Cristian
19th June 2013, 20:27
from : http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-19/deer-returns-fears-bernankes-training-wheels-are-coming
and
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-19/fed-keeps-85-billion-pace-of-bond-buying-sees-risks-waning.html
One word can describe performance across all asset classes today: clobbered. Stocks tumble, Commodities slide and Bonds crash, with the 5 year suffering the biggest intraday percentage jump in yields... ever! And why? Because Bernanke confirmed what everyone thought they knew, namely that the Fed will start tapering (how else can the Fed match the reduction in gross Treasury issuance at auction without taking over the private market entirely) eventually. Or at least that's what the market read between the Chairman's lines. In reality, Bernanke himself is more dazed and confused than anyone out there and just like Europe, is making it up one day at a time.
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/06/20130619_EOD2.jpg
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/06/20130619_EOD3.jpg
Commodities were a one way street...
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/06/20130619_EOD4.jpg
as for MSM :
Stocks extended losses after his remarks. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 1.3 percent at 3:57 p.m. in New York. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.34 percent from 2.19 percent late yesterday.
Downside Risks
“The Fed is out of the closet,” said Ward McCarthy, chief financial economist at Jefferies Group LLC in New York and a former Richmond Fed economist. “They expect to end these QE purchases. Bernanke wasn’t more specific than later this year, but connecting all the dots suggests he is thinking in the fourth quarter.’’
Bernanke stressed that the Fed has “no deterministic or fixed plan” to end asset purchases.
“If you draw the conclusion that I just said that our policies -- that our purchases will end in the middle of next year, you’ve drawn the wrong conclusion, because our purchases are tied to what happens in the economy,” he said. “If the economy does not improve along the lines that we expect, we will provide additional support.”
Unemployment Threshold
The Fed also left unchanged its statement that it plans to hold its target interest rate near zero as long as unemployment remains above 6.5 percent and the outlook for inflation doesn’t exceed 2.5 percent.
Bernanke said policy makers might aim for a lower unemployment threshold before considering an increase in short-term interest rates.
“In terms of adjusting the threshold, I think that’s something that might happen,” he said in response to a question. “If it did happen, it would be to lower it, I’m sure, not to raise it.” He said an interest-rate increase is still “far in the future.”
Fed officials lowered their forecasts for the unemployment and inflation rates this year.
They now see a jobless rate of 7.2 percent to 7.3 percent, compared with 7.3 percent to 7.5 percent in their March forecasts. They predict the jobless rate will fall to 6.5 percent to 6.8 percent in 2014, compared with 6.7 percent to 7 percent in March.
Labor Market
“Labor market conditions have shown further improvement in recent months, on balance, but the unemployment rate remains elevated,” the committee said. “Partly reflecting transitory influences, inflation has been running below the committee’s longer-run objective, but longer term inflation expectations have remained stable.”
Fifteen of 19 policy makers said the federal funds rate will be increased in 2015 or later, according to today’s forecasts. In March, 14 policy makers predicted an increase in 2015 or later.
The Fed repeated that it will keep buying assets “until the outlook for the labor market has improved substantially.” Bond purchases will remain divided between $40 billion a month of mortgage-backed securities and $45 billion a month of Treasury securities. The central bank also will continue reinvesting securities as they mature.
and
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-19/fed-keeps-85-billion-pace-of-bond-buying-sees-risks-waning.html
One word can describe performance across all asset classes today: clobbered. Stocks tumble, Commodities slide and Bonds crash, with the 5 year suffering the biggest intraday percentage jump in yields... ever! And why? Because Bernanke confirmed what everyone thought they knew, namely that the Fed will start tapering (how else can the Fed match the reduction in gross Treasury issuance at auction without taking over the private market entirely) eventually. Or at least that's what the market read between the Chairman's lines. In reality, Bernanke himself is more dazed and confused than anyone out there and just like Europe, is making it up one day at a time.
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/06/20130619_EOD2.jpg
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/06/20130619_EOD3.jpg
Commodities were a one way street...
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/06/20130619_EOD4.jpg
as for MSM :
Stocks extended losses after his remarks. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 1.3 percent at 3:57 p.m. in New York. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.34 percent from 2.19 percent late yesterday.
Downside Risks
“The Fed is out of the closet,” said Ward McCarthy, chief financial economist at Jefferies Group LLC in New York and a former Richmond Fed economist. “They expect to end these QE purchases. Bernanke wasn’t more specific than later this year, but connecting all the dots suggests he is thinking in the fourth quarter.’’
Bernanke stressed that the Fed has “no deterministic or fixed plan” to end asset purchases.
“If you draw the conclusion that I just said that our policies -- that our purchases will end in the middle of next year, you’ve drawn the wrong conclusion, because our purchases are tied to what happens in the economy,” he said. “If the economy does not improve along the lines that we expect, we will provide additional support.”
Unemployment Threshold
The Fed also left unchanged its statement that it plans to hold its target interest rate near zero as long as unemployment remains above 6.5 percent and the outlook for inflation doesn’t exceed 2.5 percent.
Bernanke said policy makers might aim for a lower unemployment threshold before considering an increase in short-term interest rates.
“In terms of adjusting the threshold, I think that’s something that might happen,” he said in response to a question. “If it did happen, it would be to lower it, I’m sure, not to raise it.” He said an interest-rate increase is still “far in the future.”
Fed officials lowered their forecasts for the unemployment and inflation rates this year.
They now see a jobless rate of 7.2 percent to 7.3 percent, compared with 7.3 percent to 7.5 percent in their March forecasts. They predict the jobless rate will fall to 6.5 percent to 6.8 percent in 2014, compared with 6.7 percent to 7 percent in March.
Labor Market
“Labor market conditions have shown further improvement in recent months, on balance, but the unemployment rate remains elevated,” the committee said. “Partly reflecting transitory influences, inflation has been running below the committee’s longer-run objective, but longer term inflation expectations have remained stable.”
Fifteen of 19 policy makers said the federal funds rate will be increased in 2015 or later, according to today’s forecasts. In March, 14 policy makers predicted an increase in 2015 or later.
The Fed repeated that it will keep buying assets “until the outlook for the labor market has improved substantially.” Bond purchases will remain divided between $40 billion a month of mortgage-backed securities and $45 billion a month of Treasury securities. The central bank also will continue reinvesting securities as they mature.