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Thread: Global Shortages of Everything

  1. Link to Post #181
    Avalon Member Orph's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by TomKat (here)

    this sounds more like "shrinkflation" than food shortage. It's been going on for decades -- I first noticed it in candy bars maybe in the 1970s
    Yup. That's the first time I noticed it as well. (Candy bars back in the early '70s).
    I am enlightened, ............ Oh wait. That's just the police shining their spotlights on me.

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  3. Link to Post #182
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Orph (here)
    Quote Posted by TomKat (here)

    this sounds more like "shrinkflation" than food shortage. It's been going on for decades -- I first noticed it in candy bars maybe in the 1970s
    Yup. That's the first time I noticed it as well. (Candy bars back in the early '70s).
    As I recall, some candy companies were more clever -- they made the candy bar 50% bigger and doubled (100%) the price.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by TomKat (here)
    Quote Posted by Ratszinger (here)
    Industries for food processing have been down sizing every product we buy for years. I knew we were coming to a serious situation when you can compare old coffee containers from Folgers and others to the new ones! They cost more and you get less. This is the same for cereals, for many canned goods we've bought over the years and even cat foods. Some of these places that process the foods even use the same old larger boxes but when you open the package there is smaller amounts of both. Even Lean Cuisine has secretly reduced the amount of food you get in their packages even tho the box looks the same. There is for sure a shortage of these things and it is now beyond their being able to hide it. I understand things such as ketchup and salsa will be very hard to find in the near future from things I've read recenlty in headlines.
    this sounds more like "shrinkflation" than food shortage. It's been going on for decades -- I first noticed it in candy bars maybe in the 1970s
    Really? Wouldn't you agree that it's a bit more extreme than this when stores start offering four and six packs of eggs? That sounds and looks more like desperate times to me. I do appreciate your opinion but this is not just ordinary inflation adjustments anymore in mine.
    The genius consistently stands out from the masses in that he unconsciously anticipates truths of which the population as a whole only later becomes conscious! Speech-circa 1937

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  7. Link to Post #184
    Canada Avalon Member TomKat's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Ratszinger (here)
    Quote Posted by TomKat (here)
    Quote Posted by Ratszinger (here)
    Industries for food processing have been down sizing every product we buy for years. I knew we were coming to a serious situation when you can compare old coffee containers from Folgers and others to the new ones! They cost more and you get less. This is the same for cereals, for many canned goods we've bought over the years and even cat foods. Some of these places that process the foods even use the same old larger boxes but when you open the package there is smaller amounts of both. Even Lean Cuisine has secretly reduced the amount of food you get in their packages even tho the box looks the same. There is for sure a shortage of these things and it is now beyond their being able to hide it. I understand things such as ketchup and salsa will be very hard to find in the near future from things I've read recenlty in headlines.
    this sounds more like "shrinkflation" than food shortage. It's been going on for decades -- I first noticed it in candy bars maybe in the 1970s
    Really? Wouldn't you agree that it's a bit more extreme than this when stores start offering four and six packs of eggs? That sounds and looks more like desperate times to me. I do appreciate your opinion but this is not just ordinary inflation adjustments anymore in mine.
    It's very possible it's more in reaction to supply shortage than just inflation. It's hard to tell without talking to some people in the food industry.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    This weekend some german family came to visit and enjoy the last remnants of warm summer in spain.
    For context, they live a bit above average, owning a small company with a big warehouse and employ a handful of people.

    We did talk about shortages, and they do seem to be going to have a BAD situation this winter. (Despite being in such an economy) As they explained, they usually spend slightly less than 2k€ to warm a 3 storey house during winter next to the city of Stuttgart. This year, the energy company estimates that its gonna be just above the 5,5k mark. And the worse of all, the german government in their area has limited the harvesting of wood around their area, and forbidden the use of woodstoves without specific homologation and licenses on the neighborhood.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    This is so high-level important it might need its own thread, but for the moment this is the best home for it.

    In an information-dense 45-minute video published 4 days ago, Chris Martenson talks about Complex Systems and how mere humans (like the WEF! ) cannot hope to control or predict them.

