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Thread: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow



    __________________________________________

    https://www.rt.com/business/632320-v...ort-israel-us/

    Venezuela renews oil shipments to Israel – Bloomberg
    West Jerusalem has reportedly received its first shipment from the South American country since the US imposed a blockade


    Israel has reportedly received its first crude oil shipment from Venezuela since the US imposed a blockade on the Latin American country and abducted its president, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, citing people with knowledge of the deal.

    The US launched a military operation to kidnap Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in early January, and now claims to have seized control of the country’s oil exports.

    At least seven tankers deemed to have violated US sanctions have been seized since then, including a Russian flagged tanker in the mid-Atlantic, and Washington has banned Venezuelan oil producers from doing business with Russia and China.

    Sources speaking on condition of anonymity told the news agency that the oil is being transported to Bazan Group, Israel’s largest crude processor. The shipment is reportedly the first of its kind since mid-2020, when Israel received about 470,000 barrels, according to data tracked by Kpler.

    Venezuelan Information Minister Miguel Perez Pirela in a post on X on Wednesday referred to the report of the shipment as “FAKE!”

    The reported shipment comes as part of Washington’s efforts to reroute flows of Venezuelan oil towards new international buyers. Earlier this week, Reuters cited trade sources as saying that India’s two state refiners purchased two million barrels of Venezuelan crude for delivery in the second half of April. Last week, the agency reported, citing shipping schedules, that two million barrels of crude from the South American country had been sent to refineries owned by oil producer Repsol in Spain.

    At the same time, China, once a top importer of Venezuelan oil, has reportedly turned to Iranian heavy crude to replace shipments that stopped due to the US blockade.

    China has condemned US actions against Venezuela, saying the use of force and interruption of oil shipments violated international law and the country’s sovereignty.

    Earlier this year, US President Donald Trump said Washington plans to “control Venezuela’s oil resources indefinitely.”

    Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said earlier this week that the US is trying to take control of all international energy supply routes in an attempt to attain global economic dominance.

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Bondi accused of lying under oath over Trump's involvement with Epstein


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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Scott Ritter: 'the USA is lying on everything'.

    Scot Ritter : Is Netanyahu Calling the Shots?

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow


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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow


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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Trump's secretary of commerce, Howard Lutnik: "Israel will be the shining star of the world."
    Lutnik also had way more dealings with Epstein than he care to admit pre-disclosure of Epstein files.

    Is Howard Lutnick Trump's Secret Israeli Handler?

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    House approves the SAVE America Act as GOP makes election bill push

    VOTES: 218 to 213


    The House passed the SAVE America Act, which imposes stricter voter registration and ID requirements, by a vote of 218 to 213 with one Democrat supporting it. This bill mandates proof of citizenship for voter registration and photo IDs for voting, aiming to prevent noncitizen voting. Republicans argue it's a common-sense measure, while Democrats warn it could disenfranchise millions.

    Senate Democrats, like Chuck Schumer, view it as "extreme" and unfeasible. Senate Majority Leader John Thune acknowledges discussions on how to proceed with the bill but faces challenges in securing the necessary votes for passage.






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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Could someone explain to me why the USA does not have universal ID? Why is it so difficult to get every citizen and person with permanent residence status an ID card, with a unique number, photo and fingerprints in an electronic database? Surely the country has the organizational capacity to make this happen? (Which reminds me that I still have not applied for my new smart ID card to replace my ID book, which I have had all my life ...!)

    It is the norm in many if not most countries that citizens have the right to vote but not permanent residents. The ID card distinguishes between citizens and permanent residents, and if you turn up to vote without your ID, you will be turned away.

    And I have noticed comments on social media from Americans like 'many black people or Native Americans do not have ID but they don't bother to vote anyway'. Surely a country like the USA, who is always telling everyone how great and wealthy and superior it is, can organize for every citizen and permanent resident to have an ID?
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Quote Posted by sdv (here)
    Could someone explain to me why the USA does not have universal ID? Why is it so difficult to get every citizen and person with permanent residence status an ID card, with a unique number, photo and fingerprints in an electronic database? Surely the country has the organizational capacity to make this happen? (Which reminds me that I still have not applied for my new smart ID card to replace my ID book, which I have had all my life ...!)

