorry for the language, but hey, we KNOW there was an X flare, what happened that we DON'T know about?

[MorningSong]

Something else has happened that noone is reporting on yet (unless it's the same flare, but looks like the other side of the sun to me):

http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/StreamArgumentServlet?cygnetId=205&cygnetInstanceId=1996538438&argumentId=1&height=150
That's Stereo A Cor2 at 18:54 UTC. Could be a backside event...

[Lettherebelight]

I am not an expert on solar activity...but can someone tell me if this could be linked to these events?

The sun has been very hot, like MorningSong experienced, it felt like it was burning my skin under my bathing suit even though it was late afternoon. It is unusual for such a cool, rainy English summer.
Recently, we have had a record breaking rainy June here in England, very cool. However, whenever there is a break in the clouds, the sun feels so intense it burns. How can I describe it...seeing the sun after a chilly showery day, one usually thinks
'Ahhhh..' but yesterday I was actually thinking...'Ouch!'
This morning, the sun was out briefly. It was like a blinding light in the sky, not like a normal morning sun. Even my husband said...'What's up with the sun?'

[crosby]

just found this:

www.latimes.com/news/nation/nationnow/la-na-nn-solar-flare-20120712,0,6885961.story

"Extreme" solar flare erupts:


By Amy Hubbard

July 12, 2012, 2:20 p.m.

A heavy-duty solar flare erupted on the surface of the sun midmorning Thursday, and it appeared from early data that a solar storm from the X-class eruption was headed toward Earth.

"It looks to be headed in the Earth's direction," Alex Young of Maryland's Goddard Space Flight Center told the Los Angeles Times in an interview Thursday. But, he noted, that's based on a view from just one of two spacecraft monitoring the sun.

The so-called coronal mass ejection -- a violently released bubble of gas and magnetic fields -- could veer off. Scientists are waiting on more data from spacecraft within the next few hours to pinpoint the speed and severity of the storm."

looks like it's headed this way.
regards, corson

[MorningSong]

This cygnet looks pretty extreme:

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-02-27+00:49:00&window=-1&cygnetId=261

[MorningSong]

I just found this snippet from SolarHam:

DLk47yPzJmY

And this from thebarcaroller:

pUYO36PPbm0

[MorningSong]

Latest SWPC 3-day Space Weather Forecast:


Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 194 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jul 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was high. At 12/1649Z, a long-duration
X1/2b flare was observed from Region 1520 (S16W09). The event was
visible in GONG H-alpha imagery as a bright ribbon flare that
erupted along the region?s long E/W oriented inversion line.
Associated with this event were Type II (1268 km/s) and Type IV
radio emissions along with an 800 sfu Tenflare. Limited satellite
imagery indicated a CME was associated with this event. STEREO
Behind COR2 imagery observed a CME lifting off the west limb, first
visible at 12/1710Z. Further analysis of this CME is ongoing.
During the past 24 hours, Region 1520 grew in both area and spot
count and maintained a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. Region 1521 (S21W21) also grew in area and spot
count and remained a beta-gamma magnetic classification. New
Regions 1522 (N13W21) and 1523 (S27E31) emerged on the disk as
simple bi-polar spot groups.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for X-class events for the next three days
(13 - 15 July).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels with isolated
high latitude major storm intervals from 11/0600 - 1200Z. ACE solar
data indicated wind velocities decreased steadily through the period
from 500 km/s to near 400 km/s while the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field did not vary much beyond +/- 5 nT.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit exceeded
the 10 pfu event threshold at 12/1835Z. At the time of this report,
flux levels were at 35 pfu and rising. The greater than 100 MeV
flux at geosynchronous orbit was enhanced, but below event threshold
levels of 1 pfu. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels for day one (13
July). Unsettled to active levels, with isolated minor storm
intervals, are expected on days two and three (14 - 15 July) as
effects from the 12 July CME are expected to become geoeffective.

III. Event Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
Class M 80/80/80
Class X 35/35/35
Proton 99/99/50
PCAF red

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Jul 165
Predicted 13 Jul-15 Jul 165/165/165
90 Day Mean 12 Jul 127

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jul 010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jul 009/011
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 006/008-015/018-013/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/40/35
Minor storm 05/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/15
Minor storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/55/45

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html

[Sidney]

I think I will just keep a bottle of aspirin in my pocket for the next week. UGG

[Rocky_Shorz]

I just found this snippet from SolarHam:

DLk47yPzJmY

And this from thebarcaroller:

pUYO36PPbm0

the Barcontroller uses planet positions to predict his quakes, isn't even watching the solar energy patterns...

but he is spot on, quakes will be 7+ after this energy hits on the 14th... 7/14 or 7/7+7 = any significance of 777 anyone?

[Rocky_Shorz]

I also have to get off my chest, that I am really sick to death of all of the footage that they are clipping out of the SOHO videos. 6 hours here, 2 hours there, 3 days sometimes. SEVERAL hours missing just in the last 24. Really pisses me off. Sorry for the language, but hey, we KNOW there was an X flare, what happened that we DON'T know about?

lol...

ever been to the airport and when you get to security suddenly you don't want them to scan your computer or camera afraid of data being lost in the X-ray machines...

our Satellites get zapped and knocked out all the time...

NASA needs better tin hats... ;)

I am actually amazed they are keeping everything up live for all of us to watch, they are trying to give us what they have hoping some brainiacs can help them put together this puzzle in time...

[Sidney]

I also have to get off my chest, that I am really sick to death of all of the footage that they are clipping out of the SOHO videos. 6 hours here, 2 hours there, 3 days sometimes. SEVERAL hours missing just in the last 24. Really pisses me off. Sorry for the language, but hey, we KNOW there was an X flare, what happened that we DON'T know about?

lol...

ever been to the airport and when you get to security suddenly you don't want them to scan your computer or camera afraid of data being lost in the X-ray machines...

our Satellites get zapped and knocked out all the time...

NASA needs better tin hats... ;)

I am actually amazed they are keeping everything up live for all of us to watch, they are trying to give us what they have hoping some brainiacs can help them put together this puzzle in time...


Yeah I am sure those satellites take some hits, but I also believe that there is alot of deliberate "doctoring" going on.

[Rocky_Shorz]

Something else has happened that noone is reporting on yet (unless it's the same flare, but looks like the other side of the sun to me):

http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/StreamArgumentServlet?cygnetId=205&cygnetInstanceId=1996538438&argumentId=1&height=150
That's Stereo A Cor2 at 18:54 UTC. Could be a backside event...

if you saw the green image earlier from behind, it also looked like it was popping off on the backside, but it knocked out all eyes in the sky after it, so I'm pretty sure they are inverted images...

if that is what popped off towards us, that top flash of white was pointed just above earth that must be the CME energy they are watching, the good news is just like the last sunspot that blew, most of the energy was directed downward...

that image was 3 hours after it began and 2 hours after peak...

[Rocky_Shorz]

I also have to get off my chest, that I am really sick to death of all of the footage that they are clipping out of the SOHO videos. 6 hours here, 2 hours there, 3 days sometimes. SEVERAL hours missing just in the last 24. Really pisses me off. Sorry for the language, but hey, we KNOW there was an X flare, what happened that we DON'T know about?

lol...

ever been to the airport and when you get to security suddenly you don't want them to scan your computer or camera afraid of data being lost in the X-ray machines...

our Satellites get zapped and knocked out all the time...

NASA needs better tin hats... ;)

I am actually amazed they are keeping everything up live for all of us to watch, they are trying to give us what they have hoping some brainiacs can help them put together this puzzle in time...


Yeah I am sure those satellites take some hits, but I also believe that there is alot of deliberate "doctoring" going on.

you mean like the dark energy waves we've been watching these last few days...

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

on the left instead of showing 40-50, it is showing 30 - 10

but they wouldn't be hiding anything now would they? ;)

[Sidney]

This looks INTENSE. This is the last image, then it skips ahead 5 hours (gee, surprise there. eyes rolling)

17366

[Sidney]

I also have to get off my chest, that I am really sick to death of all of the footage that they are clipping out of the SOHO videos. 6 hours here, 2 hours there, 3 days sometimes. SEVERAL hours missing just in the last 24. Really pisses me off. Sorry for the language, but hey, we KNOW there was an X flare, what happened that we DON'T know about?

lol...

ever been to the airport and when you get to security suddenly you don't want them to scan your computer or camera afraid of data being lost in the X-ray machines...

our Satellites get zapped and knocked out all the time...

NASA needs better tin hats... ;)

I am actually amazed they are keeping everything up live for all of us to watch, they are trying to give us what they have hoping some brainiacs can help them put together this puzzle in time...


Yeah I am sure those satellites take some hits, but I also believe that there is alot of deliberate "doctoring" going on.

you mean like the dark energy waves we've been watching these last few days...

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

on the left instead of showing 40-50, it is showing 30 - 10

but they wouldn't be hiding anything now would they? ;)

Honestly, I don't have a clue what that chart is. LOL it may as well be in Latin. My brain is just not up to speed. But it sounds interesting, would you mind elaborating me a bit on what I am looking at? What exactly is dark energy? (besides what we get from TPTB) lol

[Lettherebelight]

Latest SWPC 3-day Space Weather Forecast:


Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 194 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jul 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z

to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was high. At 12/1649Z, a long-duration
X1/2b flare was observed from Region 1520 (S16W09). The event was
visible in GONG H-alpha imagery as a bright ribbon flare that
erupted along the region?s long E/W oriented inversion line.

Associated with this event were Type II (1268 km/s) and Type IV
radio emissions along with an 800 sfu Tenflare. Limited satellite
imagery indicated a CME was associated with this event. STEREO
Behind COR2 imagery observed a CME lifting off the west limb, first
visible at 12/1710Z. Further analysis of this CME is ongoing.
During the past 24 hours, Region 1520 grew in both area and spot
count and maintained a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. Region 1521 (S21W21) also grew in area and spot
count and remained a beta-gamma magnetic classification. New
Regions 1522 (N13W21) and 1523 (S27E31) emerged on the disk as
simple bi-polar spot groups.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for X-class events for the next three days
(13 - 15 July).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels with isolated
high latitude major storm intervals from 11/0600 - 1200Z. ACE solar

data indicated wind velocities decreased steadily through the period
from 500 km/s to near 400 km/s while the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field did not vary much beyond +/- 5 nT.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit exceeded
the 10 pfu event threshold at 12/1835Z. At the time of this report,
flux levels were at 35 pfu and rising. The greater than 100 MeV
flux at geosynchronous orbit was enhanced, but below event threshold
levels of 1 pfu. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels for day one (13
July). Unsettled to active levels, with isolated minor storm
intervals, are expected on days two and three (14 - 15 July) as
effects from the 12 July CME are expected to become geoeffective.

III. Event Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
Class M 80/80/80
Class X 35/35/35
Proton 99/99/50
PCAF red

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Jul 165
Predicted 13 Jul-15 Jul 165/165/165
90 Day Mean 12 Jul 127

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jul 010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jul 009/011
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 006/008-015/018-013/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/40/35
Minor storm 05/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/15
Minor storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 25/55/45

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html


Can someone provide a translation as to what this means in layman's terms?

[Rocky_Shorz]

this was the explanation from SDO but then again... (http://projectavalon.net/forum4/showthread.php?16834-Rare-Space-Weather-Event--&p=486784&viewfull=1#post486784)

the problem is, the dark energy doesn't relate to what they explain it as...

when solar streams hit us, or waves of energy from the flares there is no effect to the energy, when we would expect it to be the peaks...


but the magnetism leaves as light then flows back again to the sun...


I am thinking the dark energy count relates to what is being drawn back from the outer heliosphere particles...

Voyager should be confirming what it is finding any day now...

