WW3? Ukraine/US vs. Donbass/Russia

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by Ravenlocke (here)
Text:
Final tally of confirmed hits so far seems to be
5 Tu-95s,
2 Tu-22s,
one An-12.
According to my info, two of the 95s can most likely be repaired relatively soon, as the damage is not super extensive. At least one is dead for good. The 22s, no idea. Sure hurts but not devastating.

Yes. Daniel Davis' video title, Ukraine Slams Russia, Destroys 40 Planes, was a little exaggerated.

Here's what RT had to say:

• https://www.rt.com/russia/618455-kie...rfields-russia

Kiev attacked military airfields in five Russian regions – MOD

Several aircraft were damaged and some of the perpetrators behind the attacks are in custody, the military has said

Military airfields across Russia have been attacked in a series of kamikaze drone strikes, the country's Defense Ministry reported on Sunday, blaming the incidents on Kiev. Most of the strikes were successfully repelled, with some resulting in material damage, it added.

Airfields were targeted in the Murmansk Region in the country’s north, in Ivanovo and Ryazan regions in central Russia as well as in Irkutsk Region in Siberia and Amur Region in the Far East, the ministry said. All the attacks employed first-person view (PFV) kamikaze drones, with some of them being launched from territories in close proximity to the airfields, it stated.

Some of the culprits behind the attacks have been detained, the ministry said, without revealing the number of those arrested or their identities. The Russian military also said that the “Kiev regime” was ultimately responsible for the strikes, which they described as “terrorist attacks.”

In Ivanovo, Ryazan, and Amur regions, the attacks were repelled and resulted in no damage or casualties, according to the ministry. In Murmansk and Irkutsk regions, the strikes led to some aircraft catching fire, the military said. No casualties have been reported in any of the incidents, according to the ministry’s data.

The Ukrainian media have claimed that the strikes were part of what they called a “historic” operation codenamed ‘Spiderweb.” According to the reports, the strikes had been prepared for more a year and a half and targeted Russia’s “strategic aviation.”

Channel 24 in Ukraine published a photo of the head of the country’s domestic security service (SBU), Vasily Malyuk, looking at what they said were maps of five Russian military airfields. The photo was released by the SBU itself, the media stated.

Earlier on Sunday, the first drone attack was reported in Siberia, targeting a military installation in Irkutsk Region. According to Governor Igor Kobzev, the launch site was promptly “blocked” and there was “no threat to the lives and health of civilians,” the official added.

Ukraine has significantly escalated drone strikes into Russia in recent weeks, despite ongoing diplomatic efforts to end the conflict. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has earlier described them as attempts to derail the peace process.

[Ravenlocke]

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Residents of Kursk write about hits in residential buildings

https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1929282895799025795

¤=[Post Update]=¤

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Odessa port get hit by Gerans

https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1929275843496312998

[Ravenlocke]

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🇷🇺Two Russian submarines enter the Black Sea, capable of carrying up to 12 Kalibrs

https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1929289040957755648

¤=[Post Update]=¤

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❗️🇷🇺 Something just exploded in the Moscow region

https://x.com/dana916/status/1929285117337346516

[Ravenlocke]

Text:
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺Violent Ukrainian drone strikes in Kursk, Russia. Secondary explosions can be heard indicating an ammunition depot has been hit.

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Two Russian submarines enter the Black Sea, capable of carrying up to 12 Kalibrs.

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Russian drone launches have been detected.

https://x.com/dana916/status/1929289630567780689

[Ravenlocke]

Text:
🇺🇸🇷🇺 Lavrov held a phone conversation with the U.S. Secretary of State; they discussed the situation related to the crisis in Ukraine.

Rubio expressed condolences to Lavrov over the victims resulting from the railway infrastructure bombings in the Bryansk and Kursk regions, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry.