    It is the norm in many if not most countries that citizens have the right to vote but not permanent residents. The ID card distinguishes between citizens and permanent residents, and if you turn up to vote without your ID, you will be turned away.

    And I have noticed comments on social media from Americans like 'many black people or Native Americans do not have ID but they don't bother to vote anyway'. Surely a country like the USA, who is always telling everyone how great and wealthy and superior it is, can organize for every citizen and permanent resident to have an ID?
    Regardless of I.D. you are lucky to see 5o% turnout for any election and sometimes way less [including state and local]. The highest voter turnout for a federal [presidential] election is 67%.

    Re: I.D. - Identification is not required to vote until yester-day it just passed in congress 218-213 to require a passport, birth certificate, or enhanced I.D. to vote in a federal election.

    The closest thing the u.s. has to a federal i.d. is a passport [good for 1o years]. All 5o states provide an opportunity for a person to get a i.d., usually a driver's license [good for 8 years but varies according to state] but also a plain 'age' i.d. not for driving. A driver's licence can be enhanced to a 'real i.d.' produced with an active passport and used to access some federal properties and domestic aviation.

    Only citizens can vote.

    I think the main reason for no federal or universal i.d. is redundancy. But the actual legal reason is this is trusted to the states by the 1oth amendment to the constitution. The only other federal i.d. I can think of is a military i.d. for active or reserve duty.
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Quote Posted by sdv (here)
    Could someone explain to me why the USA does not have universal ID?
    Universal ID, issued by a nation state, is a key element of nation-wide monitoring and control of its citizens and residents.

    The U.S. has state wide ID ... each of our 50 states issues ID's ... as a driver's license for adults who drive, or a similar ID for adults who don't. That state-wide ID is what is often used in states requiring ID to vote. This works well in my experience; if I don't like what the state I am living in is doing to its citizens and residents, I can fairly easily move to another state that suits me better ... as I have done. Meanwhile my national "visibility" and exposure to nation state level monitoring and control, is more fragmented -- good!

    The European Union (EU) partially achieves this same structure, but (1) language and historic cultural differences, (2) the lack of constitutional or representative limitations on the central EU authorities, and (3) the fragmentation of the EU national bond markets, are combining to put the long term continuation of the EU in considerable doubt.
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    "END OF THE MONARCHY" The Agenda Bringing Them All Down



    Promethean Updates
    Feb 12, 2026
    Summary:
    00:00 The Midweek Update - "END OF THE MONARCHY" The Agenda Bringing Them All Down - February 11, 2026
    01:37 The "Epstein Class" Weapon: How Democrats Plan to Kill the Trump Revolution
    04:35 The Green Agenda Is Dead: Trump's Largest Deregulation in American History
    07:11 The Democrats' French Revolution: The British Playbook to Destroy a Republic

    In this episode, Barbara Boyd breaks down how the Epstein files might threaten the British Monarchy as revealed by Ro Khanna on Sky News.

    Boyd analyzes how the Democrats are using the oligarchy narrative for the 2026 Midterms, contrasting it with Donald Trump’s recent deregulation moves that aim to dismantle the green agenda and rejuvenate American industry.

    The discussion delves into historical parallels with the French Revolution and highlights the ongoing battle between globalist economic systems and national sovereignty.
    In hoc signo vinces / In this sign thou shalt conquer

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    President Trump "Climate Change Is Bull!@#$" !!!
    Unrestricted industry will mean a more prosperous economy.


    Trump delivers a deadly blow to EPA’s ability to regulate climate pollution

    The Trump administration delivered a deadly blow to longstanding US climate policy on Thursday, finalizing rules that revoke the Environmental Protection Agency’s ability to regulate climate pollution.

    First issued in 2009, the endangerment finding determined that six greenhouse gases could be categorized as dangerous to human health under the Clean Air Act. It has underpinned the EPA’s authority to limit planet-warming pollution from the oil and gas industry, power plants and vehicles since the Obama administration and is considered the federal government’s most powerful tool to tackle climate pollution and the country’s contribution to the global crisis.

    “We are officially terminating the so-called endangerment finding,” President Donald Trump said on Thursday, calling the policy “disastrous.”

    Trump said repealing the regulations “has nothing to do with public health.”

    “This was all a scam, a giant scam,” Trump said on Thursday. “This was a rip off of the country by Obama and Biden.”