[Sidney]

I think it means get out your tin hat . Ok, I believe there was a full halo CME, and 2 to 3 days from now we will all have a bad headache. The sunspots, grew bigger, and there will be some geomagnetic storming in the coming days. I am sorry, that is the best I can do. Hey Rocky, I will let you have a stab at this one. lol I need to go to bed, I am getting way too sleepy for scientific thinking.:lazy2:

[Rocky_Shorz]

another is popping off now...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

26 hours is when it will start, it was a 2 hour thick wave of energy stretched as it passes through space...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/HF%20Systems/Global%20HF/Ionospheric%20Map/WorldIMap0.gif

we might have just had another, at the end of the orange clip on the 13th, there is a large flash 1520 might have just popped another one...

this is when most images stopped

http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/browse/2012/07/13/ahead/cor2/1024/20120713_055424_d7c2A.jpg

[Rocky_Shorz]

how can a sunspot that looks so beautiful have the elite ready to go hide their head in the sand?

http://www.nasa.gov/images/content/667445main_20120712-Sun_946-710.jpg

It shouldn't be too long until the elite wanna bees realize their ticket isn't coming in the mail so they can turn into whistle blowers that we will welcome with open arms... ;)

[astrid]

I just wanted to drop in and say thank you all to those that are maintaining this thread,
i feel its going to become more and more crucial.

I guess the question is are people preparing for the possibility of the really big one?

And if so how? It's interesting that intuitively i have been doing more and more things
to be self sufficient.
My next thing is to look at solar power, something portable seeing that I'm renting.
Especially seeing here in Aus we have all just been hit with a tax on our fuel use.
sigh.....

But i digress..


keep up the good work ppls !

[Rocky_Shorz]

South west wind is our norm--- not this year, North east for the last month approx and cold with it 11c -`15c.
Dizzy floating feeling also.
Not your normal Scottish Summer.
Chris

If you are wondering why so cool right now, take a look at the jet stream, it normally is crossing America drawing the heat and pushing it your direction...

the good news is, no severe tornado systems without a cold front...

bad news is, no rain either...

http://squall.sfsu.edu/gif/jetstream_atl_init_00.gif

I think by mutual agreement we decided we'd rather have hot weather than fallout from Fukushima... sorry yall...

[Rocky_Shorz]

so this isn't lost, I'm adding it to the what's up thread...



http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-wxfsFFiQWsY/UABff9aVrCI/AAAAAAAAAR0/lWg0LDwNtqw/s200/20120710_144436_512_0193.jpg (http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-wxfsFFiQWsY/UABff9aVrCI/AAAAAAAAAR0/lWg0LDwNtqw/s1600/20120710_144436_512_0193.jpg)
It has been a busy week for SDO. On Tuesday we did an EVE cruciform maneuver, where we point SDO back and forth and up and down to explore how EVE is working. At left is an AIA image taken during the cruciform.
On Wednesday the Hi-C rocket lifted off from White Sands Missile Range (just over the mountains from the SDO ground station) and took high-resolution images of the Sun. I haven't seen any images yet, but I'm sure they will look great!

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-0ZIgjmsNPp8/UABiWHB-isI/AAAAAAAAASI/z5OLFOMYIUs/s200/20120712_164545_512_0193.jpg (http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-0ZIgjmsNPp8/UABiWHB-isI/AAAAAAAAASI/z5OLFOMYIUs/s1600/20120712_164545_512_0193.jpg)
Next, on Thursday we watched an X1.4 flare bloom out of AR 1520 (circled in the AIA 193 image at left.) The last X-class flare was from AR 1515 when it was near the limb (the right side of the Sun), so seeing one at disk center is pretty nice. We even got some news stories written about this flare:

Sun unleashes most powerful solar flare of the summer (msnbc.com) http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/48166317/ns/technology_and_science-space/
X-Class Solar Flare Causes Radio Outages (U.S. News & World Report): http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2012/07/12/x-class-solar-flare-causes-radio-outages
Major Solar Flare Erupts From Giant Sunspot (Space.com): http://www.space.com/16560-major-solar-flare-erupts-giant-sunspot.html
Sun uncorks X-class blast (USA Today): http://content.usatoday.com/communities/sciencefair/post/2012/07/sun-uncorks-x-class-blast/1 (http://content.usatoday.com/communities/sciencefair/post/2012/07/sun-uncorks-x-class-blast/1)


With 2 X-class flares in 2 week it looks like the southern hemisphere is moving toward solar maximum! https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/6369594138980582994-2145463627204643356?l=sdoisgo.blogspot.com


More... (http://sdoisgo.blogspot.com/2012/07/busy-week-for-sdo.html)

[Rocky_Shorz]

now for those who are thinking 2013 is going to be the peak, it sounds like they are passing on good news by saying we are going through a solar Maximum now, so hopefully soon it will be over...

oops, in case the elite is watching...

quick run while you have a chance to the underground shelter...

4 hours until Armageddon...


hey Carmody, do you have the welding torch ready? ;)

[Rocky_Shorz]

ok, energy from the last flare is showing on the charts, and they fixed the dark energy glitch...

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

[MorningSong]

Here's what's new from spaceweather.com:


REVISED FORECAST: The CME launched toward Earth by yesterday's X-flare is moving faster than originally thought. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab have revised their forecast accordingly, advancing the cloud's expected arrival time to 09:17 UT (5:17 am EDT) on Saturday, July 14th. Weekend auroras are likely.

X-FLARE! Big sunspot AR1520 unleashed an X1.4-class solar flare on July 12th. Because the sunspot is directly facing Earth, everything about the blast was geoeffective. For one thing, it hurled a coronal mass ejection (CME) directly toward our planet. According to a forecast track prepared by analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, the CME will hit Earth on July 14th around 09:17 UT (+/- 7 hours) and could spark strong geomagnetic storms.

The explosion also strobed Earth with a pulse of extreme UV radiation, shown here in a movie recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/12jul12/xflare_strip2.jpg

he UV pulse partially ionized Earth's upper atmosphere, disturbing the normal propagation of radio signals around the planet. Monitoring stations in Norway, Ireland and Italy recorded the sudden ionospheric disturbance.

Finally, solar protons accelerated by the blast are swarming around Earth. The radiation storm, in progress, ranks "S1" on NOAA space weather scales, which means it poses no serious threat to satellites or astronauts. This could change if the storm continues to intensify. Stay tuned.

From SolarHam.net:


CME Update: The WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction has been updated and is calling for the CME Plasma Cloud to sweep past Earth by 12:00 UTC (8:00am EST) early Saturday morning (July 14). The Goddard Space Center prediction has it forecast for 3 hours earlier. The latest model shows a Solar Wind increase to near 700 km/s. Visit the following LINK to watch the latest animation.

Coronal Mass Ejections are known to arrive earlier or later than anticipated, and other times the impact is much weaker than expected. Monitor the latest ACE Spacecraft Data for an early indication of a potential impact to our geomagnetic field.

Let's watch for an increase in Solare wind as a signal of the CME's arrival:

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Mag_swe_24h.gif

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_24h.html

[MiguelQ]

Im very dizzy today.... dont know why..

[astrid]

I'm doing ok, loads of energy.
But one of my dogs just threw up his entire dinner,
which is a first, i wonder if that's solar related.
Often its the animals that show signs before we do,
i certainly keep a watch on nature for indications of changes.

[RunningDeer]

I'm doing ok, loads of energy.
But one of my dogs just threw up his entire dinner,
which is a first, i wonder if that's solar related.
Often its the animals that show signs before we do,
i certainly keep a watch on nature for indications of changes.

Oh, that may be what's wrong with Wolfie. Yesterday he didn't want to eat. I had to carry him up and down the stairs. He's a 14 years old, Yorkie, that's beginning to show his age. Still off his game today. I've been mixing sunflower seed peanut butter into his food. Thanks, Astrid.

[Arrowwind]

Its been overcast here and rainy. Ive been feeling strange, almost like Im mind numb, and the cat has been throwing up too and the dog has been lethargic for a few days. Been trying to give him some unactivated mms but he wont drink it which is not his norm.

I have felt compelled to be outside. Been working in the garden in the rain. Came in totally drenched from the knees down from pulling weeds in the pasture. Its very unusual, this compusion to be outside in the rain.

[MorningSong]

Solar wind speed has started to go up a bit:

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_24h.html

And the Kp index is going up, too:

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

[MorningSong]

Here it comes!

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Mag_swe_24h.gif


Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD
Serial Number: 157
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 14 1817 UTC

SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2012 Jul 14 1811 UTC
Deviation: 27 nT
Station: Boulder

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

[Sidney]

I started to get a splitting headache about 2 hrs ago. UGG

[Rocky_Shorz]

wow...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23%2000:44:00&window=-1&cygnetId=40


pretty amazing to be able to sit and watch the energy affects on our planet...

I'm still watching the energy that circles in from behind, from what I can tell, Pacific Rim is where it is hitting in the evening, a duel daytime night time energy which might explain all the quakes...

hopefully they are right and the solar max is passing now...

until then I'll keep my EoG handy... ;)

[astrid]

Im doing ok, so far.
But my dog that was throwing up yesterday today has an ear issue,
related, who knows...

Weather here is calm but freaking cold.

[Rocky_Shorz]

the storm isn't over yet energy is rising again...

http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/HF%20Systems/Global%20HF/Ionospheric%20Map/WorldIMap0.gif

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif

M4+ 24 hours
http://static1.emsc-csem.org/Images/map_zoom/WEBMAPS/24H/TWORLD.24hours.jpg?dt=1342337257217

Europe M2+
http://static3.emsc-csem.org/Images/map_zoom/WEBMAPS/24H/TEUROMED.24hours.jpg?dt=1342337372159

[Rocky_Shorz]

we've been red lining for 33 hours now...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif


A geomagnetic storm is in progress as Earth's magnetic field continues to reverberate from a CME strike on July 14th...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23%2000:44:00&window=-1&cygnetId=40

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261


When the CME first arrived on July 14th, its effect appeared weak. However, conditions in the wake of the CME have since become stormy. On July 14-15 Northern Lights appeared in the United States as far south as California, Colorado, Missouri, Utah, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Washington, Illinois, Kansas, Nebraska, Michigan and Arkansas. Brad Goldpaint sends this picture of the auroras reflecting from Sparks Lake in central Oregon:..

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/15jul12/oregon_512.jpg
http://spaceweather.com/




It was strange being out in the sun today, felt like my hair was sweating and it was only in the 70s


http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

[SKIBADABOMSKI]

Rocky, yesterday you said on Bills thread that your mobile battery went down quicker... well I certainly noticed my battery life was small in the day. First usage after fully charged was 65%. Anyway I asked about at the festival I'm at and all the artist and performers agreed that their battery life went really quick yesterday.

I just found it amazing that it had effected so many of us but nobody mentioned it as it's something you just think nothing of. I found people with I-phones were effected mostly. Just thought I'd let you know,

I'm in Canada in Calgary and we just wrapped up the Stampede.

Oh and whilst I'm here thanks for all the updates.

Ski-

[Rocky_Shorz]

I went from 3 bars to one in 15 minutes, that's when I looked at Spaceweather and saw it at 17.5 protons per centimeter which I've never seen before...

I had to mention it to see if anyone else noticed.

our phones turn up power when they are losing signal, so they might have been working to hear through the interference which drained the battery quick.

it was fine today, still full charged after a day of use.

a note on the dark energy I think is coming from the outer reaches drawn back into the sun with magnetic energy.

the wave seems to erase the inbound energy...

I doubt any of us believe the dark waves are from our magnetic field or it would be wobbling to what we are watching...

up to 36 hours now since it began hitting the red line

have a blast in Canada and remember what we are watching has been going on for millions of years, nothing to be afraid of...

but I'm trying to learn all the energies around and how they affect us and sun is a biggy...

no super cell storms and so far very quiet on earthquakes while rain is falling in drought states...

I'd say this experiment was pretty successful...

we're ready...

[Rocky_Shorz]

the energy sneaking in behind at night...

is purdy...

http://spaceweather.com/submissions/pics/r/Robert-Schwarz-IMG_5426_1342353817_med.jpg

[Jenci]

we've been red lining for 33 hours now...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif



Hi Rocky,

I see the red lines in the graph but what do they represent?


Jeanette

[Watching from Cyprus]

Hi there, we were on the beach all day Saturday in Cyprus, although being under the umbrella most of the time, we were really burned and we live here. I am swimming every morning all year around so i spend more than one our in the sun daily, and thereby i do not get burned, but Saturday i got really burned. Yesterday stayed in all day and today the sun is so strong you cannot even hold your arm outside the window. Temperature is over 100F/38C. Our cats dont want to be outside either, so that also is a warning that we should stay out of sunlight .