    He shows that 'decarbonization' (a new religious mantra) will inevitably plunge us into a new Dark Age unless it's fully recognized what a critical role fossil fuels still play in absolutely everything, including the entire global GDP.

    The results of attempts to maintain what we value as civilization, without adequate energy resources to fuel it, can be seen before our very eyes in real time in Europe right now.

    There's much more, and the video defies a simple summary — because how global energy fuels every aspect of our lives is a very complex subject. Disregard the video title, because this is about far more than the WEF. It's about our very future and how it's all being catastrophically badly mismanaged. Either the 'managers' are ignorant or incompetent, or they're destroying civilization willfully and knowingly. There are only two ways it could be.


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  13. Link to Post #187
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    This is so high-level important it might need its own thread, but for the moment this is the best home for it.

    In an information-dense 45-minute video published 4 days ago, Chris Martenson talks about Complex Systems and how mere humans (like the WEF! ) cannot hope to control or predict them.

    He shows that 'decarbonization' (a new religious mantra) will inevitably plunge us into a new Dark Age unless it's fully recognized what a critical role fossil fuels still play in absolutely everything, including the entire global GDP.

    The results of attempts to maintain what we value as civilization, without adequate energy resources to fuel it, can be seen before our very eyes in real time in Europe right now.

    There's much more, and the video defies a simple summary — because how global energy fuels every aspect of our lives is a very complex subject. Disregard the video title, because this is about far more than the WEF. It's about our very future and how it's all being catastrophically badly mismanaged. Either the 'managers' are ignorant or incompetent, or they're destroying civilization willfully and knowingly. There are only two ways it could be.

    (video snipped see above)

    Thanks - a few thoughts regarding the video... around the 5:00 min mark and the chart showing what will be needed to create so called 'green' energy to replace fossil fuels to the 2019 levels.... what isn't factored in is that all these figures could be reduced by 9/10 if....IF.... what we hear about the Globalist Agenda plan to reduce the Earth's human population by 90% actually happens - I also suspect that although 'free' energy and all inventions to get it to the People have been suppressed.... the plan could be to bring them out when humanity has been culled and herded into Smart Cities - the whole thing about wind turbines, solar panels etc could be a major distraction and there is no plan to rely on that kind of 'green' energy at all, in the long run...

    After all the planning over decades I don't think the Globalists are going to want a return to the Dark Ages because their plans rely on advanced technology and that system would disappear.... it could ultimately even be to humanities advantage that we do get reduced to the Dark Ages and a return to survival of the fittest because the alternative looks pretty grim... aka transhumanism, transgenderism, strict population control, no personal freedom etc...

    I think while they ARE trying to collapse civilization they are doing it sneakily and gradually so enough of the masses don't see what's happening and put a stop to it ...

    Ultimately the plans of the Tyrannical Globalist Technocrats could flounder and that could be down to the element of unpredictability that Chris Martenson talks about - we have to hold on to that or all is lost...

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Bumping this thread with a 13-minute update from Tucker Carlson. The title is self-explanatory, though he also addresses the very critical situation in Europe with a searing critique of Biden's destructive policies.

    The US is about to run out of diesel fuel

    Last edited by Bill Ryan; 28th October 2022 at 16:15.

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  17. Link to Post #189
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Another Michael Yon interview, published a couple days ago. Very apocalyptic, and it's hard to refute anything he states — which is that pretty soon everything's going to break and then global famine will be inevitable.

    I have to say that I find his forecasts all too credible and plausible. It's an hour long (though most of the core info is in the first 20 mins), but if you listen to just the first few minutes you can then decide whether to hear more.

    Michael Yon sounds alarm over BASF shuttering operations, causing catastrophic supply chain collapse

    https://brighteon.com/bfe4e7d7-bf52-...8-cafd28b97a9e

    Source: https://www.brighteon.com/embed/bfe4e7d7-bf52-4edd-a2d8-cafd28b97a9e
    Last edited by Bill Ryan; 30th October 2022 at 23:15.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    So THIS is why people are going to FREEZE this winter, it's all planned | Redacted w Clayton Morris--Nov 2, 2022
    CNBC calls the diesel market a "perfect storm" as some say that the U.S. has less than two weeks' supply. Prices have increased by 33% and are expected to keep going and reserves are at their lowest level since the 1950s! And in case you missed it, we use a heck of a lot more fuel these days than we did in the 1950s. What is going on here??--26 min.-

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

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    2 Catastrophic Things Are About to Happen to Our Supply Chain in November





    Quote If you think things are bad economically now, hang on to your halo. We are facing a perfect storm for our supply chain within the next month unless several things change dramatically.

