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Thread: Global Shortages of Everything

  1. Link to Post #21
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    We are witnessing 'Problem, Reaction,Solution, on a grand scale where the Covid bioweapon has been used to force corrupt and incompetent governments into committing economic and social sucide whilst convincing themselves they did the right thing because they had no clue about the corrupt science being peddled to them - or did they? All in the interest of safety and freedom - we've lost both due to acquiescence. Global governments have been told, paid and agreed with the idea that 'stopping the earth spinning' for a while is a good idea - whoops.


    Governments have a 100% track record of getting things wrong as they discover that their budgets are limitless whilst quickly realising they are unable to provide even basics like food, energy and warmth - the only solution quite clearly is the great reset (Central Bank Digital Currencies CBDC - coming our way soon) and new world order - a corporate / government centralised control and ownership system


    We are perhaps witnessing, via the media hype, that chaos and destruction is the new normal, well, until Agenda 21 is implented by 2030 or even sooner - The vaccine (wealth transfer and transhumanism) and vaccine passport is clearly an important aspect of total control.


    Any semblance of normality is far away but we are seeing a wide range of growing protests take place around the world - both genuine and paid for actors that add to the turmoil - from anti-vaxers, the anti-vaccine passporters, the anti-lockdowners, those protesting shortages, inflation, pension, climate change - the list goes on but energy and food is the biggy where even YOU may join in !!


    The likelihood of the people coming together under a common cause to stop this destruction by the hybrid destroyers is remote - until our food and energy threatens our families, but they already know that.

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  3. Link to Post #22
    UK Avalon Founder Bill Ryan's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    Here's Chris Martenson, with a video published yesterday about exactly this:

    The energy crunch is going to impact you and your family



    I think this is pretty important. Chris Martenson really does explain, with references and charts, what's about to hit the entire planet.

    And from CNN yesterday:
    The workers who keep global supply chains moving are warning of a 'system collapse'
    Seafarers, truck drivers and airline workers have endured quarantines, travel restrictions and complex Covid-19 vaccination and testing requirements to keep stretched supply chains moving during the pandemic.

    But many are now reaching their breaking point, posing yet another threat to the badly tangled network of ports, container vessels and trucking companies that moves goods around the world.

    (article continues)

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  5. Link to Post #23
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    A press release (29 September) from the International Chamber of Shipping:

    https://ics-shipping.org/press-relea...-supply-chains

    Joint open letter – Transport heads call on world leaders to secure global supply chains

    Since the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the maritime, road and aviation industries have called loudly and clearly on governments to ensure the free movement of transport workers and to end travel bans and other restrictions that have had an enormously detrimental impact on their wellbeing and safety. Transport workers keep the world running and are vital for the free movement of products, including vaccines and PPE, but have been continually failed by governments and taken for granted by their officials.

    Our calls have been consistent and clear: freedom of movement for transport workers, for governments to use protocols that have been endorsed by international bodies for each sector and to prioritise transport workers for vaccinations as called for in the World Health Organization’s SAGE Roadmap for Prioritizing Uses of COVID-19 Vaccines in the Context of Limited Supply.

    Heads of government have failed to listen, to end the blame-shifting within and between governments and take the decisive and coordinated action needed to resolve this crisis.

    This is why IRU, the world road transport organisation, IATA, the International Air Transport Association, ICS, the International Chamber of Shipping, and ITF, the International Transport Workers’ Federation, have come together to make an urgent plea to the world’s heads of government and the United Nations Agencies to remove restrictions hampering the free movement of transport workers, and guarantee and facilitate their free and safe movement.

    Our collective industries account for more than $20 trillion of world trade annually, and represent 65 million global transport workers, and over 3.5 million road freight and airline companies, as well as more than 80% of the world merchant shipping fleet. Seafarers, air crew and drivers must be able to continue to do their jobs, and cross borders, to keep supply chains moving. We ask heads of government to urgently take the leadership that is required to bring an end to the fragmented travel rules and restrictions that have severely impacted the global supply chain and put at risk the health and wellbeing of our international transport workforce. We also need the same urgent leadership to increase global vaccine supply by all means at our disposal, in order to expedite the recovery of our industries.

    We ask that our transport workers are given priority to receive WHO recognised vaccines and heads of government work together to create globally harmonised, digital, mutually recognised vaccination certificate and processes for demonstrating health credentials (including vaccination status and COVID-19 test results), which are paramount to ensure transport workers can cross international borders.

    We also call on the WHO to take our message to health ministries. Despite early engagement at the outset of the pandemic and issuance of guidance, health and transport ministries have not utilised it, resulting in the situation we face today. We need the WHO and governments to work together to ensure this guidance is accepted and followed.