Love you all
Peter

[RunningDeer]

we've been red lining for 33 hours now...


Hi Rocky,

I see the red lines in the graph but what do they represent?

Jeanette

Hi Jeanette,

Maybe Rocky can better answer you in layperson terms, but for now these are some sites that may help. The links with the * on them are helpful sites to explain the chart you asked about. I’ve also added a couple of other points of interest.

My short answer is from a quoted source (http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html): “Kp-indices of 5 or greater indicate storm-level geomagnetic activity. Geomagnetic storms have been associated with satellite surface charging and increased atmospheric drag.”

Peace,
Paula

@ Rocky, I hope you don't mind me jumping in.

My favorite resource chart for detector signal and absorption of solar activity - http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/riometer/riom2_sel.cgi?latest=on&quickPlot=on

From the NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/index.html

* Geomagnetic K-indices - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/k-index.html

* 3-Day Estimated Planetary Kp-index Monitor- http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

* The K-index follow up link and explanation - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/info/Kindex.html
* Today’s Space Weather with Charts and Links - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html

NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/

Wikipedia on K-index (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K-index): "The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_magnetic_field) with an integer in the range 0-9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geomagnetic_storm). It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetometer) during a three-hour interval. The label 'K' origins from German 'Kennziffer'[1] meaning 'characteristic digit'...."

[Jenci]

Thanks for the links Paula. So 5 and above is geomagnetic storm and we have had over that in the last couple of days.

Jeanette

[greybeard]

Hi Jeanette

http://www.earthquakestoday.info/

Top right of the page is a link --- Solar activity now which give simple info

This is helpful too re vibrations of the earth crust (my words)
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/monitoring/operations/heliplots_gsn.php

Chris

[Rocky_Shorz]

Hi Rocky,

I see the red lines in the graph but what do they represent?

Jeanette

Hi Jeanette,

Maybe Rocky can better answer you in layperson terms, but for now these are some sites that may help. The links with the * on them are helpful sites to explain the chart you asked about. I’ve also added a couple of other points of interest.

My short answer is from a quoted source (http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html): “Kp-indices of 5 or greater indicate storm-level geomagnetic activity. Geomagnetic storms have been associated with satellite surface charging and increased atmospheric drag.”

Peace,
Paula

@ Rocky, I hope you don't mind me jumping in.

My favorite resource chart for detector signal and absorption of solar activity - http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/cgi-bin/riometer/riom2_sel.cgi?latest=on&quickPlot=on

From the NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/index.html

* Geomagnetic K-indices - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/k-index.html

* 3-Day Estimated Planetary Kp-index Monitor- http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

* The K-index follow up link and explanation - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/info/Kindex.html
* Today’s Space Weather with Charts and Links - http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html

NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/

Wikipedia on K-index (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K-index): "The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_magnetic_field) with an integer in the range 0-9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geomagnetic_storm). It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetometer) during a three-hour interval. The label 'K' origins from German 'Kennziffer'[1] meaning 'characteristic digit'...."

please anyone with answers feel free to jump in and share with all of us, I like to toss in my 2 cents, and just happen to have a big jar of pennies... ;)

[Rocky_Shorz]

we've been red lining for 33 hours now...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif



Hi Rocky,

I see the red lines in the graph but what do they represent?


Jeanette

well in Avalon terms it's when earth angels and indigos need to get to work... ;)

I've just started watching all the info available to all of us, and incorporated it into what else I have studied and finding how much these flares are affecting our planet.

now watching these ripples I have a time estimate related to different charts, I try to group them together so everyone can see what I'm keeping an eye on from my mobile.

I pop into Avalon as often as I can but my smart phone is still kinda dumb and won't let me post...

I'm going to take down a few of the graphics that are on the last page to keep reloads quick for everyone on this one...

[Sidney]

I have been feeling VERY ill today. brain fog, headache, nausea and vertigo. Went for a 2 hour kayaking, and got reallly burnt too. thought the fresh air and sun would do me good. i still feel like crap.:doh::yuck::wacko:

[astrid]

never a dull moment,
X flares , now a comet update.

TlcinLyt08E

Thanks Keith.
Some of these you tubers are
doing a fine job on the solar front i must say.

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

Oh boy!
Another whopper on the way.... :scared:


http://i45.tinypic.com/n6tlqc.jpg

http://i46.tinypic.com/2yyulmt.jpg

The following videos courtesy Helioviewer.org (http://www.helioviewer.org/)

wmdwMJ__nYg

aR02UnBNRwg



btw.
There are some stunning photos in the Aurora Gallery (http://spaceweather.com/gallery/index.php?title=aurora&title2=light) on Spaceweather.com (http://spaceweather.com/)

http://i45.tinypic.com/wv7lax.jpg

[Rocky_Shorz]

turned charts back on at the top to watch this one's affects...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20120717/20120717_1512_c2_512.jpg

it popped off after swinging away from us, but is still big enough for us to feel it passing...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/eit304/20120717/20120717_1319_eit304_512.jpg

Sunspot location in relation to us

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

[Rocky_Shorz]

turned out to be an M class that just brushes us, nothing like the last one...

I just noticed the thread on the light that passed across the screen, Machholz Comet Babies lead the way (http://projectavalon.net/forum4/showthread.php?47437-PICK-OF-THE-WEEK-Machholz-Comet-Babies-Lead-the-Way)

if that was a baby, how big is this thing?

[RunningDeer]

Sending you lots of smiles and thanks for your time and energies, Rocky Shorz! http://serve.mysmiley.net/jumping/jumping0044.gif (http://www.mysmiley.net)

[Rocky_Shorz]

one thing I noticed about this X Class Flare, these are some of the lowest energy levels we've had in a long time...

http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/HF%20Systems/Global%20HF/Ionospheric%20Map/WorldIMap0.gif

if earthquakes are related to the inbound energy, where did it all go from that flare...

Is there really more to mind over matter than we've been taught to believe?

could all of us concentrating on dispersing energy, really have made a difference?

so much of science is not yet known, human minds are a pretty awesome mystery...

are we on the doorsteps of new discoveries?

[MorningSong]

According to the data at SolarSoft, we got a double whammy of M-flares this morning: one, M6.7, at starting at 4:13, peaking at 5:41 and subsiding at 7:45...then another, M7.7, starting at5:132, peaking and subsiding at 5:58. Both were from suspot 1520 which is turning away from earth on the western limb on it's way to the other side of the sun.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120719_0413.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120719_0513.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

GOES X-ray flux only shows one flare.

Another proton flux is underway.

From spaceweather.com:


ALMOST X-FLARE : Sunspot complex AR1520-1521 erupted again on July 19th, this time producing an M7-class solar flare that almost crossed the threshold into X-territory. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/19jul12/m7_strip.jpg

The explosion produced a bright coronal mass ejection: movie. The cloud should miss Earth.

Although the explosion occured on the other side of the sun's western limb, our planet could feel some effects. The blast site is magnetically connected to Earth by backward-spiralling lines of magnetic force. Protons accelerated by the flare are being guided to us by those lines of magnetism, and a mild radiation storm is underway.

[astrid]

Wow... stunning images here,


EYU-UnIrTO8

[Rocky_Shorz]

for those who have enjoyed this nice quiet sun thinking it is over... ummm

this is what is about to swing towards us...

http://gong2.nso.edu/dailyimages/img/hot-farside/gong_calib_farside.jpg
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif
http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/HF%20Systems/Global%20HF/Ionospheric%20Map/WorldIMap0.gif
are they giving us a hint of what's coming by raising the dark energy max from 50 to 65?
http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png
quake map (http://www.emsc.eu/#2w)
http://static1.emsc-csem.org/Images/map_zoom/WEBMAPS/24H/TWORLD.24hours.jpg?dt=1342337257217

[MorningSong]

Yes, sir! A huge flare and full-halo CME event took place this morning on the backside:

_tkKKvlP0as

It isn't Earth directed but the proton flux has already started arriving... this was absolutely huge, folks!

[MorningSong]

Latest from spaceweather.com:


VERY FAST FARSIDE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) blasted away from the sun this morning with rare speed: 2930 km/s or 6.5 million mph. CMEs moving this fast occur only once every ~5 to 10 years. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud's emergence on July 23rd starting around 0300 UT:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/23jul12/rcme_strip2.jpg

The source of the CME was sunspot AR1520, which sparked many bright auroras earlier this montth when it was on the Earthside of the sun. Now, however, the active region is transiting the sun's farside so this blast was not geoeffective. One can only imagine the geomagnetic storms such a fast CME could produce if it were heading our way. Stay tuned for additional analysis.

Update: According to a forecast track prepared by analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, this CME will miss all of the solar system's inner planets.

[astrid]

Yep.. i was just watching Keith's clip of this one

EEjQAhMAZgg

[Rocky_Shorz]

Yes, sir! A huge flare and full-halo CME event took place this morning on the backside:

_tkKKvlP0as

It isn't Earth directed but the proton flux has already started arriving... this was absolutely huge, folks!

the back side is quieting down since I first glanced, we were all hoping for them to disappear, this mind over matter stuff is great!!!

did anyone estimate the size of that backside burst?

[MorningSong]

No, Rocky, I haven't seen any estimate on the power of that flare....would be nice to know, though.

[Rocky_Shorz]

it blew out away from us, then the magnetic pull of the sun drew them all back again and pummeled us. I didn't realize before that flare it doesn't matter which way it is pointed when it is a big one, we are affected...

[Sidney]

Looky what just popped!!!! And we had the weirdest sunset hours tonight. Looked like had some auroras influencing. I will try to upload some footage I took. But it might be tomorrow.


17549

17548

[astrid]

Keith is predicting that this solar cycle will last until 2014!

0y-dd-ucFsg

[astrid]

aXVv7dvR9b4

[MorningSong]

Just a quick update on the past 3 days of solar activity:

We got an M-flare on the 27th, on the 28th (M6.1 from sunspot 1532) and one already this morning (M2).

SolarMonitor and SolarSoft are showing "No Data" flags... sats might be down (?). IPS has not updated since July 19. SolarHam's on vacation.

The proton flux has decreased but is still above normal levels and flowing at a pretty constant rate.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/pro_3d.html

Yesterday we got a Gamma-ray burst from the constellation of Vela.

http://grb.sonoma.edu/

From spaceweather.com:


SOLAR ACTIVITY PICKS UP: Sunspot AR1532 is crackling with M-class solar flares. The latest, an M6-class eruption on July 28th (2056 UT), produced a bright flash of extreme ultraviolet radiation, shown here in a snapshot from the Solar Dynamics Observatory:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/28jul12/m5_strip.jpg

Update: Contrary to earlier reports, this explosion did produce a CME and the cloud is heading for Earth. According to a forecast track prepared by analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, the CME will reach our planet on July 31st at 1500 UT (+/- 7 hours). Weak to moderate geomagnetic storms are possible when the cloud arrives.

From SolarWatcher:

f2bFo-1MFag

And this as well from spaceweather.com:


GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on July 29-30 in response to a high-speed solar wind stream buffeting Earth's magnetic field. Even stronger storming could occur on July 31st when a CME associated with yesterday's M6-flare arrives. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras for the next three nights.

[Rocky_Shorz]

SDO is still showing current images...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

It's swinging into range so any flares/CME in the next 4 days are earthbound...

[Rocky_Shorz]

looks like it's hitting about 7AM my time, not huge but more than middle America needs right now...

World Peace? ;)

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/30jul12/forecasttrack_strip2.jpg

[Sidney]

You know, when that last cme popped,, Saturday midnightish into early sunday morning, I got an instant migrain headache. When I woke up sunday morning I felt like I had a horrible hangover. ( I had one beer Saturday night). Well, I didn't know that there had been a cme because the lasco movie thing was down. Well, now that I have seen it, I have a question. If it takes a couple days for "it" to get here, why do I have physical symptoms during the actual event. This is not the first time, this is a regular thing, however this one was more intense than most.

[MorningSong]

starchild111, what takes days to get to earth is the solar wind/plasma impact. There are other thngs that get to Earth much sooner, and that might be what you are sensing.

