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Thread: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Proton Storms, Surface Ozone, Space Weather
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Pole Shift Radiation & Tsunamis - Observers Live #44
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Nova Surprise, Big Quakes, Dark Energy, Tropic Watch
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    Pole Shift: Vertical Motion
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

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    Big Sunspots Coming, Los Angeles Earthquake Risk
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Magnetic Pole Shift & LA Earthquake Risk - Observers Live #45
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    (If this video is any indication, Ben still appears to be acting out in erratic bipolar and sometimes narcissistic mode, and is apparently continuing to get some kind of masochistic pleasure out of berating the clueless at the top of his voice with foul language and insults, wasting so much valuable time and energy in the process.
    He does also berate himself at times for his own foolish behavior, which comes as a relief, I'm sure, for those who still have hope for his sanity and his mission.
    Ben has such an important role to play simply by connecting the dots and providing the sorely needed insights and information he is so good at discovering and sharing.
    He is trying very hard to do much more, but as Jesus wisely recognized, his mission was not to save the irredeemable, but to help awaken those who were ready and waiting to take the next step.
    While sadly, Ben is still at times childishly behaving as his own worst enemy, continuing to delude himself into taking on much more than he needs to, and as if he were being forced into doing so, while it's clear he has a choice...
    I hope he grows up soon (I still think he will but it will probably require some more awakening shocks) and comes to recognize and follow the real wisdom of Christianity, instead of merely paying it lip service.
    Because as he clearly knows if anyone does, things are not going to be getting any easier, and time is becoming increasingly precious. )
    Last edited by onawah; 21st June 2026 at 03:40.
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Ethical Skeptic is one of Ben Davidson's scientific colleagues, with whom he agrees on critical points concerning the solar cycles, etc.
    Following is an introduction to his work which not all of us will understand very well but which is an indication (at the very least) of how much work other scientists have been doing when it comes to understanding this critical subject.
    Ben has been focusing a lot lately on details concerning the "geomagnetic excursion", which is when the point is reached during the pole reversal process when the Earth's mantle unlocks from the core and the continents journey to their new locations in relation to the poles.
    (Estimated to occur within the next 2 decades at the latest, and all to happen virtually overnight.)
    ... There are detailed predictions as to which lands will rise, which will be inundated and where relative safety zones will be during and after the excursion takes place.
    This new article from Ethical Skeptic is an introduction here to his own website and it goes into the subject of the geomagnetic excursion in detail.
    Quote The Exothermic Core-Mantle Decoupling – Dzhanibekov Oscillation (ECDO) Hypothesis suggests a catastrophic pole shift event, supported by ancient iconography like the Vulture Stone at Göbekli Tepe, which may depict celestial changes from around 14,800 BCE. This theory proposes that Earth's core and mantle decoupled, causing a rapid shift in the planet's axis.
    theethicalskeptic.com Wikipedia
    On Modeling ECDO Theory
    Posted on June 20, 2026 by The Ethical Skeptic
    https://theethicalskeptic.com/2026/0...g-ecdo-theory/

    "On Modeling ECDO Theory
    The value of a model lies less in its predictions than in its capacity for differential revision.
    End states are largely accidental. Dynamics are exceedingly difficult to get right.

    Box’s Axiom: “All models are wrong, but some are useful.”

    Since the release of the first of three Exothermic Core-Mantle Decoupling — Dzhanibekov Oscillation (ECDO) Hypothesis articles on 16 February 2020, a number of modelers have stepped forward to offer their own perspectives on how Earth’s geomechanics might fit into an ECDO framework. To date, six individuals or groups have undertaken the task of developing simulations of varying complexity to test the fit between Earth’s geophysical and geohistorical record and an ECDO paradigm. This is a fantastic evolutionary process and I am very appreciative and supportive of all these efforts to date.

    The purpose of this article is not to dictate how such efforts should proceed, but rather to offer some guidelines.

    My own experience bears the patina of five decades spent developing, applying, and testing models in the real world. I am admittedly less versed in the vast array of modern simulation packages and AI-assisted tools that have become available in recent years. Development of the research is far more important to me at this juncture, than the task of learning a new modeling/simulation package or API.

    Nonetheless, a few fundamentals of modeling do not change, no matter how sophisticated the tools become. A scratch golfer remains a scratch golfer whether playing with an old set of Ben Hogan irons or the latest Cobra 3DP X clubs. The inexperienced player, by contrast, often speaks at length about equipment and metrics as a substitute for skill. This can become a distraction.