    The impact of nearly two years’ worth of strain, placed particularly upon maritime and road transport workers, but also impacting air crews, is now being seen. Their continued mistreatment is adding pressure on an already crumbling global supply chain. We are witnessing unprecedented disruptions and global delays and shortages on essential goods including electronics, food, fuel and medical supplies. Consumer demand is rising and the delays look set to worsen ahead of Christmas and continue into 2022.

    We have all continued to keep global trade flowing throughout the pandemic, but it has taken a human toll. At the peak of the crew change crisis 400,000 seafarers were unable to leave their ships, with some seafarers working for as long as 18 months over their initial contracts. Flights have been restricted and aviation workers have faced the inconsistency of border, travel, restrictions, and vaccine restrictions/requirements. Additional and systemic stopping at road borders has meant truck drivers have been forced to wait, sometimes weeks, before being able to complete their journeys and return home.

    It is of great concern that we are also seeing shortages of workers and expect more to leave our industries as a result of the poor treatment they have faced during the pandemic, putting the supply chain under greater threat.

    In view of the vital role that transport workers have played during the pandemic and continue to play during the ongoing supply chain crisis, we request, as a matter of urgency, a meeting with WHO and the ILO at the highest level to identify solutions before global transport systems collapse. We also ask that WHO and the ILO raise this at the UN General Assembly and call on heads of government to take meaningful and swift action to resolve this crisis now.

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  7. Link to Post #24
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    A press release (29 September) from the International Chamber of Shipping:

    https://ics-shipping.org/press-relea...-supply-chains

    Joint open letter – Transport heads call on world leaders to secure global supply chains

    Since the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the maritime, road and aviation industries have called loudly and clearly on governments to ensure the free movement of transport workers and to end travel bans and other restrictions that have had an enormously detrimental impact on their wellbeing and safety. Transport workers keep the world running and are vital for the free movement of products, including vaccines and PPE, but have been continually failed by governments and taken for granted by their officials.

    Our calls have been consistent and clear: freedom of movement for transport workers, for governments to use protocols that have been endorsed by international bodies for each sector and to prioritise transport workers for vaccinations as called for in the World Health Organization’s SAGE Roadmap for Prioritizing Uses of COVID-19 Vaccines in the Context of Limited Supply.

    Heads of government have failed to listen, to end the blame-shifting within and between governments and take the decisive and coordinated action needed to resolve this crisis.

    This is why IRU, the world road transport organisation, IATA, the International Air Transport Association, ICS, the International Chamber of Shipping, and ITF, the International Transport Workers’ Federation, have come together to make an urgent plea to the world’s heads of government and the United Nations Agencies to remove restrictions hampering the free movement of transport workers, and guarantee and facilitate their free and safe movement.

    Our collective industries account for more than $20 trillion of world trade annually, and represent 65 million global transport workers, and over 3.5 million road freight and airline companies, as well as more than 80% of the world merchant shipping fleet. Seafarers, air crew and drivers must be able to continue to do their jobs, and cross borders, to keep supply chains moving. We ask heads of government to urgently take the leadership that is required to bring an end to the fragmented travel rules and restrictions that have severely impacted the global supply chain and put at risk the health and wellbeing of our international transport workforce. We also need the same urgent leadership to increase global vaccine supply by all means at our disposal, in order to expedite the recovery of our industries.

    We ask that our transport workers are given priority to receive WHO recognised vaccines and heads of government work together to create globally harmonised, digital, mutually recognised vaccination certificate and processes for demonstrating health credentials (including vaccination status and COVID-19 test results), which are paramount to ensure transport workers can cross international borders.

    We also call on the WHO to take our message to health ministries. Despite early engagement at the outset of the pandemic and issuance of guidance, health and transport ministries have not utilised it, resulting in the situation we face today. We need the WHO and governments to work together to ensure this guidance is accepted and followed.

    The impact of nearly two years’ worth of strain, placed particularly upon maritime and road transport workers, but also impacting air crews, is now being seen. Their continued mistreatment is adding pressure on an already crumbling global supply chain. We are witnessing unprecedented disruptions and global delays and shortages on essential goods including electronics, food, fuel and medical supplies. Consumer demand is rising and the delays look set to worsen ahead of Christmas and continue into 2022.

    We have all continued to keep global trade flowing throughout the pandemic, but it has taken a human toll. At the peak of the crew change crisis 400,000 seafarers were unable to leave their ships, with some seafarers working for as long as 18 months over their initial contracts. Flights have been restricted and aviation workers have faced the inconsistency of border, travel, restrictions, and vaccine restrictions/requirements. Additional and systemic stopping at road borders has meant truck drivers have been forced to wait, sometimes weeks, before being able to complete their journeys and return home.

    It is of great concern that we are also seeing shortages of workers and expect more to leave our industries as a result of the poor treatment they have faced during the pandemic, putting the supply chain under greater threat.