For example, sometimes before I get to see that there has been a big flare on the usual outlets I like to look at, I will look at the SWPC alerts and see that there have been "Sudden Impulses", "Type II (or Type IV) Emmissions" or 10cm Radio Bursts"....whatever they mean. Those alerts tell me that something has occured, you see.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

In fact, the link above does show these kinds of events almost immediately after the actual flare(s) went off.. long before we "commoners" get any notification that the flare has occured, how big it was, where it came from, and if it is heading towards us or not.

I'm sure someone has posted this before, but this site (click all over) gives some good explainations on how solar flares affect us:

http://www.carliniinstitute.com/how_recent_solar_flares_are_affecting_us

Other links to good info:

http://www.naturalnews.com/032045_solar_flares_Earth.html

http://www.mazzastick.com/2012/03/09/solar-flares-yes-we-are-all-connected-and-yes-everything-affects-everything-else-in-our-universe/

http://www.earthchangesmedia.com/mitch.php

http://helenbukulmez.com/2012/03/09/solar-flares-do-affect-our-moods/

http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/ciencia/ciencia_consciousuniverse50.htm

http://www.americanlivewire.com/solar-flares/

[Sidney]

Thank you so much for that morningsong!! That is a great explanation, and great links too. I am glad its not all in my head...LOL well, actually it feels like its all in my head. :wacko:

[Rocky_Shorz]

Thank you so much for that morningsong!! That is a great explanation, and great links too. I am glad its not all in my head...LOL well, actually it feels like its all in my head. :wacko:.

the best way to track flares, is this graph, when I get a rush, it means we were just hit by an X-ray burst, looking at the graph you see a peak in the light purple...

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

[Rocky_Shorz]

900 million people lost power in India, half the population when the energy from this solar flare hit...

don't worry folks, not even worthy of mentioning in the news...

[Sidney]

Anomaly seen in SOHO Aug 2.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq4a3CrYPlM

[MorningSong]

News from SuspiciousObservers:

gEbBxcC9IVs

I don't know at what time that video was done, but it looks like a filament eruption has occured on the southeastern limb producing a long duration C3.6 flare.

[Wind]

Look at this!

7hgPk_AQc7w

[Rocky_Shorz]

spaceweather has it in color...

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/04aug12/filament_strip.jpg

http://spaceweather.com

pretty cool cloud pic...

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/04aug12/flyingsaucers_strip.jpg


On August 1st, Ken Rotberg observed a pair of rainbow-colored saucers over Delray Beach, Florida --but they weren't UFOs. The technical term is pileus clouds:

[MorningSong]

I was sure I had posted the spaceweather.com update....oh well, Thanks, Rocky!

Here's SuspiciousObservers' latest:

viarKkc8S-M

[nearing]

Undead filament. Lol. Exciting times.

[Rocky_Shorz]

when I first spotted that vine, I knew it was bad, but the video description should have us all on the edge of our seats...

[MorningSong]

A yet-to-be-numbered active region in the southwestern hemisphere of the sun (S14 E88) has made its presence known today showing off with 3 significant flares: a C9.4 at 00:45 UTC, an M1.6 at 04:41 UTC and a C6.3 at 08:21 UTC.... Although these flares are not expected to be very geoeffective, let's keep an eye on this spot for the next 2 weeks.

http://www.solarham.net/pictures/archive/aug6_2012_c9.4.jpg

From spaceweather.com:


CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 25% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on August 7/8. That's when a coronal mass ejection (CME) hurled into space by a filament eruption on Aug. 4 could deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field.

We need to watch out for a possible filament eruption, too... the "vine" is now center stage:

http://umbra.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/latest_aia_304.gif

[Sidney]

That "vine" looks to me to be earth facing.. Is it?

[MorningSong]

By "center stage", I mean Earth facing, yes.

[Jenci]

A (another) story in msm yesterday about the potential danger of solar flares

http://news.sky.com/story/969059/world-on-alert-for-massive-solar-storm



Thanks to everyone for their posts in this thread. :)
Jeanette

[CD7]

Well dont need any videos to tell me what's center stage as whatever has been coming around yesterday and today is IMpactful! Another experience im noticing regularly is increased neck and shoulder pain during high intensity moments with the "sun" ....was pretty heavy this morning..as if a planet were sitting at the crux of my neck...felt so strong i could vomit...

However i was lucky enough to have someone work it out for me which helped a great deal. She said "what did u do to yourself" I thought i have no idea as i am under no stress right now in personal life...its actually the least its been for most of my life. So chiming in....

[CD7]

JrkwKiM-trU

[MorningSong]

OK, folks! Now I am really confused!

First I must ask for your patience; my dyslexia is worsening with age and that in itself doesn't help you who are reading my posts. I will try to take more time proofing before hitting the "submit" button, I promise! But....

Yesterday, I reported on 3 important flares that had occured. I wrote that these flares originated from the SW (see the post....oops), but they were definately on the SE side; see the pict I posted from SolarHam.net and I even wrote in my post, copied from SolarSoft, the coordinants of the flares.....

http://projectavalon.net/forum4/showthread.php?29825-Sun-Stuff-What-s-up-&p=533483&viewfull=1#post533483

Today, checking out the list of events again, I noticed that the location of the flares that I reported yesterday have been changed:

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

The first one (the C9.4, the one on SolarHam.net) has been taken OFF the data lists and the other 2 (M1.6 and C6.3) have been accreditted to a totally different (unnumbered sunspot?) active region on the NorthWESTERN side of the Earth-facing part of the sun (N33W12 and N32W13). Here are the new picts.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120806_0433.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120806_0810.png

In the pict I posted (from SolarHam.net), you can clearly see the "vine" filament" on the RIGHT, so this flare WAS on the SouthEastern side! I hate that I didn't post the picts of the other 2.

So....

What do you make of all this? Were the pictograms read (mounted) incorrectly? And how is that possible?

I'm just going nuts... I reckon.

[Rocky_Shorz]

the Lasco images were flipped yesterday over on .mil, so you aren't the only one confused...

maybe it was the Manhattenhenge... ;)

[CD7]

OR take the train trackoffthehenge effect :p

[Rocky_Shorz]

this map is still positioned the same and looks like the black spots are fading...

http://vso.tuc.noao.edu/GONG/farside/HMI/latest_cal_map.jpg

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_211_193_171_1024.jpg

[nearing]

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_211_193_171_1024.jpg

This image just screams ACTIVE sun! It's also very beautiful.

[Rocky_Shorz]

we are trying to talk the mods into putting that one up at the top to watch activity...

is knowing aurora important?

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/gif/pmapN.gif

why in the antarctic is the majority of energy on the Ausies and Zealanders?

related to quakes and volcanoes?

http://spaceweather.com/POES_PICS/poes_latest240_australia.gif

[MorningSong]

I peek at the aurora data to get an idea of the extent of ionization (good or bad?) in the upper atmosphere. It's often an alarm for me that there is a solar storm in progress when the level is high (7-10).

I also hope to see the auroras again.... I'm such a romantic! lol

Back to business....

Here's the latest from SuspiciousObservers:

oquTPSOaOVE

From SolarHam.net:


Updated 8/9/2012 @ 12:40 UTC
Solar Update
Sunspot 1542 produced a solar flare reaching C8.4 at 11:47 UTC this morning. There are currently 7 visible sunspot groups on the Earth facing side of the Sun. A moderate solar flare reaching M1.0+ may be possible today.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120809_1136.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120809_1136.html

[Sidney]

Entire footage of 8-09-2012 missing. Anybody know what kind of activity may have caused this??

[CD7]

Hummm odd photo..anyone know why it looks like this?


http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/c2/512/latest.jpg

[MorningSong]

Wow, starchild111...that is odd (not amazed anymore, though).

Christinedream7, it looks like there was a surge of energy...big CMEs will cause the SOHO sats to take picts like the one frozen on Lasco2 right now (for 2012-08-10 9:35 UTC...

This should be what you posted:

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20120810/20120810_0935_c2_512.jpg

Wow! just as I am writing this, it moved to 2012-08-10 19:12!

There is no data testifying that there has been a flare... lots going on though, for sure:

http://www.lmsal.com/hek/her?cmd=home

SolarHam.net has this goodie:


Added 8/10/2012 @ 15:35 UTC
Farside Eruption
An eruption on the farside of the Sun near old regions 1530-1532 produced a bright Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) this morning. This image by STEREO Behind COR2 shows the plasma cloud blasting away from the Sun. Because this was a farsided event, the CME will not be Earth directed.

Enlil shows 2 CME flares popping off on the 8th that could graze Earth on the 11th (tomorrow).

http://www.solarham.net/cmewatch2.htm

BUT...the iSAWC cygnet streamer only show the farside CME:

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-02-27+00:49:00&window=-1&cygnetId=261

[CD7]

Thanks Morningsong! Didnt realize the image changed...thx for the still!

[Rocky_Shorz]

those blackouts always happen on the X-ray burst from a flare...

http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/javagif/gifs_small/20120810_0935_d2.gif

it followed behind this...

http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/javagif/gifs_small/20120810_0920_d2.gif

the next image after the scrambled one was this...

http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/javagif/gifs_small/20120810_0950_d2.gif

these images will disappear...

the very next shot after, like it never happened...

http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/javagif/gifs_small/20120810_1004_d2.gif

[MorningSong]

Today at 12:20UTC an M1.0 flare erupted from sunspot 1540:

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120811_1155.png

Iran was hit with two big EQs about the same time: 6.4 12:23 and 6.3 at 12:34. there were several aftershocks in the 5-4 range.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.php

Here's this morning's news from SuspiciousObservers:

OBLF-Y2qxaw

From SolarHam.net:


pdated 8/11/2012 @ 13:55 UTC
M1.0 Flare
A long duration M1.0 solar flare took place this morning and was centered around Sunspot 1540. There was some interaction with Sunspot 1544 as well. Watch as plasma is magnetically pulled back in towards 1544 located to the east.

eRFA6KmBNUA

[astrid]

Interesting

LyxGm2M_4Vc

[Rocky_Shorz]

I had been studying this, watching the energy from the sun side, and the energy that came in from behind where there is no shield...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23%2000:44:00&window=-1&cygnetId=40

these two satellites will hopefully be answering some of our questions...

[Eram]

New system could predict solar flares, give advance warning.


August 13, 2012
New system could predict solar flares, give advance warning

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. - Researchers may have discovered a new method to predict solar flares more than a day before they occur, providing advance warning to help protect satellites, power grids and astronauts from potentially dangerous radiation.

The system works by measuring differences in gamma radiation emitted when atoms in radioactive elements "decay," or lose energy. This rate of decay is widely believed to be constant, but recent findings challenge that long-accepted rule.

The new detection technique is based on a hypothesis that radioactive decay rates are influenced by solar activity, possibly streams of subatomic particles called solar neutrinos. This influence can wax and wane due to seasonal changes in the Earth's distance from the sun and also during solar flares, according to the hypothesis, which is supported with data published in a dozen research papers since it was proposed in 2006, said Ephraim Fischbach, a Purdue University professor of physics.

Fischbach and Jere Jenkins, a nuclear engineer and director of radiation laboratories in the School of Nuclear Engineering, are leading research to study the phenomenon and possibly develop a new warning system. Jenkins, monitoring a detector in his lab in 2006, discovered that the decay rate of a radioactive sample changed slightly beginning 39 hours before a large solar flare.

Since then, researchers have been examining similar variation in decay rates before solar flares, as well as those resulting from Earth's orbit around the sun and changes in solar rotation and activity. The new findings appeared online last week in the journal Astroparticle Physics.

"It's the first time the same isotope has been used in two different experiments at two different labs, and it showed basically the same effect," Fischbach said. The paper was authored by Jenkins and Fischbach; Ohio State University researchers Kevin R. Herminghuysen, Thomas E. Blue, Andrew C. Kauffman and Joseph W. Talnagi; U.S. Air Force researcher Daniel Javorsek; Mayo Clinic researcher Daniel W. Mundy; and Stanford University researcher Peter A. Sturrock.

Data were recorded during routine weekly calibration of an instrument used for radiological safety at Ohio State's research reactor. Findings showed a clear annual variation in the decay rate of a radioactive isotope called chlorine 36, with the highest rate in January and February and the lowest rate in July and August, over a period from July 2005 to June 2011.

