indigopete
19th July 2013, 22:03
Hello Folks
I've always been interested in economics and economic theory since I learned just a little bit during my study days.
We seem to live in very interesting times as far as economics goes. Central banks and large commercial banks (like JPM, Goldman, City etc) are now so huge that they are able to reverse the usual rules of economic theory.
2 very stark examples:
[1] - the real economy is barely growing and in many places shrinking, while equities (the 'Stock' market) which represent the monetary 'value' of that very same economy are sky rocketing
[2] - the gold price is falling (has fallen) while gold demand is soaring and supply is plummeting
This is a bizarre situation but one which has been building for years. The reason the stock market is soaring is because investors are simply being pushed into it by low interest rates and massive money printing (a pincer movement - one pushes the other pulls).
The reason gold is falling is because it's official price is abstracted away from the supply-demand mechanism by something called "Exchange Traded Funds". This is a buffer zone between the actual metal and the money that trades it whereby people can phone up a broker, buy some gold, and never actually see it - they just get a peice of paper called a "future" that gives them a "call" on a certain proportion of a fixed amount of gold. The person holding the "futures contract" has no idea how many other people have a call on the same gold. (Kind of re-inventing the banking system).
Now, what's apparently happening is that people are cashing in their futures contracts and wanting the real thing and this is having the reverse effect on the price - it's making the price go down even though demand for the real thing is going up !
So lets recap:
***** demand for the 'false thing' is going down
***** demand for the real thing is going up
***** price goes down
Although this is a major problem for the economy, it's a very encouraging development for folks like Avalon subscribers who are interested in the reality behind the facade of everyday life.
It is another 'thermometer' that indicates people are sick of falsehoods and want to get back in touch with reality. Albeit symbolic in this case, it's part of a universal trend I think.
To close, here's a fascinating article from Zerohedge this evening - the worlds greatest economics blog. If we only had say, Zerohedge, Avalon forum and Davdicke.com available to us, we wouldn't be that badly informed !
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-19/jpm-eligible-gold-plummets-66-one-day-total-gold-fresh-all-time-low
Pete
I've always been interested in economics and economic theory since I learned just a little bit during my study days.
We seem to live in very interesting times as far as economics goes. Central banks and large commercial banks (like JPM, Goldman, City etc) are now so huge that they are able to reverse the usual rules of economic theory.
2 very stark examples:
[1] - the real economy is barely growing and in many places shrinking, while equities (the 'Stock' market) which represent the monetary 'value' of that very same economy are sky rocketing
[2] - the gold price is falling (has fallen) while gold demand is soaring and supply is plummeting
This is a bizarre situation but one which has been building for years. The reason the stock market is soaring is because investors are simply being pushed into it by low interest rates and massive money printing (a pincer movement - one pushes the other pulls).
The reason gold is falling is because it's official price is abstracted away from the supply-demand mechanism by something called "Exchange Traded Funds". This is a buffer zone between the actual metal and the money that trades it whereby people can phone up a broker, buy some gold, and never actually see it - they just get a peice of paper called a "future" that gives them a "call" on a certain proportion of a fixed amount of gold. The person holding the "futures contract" has no idea how many other people have a call on the same gold. (Kind of re-inventing the banking system).
Now, what's apparently happening is that people are cashing in their futures contracts and wanting the real thing and this is having the reverse effect on the price - it's making the price go down even though demand for the real thing is going up !
So lets recap:
***** demand for the 'false thing' is going down
***** demand for the real thing is going up
***** price goes down
Although this is a major problem for the economy, it's a very encouraging development for folks like Avalon subscribers who are interested in the reality behind the facade of everyday life.
It is another 'thermometer' that indicates people are sick of falsehoods and want to get back in touch with reality. Albeit symbolic in this case, it's part of a universal trend I think.
To close, here's a fascinating article from Zerohedge this evening - the worlds greatest economics blog. If we only had say, Zerohedge, Avalon forum and Davdicke.com available to us, we wouldn't be that badly informed !
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-19/jpm-eligible-gold-plummets-66-one-day-total-gold-fresh-all-time-low
Pete