    In view of the vital role that transport workers have played during the pandemic and continue to play during the ongoing supply chain crisis, we request, as a matter of urgency, a meeting with WHO and the ILO at the highest level to identify solutions before global transport systems collapse. We also ask that WHO and the ILO raise this at the UN General Assembly and call on heads of government to take meaningful and swift action to resolve this crisis now.
    You made no comment so I thought I might highlight the above.

    It looks like a call for sanity and a secure future for transportation of goods, but that one highlighted point just gives in to the agenda.

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  9. Link to Post #25
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Ewan (here)
    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    A press release (29 September) from the International Chamber of Shipping:

    https://ics-shipping.org/press-relea...-supply-chains

    Joint open letter – Transport heads call on world leaders to secure global supply chains

    Since the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the maritime, road and aviation industries have called loudly and clearly on governments to ensure the free movement of transport workers and to end travel bans and other restrictions that have had an enormously detrimental impact on their wellbeing and safety. Transport workers keep the world running and are vital for the free movement of products, including vaccines and PPE, but have been continually failed by governments and taken for granted by their officials.

    Our calls have been consistent and clear: freedom of movement for transport workers, for governments to use protocols that have been endorsed by international bodies for each sector and to prioritise transport workers for vaccinations as called for in the World Health Organization’s SAGE Roadmap for Prioritizing Uses of COVID-19 Vaccines in the Context of Limited Supply.

    Heads of government have failed to listen, to end the blame-shifting within and between governments and take the decisive and coordinated action needed to resolve this crisis.

    This is why IRU, the world road transport organisation, IATA, the International Air Transport Association, ICS, the International Chamber of Shipping, and ITF, the International Transport Workers’ Federation, have come together to make an urgent plea to the world’s heads of government and the United Nations Agencies to remove restrictions hampering the free movement of transport workers, and guarantee and facilitate their free and safe movement.

    Our collective industries account for more than $20 trillion of world trade annually, and represent 65 million global transport workers, and over 3.5 million road freight and airline companies, as well as more than 80% of the world merchant shipping fleet. Seafarers, air crew and drivers must be able to continue to do their jobs, and cross borders, to keep supply chains moving. We ask heads of government to urgently take the leadership that is required to bring an end to the fragmented travel rules and restrictions that have severely impacted the global supply chain and put at risk the health and wellbeing of our international transport workforce. We also need the same urgent leadership to increase global vaccine supply by all means at our disposal, in order to expedite the recovery of our industries.

    We ask that our transport workers are given priority to receive WHO recognised vaccines and heads of government work together to create globally harmonised, digital, mutually recognised vaccination certificate and processes for demonstrating health credentials (including vaccination status and COVID-19 test results), which are paramount to ensure transport workers can cross international borders.

    We also call on the WHO to take our message to health ministries. Despite early engagement at the outset of the pandemic and issuance of guidance, health and transport ministries have not utilised it, resulting in the situation we face today. We need the WHO and governments to work together to ensure this guidance is accepted and followed.

    The impact of nearly two years’ worth of strain, placed particularly upon maritime and road transport workers, but also impacting air crews, is now being seen. Their continued mistreatment is adding pressure on an already crumbling global supply chain. We are witnessing unprecedented disruptions and global delays and shortages on essential goods including electronics, food, fuel and medical supplies. Consumer demand is rising and the delays look set to worsen ahead of Christmas and continue into 2022.

    We have all continued to keep global trade flowing throughout the pandemic, but it has taken a human toll. At the peak of the crew change crisis 400,000 seafarers were unable to leave their ships, with some seafarers working for as long as 18 months over their initial contracts. Flights have been restricted and aviation workers have faced the inconsistency of border, travel, restrictions, and vaccine restrictions/requirements. Additional and systemic stopping at road borders has meant truck drivers have been forced to wait, sometimes weeks, before being able to complete their journeys and return home.

    It is of great concern that we are also seeing shortages of workers and expect more to leave our industries as a result of the poor treatment they have faced during the pandemic, putting the supply chain under greater threat.

    In view of the vital role that transport workers have played during the pandemic and continue to play during the ongoing supply chain crisis, we request, as a matter of urgency, a meeting with WHO and the ILO at the highest level to identify solutions before global transport systems collapse. We also ask that WHO and the ILO raise this at the UN General Assembly and call on heads of government to take meaningful and swift action to resolve this crisis now.
    You made no comment so I thought I might highlight the above.

    It looks like a call for sanity and a secure future for transportation of goods, but that one highlighted point just gives in to the agenda.
    Right. But I think that can be disregarded. Those kinds of measures aren't going to happen (at least to that requested degree).