The new observations support previous work by Jenkins and Fischbach to develop a method for predicting solar flares. Advance warning could allow satellite and power grid operators to take steps to minimize impact and astronauts to shield themselves from potentially lethal radiation emitted during solar storms.

The findings agree with data previously collected at the Brookhaven National Laboratory regarding the decay rate of chlorine 36; changes in the decay rate were found to match changes in the Earth-sun distance and Earth's exposure to different parts of the sun itself, Fischbach said.

Large solar flares may produce a "coronal mass ejection" of highly energetic particles, which can interact with the Earth's magnetosphere, triggering geomagnetic storms that sometimes knock out power. The sun's activity is expected to peak over the next year or so as part of an 11-year cycle that could bring strong solar storms.

Solar storms can be especially devastating if the flare happens to be aimed at the Earth, hitting the planet directly with powerful charged particles. A huge solar storm, called the Carrington event, hit the Earth in 1859, a time when the only electrical infrastructure consisted of telegraph lines.

"There was so much energy from this solar storm that the telegraph wires were seen glowing and the aurora borealis appeared as far south as Cuba," Fischbach said. "Because we now have a sophisticated infrastructure of satellites, power grids and all sort of electronic systems, a storm of this magnitude today would be catastrophic. Having a day and a half warning could be really helpful in averting the worst damage."

Satellites, for example, might be designed so that they could be temporarily shut down and power grids might similarly be safeguarded before the storm arrived.

Researchers have recorded data during 10 solar flares since 2006, seeing the same pattern.

"We have repeatedly seen a precursor signal preceding a solar flare," Fischbach said. "We think this has predictive value."

The Purdue experimental setup consists of a radioactive source - manganese 54 - and a gamma-radiation detector. As the manganese 54 decays, it turns into chromium 54, emitting a gamma ray, which is recorded by the detector to measure the decay rate.

Purdue has filed a U.S. patent application for the concept.

Research findings show evidence that the phenomenon is influenced by the Earth's distance from the sun; for example, decay rates are different in January and July, when the Earth is closest and farthest from the sun, respectively.

"When the Earth is farther away, we have fewer solar neutrinos and the decay rate is a little slower," Jenkins said. "When we are closer, there are more neutrinos, and the decay a little faster."

Researchers also have recorded both increases and decreases in decay rates during solar storms.

"What this is telling us is that the sun does influence radioactive decay," Fischbach said.

Neutrinos have the least mass of any known subatomic particle, yet it is plausible that they are somehow affecting the decay rate, he said.

English physicist Ernest Rutherford, known as the father of nuclear physics, in the 1930s conducted experiments indicating the radioactive decay rate is constant, meaning it cannot be altered by external influences.

"Since neutrinos have essentially no mass or charge, the idea that they could be interacting with anything is foreign to physics," Jenkins said. "So, we are saying something that doesn't interact with anything is changing something that can't be changed. Either neutrinos are affecting decay rate or perhaps an unknown particle is."

Jenkins discovered the effect by chance in 2006, when he was watching television coverage of astronauts spacewalking at the International Space Station. A solar flare had erupted and was thought to possibly pose a threat to the astronauts. He decided to check his equipment and discovered that a change in decay-rate had preceded the solar flare.

Further research is needed to confirm the findings and to expand the work using more sensitive equipment, he said.

Jenkins and Fischbach have previously collaborated with Peter Sturrock, a professor emeritus of applied physics at Stanford University and an expert on the inner workings of the sun, to examine data collected at Brookhaven on the decay rate of radioactive isotopes silicon-32 and chlorine-36. The team reported in 2010 in Astroparticle Physics that the decay rate for both isotopes varies in a 33-day recurring pattern, which they attribute to the rotation rate of the sun's core.

The group found evidence of the same annual and 33-day effect in radium-226 data taken at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) in Braunschweig, Germany, and those findings were published in 2011. They also found an additional 154-day recurring pattern in both the Brookhaven and PTB data, published in 2011, which they believe to be solar related and similar to a known solar effect called a Rieger periodicity.

Writer: Emil Venere, 765-494-4709, venere@purdue.edu

Sources: Ephraim Fischbach, 765-494-5506, ephraim@purdue.edu

Jere Jenkins, 765-496-3573, jere@purdue.edu

source (http://www.purdue.edu/newsroom/releases/2012/Q3/new-system-could-predict-solar-flares,-give-advance-warning.html)

[Sidney]

I had been studying this, watching the energy from the sun side, and the energy that came in from behind where there is no shield...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23%2000:44:00&window=-1&cygnetId=40

these two satellites will hopefully be answering some of our questions...

Interesting, to say the least.

[MorningSong]

A new active region (yet to to be numbered) has been active with flares today.

As of 18:00 UTC, 11 flares have come from that region, 2 of which were M-flares.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120817_1312.png

Because of the positon of the sunspot, they should not have any effect on Earth, but let us keep an eye on this area as the Sun turns to bring it in view.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

[Rocky_Shorz]

busy day for flares...

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

[MorningSong]

This new avtive region is really fire up- even this morning it is popping off M-flares, one early this morning at 00:24 UTC was an M5.5er. An M1.8 occured at 3:17 UTC. Several C-flares have followed.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120818_0024.png

Indonesia got a 6.6 mag EQ at 9:41 UTC.

[Hervé]

From: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/08/120816150801.htm (http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/08/120816150801.htm)


Sun's Almost Perfectly Round Shape Baffles Scientists

ScienceDaily (Aug. 16, 2012) — The sun is nearly the roundest object ever measured. If scaled to the size of a beach ball, it would be so round that the difference between the widest and narrow diameters would be much less than the width of a human hair.


http://images.sciencedaily.com/2012/08/120816150801-large.jpg


The sun rotates every 28 days, and because it doesn't have a solid surface, it should be slightly flattened. This tiny flattening has been studied with many instruments for almost 50 years to learn about the sun's rotation, especially the rotation below its surface, which we can't see directly.

Now Jeff Kuhn and Isabelle Scholl (Institute for Astronomy, University of Hawaii at Manoa), Rock Bush (Stanford University), and Marcelo Emilio (Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa, Brazil) have used the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory satellite to obtain what they believe is the definitive -- and baffling -- answer.

Because there is no atmosphere in space to distort the solar image, they were able to use HMI's exquisite image sensitivity to measure the solar shape with unprecedented accuracy. The results indicate that if the Sun were shrunk to a ball one meter in diameter, its equatorial diameter would be only 17 millionths of a meter larger than the diameter through its North-South pole, which is its rotation axis.
They also found that the solar flattening is remarkably constant over time and too small to agree with that predicted from its surface rotation. This suggests that other subsurface forces, like solar magnetism or turbulence, may be a more powerful influence than expected.

Kuhn, the team leader and first author of an article published Aug. 16 in Science Express, said, "For years we've believed our fluctuating measurements were telling us that the sun varies, but these new results say something different. While just about everything else in the sun changes along with its 11-year sunspot cycle, the shape doesn't."

This work was supported by NASA grants to Stanford University and the University of Hawaii.




More information about SDO:

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/sdo/main/index.html

[Hervé]

From that same site: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/08/120817084024.htm


Hot Solar Wind: Magnetic Turbulence Trumps Collisions to Heat Solar Wind

ScienceDaily (Aug. 17, 2012) — New research, led by University of Warwick physicist Dr Kareem Osman, has provided significant insight into how the solar wind heats up when it should not. The solar wind rushes outwards from the raging inferno that is our Sun, but from then on the wind should only get cooler as it expands beyond our solar system since there are no particle collisions to dissipate energy. However, the solar wind is surprisingly hotter than it should be, which has puzzled scientists for decades. Two new research papers led by Dr Osman may have solved that puzzle.

[...]

The new research led by Dr. Kareem Osman at the University of Warwick's Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics has revealed how turbulence heats the solar wind. He says: "Turbulence stretches and bends magnetic field lines, and often two oppositely directed field lines can come together to form a current sheet. These current sheets, which are distributed randomly in space, could be sites where the magnetic field snaps and reconnects transferring energy to particle heating. There are also many more ways that current sheets can heat and accelerate the plasma."

The researchers set thresholds in the strength of these current sheets, to determine how proton temperature was related to current sheet strength. The results show convincingly that these current sheets are associated with temperature enhancements, and that the strongest are also the hottest. While each current sheet does not provide a lot of heating, collectively the current sheets account for 50% of the solar wind internal energy despite only representing 19% of all the solar wind data. Even more striking, the strongest current sheets which only make up 2% of the solar wind were found to be responsible for 11% of the internal energy of the system.

The researchers also found that current sheets heat the solar wind in a very interesting manner; the heating is not equal in all directions.

This temperature anisotropy can drive plasma instabilities and the strongest current sheets where preferentially found in plasma that is unstable to particular types of these instabilities called 'firehose' and 'mirror'.

[Rocky_Shorz]

wow... little purple blips just don't tell the story...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Epam_p_7d.gif?foo=1310524799

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/summary_plot_extmag.png

[Wind]

Wow! Can someone explain to me that what on Earth those readings mean?! I've been having major headache...

[Sidney]

Wow! Can someone explain to me that what on Earth those readings mean?! I've been having major headache...

No clue, but I've had "solar" symptoms all day too. Somethings going on.:flame:

[InTheBackground]

Saw something about an X flare on Sunday on the Up at the Ranch thread...

[Rocky_Shorz]

33 blew on farside and they are hiding what it looks like...

2 weeks and we'll know

[Wind]

They're not even good at lying.

[Rocky_Shorz]

while looking around I found a chart on Magnetic energies...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Mag_7d.gif

here is a combination of Magnetic fields, solar winds...

notice Phi how it goes from 0 to 360... positive to negative instantly...

when you start getting a headache, let me know which one seems to be changing the most...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Mag_swe_7d.gif

[MorningSong]

Here's SuspiciousObserver's news from yesterday....explains much:

3JtmZrCDics

And as for the atmospheric ionization, this from spaceweather.com gives us another dot to add to the puzzzle:


RED SPRITES: High above Earth in the realm of meteors and noctilucent clouds, a strange and beautiful form of lightning dances at the edge of space. Researchers call the bolts "sprites"; they are red, fleeting, and tend to come in bunches. Jesper Grønne of Silkeborg, Denmark, photographed these specimens on August 15th:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/20aug12/sprites_strip.jpg

"After several years of hunting sprites from my location in Denmark, I finally caught some last week--the first danish Red Sprites ever photographed," says Grønne. "They were located 50 km to 90 km above a thunderstorm some 350 km away over the North Sea. There were 2 flashes, each producing 5-6 individual Red Sprites."

"Sprites are a true space weather phenomenon," explains lightning scientist Oscar van der Velde of Sant Vicenç de Castellet, Spain. "They develop in mid-air around 80 km altitude, growing in both directions, first down, then up. This happens when a fierce lightning bolt draws lots of charge from a cloud near Earth's surface. Electric fields [shoot] to the top of Earth's atmosphere--and the result is a sprite. The entire process takes about 20 milliseconds."

Although sprites have been seen for at least a century, most scientists did not believe they existed until after 1989 when sprites were photographed by cameras onboard the space shuttle. Now "sprite chasers" routinely photograph sprites from their own homes. "I used an astro-modified Canon 5D II in video-mode to catch my sprites," says Grønne. Give it a try!

[Rocky_Shorz]

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_211_193_171_1024.jpg

I still hope they put this up to replace the HMI images and EIT 304

[Rocky_Shorz]

look how far that reached up from the sun... is it a twister or snapped Filament?

http://projectavalon.net/forum4/asset.php?fid=13734&uid=25&d=1345956727

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_1024_0304.jpg

[Sidney]

Interesting stuff seen on SOHO movie---zoom in all the way to see detail. in this first image, looks like beam is coming from the anomaly attached to it. the second, what is that huge blob? third, obvious edit(to me anyway)

18005
18006
18007


editing things out with pixels??

[Rocky_Shorz]

well our quiet from the sun is coming to an end, check out what is swinging around towards us...

http://vso.tuc.noao.edu/GONG/farside/HMI/latest_cal_map.jpg

[MorningSong]

And as the Sun turns.....