    It’s been one thing after another ever since the Covid pandemic began to affect our supply chain back in 2020. To be clear, you don’t have to believe that a pandemic existed, that the virus was serious, or even that the virus existed. That isn’t what this article is about. Regardless of one’s feelings, it was a trigger for an economic disaster that has continued to snowball.

    We watched the shelves in America get cleared in a day in March of that year, and things have never been the same since. Global shipping all but shut down.

    And the prices went up.

    Farmers could not harvest their food or get it processed and ready to be delivered to stores.

    And the prices went up.

    Then the cost of fuel skyrocketed.

    And the prices went up.

    And now, we’re facing a new challenge in what can only be described as a looming transportation collapse. Two things are slated to happen within the next month that could make what we’ve experienced so far look like a walk in the park.

    1.) We have 25 days of diesel fuel left.

    2.) Biden has failed to come to an agreement with rail workers’ unions, and a strike could start as soon as November 19th.

    Let’s take a closer look at each of these factors.

    The diesel fuel shortage
    The diesel fuel shortage that is looming could be absolutely catastrophic. The fuel of trucks, trains, and ships – this could put a real kibosh on the transit of goods. What’s more, the diesel shortage also affects home heating fuel.

    OilPrice.com reports:

    A shortage of diesel fuel is spreading across the United States, with one company launching an emergency delivery protocol, requesting a 72-hour advance notice from clients to be able to make the delivery.

    Per a Bloomberg report, fuel supplier Mansfield Energy wrote in a note to its clients that “conditions are rapidly devolving” and “At times, carriers are having to visit multiple terminals to find supply, which delays deliveries and strains local trucking capacity.”

    Some are blaming this shortage on a lack of refining capacity. If you look more closely at this, refineries are closing down in direct response to the current administration’s new policies to move the country to green energy.

    Phil Flynn, an analyst for Fox News, said:

    Phil Flynn, a senior account executive/market analyst at the Price Futures Group and FOX Business contributor, warned that strict regulation under the Biden administration will continue to put pressure on refineries to stay in business.

    “It wasn’t too long ago the country was clamoring for the industry to buy and build new refineries because they couldn’t keep up with demand,” Flynn said Monday.

    But government pressure to wean the country off of fossil fuels has made business difficult, with Flynn arguing that “refineries are getting squeezed out of business because of stricter regulations from the Biden administration and the pressure by the government” to “reduce demand for gasoline.”

    If we actually run out of diesel fuel, the result on our supply chain would be catastrophic. We could expect shelves to empty and cargo ships to divert from America to places that have a better chance of delivering the goods. What’s more, prices would skyrocket on any good that has to be transported – which is basically all of them. If you can find it at all, it will cost significantly more.

    What is being done about this?
    It’s pretty hard to solve a problem created by bad policies. It’s not something you can undo overnight. Yahoo News reports on these potential actions that could be taken to try and lessen the blow.

    Deese adds that the Fed has some tools to bolster diesel supply, like the Northeast Home Heating Oil Reserve, which houses one million barrels of diesel in case of a disruption in supplies.

    “We have looked very carefully at being prepared to deploy as and when necessary,” he said.

    But The Washington Post reports that diesel demand is so high, that if a million barrels of diesel were delivered from the Northeast reserves, they would be depleted in less than six hours.

    The Biden administration also recently announced it would be tapping into the country’s emergency oil reserves to counter rising gas prices, despite concerns over the long-term efficacy.

    White House officials haven’t completely ruled out fuel export restrictions either, but the American Petroleum Institute and the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers sent out a joint letter expressing their concerns in early October.

    “Banning or limiting the export of refined products would likely decrease inventory levels, reduce domestic refining capacity, put upward pressure on consumer fuel prices and alienate U.S. allies during a time of war,” the group wrote.