    The same thing occurs in modeling.

    Sophisticated tools frequently conceal overly simple assumptions, and may well expertly communicate an entirely invalid or incoherent outcome.

    Most ECDO models I have seen fail not because of inadequate software, but because they attempt to force a highly complex geophysical system into a framework which is too simple to reproduce the observational set.

    Before continuing to mature ECDO modeling itself, therefore, it is worthwhile to establish a few principles regarding models in general.

    On Modeling and Simulation

    My experience running thousands of them in the real world (with corresponding reference to Stephen Wolfram, A New Kind of Science (Champaign, IL: Wolfram Media, Inc., 2002)):1

    TES’s Black Box Paradox

    black wood rectangular box carved
    If you don’t understand why a model produces its answer, should you trust it?

    And if you do understand why it produces its answer, why did you need the model in the first place?

    The above, of course, is not a mathematical paradox, but a philosophical one. Nor does this tension serve to invalidate efforts to create models and simulations. Rather, its purpose is to compel the modeler to confront two questions:

    What has actually driven the answer I have obtained?

    And,

    Am I using a sophisticated tool merely to repackage and conceal a simple a priori assumption?

    These are the questions every model developer must keep firmly in mind while applying their tools.

    Corollary I — The Convergence Corollary

    Models generally produce one of three outcomes.

    Multiple Optimal Outcomes (Wolfram’s “Equifinality”)

    A model yields several competing solutions or equilibria.

    This indicates either that the problem remains underdetermined, or that assumptions require further discrimination—or simply that a business or judgment call must be made.

    Incoherence (Wolfram’s “Principle of Computational Equivalence”)

    The model fails to reconcile and/or produces contradictory results.

    Such failure may indicate ignorance, incompatible assumptions, changing conditions, or an apples-and-oranges comparison.

    The unappreciated irony, however, resides in this: The incoherence itself is often informative.

    A Single Optimal Outcome (Wolfram’s “Simple Rules Can Produce Immense Complexity”)

    The model converges upon one answer.

    Such convergence may indeed represent a true optimum.

    Or it may merely reflect unsound assumptions, hidden biases, or sensitivity blindness.

    Paradoxically, the most suspect outcome is often the appearance of a single optimal solution.

    Corollary II — The Failure Corollary (Wolfram’s “Failure Is Informative”)

    Because all models are wrong (see Box’s Axiom), failure does not imply lack of utility.

    Indeed:

    The catastrophic failure of a model may be more informative than the model itself.

    Corollary III — The Adaptation Corollary (Wolfram’s “Principle of Computational Equivalence”)

    A model’s utility is measured less by its end-state accuracy than by its ability to survive contact with contradictory observations and constraints.

    Or:

    The value of a model lies less in its predictions than in its capacity for differential revision.

    Conformance to reality is found primarily in a model’s dynamics—not in any particular end state.

    End states are largely accidental. Dynamics are exceedingly difficult to get right.

    Corollary IV — The Complexity Corollary (Wolfram’s “Irreducibility”)

    If you use too few variables to characterize a phenomenon, you have little hope of capturing its full complexity.

    If you use too many, you can forecast virtually any future you desire.

    Toward an ECDO Modeling Framework (Wolfram’s “Classification Before Mathematics”)

    Reality does not reward the most sophisticated model. It rewards the model which disciplines its priors and gets the dynamics right. The equations are merely the notation.

    The purpose of this step in the systems analysis process is to move the discussion away from

    “Here is my model.”

    and toward

    “Here is the language within which competing models may be expressed, leveraged, and compared.”

    That is what systems groups do before attempting to develop model fabric.

    This is the proper role of dynamic modeling—and at present there are at least six highly motivated groups pursuing that effort. I am impressed with each and every effort.

    My own role is not to be the modeler. It is to provide coherence to the effort. As managing partner in a model-development practice, and president of a large systems integration corporation, this has been my job for some time.

    After defining the ECDO problem (Cunningham, Inversion, “Define the Problem—Then Seek Falsification,” ch. 3, p. 15.),2 a Wittgensteinian system description should precede any attempt to formulate constraints or differential equations.

    Before constraining equations come objects.

    Before modes come solutions; before solutions come states.

    Before simulations come coupling coefficients and dynamic variables.

    These things must first be identified and assigned coherent meanings. Otherwise, one is left with a collection of IITPW models whose variables, assumptions, and state definitions differ in ways that preclude meaningful comparison.