A new active region in the SE hemisphere has drawn out attention with a series of C-flares in the past few days and today, an M1.3 at 12:11 UTC.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120830_1202.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

Lasco2/3 is frozen at 14:48 /14:42 UTC... Solarsoft has yet to update beyond the flare mentioned above..... the wait is on (but was it ever off?):confused:

[MorningSong]

From Spaceweather.com:


IONIZATION WAVES: Magnetic fields snaking around the sun's southeastern limb are crackling with C- and M-class solar flares. Extreme UV pulses from the flares are illuminating Earth's upper atmosphere, causing waves of ionization to ripple around the dayside of our planet. Rob Stammes detected the sudden ionospheric disturbances (SIDs) from his laboratory in Lofoton, Norway:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/30aug12/sid_strip.gif

"The extra ionization altered the propagation of very low frequency radio signals around Northern Europe," explains Stammes. "I detected these changes using my 60 kHz SID receiver."

More ionization waves are in the offing. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of M-class solar flares during the next 24 hours

NOAA/SPace Weather Alerts from SWPC have:


Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 1953
Issue Time: 2012 Aug 31 1351 UTC

CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 1952
Begin Time: 2012 Aug 28 1535 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1129 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Electron.gif

So, the idea is that there is still a lot of energy flowing into our atmosphere...watch the huricanes, storms in general and EQs!

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

We just had a huge filament eruption.
Sorry, I have no other data at the moment, other than these vusuals/captures. (As soon as I have more info, I will add to the post ie. whether it is earth facing or not)



mUJnptVzBRY

http://i47.tinypic.com/2upxyzb.jpg
http://i45.tinypic.com/xksmj5.jpg
http://i45.tinypic.com/5p3nzd.jpg
http://i46.tinypic.com/1heblg.jpg


http://i50.tinypic.com/350t1s5.jpg

[MorningSong]

WOw! That was a spectacular lift-off!

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120831_1945.png

The filament eruption caused a C8.4 flare, not directed at Earth, yet, to me, it looks like a full halo, so it could serve a glancing brush in about 48 hours.

http://spaceweather.gmu.edu/seeds/realtime/2012/08/det_png/20120831_2124_seeds.png

I'm expection a proton event, but we'll see....

[Wind]

That looks amazing! I haven't seen anything like that before.

[Sidney]

Holy Crap.. I had a feeling that lid was going to blow today. combine that with a full moon and I am expecting a mood swing this weekend, or Monday. lol:wacko::dance::Cry::bounce::frusty::croc:

Also note that the footage stops at 16:00 then picks up at 21 something right in the middle of this event. I would REALLY like to know what they edited out in those 5 hours immediately preceeding this flare.

[Rocky_Shorz]

I noticed the second graph disappeared showing the far side filled with sunspots... A/C out again? ;)

http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/javagif/gifs_small/20120831_2112_d2.gif

after seeing the image, this was a Solar filament collapse with hyder flare...

http://i45.tinypic.com/5p3nzd.jpg

edited after seeing they replaced the second with a copy of the first, they aren't showing the one we need to keep an eye on...

http://gong2.nso.edu/dailyimages/img/hot-farside/gong_calib_farside.jpg
http://vso.tuc.noao.edu/GONG/farside/HMI/latest_cal_map.jpg

if this really is a current image, that massive explosion blew all the sunspots from the farside...

[Rocky_Shorz]

we have a few earth directed sunspots in orange, which means they could pop off, most likely minor flares...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

no missing this wave, 3 days out...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261

[Rocky_Shorz]

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/31aug12/besteruption_strip2.jpg (http://spaceweather.com/)

it is another that needs to be downloaded off the Spaceweather.com site...


MAGNIFICENT ERUPTION: A filament of magnetism curling around the sun's southeastern limb erupted on August 31st, producing a coronal mass ejection (CME), a C8-class solar flare, and one of the most beautiful movies ever recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:


The explosion hurled a CME away from the sun traveling faster than 500 km/s (1.1 million mph). The cloud, shown here, is not heading directly toward Earth, but it could deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field on or about September 3rd. This date is preliminary and may be changed in response to more data from coronagraphs on the Solar and Heliophysics Observatory

I counted 4 in this movie...

and for those with a really good eye...

was that a stargate open, then shutting?

naaaa...

[Rocky_Shorz]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P5KKHzWafDg

[Ineffable Hitchhiker]

A beautiful capture of the filament eruption.

http://i45.tinypic.com/2pp0kz7.jpg



Current Solar Data NOAA (http://www.n3kl.org/sun/noaa.html) is showing an increase in activity.



e2O6YV6TIJg

Spectacular Magnetic Filament Eruption located in the southeastern limb has erupted sending a huge Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) heading for the Earth. The plasma filled feature stretched hundreds of thousands of kilometers across the sun became unstable and exploded. CME impact is expected late Sep 2nd and strong Geomagnetic storms will be possible.



cL4FWsYRv8A

A C8.4 solar flare associated with a
large filament eruption near S06E20 occurred at 31/2043Z associated
with Type II (estimated speed 515 km/s) and Type IV radio sweeps. A
CME first became visible on SDO/AIA 304 imagery at approximately
1945Z. Further evaluation will be conducted as SOHO LASCO imagery
becomes available.

[MorningSong]

Thanks, Rocky, for the CME arrival cygnet... it hadn't been updated when I posted the preliminaries last night. Looks like we'll get a good dose of the storm.

As for the proton event, it has begun:

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Proton.gif

The Kp index is going up as well as the frequency of auroras (charged particles).

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/

[InTheBackground]

Can I just say how grateful I am to all of you for keeping us up-to-date on the Sun's activities? ::::grouphug::::

[Rocky_Shorz]

we just had a small earth directed flare little, but hitting on top of the other's energy...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

the spiral left the big one out of the calculation...

imagine having a huge wave of magnetism pass, then another Magnetic wave races to catch up to the first, earth, being Magnetic sitting in the center... try it with home magnets with a floating magnetic marble in the center...

you will see it wobble trying to escape the two fields...

http://spaceweather.com/POES_PICS/poes_latest240_northamerica.gif
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif

[MorningSong]

From spaceweather.com:


CME IMPACT, GEOMAGNETIC STORM: As expected, a coronal mass ejection hit Earth on Sept. 3rd at approximately 1200 UT (5 am PDT). The impact induced significant ground currents in the soil of northern Scandinavia and sparked bright auroras around the Arctic Circle. A moderate geomagnetic storm is underway.

Jonathan Tucker photographed this display over Whitehorse in the Yukon Territories during the early hours of Sept. 3rd:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/03sep12/yukon_strip2.jpg

The Storm is actually subsiding, as you all can tell by just looking at the Kp index graph in the above post.

[Rocky_Shorz]

it is interesting seeing how a single blast builds into waves, instead of a single slam...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

http://spaceweather.com/POES_PICS/poes_latest240_northamerica.gif
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif

[kevlar]

"Here comes the sun: Astonishing 'whip' half a million miles long spotted on solar surface (and scientists say radiation from it is heading for earth)" from the Mail Online.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2197675/Here-comes-sun-Astonishing-solar-whip-half-million-miles-long-spotted-solar-surface.html#ixzz25Rq8rVRdhttp://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetec

Love kevlar

[Jenci]

"Here comes the sun: Astonishing 'whip' half a million miles long spotted on solar surface (and scientists say radiation from it is heading for earth)" from the Mail Online.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2197675/Here-comes-sun-Astonishing-solar-whip-half-million-miles-long-spotted-solar-surface.html#ixzz25Rq8rVRdhttp://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetec


This is a good picture from the article

http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/09/03/article-0-14D17EF1000005DC-35_964x959.jpg

[Sidney]

Saturday late afternoon around 5 or so, I had a very strange episode of overwhelming vertigo/nausea that it literally knocked me to the floor. I had to go lay down for about 45 minutes, then I was fine. My first thought was, "I wonder if this is solar related". Did anyone else have anything odd like that occur?? And is this about the same time when the "wave" may have hit the central united states region??

[greybeard]

Saturday late afternoon around 5 or so, I had a very strange episode of overwhelming vertigo/nausea that it literally knocked me to the floor. I had to go lay down for about 45 minutes, then I was fine. My first thought was, "I wonder if this is solar related". Did anyone else have anything odd like that occur?? And is this about the same time when the "wave" may have hit the central united states region??

Today, Tuesday 4th, I am unsteady on my feet-- floating sensation--- not fully sharp focused and here.
Quite pleasant.
Inverness Scotland
Chris

[Sidney]

Saturday late afternoon around 5 or so, I had a very strange episode of overwhelming vertigo/nausea that it literally knocked me to the floor. I had to go lay down for about 45 minutes, then I was fine. My first thought was, "I wonder if this is solar related". Did anyone else have anything odd like that occur?? And is this about the same time when the "wave" may have hit the central united states region??

Today, Tuesday 4th, I am unsteady on my feet-- floating sensation--- not fully sharp focused and here.
Quite pleasant.
Inverness Scotland
Chris

something to do with the magnetic field and gravity???????

[Rocky_Shorz]

what amazes me is how the filament is drawn down and covers the coronal hole...

when you watch the movie you see how the enormous Coronal Hole is shrunk down to 1/10 its size, the little white lights keep spreading at the edge of the coronal hole covering it back up with plasma...

http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/09/03/article-0-14D19031000005DC-470_964x594.jpg

[Rocky_Shorz]

has everyone noticed it looks like a loop from the front and the side when these pop off?

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20120904/20120904_1524_c2_512.jpg

http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/browse/2012/09/04/ahead/cor2/1024/20120904_153924_d7c2A.jpg

[MorningSong]

I just noticed that there is another proton event occuring so I went to see what caused it and found this:

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20120908/20120908_1112_c2_512.jpg

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c3/20120908/20120908_1106_c3_512.jpg

SolarSoft has not reported any data today except for graphics and there was a single long duration C-flare today...maybe another filament ejection. Not sure yet. We'll see!

Update:

SolarHam says that there was a farside full-halo CME:


Updated 9/8/2012 @ 13:40 UTC
Solar Update / Farside CME
Solar activity is fairly low with only C-Class flare activity detected around departing Sunspot 1560 now located on the western limb. All other visible sunspot regions are currently stable. A bright Coronal Mass Ejection is visible in the latest Lasco C2 images on Saturday morning. The source of the plasma cloud appears to have been an eruption around Sunspot 1553. This region is currently transiting the farside of the Sun. Images below by Lasco C2 and STEREO Ahead.

[astrid]

Been finding sleep precarious last day or so
It's 4.44am now and still no zzzzzzzzzs
So something is for sure effecting me I usually
sleep like a baby

[Rocky_Shorz]

if you wonder why I call it a cannon, watching this, don't you feel like ducking when you see it pop off at us?

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

the reason I would like this image at the top of Solar is every time you see the orange it is building for a flare, or just had one like the current image, best prediction at a glance available for sun watchers...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

[Sidney]

I have been having an emotional "flare" the last 15 hours. Especially today.

[Rocky_Shorz]

I woke with a slight headache, not sure if it was the last one, or this one that was building to explode, there is lots of energy showing orange on that pic which is hitting long before the flare...

or is it the coronal hole pointed towards earth blowing solar streams at us...

what was Bill saying about the illuminati clock...

does it mean if we pass this point that their time to act is over?

[MorningSong]

Sunspot 1564 popped off as M1.4 around 17:49 UTC.... Lasco2 has "skipped" those frames....

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120908_1735.png

[Rocky_Shorz]

absolutely amazing, a Sunspot pointed right at us had the energy drained that was blasting towards us...


ENTANGLED ERUPTION: Interrupting days of quiet, sunspot AR1564 erupted on Saturday, Sept. 8th, producing an M1-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Obervatory (SDO) recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:



The movie shows more than just a single flare. This eruption was "entangled." A magnetic tendril guided a wave of hot plasma all the way from the blast site to another active region (AR1562) on the western limb ~250,000 km away.

Since SDO was launched in 2010, the observatory has recorded hundreds of entangled eruptions. Sometimes they spread like a chain reaction to involve nearly the entire sun. A good example is the global eruption of August 2010. The moral to this story: One little flare can go a long way.