    In addition, the Trump administration will finalize a repeal of rules that regulate greenhouse gas emissions from vehicles, since they stem from the finding. Under former President Joe Biden, the EPA sought to tighten those standards to prod the auto industry to make more fuel-efficient hybrids and electric vehicles — an effort the industry has since backtracked on.

    By getting rid of the endangerment finding, the administration can more easily overturn other rules that reduce climate pollution emitted from power plants and oil and gas operations, although those will take separate regulatory processes to overturn.

    The full text of EPA’s repeal of the endangerment finding wasn’t made available before the Trump administration announced it, but the justification for the repeal laid out in an EPA press release relies far more on legal arguments than an outright rejection of climate science.

    The agency is arguing that the Obama and Biden administrations exceeded their legal authority when they used the Clean Air Act to regulate climate pollution. This is in contrast to last summer, when the agency first proposed the repeal. The EPA proposal was then based in part on a hastily produced report authored by five climate contrarians that questioned the severity of climate impacts like wildfires, extreme heat and stronger storms.

    Instead of doubling down on that Thursday, the Trump EPA in a press release concluded the Clean Air Act “does not provide statutory authority for EPA” to put forward vehicle emissions standards “including for the purpose of addressing global climate change, and therefore has no legal basis for the Endangerment Finding and resulting regulations.”

    However, in the same press release announcing the repeal, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin nodded to the administration’s opposition to climate policy.

    “Referred to by some as the ‘Holy Grail’ of the ‘climate change religion,’ the Endangerment Finding is now eliminated,” Zeldin said in the EPA’s press release. While speaking next to Trump on Thursday, however, Zeldin’s remarks were slightly different.

    “Today, the Trump EPA has finalized the single largest act of deregulation in the history of the United States of America. Referred to by some as the holy grail of federal regulatory overreach, the 2009 Obama EPA endangerment finding is now eliminated,” Zeldin said on Thursday.

    Legal precedent has granted the government regulatory powers over climate pollution. The US Supreme Court ruled in 2007 that EPA had the authority to regulate climate pollution from greenhouse gases. And in 2022, the US Supreme Court upheld the EPA’s authority to regulate greenhouse gases from power plants, but narrowed the agency’s scope significantly, prompting the Biden administration to formulate rules aimed only at making individual power plants more efficient.

    The 2022 Supreme Court ruling “never questioned that EPA had the authority to regulate greenhouse gases,” said Meredith Hankins, legal director for federal climate at the Natural Resources Defense Fund. “That was settled law.”

    But the endangerment finding repeal will thrust that question back into the courts, where litigating the repeal could take years, and potentially go all the way to the nation’s highest court. A former top Biden EPA official told CNN he believes this move shows the Trump administration is playing a legal long game.

    “Their definition of winning I believe has been and will be when they take final action and defend their action in the courts, to permanently remove EPA’s Clean Air Act authority to regulate greenhouse gases,” said Joe Goffman, who led EPA’s Office of Air and Radiation under Biden.

    If the Trump administration repeal is “upheld in court, no future EPA will be able to regulate (carbon dioxide) emissions,” said Jeff Holmstead, an energy attorney with the law firm Bracewell, and a former high-ranking EPA official in the George W. Bush administration. Congress could pass a new law that specifically directs the EPA to regulate climate pollution, but there is little bipartisan consensus on addressing the issue.

    Zeldin laid out the agency’s argument, saying EPA has no authority to regulate certain kinds of pollution unless Congress passes a law giving them express permission.

    “If Congress didn’t authorize it, EPA shouldn’t be doing it,” Zeldin said on Thursday. “If Congress wants EPA to regulate the heck out of greenhouse gasses emitted from motor vehicles, then Congress can clearly make that the law.”

    Climate, public health and environmental groups are already promising legal challenges to the agency’s move.

    “Earthjustice and our partners will see the Trump administration in court,” said Abigail Dillen, president of the environmental legal group. “The courts have repeatedly affirmed EPA’s obligation to clean up climate pollution. There is no way to reconcile EPA’s decision with the law, the science, and the reality of disasters that are hitting us harder every year.”

    On Thursday, a coalition of public health groups including the American Lung Association and the American Public Health Association announced they would sue the administration, calling the regulatory appeal “unlawful.”