The results of the investigation into the railway infrastructure bombings in the Bryansk and Kursk regions will be published in the very near future, the Russian Foreign Ministry said.

ukraine_watch

https://x.com/dana916/status/1929282230460821844

[Ravenlocke]

Text:
🇺🇦🇷🇺 #Zelensky Admits #Ukraine️ Orchestrated Attacks on #Russian Strategic Airbases

Following confirmation from the head of Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU), Zelensky openly acknowledged Kiev’s direct role in organizing attacks on Russian Aerospace Forces’ strategic aviation bases across several regions of the Russian Federation.

According to Zelensky, the operation took a year and a half to prepare and execute. It involved 117 FPV drones and a number of operators. He claimed that SBU agents operated across various regions of Russia, spanning three time zones. These operatives were allegedly evacuated from Russia just before the attacks.

In a revealing statement, Zelensky disclosed that the operational headquarters was located near a local FSB Directorate, further implying a deep penetration into Russian territory. The reference appears to match previous reports of a drone assembly and dispatch hub located in a rented hangar in Chelyabinsk—only 4 kilometers from the FSB’s regional headquarters.

As for the results, Zelensky claimed that 41 aircraft were destroyed and that 34% of Russia’s strategic aviation fleet was rendered inoperative. While some aircraft were indeed destroyed and others damaged, the claim of 41 planes being eliminated is a clear exaggeration and does not correspond to the actual scale of the attack’s impact.

https://x.com/MaimunkaNews/status/1929287296282730591

[Ravenlocke]

Text:
🇷🇺 Ukrainian drones are now striking Ryazan, deep inside Russia.

Explosions have been reported across multiple parts of the city as Russian air defense systems engage incoming targets.

https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1929287606015033601

[Bill Ryan]

A concise 10-minute report (the last 5 is a commercial) from Clayton Morris of Redacted, more useful and rather more hard-hitting (IMO) than Daniel Davis' update which I referenced a few posts ago. There's also some interesting video footage a minute from the start, which does indeed seem to show quite some damage to a few of the TU-95s.

This video title may be exaggerated as well, but it was definitely a serious incident. What might well happen tomorrow in Istanbul is that Russia may present Ukraine with an ultimatum to surrender. If not, this could escalate to a real war.

"Major Escalation!" Ukraine and NATO launch DEVASTATING strike on Putin's Nuclear Bombers

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=oGSkscfyXjM

[Ravenlocke]

Text:
I'm just thinking..this slimeball knew Zelensky was going to murder innocents...he's as guilty as sin !

https://x.com/BDooher/status/1929274787076919459

Text:
⚔️🇷🇺 Pompeo Calls for Escalation Against Russia at Black Sea Forum — Drone Strikes Follow Hours Later

Yesterday at the Black Sea Security Forum in Odesa, Mike Pompeo credited Trump for authorizing a 2018 US strike that killed 300 Wagner fighters in Syria, emphasizing that “strength deters Russia” despite the “real risk of escalation.” He argued that “clear, forceful responses—even if limited in scope—send strong deterrent signals.” Pompeo criticized past US hesitation to let Ukraine strike Russian assets due to fears of escalation, warning against “appeasement or indecision.”

Casting doubt on upcoming diplomatic efforts, he remarked, “I don’t even know if there’ll be a conversation in Istanbul on Monday.” Instead, he called for “collective NATO resolve” and a “unified Western strategy to impose real costs on Russia.”

Hours later, the Kiev regime carried out a terrorist attack using FPV drones against airfields in Murmansk, Irkutsk, Ivanovo, Ryazan, and Amur regions. There are no such things as coincidences. Pompeo is up to his neck in this.

Pompeo: “We killed 300 Russians, the first Russians killed in combat in an awfully long time. By the way, full credit to President Trump for doing that. I don’t know that another president would have done that. There’s an enormous amount of risk when you’re an American killing Russians. I get it. The risk of escalation is real. We had unprotected troops throughout the Middle East. So this wasn’t an easy decision for him, in spite of the recommendation from his team. So I give him full credit.