    Accordingly, the following two pages constitute a proposed system description for ECDO States 1 and 2 and their transitions.

    They are not intended to be equations. Nor are they intended to represent a complete model.

    Rather, they are meant to define the principal entities, coupling factors, state variables, and dynamic parameters which should be considered before any mathematical treatment or simulation is attempted.

    The objective is simple:

    To establish a common language within which competing ECDO models may be constructed, tested, falsified, and compared.

    Thoughts are appreciated.


    Modeling Factors for ECDO Exothermic Core-Mantle Decoupling (Indigo and Tau)

    What permits the ECDO mediated Dzhanibekov rotation event?


    Panel 1 – Modeling Factors for ECDO Exothermic Core-Mantle Decoupling (Indigo and Tau)
    What permits the ECDO mediated Dzhanibekov rotation event?
    Modeling Factors for ECDO States 1 and 2 – Along with Their Transitions (Post-Tau)

    Given permission, what are the ECDO system rotation dynamics?


    Panel 2 – Modeling Factors for ECDO States 1 and 2 – Along with Their Transitions (Post-Tau)
    Given permission, what are the ECDO system rotation dynamics? 3
    Simulation Success Touchpoints (Lakatos Touchpoints)

    End states are largely accidental. Dynamics are exceedingly difficult to get right.

    Hungarian-born philosopher of mathematics and science, Imre Lakatos, argued that research programmes should be judged not by a single prediction but by their ability to explain an expanding set of observations without resorting to ad hoc fixes. Forty geohistorical touchpoints are offered as benchmarks against which competing ECDO models may be evaluated.4

    The underlying premise is simple: the greater the number of touchpoints a model successfully reproduces — without ad hoc tweaks — the more confidence one may place in its validity within an ECDO context. This does not render the model synonymous with truth. Rather, it identifies those models whose dynamics happen to emulate the complex dynamics of Earth with greater fidelity.

    No single observation proves a model. Credibility emerges instead through the coherent reproduction of an increasingly broad set of independent geophysical and geohistorical observations.

    Accordingly, competing ECDO models should be judged not by isolated predictions, but by their ability to progressively account for an expanding set of independent geophysical and geohistorical touchpoints without resorting to ad hoc manipulations or special pleading.

    Below are my suggested touch points for model evaluation (along with the test latitude and longitude for those packages using GCS-specific geographics):

    Kalahari Desert (Return to State 1 potential) – 26°47’03.63″S 19°43’02.41″E
    Ogaden Desert – 8°21’31.88″N 48°08’42.56″E
    Rub’ al Khali/Arabian Desert (Return to State 1 potential) – 21°07’08.80″N 51°25’21.82″E
    Syrian Desert (Return to State 1 potential) – 32°22’52.39″N 40°42’05.01″E
    Thar Desert – 26°20’59.54″N 71°54’36.67″E
    Taklamakan Desert – 39°05’07.05″N 83°01’16.75″E
    Gobi Desert – 40°51’32.60″N 102°53’15.79″E
    Great Victoria Desert – 25°01’29.68″S 126°55’45.24″E
    Russian Black Soils Displacement Range – 58°13’42.41″N 62°27’59.30″E
    North American Black Soils Displacement Range – 54°24’35.89″N 120°25’00.69″W
    Great Basin Desert (US) – 37°16’40.60″N 110°41’54.45″W
    Vizcaíno Desert (Baja) – 27°29’21.18″N 113°36’50.98″W
    Patagonian Desert – 43°46’33.68″S 68°16’04.43″W
    Salar de Uyuni Salt Flats (Bolivia) – 20°11’20.17″S 67°34’40.43″W
    Bonneville Basin/Salt Lake (Utah) – 40°32’36.81″N 113°33’26.64″W
    Doggerland (Emergence) – 54°41’30.89″N 3°32’10.07″E
    Cuban Underwater Formation (Emergence) – 22°07’54.86″N 85°07’41.13″W
    Chihuahuan Desert – 23°37’24.31″N 102°13’55.00″W
    Eastern Antarctica – 71°55’34.56″S 63°41’21.62″E
    Western Antarctica – 74°59’59.32″S 73°36’13.84″W
    Emi Koussi Pass (Sahara Desert) – 18°16’46.31″N 20°13’02.82″E
    Giza Plateau Egypt – 29°58’38.86″N 31°08’04.68″E
    Sardinia Island – 40°01’21.47″N 9°06’35.35″E
    Grand Erg Oriental (Sahara Desert) – 32°03’41.22″N 6°44’27.64″E
    Mauritanian Slide Formation – 17°54’21.96″N 17°04’07.81″W
    Cape Verde Islands (Emergence/Atlantis) 15°11’44.52″N 23°42’09.49″W
    Bahama Bank (Emergence) – 24°17’54.59″N 78°11’05.62″W
    Galapagos Land Bridge (Emergence) – 1°05’27.42″S 85°55’32.83″W
    Easter Island Land Bridge (Emergence) – 25°56’36.91″S 100°34’19.77″W
    East Euler Axis Survival Point – 0°00’00.00″S 120°55’35.14″E
    West Euler Axis Survival Point – 0°00’00.00″S 59°47’30.39″W
    Caspian Turan Depression – 44°34’04.25″N 59°51’58.29″E
    Zealandia (Emergence) – 49°19’25.31″S 170°05’46.64″E
    Lemuria (Emergence) – 10°44’56.00″S 61°09’10.24″E
    Lake Tuz Salt Flats Anatolia – 38°41’15.33″N 33°26’59.04″E
    Faiyum Basin (Egypt) – 29°22’05.52″N 30°49’13.34″E
    Erg Amatlich Desert Striations Mauritania – 18°55’29.92″N 13°50’00.45″W
    Azores Bank (Emergence) – 38°00’47.99″N 29°09’33.71″W
    Canary Islands (Emergence) – 28°03’37.00″N 14°40’41.55″W
    Mu Civilization (Emergence) – 11°20’14.58″S 148°48’25.87″W
    To all our highly-motivated, intelligent, and creative modelers: “Well done, and I look forward to continuing to work with each of you.” "