    A few thoughts:
    • One might ponder the result of a 'vaxxident' when piloting a giant container ship down the Suez canal.
    • Many 'vaccinated' people will get sick or worse. That might happen next week, next month, or in 3 years' time. That will take its own toll on work forces everywhere. It's just on a slow burn.
    • The agenda (alas) is to kill people. Supply chains will break whatever happens. The current supply chain meltdown (which is what it is, in slow motion) won't magically reverse itself with a bunch of 'vaccination' certificates. Wait until millions of truck drivers, seamen and cargo handlers quit their jobs to avoid getting very very sick on mandate.
    • There's going to be a great deal of chaos ahead. Like nothing we've ever seen in our lives. I do think now that it's 100% unavoidable. All one can do is take care of oneself, one's friends and family (if possible), and (if possible) help one's local community be as strong as possible. And stock up on critical stuff — again, if possible.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by I am B (here)
    In spain food is fine, but gas is gonna hit 1'50€ soon , and electricity is breaking records by the day, almost at 200€/Mwh. average.

    Yesterday night most of my town's street lights were off, wonder if it was because of it.

    MSM is not reporting on this crisis.
    Remembering my last post here 7 days ago, and while tomorrow's electricity in Spain will top at 320€/Mwh, and gas is well settled above 1'50€/L (almost at 1'60 already) can't recommend enough that Chris Martenson video.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by I am B (here)
    Quote Posted by I am B (here)
    In spain food is fine, but gas is gonna hit 1'50€ soon , and electricity is breaking records by the day, almost at 200€/Mwh. average.

    Yesterday night most of my town's street lights were off, wonder if it was because of it.

    MSM is not reporting on this crisis.
    Remembering my last post here 7 days ago, and while tomorrow's electricity in Spain will top at 320€/Mwh, and gas is well settled above 1'50€/L (almost at 1'60 already) can't recommend enough that Chris Martenson video.
    A useful conversion for American readers: 1'60€/liter = $7.00 for a US gallon.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    Quote Posted by I am B (here)
    Quote Posted by I am B (here)
    In spain food is fine, but gas is gonna hit 1'50€ soon , and electricity is breaking records by the day, almost at 200€/Mwh. average.

    Yesterday night most of my town's street lights were off, wonder if it was because of it.

    MSM is not reporting on this crisis.
    Remembering my last post here 7 days ago, and while tomorrow's electricity in Spain will top at 320€/Mwh, and gas is well settled above 1'50€/L (almost at 1'60 already) can't recommend enough that Chris Martenson video.
    A useful conversion for American readers: 1'60€/liter = $7.00 for a US gallon.
    The national average price of gas as of 10/6/21 is $3.22. The range is $2.85 - $4.42. Here’s the state gas price averages according to AAA.



    PUMP PRICES EDGE HIGHER AS OIL PRICES KEEP UP THE PRESSURE

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    More from Chris Martenson. As usual, he explains the financial and supply chain dominos-falling complexity as well as or better than anyone else might be able to.


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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    This incident is now also being blamed for adding to potential energy shortages, leading to winter blackouts until March 2022 here in the U.K.

    https://theguardian.com/business/202...-supply-crunch

    Fire shuts one of UK’s most important power cables in midst of supply crunch
    Coal plants being warmed up as market prices surge to £2,500 per MWh from a norm of £40”


    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.t...ter-cable-fire

    “Winter blackout risk in Great Britain rises after cable fire
    Blaze affecting vital subsea cable hits backup energy supply cushion, adding to industry troubles”


    Talk about ‘bad timing’ 🤨
    Last edited by Sérénité; 8th October 2021 at 11:45.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitic...s-manufactured

    https://tomluongo.me/2021/10/06/euro...think-burning/

    Quote European Energy Crisis — And is That Gas You Think You’re Burning?

    The European Gas Crisis keeps hitting new high after new high as gas prices around the world go ballistic. While this isn’t just a European problem, if you read the MSM, that’s all they seem to care about.

    You know, it snows in Japan as well folks, and China.

    Prices keep skyrocketing in Europe because there is no shortage of idiocy at the top of the European power structure. The confluence of the pressurizing of Nordstream 2 with the release of the “Pandora Papers” and the beginnings of German coalition talks just after the beginning of Q4 should have everyone’s Spidey-Sense shutting down like your adrenals do after a long period of self-inflicted stress.

    And honestly, whose adrenals aren’t on the verge of collapse after eighteen months of ‘flatten the curve,’ ‘follow the science,’ and ‘just roll over to the Communism, already, you disgusting plebe!’ that we’ve been going through.

    I guess that’s yet another thing we have to try and factor into our analysis of what collapse is the most imminent?

    Because when you put this gas crisis in Europe into its proper context it should be clear where the battle lines are being drawn as the extreme pressure cooker of today’s geopolitical landscape forces everyone off the sidelines and into the fray.

