Posted by ThePythonicCow
(here)
While listening to Nate Jones analyze the upcoming approx trillion dollar IPO's (initial public offerings) for two of the largest A.I. companies, Anthropic and OpenAI in his latest video at '
OpenAI Just Filed For Its IPO. The Real Story Isn't The Trillion Dollars, it occurred to me that we're seeing something like what my grandfather saw, when electricity went from the laboratory, to a deeply integrated world-wide infrastructure, a century ago.
Then it was power going "BIG". Now it's intelligence going "BIG".
The electric power grid did not replace all power. The intelligence grid will not replace all intelligence. Both were, or will be, expanded and refined in many ways, opening new opportunities for (back then) industrially produced power or (coming to us now) industrially produced intelligence, including down to small devices like say a solar powered "smart" watch ... where the industrial scale is on the back end, making millions of the same small device.
As I posted to Nate's above video:
So Anthropic and OpenAI become like the Westinghouse and General Electric of electrical equipment, a century ago. Destined to become huge while the underlying technology was advancing quickly, but then having to compete with many other smaller, sometimes much smaller, companies specializing in particular refinements of the technology and use cases.
In short: Machine power (aka electricity) == Machine intelligence (aka A.I.).
If neither psychopaths with nukes nor a galactic plasma current wave take down our civilization, one might be able to predict the shape of A.I. development over coming decades by comparing it with the shape of electricity development, a century ago.