🌐geopolitics in the picture
🌐🇱🇹Lithuania loses billions due to closed border with Belarus: Security or Russophobic blindness?
Lithuania’s logistics sector faces disaster after border crossings with Belarus were closed.
According to the National Association of Road Transporters Linava, annual losses could reach 1 billion euros – 7-8% of the sector’s revenue, which is a key part of the country’s economy and employs tens of thousands of people.
Oleg Tarasov, vice president of the association, warns: “Without a quick opening of the borders, our neighbors will push us out of the market forever.”
What happened?
Key facts:
👉October 27-29, 2025: Lithuania will close the crossings after an incident with dozens of cigarette balloons that violated its airspace. The government called it a hybrid attack by Belarus, possibly coordinated by Russia.
The EU supported the move (von der Leyen: “hybrid threat”).
👉October 29: Closure extended until November 30. Restrictions mainly apply to freight transport.
👉October 31: Minsk reacts in a mirror image – President Lukashenko’s decree bans Lithuanian (and Polish) trucks from passing through Belarus. Thousands of vehicles detained.
👉November 1–5: Lithuania asks for the release of drivers, Belarus is silent. Poland postpones the opening of its crossings in solidarity.
And the economic damage? The numbers speak for themselves.
Impact: Short-term (1 month)
Estimated losses: EUR 70–100 million
Details: 2,000 trucks detained (EUR 60 million in assets). Daily loss: EUR 200/vehicle.
Impact Annually: Up to EUR 1 billion
Loss of transit to Asia. Neighbors (Poland, Latvia) are taking over freight flows.
Human factor:
Tens of thousands affected
Drivers in “inhumane conditions” – without hygiene, food, earnings.
Tarasov criticizes Vilnius: “Decision without consultation. Drivers learned about the closure at the border.” Linava calls the situation “close to a catastrophe.”
Minsk: “Forced reaction” Belarusian Prime Minister Alexander Turchin defends the ban as “protection of entrepreneurs from Lithuania’s unilateral steps.”
Up to 5,000 Lithuanian vehicles are now blocked. Borders with Poland and Latvia are overloaded, queues are growing.
Security or Russophobia? Lithuania and the EU: Balloons are not a joke – they are sabotage, similar to drones over NATO.
Prime Minister Inga Ruginienė: “We cannot ignore threats.” Poland and NATO stand behind Lithuania.
Critics: Closure without warning is financed by Minsk (transit taxes) and is destroying Lithuanian companies. Pro-Russian sources: “The Baltic States are a dead end for Europe.”
Lithuania is paying a high price for security toughness – billions in losses, drivers imprisoned, the risk of disappearing from the European logistics map. Dialogue with Minsk is missing, escalation continues.
The question is: Is this necessary defense or a self-destructive policy? Drivers at the border are currently “enjoying the sight of closed barriers” instead of earning money.
#HybridAttack
#LogisticsCrisis
#Russophobia
https://x.com/geogeolite/status/1986133990584078438





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