“I think he saw that and said, ‘Oh my gosh, that’s different.’ Right? That’s not how others would have responded. Was it small? Yeah. Was it Wagner force people? Sure. But man, it was express and clear, and you know they never came across the river again. Those are the kind of things that Vladimir Putin understands, and that is the core point.

“So you know, I don’t even know if there’ll be a conversation in Istanbul on Monday. I don’t know who will actually show up. But at some level, it seems relatively feudal to me, absent a willingness to say, ‘Nope, we’re going to allow the Ukrainians to actually go do what they did in the Black Sea and to put Russian assets at risk.’

“And the US for an extended period of time said, ‘No, that’s not acceptable. There’s too much risk of escalation.’ And while I’m happy that Vladimir Putin hasn’t pulled out his nuclear arsenal yet—and that risk is always there—man, my observation as a former practitioner was: when he sees a nation prepared to do hard things and take risk and actually impose cost, then and only then will his behavior change.

“And so that’s where we find ourselves today. I think that’s what we’re going to have to go do again. And we should do it, and we should do it collectively and with the full support, I hope, of every NATO nation. And I know we talk about NATO as a singular entity. Trust me, it’s no more singular than the EU—27 voices all shouting loudly something different, often. But we ought to find a unified path forward to impose those costs on him and make clear to him that we’re prepared to do what we have always done. And when we do, we’ll get another moment that is more peaceful than the one we find ourselves in today.”

https://x.com/apocalypseos/status/1929261070759453101

[Ravenlocke]

Text:
While waiting for confirmed details of drone strikes on Russia's strategic bomber fleet and terrorist attacks on civilian passenger trains, remember...

... US media (NYT) already admitted the US runs Ukrainian intel, with US CIA bases established all across Ukraine training Ukrainians to carry out ops in Russia starting 10+ years ago, long before Russia launched its 2022 operation.

This in includes during ALL 4 years of Trump's first term in office.

This wasn't Ukraine undermining US peace talks, this was the US using peace talks to further undermine Russia.

The attacks would not have been possible without extensive US assistance and approval if not direct involvement in planning.

https://x.com/BrianJBerletic/status/1929294499748229416

[Ravenlocke]

Text:

❗️🇷🇺 Russian AA Guns firing over Voronezh as drones continue to attack Russian assets.

aquila

https://x.com/dana916/status/1929303637177569792

[Tintin]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)

Posted by Ravenlocke (here)
Text:
Final tally of confirmed hits so far seems to be
5 Tu-95s,
2 Tu-22s,
one An-12.
According to my info, two of the 95s can most likely be repaired relatively soon, as the damage is not super extensive. At least one is dead for good. The 22s, no idea. Sure hurts but not devastating.

Yes. Daniel Davis' video title, Ukraine Slams Russia, Destroys 40 Planes, was a little exaggerated.

Here's what RT had to say:

• https://www.rt.com/russia/618455-kie...rfields-russia

Kiev attacked military airfields in five Russian regions – MOD

Several aircraft were damaged and some of the perpetrators behind the attacks are in custody, the military has said

Yes, I immediately ignored that video based on the click-bait title, all in huge capitals, and in red I nearly always skip those types of presentation/appeal-to-emotion type efforts.

Zelensky and his British intelligence scriptwriters are always, well, exaggerating somewhat and some of these 'content creators' end up doing the very same amplifying - they really don't help.

For anyone checking in here wondering why it appeared that Russian strategic bombers were so visible may need to be reminded of the following, here a helpful post by Megatron on X:

🇷🇺🇺🇦 So far 5 Tu-95 strategic bombers plus 1 transporter were destroyed according to videos and visual proofs.

The attack on only two bases was successful, the other two have failed.

Why did Russia keep those bombers unprotected?