    On the one hand we have natural gas prices in Europe approaching coffin corner. On the other we have Russia browning out gas deliveries to Europe. China is experiencing major energy shortages and the entirety of the coal delivery network around the world is buckling.

    These are facts. There are more I could list but let’s stay focused here.

    The thing that makes no sense, seemingly, is that no one has an answer why these facts exist in the first place.

    Because all anyone official ever wants to do is blame the sneaky Russians to avoid their own responsibility for this.

    Finally, after a couple of weeks of this howling, Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the issue from their side.

    I suggest strongly you read his remarks carefully. Because in there you’ll find a couple of ‘facts’ which make this entire crisis in Europe seem like yet another staged ‘false flag’ for political gain. Ready?




    The two middle points are the ones the no one want to report on but are the key to the understanding of this.

    Europe is engaged in a game of idiotic brinksmanship with its people and the capital markets over gas supplies. They do this to construct a narrative and distort markets for political benefit.

    When the reality is that this entire ‘crisis’ is a manufactured one because of their unwillingness to bow to the forces their policies have unleashed.


    Gas prices in Europe are this way because of Europe’s own mistakes in trying to remake its economy (Putin Point #4).

    Moreover, Putin also urged Gazprom, as a gesture of good faith despite his misgivings, to ship gas through Ukraine even though it would be better to turn on other capacity.

    “Gazprom believes that it is economically more viable, it would even be more profitable to pay a fine to Ukraine, but to increase the volume of pumping through new systems precisely because of the circumstances that I mentioned – there is more pressure in the pipe, less CO2 emissions into the atmosphere. Everything is cheaper, around 3 billion a year. But I ask you not to do this,” the President said.

    Does this sound like the mustache-twirling tyrant that’s portrayed in the odious British, US and German media?

    Of course not. Now, I’m not accusing Putin of being an angel here or anything, he’s throwing scraps back to people who have put themselves in a position to starve and freeze to death, both literally and politically.

    The goal here is to highlight just how moronic the EU’s stance on energy has become, to finally to break up the logjam.

    He’s happy to see Gazprom (and possibly Rosneft if need be) sell all Europeans as much gas as it can supply and they demand, but only on terms that benefit everyone, supplier and demander. As I’ve talked about in previous blog posts, the EU thinks they have a monopsony on Russian gas and because of this can dictate terms to them.

    This is patently untrue, and Gazprom shifting around supplies for a few days here and there proves that point dramatically. Like Jay Powell draining the world of eurodollars with just five basis points, Putin and Gazprom can expose the the extent of Eurocrat mendacity with just a few days of slowing gas exports.

    That’s why this brinksmanship over gas supplies and electricity prices isn’t aimed at the Russians, who clearly have other customers for their gas, but with the people of Europe themselves and the capital markets all structured around one-sigma price volatility they are now extremely vulnerable even if things begin to return to normal.

    The Russian Bogey Man is simply the cover story for what is a much deeper and, frankly, much more disturbing game.

    So, while Zerohedge is correct about gas supply brown outs in Europe it’s only partly for reasons abundantly clear to even first-year geopolitical analysts:

    Flows dropped as Gazprom has booked only about a third of the gas transit capacity it was offered for October via the Yamal-Europe pipeline and no extra transit capacity via Ukraine.

    Gazprom declined to comment. It has repeatedly said it was supplying customers with gas in full compliance with existing contracts and said additional supplies could be provided once the newly built Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline was launched.

    Ball. Court. Germany.

    Yes, Germany needs Nordstream 2. Hell Europe needs Nordstream 3 if these Davos ninnies are wrong about Climate Change, which they are.

    Germany is the country caught in the middle of this titanic battle for the future of the world and Davos is the group creating this false flag to force a shift in sentiment negatively towards Russia.

    That’s what’s driving this current crisis, one that, I think, is now threatening the future of the European Union itself. If those are the stakes, then eventually someone will finally do the right thing. Putin just offered the smallest of olive branches. Now let’s see if the European Commission has three collective brain cells to rub together and figure out how to save face (and their backsides).


    Beating up and demeaning your neighbor is not a winning strategy, nor is it a path to lower prices and stable markets. At some point they, the Russians, realize that the situation is exactly what it looks like from the outside, war. And, in this case the Russians under Putin are finally treating the EU commissars as enemy combatants because that’s who they are.

    That’s why his comments were structured to put the onus of the crisis back on Europe’s leadership rather than blaming the people keeping the lights on in the first place.

    Whenever things like this happen Capitalism is always blamed. But, it’s always Commie vandals like the EU Commission who created the problem, either deliberately with dumb things like the Third Gas Directive or malinvestment of capital which leaves the world vulnerable to a hot summer in Asia.