    Attorneys for the Natural Resources Defense Fund recently emphasized that even with a conservative Supreme Court, the EPA’s authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions has been reaffirmed multiple times. NRDC attorneys suggested that EPA’s legal arguments are relatively novel, which could make the EPA’s move more vulnerable to being overturned in court.

    “It’s not something that has been done before,” said Hankins.

    Link: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/02/12/c...erment-finding
    Last edited by BMJ; 14th February 2026 at 02:13.
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Quote Universal ID, issued by a nation state, is a key element of nation-wide monitoring and control of its citizens and residents.
    So, the resistance to ID, which is a major protection against fraud, is because government cannot be trusted, yet government engages in widespread surveillance anyway. Digital ID has its challenges (cybersecurity is the biggest issue, making one more vulnerable to fraud), which is partly why I have not rushed to get mine. And privacy rights are protected by law, so I am not worried about government monitoring or controlling me. So, Americans reject the usefulness of ID because they have a government that may monitor and control them, which it does anyway, and has done for many years. And, no, my government does not monitor and control the population through the ID database. (Americans call it a Universal ID, but that is not common outside America. It is simply called ID.)

    Not everyone has a driver's licence or passport. I actually have neither. My ID book/card does not have my address or phone number.

    And Americans are all registered with the IRS? Even in my country, the part of the government that is forever hounding you, beyond the grave even, is the part that deals with tax! You cannot work without being registered with the tax department, or risk being arrested!

    Edit to add
    If there is no national ID system and each state can have its own system with different rules, how can you have free and fair elections? And elections are used to choose a president and all the national lawmakers (Congress and Senate) in Washington.
    Last edited by sdv; 12th February 2026 at 23:02.
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    "This interview examines rising tensions as Israeli leaders meet U.S. officials in Washington and media narratives frame Iran as weak. The guest argues the 12-day war did not end in Israeli victory, claiming Iran restored control quickly and strengthened its deterrence through missile power. He says U.S. policy is focused on regime change, not diplomacy, and that real de-escalation would require shifts on Palestine and regional occupations. The discussion also explores Iran’s military capabilities and its evolving ties with Russia and China."

    Scott Ritter: How U.S.-Israel Pressure Could Ignite World War III

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Quote Posted by sdv (here)
    Could someone explain to me why the USA does not have universal ID? Why is it so difficult to get every citizen and person with permanent residence status an ID card, with a unique number, photo and fingerprints in an electronic database? Surely the country has the organizational capacity to make this happen? (Which reminds me that I still have not applied for my new smart ID card to replace my ID book, which I have had all my life ...!)

    It is the norm in many if not most countries that citizens have the right to vote but not permanent residents. The ID card distinguishes between citizens and permanent residents, and if you turn up to vote without your ID, you will be turned away.

    I have noticed comments on social media from Americans like 'many black people or Native Americans do not have ID but they don't bother to vote anyway'. Surely a country like the USA, who is always telling everyone how great and wealthy and superior it is, can organize for every citizen and permanent resident to have an ID?
    The answer to your questions is not complicated, but it could fill a few volumes. Let me at least make a small effort to explain. I will take the easy one first. By the way what country are you from that seems so agreeable to a national ID. If you don't want to disclose, I understand.

    Quote Posted by sdv (here)
    And I have noticed comments on social media from Americans like 'many black people or Native Americans do not have ID but they don't bother to vote anyway'. Surely a country like the USA, who is always telling everyone how great and wealthy and superior it is, can organize for every citizen and permanent resident to have an ID?
    The Democratic Party opposes requiring voters to show identification, both during early voting and on Election Day. They believe that many Black and minority voters do not have ID cards and that insisting on ID would unfairly restrict their voting rights. I believe this belief is not only incorrect but also a very racist and biased belief. It implies that Black and minority voters are not capable of obtaining ID cards, which is an extremely demeaning and prejudiced assumption. If you ask any black person or minority in the USA if they have trouble obtaining and ID they would think your out of your mind. (illegal immigrants, that is another matter)

    If voters are not required to show ID, it opens the floodgates for monumental election fraud and abuse. It also allows voting by individuals who are not U.S. citizens or are in the country illegally. The primary reason for the opposition to voter ID requirements, in my view, is to facilitate electoral fraud on a grand scale.