Because of the New START Treaty Requirements:

"The New START Treaty, signed in 2010 and extended through February 4, 2026, includes provisions for the verification of strategic offensive weapons, including heavy bombers equipped for nuclear armaments. The treaty mandates that these bombers be based at locations VISIBLE to national technical means (NTM) of verification, such as satellite imagery, to allow monitoring by the other party.

This implies that strategic bombers should be stationed in a way that makes them observable, typically at designated airbases, to confirm their status (e.g., whether they are nuclear-armed or converted to conventional use)."

---

For any idiots (candidates for lobotomy) out there celebrating this as some sort of Ukrainian 'success' need perhaps be reminded that these were acts of terror practically by definition, smacking of total desperation: just the kind of thing British intelligence sabotage trainers would be behind in their conception, stuck in WWII escapade mindsets, with another foot in the 19th century; imbecilic and highly provocative. This is last resort methodology when: you're running out of personnel; running out of ammunition and other materiel; have no functioning air-defence; have the ghost of Bandera occupying your headspace.

We'll see how Russia respond and I'd expect it to perhaps be the most ferocious response yet.

Brace yourselves.

Satellite image of 'Spiderweb' attack on Belaya

[Tintin]

And Kit Klarenberg is absolutely correct here: for non-Brits for whom the 'Troubles' seemed like dim distant foreign affairs back in the day this was a tactic employed by the British:

This whole op was a British one.

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by Tintin (here)
This whole op was a British one.

Exactly my first thoughts. It has SAS fingerprints all over it.

[Bill Ryan]