    And this is the essential point no one wants to confront. The EU picked this fight purely for political purposes because they have an agenda — energy instability for political benefit — but it has come back to bite them in the ass.

    Because, as I said, the markets are so tight it takes only a small shift in sentiment to see the prices of things with inelastic demand, like energy, rise dramatically with a marginal shift in either supply, demand or, in this case, both.

    Russia doesn’t act this ‘by the book’ at this moment in time without a plan. Treating the EU like the enemies they are is the strategic play. Whining about it in the media only accentuates their weakness and lack of leverage.

    My friends at Mittdolcino.com are positively despondent because they see this power play for how it affects Italy, which is that it will carve the country up into pieces over divergent needs for inflation and deflation between it and Germany since one of these two countries need to exit the Euro-zone.

    There’s no way this massive ‘drop’ in Russian supplies to the EU occurs without a longer-term strategic plan by the Russians. Putin has made it clear he is fully fed up with EU shenanigans and this is the time for him to put the most pressure imaginable on Brussels to break the EU into tiny pieces.

    How? It’s again, all about Germany.

    When Nordstream 2 was announced and I was writing Gold Stock Advisor for Newsmax in 2013 I talked then about how the difference between how gold was accounted for between the ECB and the Fed. That put Germany squarely in the middle between the U.S. on one side and Russia on the other.

    Russia and China still hadn’t signed the big deal for the Power of Siberia pipeline at the time. They are now working on Power of Siberia 2, which will open up the massive mineral deposits in Mongolia. So, even then, in my naïve way of seeing the world then as a first-year geopolitical analyst, I understood that Russia’s foreign policy had to be focused on getting Germany to side with them versus the U.S.

    The political establishment in Germany was never going to let that happen because under Obama Davos was running the operation to cleave Ukraine from Russia. To date, both have been partially successful. Both Ukraine and Germany are being torn apart from within as domestic leadership bows to internationals forces forcing them to pursue policies which go completely against their countries’ wishes and best interests.

    So, now, fast forward to today. The day after the German elections brings a mess but with a highly likely outcome that the SPD will ally with the Greens and the FDP. With Christian Lidner (FDP) as Finance Minister (at least temporarily) we have a German government at war with itself.

    As Alex Mercouris brought up after I left the chat with Crypto Rich last week, the Greens are fracturing over the Russia issue. Part of them want a restoration of good Russian relations, the other are neocon/Davos infiltrators trying to constantly move the goalposts on both Climate Change and geopolitics.

    The SPD are pure Davos scum at this point so expect nothing good from them. This is why I think Putin ‘shut off the taps’ the day after the election. Like everyone else, he can see what Davos is doing and doesn’t like it. So, in order for him to make his point he does exactly what he should, stop trading with those who have unofficially declared war on Russia and push the political scene in Germany to a breaking point.

    Because here’s where this goes. Germany needs to either control the purse strings of the EU or it needs to leave the euro-zone and be independent of the sinking ship. Putin realizes that the best way to achieve this is to pour gasoline on a raging firestorm in the energy markets (oh, the humanity of the puns!) and remind German voters just who is truly responsible for their €2000/month electricity bills.

    It’s not Putin. It’s Berlin. So, Berlin needs to sign off on Nordstream 2 and then ram it down the EU Commission’s throat. And they better do it soon because Winter is Coming, after all.

    And they just voted for more of this while Merkel, who has been the biggest obstacle to AfD’s inclusion in any government, is leaving the scene. The CDU leadership got whacked across the board. Most of the big names will not be in the Bundestag this time around, so the party will be doing a lot of self-reflection.

    Inflation of the type Putin is ‘forcing’ on Europeans today is the type a country only recovers from with a political inversion. This is why today we’re seeing surprise rate hikes from Poland, for example. It’s why Serbia is begging Russia to increase gas supplies there and Hungary signed a 15-year deal to secure its energy future.

    While there is no appetite for a political inversion in Germany today after last week’s vote, there will be in about 3 months if coalition talks stall. Because the ECB under Christine Lagarde cannot raise rates but is powerless to stop them rising ultimately if the market senses that there is no political leadership capable of reining it in.

    That ship sailed a few months ago after the Fed called Lagarde’s hawkish bluff and actively drained more than $1 trillion from overseas dollar markets and just increased the capacity to drain even more, without tapering QE.

    Now let’s go back to the Fed and Wall St. If there is a real backlash within some areas of the U.S. ‘big money’ against Davos which is showing up as Fed monetary policy, per my consistent analysis of the situation and events playing out to support it, then they are tacitly coordinating with Putin to give Germany what it wants, an excuse to leave the euro and conduct independent trade and energy policy.