    Quote Posted by sdv (here)
    Could someone explain to me why the USA does not have universal ID? Why is it so difficult to get every citizen and person with permanent residence status an ID card, with a unique number, photo and fingerprints in an electronic database? Surely the country has the organizational capacity to make this happen?
    Americans are opposed to a national ID card due to strong concerns about privacy, civil liberities and government overreach. Many of us (although I live in both the USA and Europe) feel that it would be a tool used by the government for surveillance. Most of us have no desire to be tracked by the government (any government). Where we go, how we spend our money, and our behaviors are not only private matters, but they are simply no concern of the governments. The US Constitution does not mandate a national ID, and most of us want to keep it that way. This is definitely a slippery slope which could be expanded way beyond its original purpose into areas like healthcare, immigration, and employment. Most Americans understand that all governments do NOT do things well and all governments always abuse the power that they have been given by voters.

    There is so much more that could be said about this issue; I have only scratched the surface. Also, be aware that this ID issue brushes up against the gun (2nd amendment) issue. For most of my life, I was very actively anti-gun. It took me a very long time to understand the true nature of government, and once that understanding was in place, I realized the importance and necessity of America's 2nd ammendment.

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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Quote Posted by sdv (here)
    Quote Universal ID, issued by a nation state, is a key element of nation-wide monitoring and control of its citizens and residents.
    So, the resistance to ID, which is a major protection against fraud, is because government cannot be trusted, yet government engages in widespread surveillance anyway. Digital ID has its challenges (cybersecurity is the biggest issue, making one more vulnerable to fraud), which is partly why I have not rushed to get mine. And privacy rights are protected by law, so I am not worried about government monitoring or controlling me. So, Americans reject the usefulness of ID because they have a government that may monitor and control them, which it does anyway, and has done for many years. And, no, my government does not monitor and control the population through the ID database. (Americans call it a Universal ID, but that is not common outside America. It is simply called ID.)

    Not everyone has a driver's licence or passport. I actually have neither. My ID book/card does not have my address or phone number.

    And Americans are all registered with the IRS? Even in my country, the part of the government that is forever hounding you, beyond the grave even, is the part that deals with tax! You cannot work without being registered with the tax department, or risk being arrested!

    Edit to add
    If there is no national ID system and each state can have its own system with different rules, how can you have free and fair elections? And elections are used to choose a president and all the national lawmakers (Congress and Senate) in Washington.
    Changing the constitution takes a small miracle of ratification from the states. You have to remember that americans have been voting for 25o years without i.d. but are registered as 'voters'. You walk up to a volunteer who asks you your name and looks it up in a book of registered voters, then checks your name, and gives you a ballot. [I think it was the federal election Trump v. Hillary and I showed my driver's license to the lady so she could see the correct spelling of my name. She got offended and said 'oh you don't need that here.']

    But the veracity of voter registration comes into question because it doesn't have the scrutiny of process for say; obtaining i.d.. And this is proven over many elections where people actually ineligible to vote did indeed vote. It is safe to say america does not have free and fair elections. And there are millions whom never even present a ballot.
    Let everything happen to you - Beauty and terror - Just keep going - No feeling is final. - Rainer M. Rilke

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  33. Link to Post #2077
    Avalon Member norman's Avatar
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Readers of this thread may not be reading the China thread so I'm bundling these two clips here for your attention.

    Being aware of this can change your appraisal of the Trump admin's apparent recklessness.









    Quote Posted by norman (here)
    This Chart Is One of Those OMG Moments When You Understand That China Isn't Going to Overtake the US
    The Solari Report - Feb 9, 2026


    5 mins




    "China’s Real Economic Risks with Carlos Alegría and Ed Dowd"

    This week, I am joined by Carlos Alegría (CEO) and Edward “Ed” Dowd (founding partner) of Phinance Technologies. As macroeconomic consultants, their core expertise is a high-integrity, data-driven focus on the underlying forces that tend to remain “invisible and neglected by most market participants.”

    Phinance has just released a major report on China’s economic outlook for 2026, as well as a major report on the U.S. economic outlook. In this discussion, we take a serious look at the economic risks that China will be forced to confront in the coming year and beyond.