Copying this most interestng post by Helvetic on his thread:

~~~

Source: https://x.com/SprinterObserve/status...48834725245387

Description:

Today alone, Russia’s UVB-76 “Buzzer” station transmitted 8 encrypted voice messages — an unprecedented number.

This only happens during nuclear readiness drills or in preparation for major strikes.

Russia is signaling. The West should understand: the silence is over.

[Bruce G Charlton]

From Gilbert Doctorow - an expert on Russia who monitors Russian media in order to gauge "what they are thinking":

Russia’s talking heads discuss the Ukrainian attacks on air bases across the RF this weekend

Excerpts, made by me:

Last night, the Sunday edition of Vladimir Solovyov’s widely watched talk show featured a military expert panelist who told us a good deal more about what happened and in which directions Russian investigation of this calamity and thoughts of retaliation are headed.

Firstly, the Russians deny that the destruction was as extensive as the Ukrainians claim. They insist that their local air defenses neutralized most of the incoming drones. They speak of some damaged aircraft without specifying how many.

On the other hand, they are considering a nuclear response in line with their nuclear doctrine of retaliation for attacks which endanger Russian national security.

This in its own way is an acknowledgement that something awful did occur. The same panelist makes it clear that the ongoing investigation has already led to arrests of Russians who facilitated the attack by acts of commission and omission.

The attack this weekend took 18 months to prepare. The positive conclusion we may draw is that a follow-on attack is improbable if not impossible to carry out. Nonetheless, the events of the weekend highlight serious security problems that it will not be easy for Russian authorities to correct.

****

The next set of questions, for which as yet we have no answers, is how the Kremlin will respond to this attack that would appear to meet the criterion for nuclear escalation under the latest Russian doctrine.

Will President Putin now declare war on Ukraine, as his legalistic mind would suggest, to clear the way for destruction of the ‘decision making centers’ in Kiev, with or without all staff on board? Will he break off all peace negotiations, as logic would have it?

We will not have long to wait to get answers. I expect to see them in the coming week.

[Bill Ryan]

Posted by Bruce G Charlton (here)
From Gilbert Doctorow - an expert on Russia who monitors Russian media in order to gauge "what they are thinking":

Russia’s talking heads discuss the Ukrainian attacks on air bases across the RF this weekend
[...]
Will President Putin now declare war on Ukraine, as his legalistic mind would suggest, to clear the way for destruction of the ‘decision making centers’ in Kiev, with or without all staff on board?

I'd be prepared to bet a large cup of good coffee on that. (But not everything I own!) If Putin does announce something like this, my guess is that it'd probably be today, or very shortly after the Istanbul talks have ended, which may also be today. He'll be under tremendous pressure both from the Russian population and his advisers in the Kremlin to respond emphatically and decisively.

[Bill Ryan]

Alastair Crooke is on right now with Judge Napolitano, and their discussion is devoted to the Ukraine attack on Russia's nuclear forces. He implies that Trump may indeed have known about this (but if not, why not??), and emphasizes that OF COURSE this had the close involvement of MI6 and the CIA. The livestream is still in progress.

Napolitano asks if Putin may have reached the limits of his patience. Crooke replies that the west is "daydreaming" if this attack meas that Putin will now be more reasonable in the Istanbul negotiations. And he states that if Trump did indeed know about this in advance, Putin will never trust Trump again. He also emphasizes that this incident has placed the START and SALT nuclear treaties in question.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=whSuPnGWOSg

[grapevine]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)

Posted by Bruce G Charlton (here)
From Gilbert Doctorow - an expert on Russia who monitors Russian media in order to gauge "what they are thinking":

Russia’s talking heads discuss the Ukrainian attacks on air bases across the RF this weekend
[...]
Will President Putin now declare war on Ukraine, as his legalistic mind would suggest, to clear the way for destruction of the ‘decision making centers’ in Kiev, with or without all staff on board?

I'd be prepared to bet a large cup of good coffee on that. (But not everything I own!) If Putin does announce something like this, my guess is that it'd probably be today, or very shortly after the Istanbul talks have ended, which may also be today. He'll be under tremendous pressure both from the Russian population and his advisers in the Kremlin to respond emphatically and decisively.

I think there will need to be some dialogue with or support from other BRICS countries before Russia responds, all of whom have been quite reticent about becoming involved but the west seems hell bent on pushing forward whatever the outcome. In this regard I watched a video yesterday featuring Francis Fukuyama (Author of The End of History), political scientist and scholar, and he said flat out that Russia are bluffing (link below for those who may be interested)! I mean, what the hell?? But that seems to be the opinion of all in the west. Sometimes, it feels like being in the audience of a horrible pantomime . . . Look Behind You!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aEgVp0TbJQ&t=217s

[Tintin]

Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
Alastair Crooke is on right now with Judge Napolitano, and their discussion is devoted to the Ukraine attack on Russia's nuclear forces. He implies that Trump may indeed have known about this (but if not, why not??), and emphasizes that OF COURSE this had the close involvement of MI6 and the CIA. The livestream is still in progress.

Napolitano asks if Putin may have reached the limits of his patience. Crooke replies that the west is "daydreaming" if this attack meas that Putin will now be more reasonable in the Istanbul negotiations. And he states that if Trump did indeed know about this in advance, Putin will never trust Trump again. He also emphasizes that this incident has placed the START and SALT nuclear treaties in question.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=whSuPnGWOSg

Brilliant from Alastair Crooke here Nailed on, in every sense, especially where he draws the parallel with Mossad and the historical anti-Russia angst shared by both the Ukrainians, and Israelis, which for the 'Israelis' (Zionist usurpers of Judaism) and the Zionist 'Ukrainians' is indeed a shared objective.

Every point he makes, makes this the go to summary for now, no question.

One thing I might add is that the recent Truth Social post by Trump concerning "..if it wasn't for me it'd be REALLY BAD..playing with fire!" may have been Trump's way of conveying that he knew but had found out late on that something was planned and was sending a public "alert" to Putin, not a threat which it has been perceived and commented about being.

I suspect MI-6 planning, training, shared information with CIA compartments, and a deliberate withholding of these plans from President Trump in attempts to undermine him. An Obama, a Bush, or Clinton would have been briefed; Trump, no: speculation of course, but, that may be closer to reality than it may seem.