    Stephen Wolfram, A New Kind of Science (Champaign, IL: Wolfram Media, Inc., 2002), pp. 7–12, 844–852.
    Roger B. Cunningham, Inversion: ECDO Theory—The Mechanisms Behind Flood Myths, Ancient Monuments, and Climate Change (Atlanta, GA: Meridian Standard Press, 2026), Chapter 3, “Define the Problem – Then Seek Falsification,” p. 15.
    The reader should note that any State-stabilizing influence of the moon and sun’s gravitation are model constraints applied to the β variables above – not variables unto themselves. In other words, that influence is a logical-contingent upon any specific model’s approach and outcome strength.
    Imre Lakatos, The Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes: Philosophical Papers, Volume 1, edited by John Worrall and Gregory Currie (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1978), pp. 31–69.

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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Crust is Tearing, Solar Alert This Week
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    San Andreas & The Magnetic Pole Shift
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    ECDO POLE SHIFT - Davidson Commentary
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    Learn About the Models
    Davidson Model: • THE DISASTER CYCLE - The Evidence
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Update: Bill asked AI about claims this youtube channel has made about Sumerian clay tablets, and it's bogus, so best to ignore. They are selling an ebook for $9.99, and that is probably why they are making such an effort to make it look legit.

    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    Quote Posted by onawah (here)
    They Finally Translated the Oldest Sumerian Tablet — It Gives the Exact Year Everything Resets
    The Enki Codex
    I looked up the Sumerian clay tablet IM76884. Google told me:

    ~~~
    Sumerian clay tablet IM76884 is an official administrative artifact housed in the Iraq Museum in Baghdad. Numbering in the hundreds of thousands, the museum's IM (Iraq Museum) collection features cuneiform tablets that typically detail economic ledgers, grain rations, or local bureaucratic transactions.
    ~~~

    (Nothing about "The Exact Year Everything Resets".)

    Sorry! But I very strongly suspect that these several new YouTube channels all claiming extraordinary things from Sumerian clay tablets are all fakes.