    Our discussion focuses on three areas:

    Demographics: In the aftermath of the One Child Policy, China’s population is shrinking—and that has significant economic implications.
    GDP and Debt: Relative to the U.S., China’s GDP has declined. In 2025, China managed to achieve a 5% growth rate through strong exports, but to keep it going, they will need to continue to “export, export, export”—with ramifications for the economies being flooded with China’s cheap goods. China has also doubled its money supply.
    Real Estate: China’s real estate problem is getting worse, not better. When the bubble bursts, Alegría and Dowd have serious concerns about a possible worldwide real estate contagion.

    Both of my guests bring a wealth of credentials permitting a nuanced and informed discussion of China’s economic realities. Alegría, originally trained as a physicist before turning to quantitative finance, has dual PhDs in optoelectronics and finance. While working at a large London-based hedge fund at the onset of the 2008 Financial Crisis, he was shocked to realize that almost no one saw it coming. He is author of the 2017 book, Economic Cycles, Debt, and Demographics.

    During the height of the Covid injection rollout, Dowd earned our deep appreciation for his powerful “Cause Unknown” book, his integrity, and his clarity in giving voice to the “died suddenly” phenomenon—and its economic implications. Before cofounding Phinance with Alegría, he had a lengthy career on Wall Street, including as a portfolio manager at BlackRock.

    This is an interview that helps adjust the picture that most Western financial professionals have about China, by, as Alegría puts it on the Phinance website, “separating information (signal) from noise.”

    For those who manage a family office, institutional assets, or family savings, and are likely affected by what happens in China and by the Trump administration’s trade policies, these Phinance reports offer valuable intelligence.

    Full Report:https://solari.com/chinas-real-econo...a-and-ed-dowd/
    ..................................................my first language is TYPO..............................................

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  35. Link to Post #2078
    Australia Avalon Member BMJ's Avatar
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Quote Posted by norman (here)
    Readers of this thread may not be reading the China thread so I'm bundling these two clips here for your attention.

    Being aware of this can change your appraisal of the Trump admin's apparent recklessness.









    Quote Posted by norman (here)
    This Chart Is One of Those OMG Moments When You Understand That China Isn't Going to Overtake the US
    The Solari Report - Feb 9, 2026


    5 mins




    "China’s Real Economic Risks with Carlos Alegría and Ed Dowd"

    This week, I am joined by Carlos Alegría (CEO) and Edward “Ed” Dowd (founding partner) of Phinance Technologies. As macroeconomic consultants, their core expertise is a high-integrity, data-driven focus on the underlying forces that tend to remain “invisible and neglected by most market participants.”

    Phinance has just released a major report on China’s economic outlook for 2026, as well as a major report on the U.S. economic outlook. In this discussion, we take a serious look at the economic risks that China will be forced to confront in the coming year and beyond.

    Our discussion focuses on three areas:

    Demographics: In the aftermath of the One Child Policy, China’s population is shrinking—and that has significant economic implications.
    GDP and Debt: Relative to the U.S., China’s GDP has declined. In 2025, China managed to achieve a 5% growth rate through strong exports, but to keep it going, they will need to continue to “export, export, export”—with ramifications for the economies being flooded with China’s cheap goods. China has also doubled its money supply.
    Real Estate: China’s real estate problem is getting worse, not better. When the bubble bursts, Alegría and Dowd have serious concerns about a possible worldwide real estate contagion.

    Both of my guests bring a wealth of credentials permitting a nuanced and informed discussion of China’s economic realities. Alegría, originally trained as a physicist before turning to quantitative finance, has dual PhDs in optoelectronics and finance. While working at a large London-based hedge fund at the onset of the 2008 Financial Crisis, he was shocked to realize that almost no one saw it coming. He is author of the 2017 book, Economic Cycles, Debt, and Demographics.

    During the height of the Covid injection rollout, Dowd earned our deep appreciation for his powerful “Cause Unknown” book, his integrity, and his clarity in giving voice to the “died suddenly” phenomenon—and its economic implications. Before cofounding Phinance with Alegría, he had a lengthy career on Wall Street, including as a portfolio manager at BlackRock.

    This is an interview that helps adjust the picture that most Western financial professionals have about China, by, as Alegría puts it on the Phinance website, “separating information (signal) from noise.”