    Think about it. On the one hand the Fed is drying up dollars. On the other Putin is spiking energy prices making it impossible for Germany to fight inflation within the EU. On the third hand, China is cracking down on property speculation domestically, kicking out the foreign NGOs and reminding foreign investors that the rules in China are not the same as they are in the West.

    You can and will lose all your money if you invest behind the Great Wall, as so many Evergrande bondholders just found out.

    Now let’s square the entire circle. If Europe’s energy crisis is a constructed false flag event to spook capital, encourage speculators and effect political change, then can’t you make the same arguments for the concurrent fight on Capitol Hill regarding the Democrats, the debt ceiling and the spending bills?

    Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has been adamant that the Democrats do not need any help in passing a debt ceiling resolution. They can do it any time they want to. But, the Democrats won’t do this? Why? They are manufacturing a narrative that there is crisis on the horizon — default on U.S. bond payments.

    This is the one outcome no investor wants to contemplate. So, the Democrats, like the Europeans, are arguing against themselves in order to blackmail the world into giving them their cookie or they will hold their breath until they collapse global markets.

    Let me repeat. There is no debt ceiling crisis. There is no U.S. default crisis. There is only a bunch of Mafiosi on Capitol Hill doing what they’ve been told to do while purposefully scaring everyone into believing there is a crisis when none exists.

    Do I have to invoke a classic Who song to make my point?




    What’s the goal? Chaos and the continued undermining of faith in politics, capital markets, energy production and seizing supply chains as we approach the winter in the Northern Hemisphere where susceptibility to pesky things like the flu, the latest iteration of COVID-9/11 and blatant political bull**** swells like a boil on the back of a government bureaucrat blocking a permit for some basic, but eminently important thing.

    That Putin came out and told the world he’s ready to work with Europe to do his part alleviating the energy supply problems in Europe I’ve not heard one encouraging word from those that would benefit from this the most.

    Their silence is deafening.


    And that brings me back to Germany where, unless this gets resolved quickly, the most likely downstream outcome is Germany leaving the euro, reinstitute the Deutsche Mark, watch it fall vs. the dollar in the near term but outcompete the euro.

    With the euro in freefall after a disastrous Q3 close and German Bunds getting prepared for their next big sell-off, perhaps, maybe, for the first time in a long time, the markets are beginning to wake up from their central bank induced SOMA injections and get real with the possibilities that forces are now aligned to do the unthinkable, break up the EU.


    But that only happens with a political inversion where the CDU/CSU ally with AfD and the FDP to form a real government after the current parties can’t form a coalition or any three-way coalition formed fails as inflation crushes the German middle class.

    If the AfD were smart now they would be blaming all of this on Merkel’s moronic energy policy. Now we’re seeing calls for delaying shutting down Germany’s nuclear reactors. They can’t import enough coal to feed the plants. BASF has shut down ammonia production, so food production is threatened.

    There is no Agenda 2030 on the horizon if Germans freeze to death in their homes or get decimated by COVID-9/11 because they can’t afford to heat their homes.

    This will crush France and Macron, overthrow Davos at the mid-terms here in the states and break the European Union in the process.

    Germany is the lynchpin to the entire Davos edifice. Without a compliant and beaten Germany there is no further Great Reset. A Germany that breaks from the euro becomes a Germany that realigns with Russia and Eastern Europe. It’s a Germany no longer hell bent on internal European mercantilism and the establishment of the Fourth Reich through the EUSSR.

    The German people keep asking for that policy to end but aren’t given the options by their leadership to make that happen. Then again, they keep giving their leadership just enough power to forestall their having to make a real decision. That decision is coming at them, fast.

    As it is everyone across the West in various guises.

    So, as as Powell with five little basis points is under extreme pressure to go full MMT retard but so far has held his water and Putin with a few million BTUs of gas, these men are forcing open fault lines in the aristocracy that thinks it deserves to run the world and can bring down the whole rotten edifice.


    I don't believe anything, but I have many suspicions. - Robert Anton Wilson

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Brilliant assessment of the gas shenanigans. ∧

    If Germany leaves the EU, the corrupt and incompetent EU is done; it's dependent on Germany as a net contributor.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    so, just after my friends grandma insightfully mused that the UK fuel shorteges wwould have been caused by the disire to empty all the filling stations for the arrival of the new E10 fuel, i spotted this on RT

    Government conversion to ‘greener fuel’ led to UK petrol crisis as retailers had already emptied old fuel – media
    The recent case of fuel shortages across the UK, though partially caused by panic buying, were worsened due to the government’s decision to switch to a more eco-friendly fuel, according to local med

    https://www.rt.com/uk/536898-governm...parked-crisis/

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    And so they cause panic to buy up all the old fuel, at the inconvenience of all those caught in long lines or having to go without.
    This is how we are treated by those who purportedly act in our best interest...
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    My buddy was over here the other day, his cousin farms soybean, he and myself have been reading about farmers being paid by our government to til over food crops and being paid 1.5 times what they would normally get. If they refuse then their subsidy's from the government are being threatened with decreases. WHY? I'm guessing this goes to Kissinger's statement, control the money and control countries, control the food and control the people. What a time we are living in aren't we.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/...obally-without