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/09sep12/ipad/mflare.m4v?PHPSESSID=mg8277qen635tdk5iov8fcm3c7

[Rocky_Shorz]

another flare is happening now from 1564 almost as big as yesterdays, but a longer duration..

severe vertigo when this one popped had to grab a tree to keep standing...

thought it was going to be quiet so wasn't even checking...


can anyone imagine how bad these flares would have been if the 15 massive sunspots weren't drained before swinging at us... Illuminati clock might have been right, shows they don't know everything...

[CD7]

if you wonder why I call it a cannon, watching this, don't you feel like ducking when you see it pop off at us?

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

the reason I would like this image at the top of Solar is every time you see the orange it is building for a flare, or just had one like the current image, best prediction at a glance available for sun watchers...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg





The pic showed here presents a QUICK flash of light...reminded me of a couple of recent experiences. It happened so quick tht i was not really paying attention to it but figure WHY NOT put it out here as our 3D reality is too slow to really SEE.

A couple times within the last few weeks i experienced a flash of light..so fast tht honestly would be unable to tell if it was in front of me, near me? Im sure its all very multidimensional!!!! Anyone recall this lately?

[Sidney]

if you wonder why I call it a cannon, watching this, don't you feel like ducking when you see it pop off at us?

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/LATEST/current_c2small.gif

the reason I would like this image at the top of Solar is every time you see the orange it is building for a flare, or just had one like the current image, best prediction at a glance available for sun watchers...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg





The pic showed here presents a QUICK flash of light...reminded me of a couple of recent experiences. It happened so quick tht i was not really paying attention to it but figure WHY NOT put it out here as our 3D reality is too slow to really SEE.

A couple times within the last few weeks i experienced a flash of light..so fast tht honestly would be unable to tell if it was in front of me, near me? Im sure its all very multidimensional!!!! Anyone recall this lately?

Hey Christinedream- I did have that happen yesterday. Until I read your post here I kinda thought maybe it was my imagination. Glad you shared that.:tea:

[Rocky_Shorz]

we have a small ripple of energy heading for us 16/17th, and looks like the few swinging around are orange so could have some activity even though they look small...

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261

[Sidney]

Good thing this isn't earth directed? I wonder how long before the sun spot that shot this out is facing us. (im assuming its a sun spot anyway)


18261



BTW 2 1/2 hours of missing time on movies, following this image.

[Rocky_Shorz]

the Sunspots haven't swung towards us yet when they blew... maintenance crew... ;)

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

energy is up to 14 again from the solar streams, anything over 12 brings up quake activity...

http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/Satellite/Total%20Electron%20Content/Regional%20Maps/World_tec.gif

[Sidney]

FYI Full Halo CME shot off yesterday at around 15:00 ish. Heres a Lasco 3 image.

18311

[MorningSong]

Curious goings on:

SDO-EVE Diodes 3-day plot looks like it's off-line:

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

Yesterday and today, we have had some very strong Cosmic Ray pulses:

EDIT: Please see my post below to view a copy of the original graph that I had linked to. This gif link has changed since when I posted it.

http://helios.izmiran.rssi.ru/cosray/Images/now.gif

Sunspot 1575 is beta-delta and directly facing Earth. And it looks like a huge backward "Z" filament etched on the Earth-facing side....hmmmm.

http://sidc.oma.be/images/combimap800.png

From spaceweather.com:


FARSIDE EXPLOSION: An active region on the farside of the sun exploded on Sept. 23rd, hurling a bright coronal mass ejection over the sun's eastern limb. Orbiting at the L1 Lagrange Point, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the expanding cloud:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/23sep12/cme_strip2.jpg

The cloud is not heading for Earth. Nor is any other planet in the line of fire. In a few days, however, the sun's rotation will turn the blast site toward Earth. After that, eruptions could become geoeffective.

And, as you can tell from the reports of Auroras, our atmosphere is still quite charged with solar plasma:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/23sep12/norway_strip.jpg

Funny how spaceweather says autumn is "aurora season"... seems like it is all year round nowadays..... exciting times we live in!

[truth4me]

Curious goings on:

SDO-EVE Diodes 3-day plot looks like it's off-line:

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

Yesterday and today, we have had some very strong Cosmic Ray pulses:

http://helios.izmiran.rssi.ru/cosray/Images/now.gif

Sunspot 1575 is beta-delta and directly facing Earth. And it looks like a huge backward "Z" filament etched on the Earth-facing side....hmmmm.

http://sidc.oma.be/images/combimap800.png

From spaceweather.com:


FARSIDE EXPLOSION: An active region on the farside of the sun exploded on Sept. 23rd, hurling a bright coronal mass ejection over the sun's eastern limb. Orbiting at the L1 Lagrange Point, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the expanding cloud:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/23sep12/cme_strip2.jpg

The cloud is not heading for Earth. Nor is any other planet in the line of fire. In a few days, however, the sun's rotation will turn the blast site toward Earth. After that, eruptions could become geoeffective.

And, as you can tell from the reports of Auroras, our atmosphere is still quite charged with solar plasma:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/23sep12/norway_strip.jpg

Funny how spaceweather says autumn is "aurora season"... seems like it is all year round nowadays..... exciting times we live in! Man, would I love to see that in person......

[MorningSong]

It is quite typical when some amateur finds some strange data , it gets swiped quite quickly.....

Here is a copy of the cosmic rays graph that I had originally linked to.... I noticed that this morning the one posted here had changed since it was gif (which I should know better, too...but I'm a bit lazy).

So here you go... make of it what you will.... it might have been a glitch or it might be something very important re: incoming energies:

http://projectavalon.net/forum4/attachment.php?attachmentid=18356&d=1348510178&thumb=1

Add: I want to thank Olgraybear for helping me get this graph converted from my personal files so I could post it here.

[Rocky_Shorz]

you have clout, they just turned it back on... ;)

[MorningSong]

I did see that, Rocky.. and I thought..."Oh no, gotta fix that one too? Nahhhhh......" hehheheh

[Rocky_Shorz]

did you notice the orange pointed at earth, seemed to have moved to the spot above?

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

[MorningSong]

Yes, there are many active regions flaring now that are not numbered as single sunspot areas...

http://www.raben.com/sites/default/files/solarmaps/currentActiveRegions.png?1348520190

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120924_1539.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120923_1502.png

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

[Rocky_Shorz]

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20120924/20120924_2124_c2_512.jpg

[Sidney]

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20120924/20120924_2124_c2_512.jpg

That looks intense. What is that?

[Rocky_Shorz]

a blur in Dimensions the sun on both sides almost touching...

these solar blasts are from affects we hadn't been watching...

Illuminati countdown to a shift?


or maybe the X-ray flash knocked out the camera... naaaa...

[MorningSong]

Wow! That photogram (2012-09-24 21:24UTC) is wild!

Considering that it is a composit of Stereo A and B, what I want to know is "where" did that energy come from? Not from the Sun; notice the shadow the sun casts on the "west" side. Also, look where Stereo A (Ahead of Earth) and B (Behind Earth) are right now.... they'll soon be in a position behind the Sun and the images will soon no longer be of any use to us here on Earth:

http://stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov/where/where_is_stereo.gif

It either came from directly beyond the farside (not Earth facing side) of the sun (looking at Stereo B) or perpendicular to the Sun on the "West" (looking at Stereo A) as far as I can tell, but I might have that backwards.

[MorningSong]

This was in the comment section on SuspiciousObservers video for the 24th:


Today recieved message from my satellite cable saying " There may be interruption in cable service effective from 24-Sep-2012 to 10-Oct-2012 due to increased solar activity around the globe" I am from INDIA and this msg was from my cable operator AIRTEL DTH few mins ago...

techcom83

I don't know what they might "know" in India, but we might want to pay attention to this "alert", too.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XerDLtqR3Kw&list=UUTiL1q9YbrVam5nP2xzFTWQ&index=1&feature=plcp

[Sidney]

4 hours of missing footage from this morning,... This always makes me want to keep an eye on things up there. However, not much difference in the two images regardless of the missing time. But the lower left quadrant of the sun looks like it might be getting ready to release some energy.


18402
18401

[Sidney]

here is the lasco 3 images of same time frames with some interesting anomalies.

These are in random order sorry. And I dont have any program to crop or enlarge so if anyone has tome to analyze or debunk feel free. Im just observing and questioning things of interest. expecially when missing time frame immediately follows.



winged thing
18403
lower right large something?
18404
strange grouping of objects lower right
18406
another winged thing
18407
this is the last image before 4 hrs of missing time
18405

[Sidney]

last two images




thing shooting beam??
18408

another winged?? or planet maybe? not sure what im looking at here.
18409

[Rocky_Shorz]

we call it Santa's little helper...

I was looking at the same images, normally it isn't seen so often in 24 hours...

I think it is a ship that shoots debris to protect the satellites...

[astrid]

Its rock and roll time again folks, i have been feeling it all day,
especially in my heart area, a bit like being pumped up from the
inside out, very intense.

Kbq_eGMPVhw

[MorningSong]

Yes, the C3.4 flare around 00:00 UTC evoked a proton event adding to the high proton levels already present previously caused by a C2 Farside flare on September 23 that has been lingering on:

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/pro_3d.html

spaceweather.com reports a farside flare on the 27th stating that it was a "massive CME". It was a full halo flare, so it, too, will affect Earth slightly.

SIDC's Presto Alert says:


:Issued: 2012 Sep 28 0814 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
NOAA AR 1577 produced a moderate C3.7 flare on Sept. 27, 2336 UT peak
time, which was accompanied by a weak proton event (> 10 MeV) still in
progress (but barely above the 10 pfu threshold). EUV images reveal a
coronal EUV wave expanding nearly up to the central meridian.
Coronagraphic data are rather limited for now, with partial coverage of
the event with Stereo COR2 beacon data and no LASCO data (at the
moment). There is undoubtedly a CME, possibly halo, and possibly heading
towards the Earth. More information will be given later today to confirm
the direction and provide an estimated arrival time of this event at
Earth.

http://www.sidc.be/products/presto/

htR7aBYFydc

Anyone notice the new round of 6+ mag EQ's? Heads up!

[Sidney]

here it comes


18431

[Rocky_Shorz]

after being pummeled for days at 14-16, this wave could cause some rocking... hits on the 30th...

this just drew it closer...

what would cause a spike like this?

http://helios.izmiran.rssi.ru/cosray/Images/now.gif

[MorningSong]

Not much mention about the M1.3 flare this morning around 04:33 UTC. Another filament eruption or what?

Update:

Oh, Solarsoft finally decided to update their lists (hadn't been updated for the past 5 days as of this morning):

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20120930_0427.png

Sunspot 1583.....yes a pretty new spot, but on it's way to the farside.....better so!

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/30sep12/hmi200.gif

[Rocky_Shorz]

bringing this over so it isn't missed...


Magnitude 7.4 - COLOMBIA.......



http://buddhalaugh.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/full_moon1.jpg


https://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-ash4/430490_392898180782490_1044123946_n.jpg



http://smashinghub.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/perspective-photography-70.jpg





May all beings everywhere be happy and free, and may the thoughts, words, and actions of my own life contribute in some way to that happiness and to that freedom for all.

♥

[Sidney]

I've been expecting this.. Anybody know which way its facing?????

18451

18452

[Rocky_Shorz]

we are off to the right in this image...

http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/browse/2012/09/30/ahead/cor2/2048/20120930_232424_d7c2A.jpg

[Sidney]

I wonder if its going to end up being a full halo. too early to tell. But I can say one thing i am feeling the energies today. When you say to the right, do you mean like the 3 oclock position or 4 or 5???? How far right.

[Rocky_Shorz]

3 o'clock, but way to the right, we aren't in the image, so for now, nothing flaring towards us...

Lasco c3 is earth view, the center that is covered is what is shown in the orange, C2 images

energy from the last flares are hitting now...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/gif/pmapN.gif

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif

Oct 1st just after midnight we peaked up to a 7...

[Sidney]

In case you guys didn't see this on the SDO post, this is from the 20th (yeah, nice of them to share it with us today). Its from the Stereo B, back side view. We had a mild full halo shoot off, but it came from behind, so from the lasco player, which is what I usually look at, you couldn't really tell what it was. But this flare is huge.

18457

[MorningSong]

Comparing picts, it looks like that active region is what is facing Earth right now:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/01oct12/coronalhole_sdo_200.gif

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/01oct12/hmi200.gif

But I'm just guessing.