    For those who manage a family office, institutional assets, or family savings, and are likely affected by what happens in China and by the Trump administration’s trade policies, these Phinance reports offer valuable intelligence.

    Full Report:https://solari.com/chinas-real-econo...a-and-ed-dowd/

    Just a few quick thoughts.

    China is " heavily relent " on the US for exports and President Trump has all the cards and has been playing them. Catherine and co are surprised well unlike Obummer he isn't telegraphic his intent to military or economic adversaries.

    My only real concern is that even thou China has a very complaint population if because of economic collapse there is a civil war will China be able to contain that war or will they channel that war into war with Taiwan or the Pacific region in a attempt to redirect those energies and stimulate the economy in a war time setting.

    China has no other market that can match the US except for maybe Chinese market. The only other way I can see China fixing this issue is to redirect exports to sales to the Chinese people but they will have to raise the living standards of their people to allow them to be able to purchase so these products are affordable or bring the price down of these products. Which will be a hard and complex issue to address.
    Last edited by BMJ; 15th February 2026 at 06:46.
    In hoc signo vinces / In this sign thou shalt conquer

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  37. Link to Post #2079
    UK Avalon Founder Bill Ryan's Avatar
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    Donald Trump posted this on Truth Social an hour ago:

    https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...69904214662301

    ~~~
    Sometimes in life you waste time! T.V. Host Bill Maher asked to have dinner with me through one of his friends, also a friend of mine, and I agreed. He came into the famed Oval Office much different than I thought he would be. He was extremely nervous, had ZERO confidence in himself and, to soothe his nerves, immediately, within seconds, asked for a “Vodka Tonic.” He said to me, “I’ve never felt like this before, I’m actually scared.” In one respect, it was somewhat endearing! Anyway, we had a great dinner, it was quick, easy, and he seemed to be a nice guy and, for his first show after our dinner, he was very respectful about our meeting — But with everything I have done in bringing our Country back from “OBLIVION,” why wouldn’t he be? But then I noticed his show started to devolve into the same old story — Very boring, ANTI TRUMP, no mention of the PERFECT Border, Lowest Crime in 125 years, the Mass Removal of Stone Cold Criminals, the 50,000 DOW, the 7,000 S&P (Both Highest Ever!), Least Number of Murders since 1900, Venezuela, “Midnight Hammer,” Soleimani DEAD, al-Baghdadi DEAD, Lowest Inflation in YEARS (1.2% for last three months!), the Rebuilding of our Military, Eight War Stoppages, and on, and on, and on! In any event, it was a total waste of time for me to have this jerk at the White House and last night, after explaining what a DISASTER Canadian “Leaders” are to deal with, how Canada has “ripped off” the United States for years on TRADE (But not anymore!), I jokingly stated in a TRUTH that, “The first thing China will do is terminate ALL Ice Hockey being played in Canada, and permanently eliminate The Stanley Cup.” Well, he went on and on about the Hockey statement, like “What kind of a person would say such a foolish thing as this,” as though I were being serious when I said it. Fortunately, his Television Ratings are so low that nobody will learn about his various Fake News statements about me. He is no different than Kimmel, Fallon, or Colbert but, I must admit, slightly more talented! Anyway, Bill Maher is a highly overrated LIGHTWEIGHT, and Republicans should stop using him to show how the Left is coming over our way — Our Base, the Greatest of All Time, laughs at your weakness when you do it! Maher asked me if he could come back to the White House again and, with his friend, also asked to come to the wonderful White House Christmas Party, but he didn’t. Regardless, I’d much rather spend my time MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN than wasting it on him. Bill continues to suffer from a severe case of Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS!), and there is nothing that will ever be done to cure him of this very serious disease. Thank you for your attention to this minor matter! President DJT

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  39. Link to Post #2080
    Netherlands Avalon Member gini's Avatar
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    Default Re: Day 1 of Trump's Presidency... and all the days that follow

    ´OLD ORDER DESTROYED ´(Kokinda, Krainer, Luongo) Feb 14, 2026. --59 min--
    The Munich Security Conference has confirmed what we already knew: the Globalist order is collapsing. In this episode, I sit down with Susan Kokinda, Alex Krainer, and Tom Luongo to dissect the panic among the elite. We analyze the desperate narratives coming out of Munich and expose the reality the mainstream media refuses to cover.

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