    Quote
    Over 1,000 Crew Members Are Stranded On 'Abandoned' Cargo Ships Globally Without Pay Or Food

    BY TYLER DURDEN
    FRIDAY, OCT 08, 2021 - 08:00 PM
    Pandemic-driven global trade disruptions and an increasing number of shipping companies abandoning their own vessels over mounting debts including older vessels deemed too costly to repair has led to the rise in the phenomenon of crewmembers simply being abandoned at sea, often left to fend for themselves as they await pay which sometimes never comes.

    A Friday investigative report in The Wall Street Journal has detailed some of the shocking stories of tanker crew members left adrift after companies abandoned vessels or sold or transferred them, or couldn't pay mounting debts, while trying to survive oftentimes on little food even while moored close to resort locations in places like Dubai - or in other cases floating off the Suez Canal or at Black Sea ports.

    "The $14 trillion shipping industry, responsible for 90% of world trade, has left in its wake what appears to be a record number of cargo-ship castaways," the report begins. "Abandonment cases are counted when shipowners fail to pay crews two or more months in wages or don’t cover the cost to send crew members home, according to the International Maritime Organization, a United Nations agency."

    < more at link >
    I don't believe anything, but I have many suspicions. - Robert Anton Wilson

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    My friend sells new camper vans, they have been told by their supplier that there's going to be little to no stock next year (they would normally be making that stock now) as there are no parts available.
    I've heard similar from a mechanic talking about parts for older cars.
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    From Sputnik News, a few hours ago:
    China's 'Unprecedented' Power Crunch May 'Ripple Through' Global Economy

    The authorities of several provinces in China, mainly in the northeast of the country, are still trying to cope with the consequences of major power shortfalls, reportedly caused by the high cost and dearth of coal, as well as an increase in natural gas prices.

    China's latest power crunch may "ripple through" the world economy, earlier reshaped by the COVID-19 pandemic, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) has reported.
    The newspaper claims that the power meltdown will most likely worsen "a global energy squeeze", which may then damage the post-pandemic economic recovery.
    The power crunch in China also reportedly risks putting more pressure on global supply chains by increasing prices for raw materials and essential components.
    Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura Holdings, wrote in a note to clients that global markets "will feel the pinch of [China's] shortage of supply from textiles, toys to machine parts".
    He was echoed by Mike Beckham, co-founder and CEO of the Oklahoma-based company Simple Modern, who said that "there'll be a cascading effect" from the recent power shortfalls in China.
    "As we started to comprehend the ramifications of what's happening, we realised that this is potentially bigger than anything we've seen in our business careers", Beckham argued referring to China's power meltdown.
    He suggested that as a result of this crunch, US retail prices for many products could increase by as much as 15% next spring amid a "strong appetite" from retailers.

    Steve Cooke, managing director of Cre8tive Brand Ideas Ltd., an England-based distributor of promotional merchandise such as branded bags, clothing, pens, and computer accessories, told the WSJ about the "incredible" situation pertaining to the power meltdown. According to him, the company mainly relies on suppliers who source about 80% of their products from China.

    The comments come as Chinese authorities are trying to tackle the repercussions of what the state-run tabloid Global Times described as an "unexpected and unprecedented" power cut that hit a number of China's northeastern provinces in late September.

    The power shortfalls in the provinces of Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning, as well as the southern province of Guangdong, a major industrial and shipping hub, reportedly "resulted in major disruptions to the daily lives of people and business operations". The power outages occurred as Beijing actively seeks to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, the use of coal, and develop a green economy.

    The developments unfold amid turmoil on the European gas market, where the price of fuel soared to a record high of more than $1,900 per 1,000 cubic metres earlier this week, before falling by $740 and temporarily stabilising at about $1,200.

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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    Rotten Politics reports on a Daily Mail article which says the DVLA has a backlog of HGV licence applications, and home working is the blamed for the inefficiency.


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    Avalon Member mountain_jim's Avatar
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    Default Re: Global Shortages of Everything

    I don't believe anything, but I have many suspicions. - Robert Anton Wilson

    The present as you think of it, and in practical working terms, is that point at which you select your physical experience from all those events that could be materialized. - Seth (The Nature of Personal Reality - Session 656, Page 293)

    (avatar image: Brocken spectre, a wonderful phenomenon of nature I have experienced and a symbol for my aspirations.)

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