    They Finally Translated the Oldest Sumerian Tablet — It Gives the Exact Year Everything Resets
    The Enki Codex
    44.8K subscribers
    May 28, 2026

    "What if the oldest known Sumerian tablet on Earth didn’t just record history… but predicted the exact year civilization resets? 🏺⏳ In this video, we explore the astonishing translation of an ancient Sumerian tablet that researchers and historians struggled to understand for generations. Now, after decades of study, the symbols and inscriptions may reveal a hidden timeline tied to cycles of destruction, rebirth, and the fate of humanity itself. 🌌

    Deep beneath the sands of Mesopotamia, the ancient Sumerians left behind records unlike anything found in later civilizations. According to this newly translated text, the world operates in repeating eras that eventually collapse and begin again. Some researchers believe the tablet references catastrophic floods, cosmic events, and even celestial alignments connected to the downfall of past civilizations. 🌊🪐

    Could the Sumerians have possessed knowledge lost to modern science? Did they truly believe humanity was approaching another “reset”? And why does the date described in the tablet appear to align with mysterious patterns found in other ancient cultures around the world? 🤯

    In this documentary-style exploration, we dive into Sumerian mythology, cuneiform translations, ancient Mesopotamia, the Anunnaki legends, forgotten prophecies, and the controversial theories surrounding cyclical destruction throughout human history. From lost tablets to hidden meanings buried in ancient texts, this is one of the most disturbing and fascinating discoveries connected to the origins of civilization. 🔥📖

    AI-generated video summary
    Quality and accuracy may vary:
    "The Enki Codex examines a 5,000-year-old Sumerian clay tablet, IM76884, revealing complex astronomical data and encoded mathematical sequences. By cross-referencing these ancient records with modern scientific findings, this analysis explores how the Sumerians tracked historical and environmental patterns to document a recurring, cyclical timeline for humanity."

    Pinned by @TheEnkiCodex
    @TheEnkiCodex
    3 weeks ago
    Get our ebook here: https://theancientstore.gumroad.com/l/rtcfqc
    12 Sumerian Codes That Predict Exactly What Happens Next — And When


    **************
    (This is a new youtube channel and it looks interesting, with certain reservations.
    The timing given for the next "reset" corresponds with estimates given by Ben Davidson, Ethical Skeptic and other credible sources who have studied the subject in great detail, from ancient languages and prophecies to modern science, that estimate being within the next 2 decades.
    However, Nibiru comes into the conversation on this channel as a cause of the "reset", which lends it no credibility. imho.
    But credible information about the Sumerian clay tablets is scarce, so the channel's offerings may still merit looking into. )
    Last edited by onawah; 23rd June 2026 at 18:43.
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Solar Flares Are Back and Growing (More Expected)
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    When is the Pole Shift? - Observers Live #46
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Quote Posted by onawah (here)
    They Finally Translated the Oldest Sumerian Tablet — It Gives the Exact Year Everything Resets
    The Enki Codex
    I looked up the Sumerian clay tablet IM76884. Google told me:

    ~~~
    Sumerian clay tablet IM76884 is an official administrative artifact housed in the Iraq Museum in Baghdad. Numbering in the hundreds of thousands, the museum's IM (Iraq Museum) collection features cuneiform tablets that typically detail economic ledgers, grain rations, or local bureaucratic transactions.
    ~~~

    (Nothing about "The Exact Year Everything Resets".)

    Sorry! But I very strongly suspect that these several new YouTube channels all claiming extraordinary things from Sumerian clay tablets are all fakes.


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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Thanks Bill. I will add that message to all the posts I've made from that youtube channel, and on their site.
    Youtube is becoming a venue for misinformation, sadly.
    And AI certainly does have it's uses, though data centers are a huge and growing problem.

    Quote Posted by Bill Ryan (here)
    Quote Posted by onawah (here)
    They Finally Translated the Oldest Sumerian Tablet — It Gives the Exact Year Everything Resets
    The Enki Codex
    I looked up the Sumerian clay tablet IM76884. Google told me:

    ~~~
    Sumerian clay tablet IM76884 is an official administrative artifact housed in the Iraq Museum in Baghdad. Numbering in the hundreds of thousands, the museum's IM (Iraq Museum) collection features cuneiform tablets that typically detail economic ledgers, grain rations, or local bureaucratic transactions.
    ~~~

    (Nothing about "The Exact Year Everything Resets".)

    Sorry! But I very strongly suspect that these several new YouTube channels all claiming extraordinary things from Sumerian clay tablets are all fakes.

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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Calm Before the Storm, Pole Shift Speed, Pre-Quake Anomalies
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Pole Shift Impacting Satellites, Huge Sunspot Arrives
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    3 Big Earthquakes, Solar Storm
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    Default Re: Geomagnetic Reversals and Ice Ages

    Huge Sunspot Is Here, Tsunami Study, Eye Candy
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    MASTER THE DISASTER: https://observercourses.podia.com/mas...
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    Get our E-Magazine: https://theobserver.ck.page/products/...
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