sdv
8th November 2012, 15:09
Global Warming became the ignored hot issue in the US elections, and many in the alternative media are passionately committed to the belief that humans are causing climate change and that this results in extreme weather.
Is this true? Here's an interesting article that shows that the evidence does not support this belief:
http://dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/2012-11-06-hurricanes-fuel-climate-sensationalism
1 Weather is not climate.
2 Weather has been far more extreme in the past in the USA.
3 Despite becoming the 'bad boy' of the world by refusing to sign the Kyoto Protocol, the USA has reduced carbon emissions significantly and is on the path to doing more (since the USA is the world's greatest and biggest polluter, this is significant).
Natural disasters happen. They have always happened and they always will. As the world becomes more populous and more prosperous, they will cause more damage, and we will keep better records. But beyond some theorising by researchers whose livelihood depends on working on matters of grave perceived importance to government policy makers, there is little empirical evidence for the claim that climate change, or our debatable contribution to it, makes bad weather worse.
Besides, has anyone noticed the news that the US has, without signing the Kyoto Protocol, reduced its carbon emissions to such an extent that 1990 levels are, unexpectedly within sight? The drivers of this decline are tighter emission standards, a switch from coal to natural gas for electricity generation and the economic downturn, of which at least one (and arguably two) are clearly undesirable. But, declining they are, and despite this, Sandy struck. This suggests that there is also not much empirical evidence for the notion that policies designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will avert severe weather in future.
I wish those affected by Hurricane Sandy the best of luck recovering from this natural disaster. Spare a thought for the island nations that got hit before the storm bore down on the offices of the major US news media. They don’t all enjoy prosperous, productive, energy-intensive capitalist economies like that of the US, which can help them avert severe damage in advance and recover rapidly afterwards.
Is this true? Here's an interesting article that shows that the evidence does not support this belief:
http://dailymaverick.co.za/opinionista/2012-11-06-hurricanes-fuel-climate-sensationalism
1 Weather is not climate.
2 Weather has been far more extreme in the past in the USA.
3 Despite becoming the 'bad boy' of the world by refusing to sign the Kyoto Protocol, the USA has reduced carbon emissions significantly and is on the path to doing more (since the USA is the world's greatest and biggest polluter, this is significant).
Natural disasters happen. They have always happened and they always will. As the world becomes more populous and more prosperous, they will cause more damage, and we will keep better records. But beyond some theorising by researchers whose livelihood depends on working on matters of grave perceived importance to government policy makers, there is little empirical evidence for the claim that climate change, or our debatable contribution to it, makes bad weather worse.
Besides, has anyone noticed the news that the US has, without signing the Kyoto Protocol, reduced its carbon emissions to such an extent that 1990 levels are, unexpectedly within sight? The drivers of this decline are tighter emission standards, a switch from coal to natural gas for electricity generation and the economic downturn, of which at least one (and arguably two) are clearly undesirable. But, declining they are, and despite this, Sandy struck. This suggests that there is also not much empirical evidence for the notion that policies designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will avert severe weather in future.
I wish those affected by Hurricane Sandy the best of luck recovering from this natural disaster. Spare a thought for the island nations that got hit before the storm bore down on the offices of the major US news media. They don’t all enjoy prosperous, productive, energy-intensive capitalist economies like that of the US, which can help them avert severe damage in advance and recover rapidly afterwards.