[Sidney]

Well 11 days ago, so the timing is about right. (im guessing too)

[Rocky_Shorz]

this is still the best real time image...

flares popping on both sides

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

it takes 28 days for the sun and moon to complete it's cycle...

[MorningSong]

It has been calculated that it takes 25.38 days for the Sun to complete a full revolution... that being established, I figure that Stereo B is about one third its full orbit around the Sun, so the active region that Cor2B (?) took on the 20th is well on our Earth-facing side now... as long as it behaves itself, that ok with me. lol

http://stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov/where/where_is_stereo.gif

This is from spaceweather.com today:


SUBSIDING STORM: A strong (Kp=7) geomagnetic storm sparked by a CME impact on Sept. 30th is subsiding. At maximum, during the early hours of Oct. 1st, Northern Lights descended as far south in the United States as Michigan, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, Montana, Minnesota, Washington, Idaho, Illinois and South Dakota. Even California experienced some auroras. Tim Piya Trepetch caught a patch of sky turning purple over the Lassen Volcanic National Park:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/01oct12/california_strip.jpg

"Purple auroras erupted right over Lassen Peak," says Trepetch.

California auroras are not as rare as some people think. The webmaster of spaceweather.com lives in California and has witnessed auroras no fewer than six times. The trick is knowing when to look.

And this is pretty cool!:


PLASMA PUFFS TARGET VENUS: Sunspot 1583 is in a near-constant state of eruption. Magnetic instabilities in the sunspot's magnetic canopy are hurling massive "puffs" of magnetized plasma into space. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory caught some of them emerging during the early hours of Oct. 2nd; click to set the scene in motion:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/02oct12/smoke_strip2.jpg

Because AR1583 is on the farside of the sun, Earth is not in the line of fire. Venus, on the other hand, could receive a glancing blow from these clouds. Because Venus has no global magnetic field to protect it from solar storms, the impacts could erode small amounts of gas directly from the top of the planet’s atmosphere. Moreover, incoming plasma clouds can cause explosions in Venus's upper atmosphere called "hot flow anomalies." The space weather forecast for the second planet is stormy.

[Rocky_Shorz]

you think spinning at a 1000 miles per hour here on earth is a rush...

the Sun is spinning at 4400 miles per hour...

[MorningSong]

From spaceweather.com today:


EARTH-DIRECTED CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) is heading for Earth. The cloud, pictured below in a coronagraph image from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, is expected to deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field on Oct. 8. NOAA forecasters estimate a 20% to 35% chance of strong polar geomagnetic storms on Oct. 8-9. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, especially during the hours around local midnight.

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/05oct12/emergingcme_strip2.jpg

This is swpc forecast:


:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Oct 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 280 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Oct 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1585 (S20E12) has been the most active region
producing multiple B-class events. No Earth directed CMEs were
observed in the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (07-09 October).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds, as measured by the ACE spacecraft,
remain at nominal levels, however energetic particle measurments by
the EPAM sensor, indicate a CME is currently traveling towards
Earth.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels on day one (07
October). An increase to unsettled to active levels with a chance
for minor storm periods is expected on days two and three (08-09
October) as the 05 October CME is forecasted to arrive.

III. Event Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Oct 099
Predicted 07 Oct-09 Oct 098/098/095
90 Day Mean 06 Oct 121

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Oct 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Oct 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct 005/005-015/018-017/020

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/30/35
Minor storm 01/15/20
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor storm 15/20/25
Major-severe storm 05/20/35

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/RSGA.txt

[MorningSong]

From spaceweather.com:


CME HITS EARTH'S MAGNETIC FIELD, SPARKS AURORAS: As expected, a coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th at approximately 0500 UT. The impact sparked a moderate (Kp=6) geomagnetic storm and Northern Lights in the USA as far south as Kansas, Utah and Colorado. In New Auburn, Wisconsin, photographer Justin Phillips recorded this rare self-portrait backlit by auroras:....

As the Kp index pushed up to level 6 today by the incoming CME of the 5th, we got an M2.3 flare, originating from a new active region (N17E88... someone want to explain why I see the flare at SE?) around 11:17UTC.

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20121008/20121008_1112_c2_512.jpg

http://www.ips.gov.au/Solar/1/8

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

[Sidney]

There is some strange S*** going on up there. Lots of missing time, many footage gaps of about 5 hrs - and I am seeing more and more of these laser shooting craft things.



18574
santas helper seen very often lately
18575
dont know what these are
18576

[Rocky_Shorz]

uh oh Morningsong...

the dust specs just disappeared, gone on the 9th...

did the lunar escape pods for the rich leave... or did they fix their cloaking knocked out by massive flares a few months back...

this is the last image they were showing in the top right corner...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20121009/20121009_1636_c2_1024.jpg

and poof they were gone...

http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov//data/REPROCESSING/Completed/2012/c2/20121010/20121010_0026_c2_1024.jpg

[MorningSong]

Just catching up, on the 9th of October around 23:22 UTC there was an M1.7 from active region S29E86.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20121009_2322.png

On the 10th there was another M1 around 10:41 UTC from the same.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20121010_0451.png

These flares probably won't be Earth effective...

Here's the latest from spaceweather.com:


ADVANCING SUNSPOTS: For the past two weeks, solar activity has been relatively low. Now, a change is in the offing. The farside of the sun is peppered with sunspots, and some of them are beginning to turn toward Earth. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed this pair of active regions advancing over the eastern limb during the early hours of Oct. 11th:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/11oct12/eastlimb_strip.jpg

Underlying each nest of glowing magnetic loops is a dark sunspot that poses a threat for solar flares. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of M-class solar flares and a 5% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours.

The power of the Solar Storm on the 9th-10th:


SATISFACTORY LIGHTS: A coronal mass ejection hit Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th, sparking a dramatic display of Arctic lights that is only now subsiding three days later. Hugo Løhre photographed the auroras over Lekangsund, Norway, on Oct. 10th:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/11oct12/greenrain_strip.jpg

[MorningSong]

We're having a G1 solar storm today caused from solar wind guiding a knot(?) of solar magnetism that tilted to the south (- Bz) of Earth as it struck our Mag field causing a rip in the field allowing charged plasma to enter our atmosphere.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html

Here's what spaceweather.com says about it:


GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A G1-class geomagnetic storm broke out during the early hours of Oct. 13th, igniting bright auroras over Canada. Colin Chatfield sends this picture from Saskatoon, Saskatchewan:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/13oct12/sk_strip.jpg

"This is from my backyard around 5:00a.m. this morning," says Chatfield. "Never have I seen the auroras so bright, especially from within the city. They were astounding, with purple visible to the naked eye."

The source of the storm was a knot of south-pointing magnetism from the sun. The knot drifted past Earth, bumping into our own planet's magnetic field. This caused a crack to open in Earth's magnetic defenses. Solar wind poured in to fuel the auroras.

More auroras are in the offing. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of strong polar geomagnetic storms on Oct. 14th when a solar wind stream is expected to blow past Earth. High-latitude sky watchers shuld be alert for auroras.

[Sidney]

I was feeling it yesterday but hadnt had the chance to see what was going on with the sun. What the heck is a knot anyway,havent heard of that before. Is it something they just made up? lol

[Rocky_Shorz]

a knot of south pointing Magnetism...

what keeps Magnetism pointing South?

this goes to what Tesla was talking about in DC energy...

what is on the other side of a Magnet pointing South... North

what is attracted to the Northside?

the south side of a Magnet coming behind it...

not Protons, not Electrons...

Magnets...

is Science already changing from what was being shared even months ago?

[Sidney]

So, does this mean that "something" magnetic, is forcing the suns magnetic energy south. Coming from the north side of the sun???? I am just thinking out loud here. Im going to go sift through the videos and see what there is to see, if anything. BBL (be back later):ranger:

edit

heres what i found so far (lasco 2)
Todays footage

No idea what that thing is
18685
18686
18687
18688
18689
If that would have been earth facing we might be in for some hotttt weather. : )

[Sidney]

Nothing much from yesterday, heres what it looked like pretty much all day, didn't see anything that appeared to have caused a so called knot.

yesterday

18690

[Rocky_Shorz]

they are saying the Plasma blast, the white stuff blowing from the sun is really magnetic particles, there is a north and a south to every magnet...

the magnets all came towards us with the south pointed at us, the north facing away...


I wish this sunspots was facing away from us...


http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg

[Sidney]

ok So here is what I found for the Lasco 3 footage.

Again, from yesterdays "knot" of magnetic whatever TO ME, I don't see anything out of the ordinary except for this.
18692


Here is a couple images of todays (10-14) little outburst f rom very early this morning.

18693
18696

This is from the 11th, thought it a bit odd
18695

and this is from the 12th
obvious editing
18694

[Ahauchata]

http://http://www.solarham.net/ On this end imo this is a really cool site that I refer to often with regards to solar flare activity. I am a newbie on this forum so if I am posting this in the wrong area please accept my apologizes as I am learning to navigate here. :)

[MorningSong]

Yes, Ahauchata, this is the place. Thanks for the reminder. I often use solarham's vids and reports on this thread.

Glad to have you onboard!

[MorningSong]

As the SDO bot hs brought to my attention (been watching all day because I felt it coming, but was distrscted when it got here), an M9 flare (SDO says M5) occured around 18:14 UTC this evening.

http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/gev_20121020_1805.png

Originating from an active region just on the eastern limb S12E88, not yet facing Earth, the CME should just barely glance us... but you all know how that is...to be seen. lol

http://sdowww.lmsal.com/sdomedia/ssw/ssw_client/data/ssw_service_121020_112806_83984_1/www/ssw_service_121020_112806_83984_1_131_193_171_20121020_180008_thumb_246.png

From spaceweather.com:


ALMOST-X FLARE: Today at 1814 UT, Earth-orbiting satellites detected an impulsive M9-class solar flare. The source was an active region just behind the sun's southeastern limb. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash: image. Radio blackouts and ionization waves in the upper atmosphere are possible on the dayside of Earth as a result of this event. Stay tuned for updates.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/Global.png

[Rocky_Shorz]

Wow...

http://lasp.colorado.edu/eve/data_access/quicklook/quicklook_data/latest_3day.png

I had a feeling wiht the orbs leaving things were going to get exciting again...


X-FLARE: Earth orbiting satellites have just detected an X1-class solar flare (Oct. 23 @ 0322 UT) from big sunspot AR1598. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/23oct12/x1_strip.jpg

Radiation from the flare created waves of ionization in the upper atmosphere over Asia and Australia (the daylit side of Earth) and possibly HF radio blackouts at high latitudes. It is too soon to say whether the blast also hurled a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. Stay tuned for updates. Solar flare alerts: text, voice... link (http://spaceweather.com/)


Incoming Meteor or Tesla's Next Vehicle?

http://spaceweather.com/images2012/19oct12/map.jpg


METEOR MAKES LANDFALL: A small asteroid that exploded over the San Francisco Bay Area on Oct. 17th, shaking houses with its sonic boom, might have scattered pieces of itself on the ground. That's the conclusion of Peter Jenniskens of the NASA Ames Research Center. He triangulated data from a pair of meteor surveillance cameras to determine the fireball's trajectory, denoted by the black arrow in the map above:

"The asteroid entered at a [relatively slow] speed of 14 km/s. There's a good chance that a fairly large fraction of this rock survived and fell somewhere around the North Bay," says Jenniskens. "Much more accurate results will follow from a comprehensive study of the video records. Now, we hope that someone recovers a meteorite on the ground."

In the map, red dots represent the surveillance cameras Jenniskens used to calculate the trajectory. The black arrow traces the asteroid's path; 85 km and 39 km are the altitudes of the asteroid at the two ends of the arrow. Jenniskens adds that "39 km is not the end point, but the final bit captured by the San Mateo video camera." The disintegrating asteroid continued beyond the tip of the arrow for a possible landfall somewhere north of San Francisco. Stay tuned for updates on the meteorite hunt.



http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/Satellite/Total%20Electron%20Content/Regional%20Maps/World_tec.gif

with that one popping, it just transferred energy to the one swinging at us now up to Beta-gamma already, Cannon locked and loaded...

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_094_335_193_1024.jpg