    (Now’s a good time to check out our free QUICKSTART Guide to building a 3-layer food storage system.)

    The potential rail strike
    Next, we have the possibility of a rail strike. This crisis was narrowly averted back in September when Biden and union representatives reached a tentative agreement. At the time, Biden hailed it as “an important win” for the American people, but it looks like the win was only a temporary kicking of the can.

    Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employees Division has rejected the deal offered last month, putting a strike back on the table.

    The Washington Post reports:

    …many union members were skeptical from the start, with some telling The Washington Post that the details were opaque. The plan included a 24 percent pay increase by 2024 — bringing the average wage to $110,000 a year — and $1,000 annual bonuses for five years. It also ensured health-care co-pays and deductibles would not increase.

    But it seemed to include only one paid sick day, even after union leaders had pushed for 15.

    “Railroaders are discouraged and upset with working conditions and compensation and hold their employer in low regard. Railroaders do not feel valued,” BMWED President Tony D. Cardwell said in a statement Monday announcing the vote outcome. “They resent the fact that management holds no regard for their quality of life, illustrated by their stubborn reluctance to provide a higher quantity of paid time off, especially for sickness.”

    The tentative pact stemmed from two years of negotiations between the carriers and unions, and the White House appointed an emergency board in early July to mediate. One of the sticking points was a points-based attendance policy adopted by some of the largest carriers earlier this year. Those policies can penalize workers for missing work for routine doctor’s appointments or family emergencies.

    Unfortunately, that “win” wasn’t so much a victory as it was a temporary reprieve. Apparently, the decision of this union was a shock.

    “For the first time that I can remember, the BRS members voted not to ratify a National Agreement, and with the highest participation rate in BRS history,” said Michael Baldwin, President of the BRS, in a statement.

    Two of the biggest unions have not yet voted, and their decision could doom us to a railway shutdown. The deadline to reach an agreement is November 19th.

    What would happen in the event of a rail strike?
    Edward Segal of Forbes.com has been carefully watching this situation.

    As I wrote last month, “Had the national railroad strike become a reality [in September], the labor stoppage would have created another crisis for thousands of companies and organizations. The impact on companies, organizations and fragile supply chains would have depended, of course, on the duration of the strike.”

    Another factor company executives should keep in mind if there’s a strike is the reaction of consumers.

    “After nearly three years of supply chain delays and asks for ‘understanding’ during difficult times, customers are facing supply chain fatigue,” Kushal Nahata, CEO of FarEye, a last mile delivery management company, said via email.

    “The patience they had during the early days of the pandemic is waning, and the overall sentiment is that companies should be able to plan accordingly and have solutions readily available,” he advised.

    Companies “should adapt their logistics models so [that] very little disruption is felt by their customer base. If they don’t, customers have no problem moving onto another brand that can— nearly 90% of customers will abandon an online retailer if they see poor delivery terms,” Nahata warned.

    Segal isn’t wrong. We, the consumers, are sick of paying through the nose for terrible policies that have caused this economic disaster.

    But, yet again, the decisions are out of our hands.

    How do you prep for something like this?
    How on earth do you prep for a transportation shutdown, especially after the past two and a half years? The supplies in stores are depleted and expensive; many of us have consumed a portion, if not all of our existing supplies; and Americans are broke.

    Unless you are one of the people fortunate enough to be in a position to do so, you can’t buy your way out of this problem.

    My suggestion is to consider the things you truly cannot get by without: medications, special foods necessary to your health, and any other essential item you must have, and focus your resources on these things. This isn’t about “wants” and “comforts.” It’s about “needs.” Be sure that you are clear on the difference. If we get lucky and these issues are resolved without a transportation collapse, you know you didn’t purchase a bunch of stuff you’ll never use – you got the things that are necessary.

    As for everything else, we’re going to have to focus on being the most adaptable and resilient versions of ourselves. We are going to have to learn to live with different options at the store, making do, and doing without.

    While we aren’t surrounded by marauders, and we still have power, this is the scenario we’ve been prepping for, and I believe that we, as preppers, are mentally ready to survive this. It won’t be easy, but we have the advantage – we knew it was going to happen. We didn’t know for sure what it would look like, but we’ve known for years that this kick-the-can economy was hanging on by a thread.
    More inside link: https://www.theorganicprepper.com/su...torm-november/
    “To develop a complete mind: Study the art of science; study the science of art. Learn how to see. Realize that everything connects to everything else” – Leonardo Da Vinci

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Federal health officials report shortage of widely used antibiotic
    It wasn’t immediately clear what prompted the shortage of amoxicillin or how long it could last.

    Nov. 2, 2022, 11:39 PM CDT
    By Tim Stelloh and Denise Chow
    One of the most commonly used antibiotics in the country, amoxicillin, is in short supply, federal health officials say.

    The notice from the Food and Drug Administration about an oral solution of the drug comes as pharmacy owners report diminished inventory of the medication, which is prescribed to treat bacterial infections, including pneumonia and bronchitis.

    The department also listed a shortage for an oral powder. Amoxicillin is available in chewable tablets or capsules.

    It wasn't immediately clear what prompted the shortage or how long it could last.

    The FDA did not immediately respond to a request for comment, nor did three key makers of the antibiotic — Hikma Pharmaceuticals, based in the United Kingdom; Sandoz, based in Switzerland; and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., based in Israel.

    A spokesman for the FDA previously said a number of factors can cause drug shortages, including manufacturing and quality problems, delays and discontinuations.

    The American Society of Health-System Pharmacists, which maintains a database of drug shortages, last reported shortages from the companies Monday.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...ials-rcna55389
    "We're all bozos on this bus"

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    Netherlands Avalon Member gini's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Fuel Company Warns Cities May Run Out Of Diesel, Apocalyptic For Democrats.--7/11/22--15 min--

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    It's only WEEKS away and it might be worse than the Great Recession | Redacted with Clayton Morris--22/11/22--20 min-

    Many people are skipping Thanksgiving dinner because they simply can't afford it. We have disturbing new economic numbers out today show how we may be facing the worst economic crisis since the great recession couple of key data points that we want to talk about. Consumer spending is down, consumer savings is down and consumer credit is up, up, up! -

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    Netherlands Avalon Member gini's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Germany has lost its mind and they are not ready for what's coming from the WEF | Redacted


    Nov 23, 2022
    Germans are simply not ready for what's unfolding across their country from blackouts to food shortages and rationing of electricity. Germans corrupt leaders turned off their nuclear power plants and pushed the country toward renewables that don't work. Now they are scrambling to figure out a solution. -

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Global shortages of everything, except rat, if you're in New York City:



    Source: https://twitter.com/kenmilesamerica/...75400196669440

    More rat this time in Queen's:



    Source: https://twitter.com/carla_venezia/st...22977579261952
    Last edited by Tintin; 12th December 2022 at 17:41.
    “If a man does not keep pace with [fall into line with] his companions, perhaps it is because he hears a different drummer. Let him step to the music which he hears, however measured or far away.” - Thoreau

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    England Avalon Member Spiral's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Tintin (here)
    Global shortages of everything, except rat, if you're in New York City:



    Source: https://twitter.com/kenmilesamerica/...75400196669440
    Looks like a guinea pig to me, they have eaten them in South America for centuries.

    Might seem strange to us but it's only culture.

    Probably very much like rabbit.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    I guess if it's edible by humans that would be one up on eating insects.

    I wouldn't like it coming to me like that though, I'd prefer it in a pie, casserole or *ehem* ratatouille.

    Who is going to be the first to try it?

    Sorry

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Once more, Chris Martenson lays it all out, and no-one is talking about this. There's no deus ex machina (no miracle to save us), not solar, not windmills, not fusion, not nothing.

    Global GDP (= wealth expansion) is linked 1:1 to global energy supply, and for the next several decades at least that is (a) finite and (b) rapidly drying up, becoming more and more expensive every year to get every barrel of oil out of the ground. And natural gas is similarly limited, as is coal.

    We're rapidly eating our way through our energy inheritance, and there's almost nothing to replace it any time soon. And that effects everything, literally everything.


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