Tirelessly updating Avalon on the El Hierro eruption.

[ThePythonicCow]

After nearly a half year of being one of the forums most read threads, and after nearly 2000 posts, we are renaming this thread to have a more accurate title. The "evacuation" has been called off and the alert level has gone back to "Yellow."

Old thread title:

After tirelessly updating Avalon for weeks...it's official, evacuation is in progress

New thread title:

Tirelessly updating Avalon on the El Hierro eruption.

[Hervé]

***
Thank you Paul!

***

Perfect update to celebrate our more than 95,000 viewers supporting this thread!

Since July, IGN has officially logged 12,526 tremors at El Hierro... and still counting since the seismic activity is still on!

Thank you for your support and for dropping by!

Thank you.......

[Anam Cara]

Gee....what happenied to randles? Isn't this her thread?

[Hervé]

Posted by Anam Cara (here)
Gee....what happenied to randles? Isn't this her thread?

Correct about this thread being started by randles, however, if you did follow this thread you may have noticed randles went AWOL in November 2011...

Good for you if you can bring her back!

[Hervé]

Strongest so far (no data):

For the day:

Frequencies spectrogram, the vertical streaks indicate “events” (tremors/EQs) whereas the horizontal ones reflect volcanic/magmatic activity:

From Wikipedia: A Harmonic tremor is a sustained release of seismic and/or infrasonic energy typically associated with the underground movement of magma and/or venting of volcanic gases from magma. Being a long-duration continuous signal from a temporally extended source, a volcanic tremor contrasts distinctly with transient sources of seismic radiation, such as tremors that are typically associated with earthquake and explosion.

How is El Hierro looking like, now:

(Click on picture to go to webcam page)

Refresh your browser to get the latest traces

For the last 10 days, it now shows whatever Polly is up to as far as seismic activity is concerned:

Since the beginning

New cumulative graph starting October 10, 2011. The continuously changing scales keeps compressing the earlier graphs to the bottom and to the left!

Location of the EQs for the last 10 days:

Since the beginning

Refresh your browser page to get the latest numbers and positions.

[Hervé]

Atlantic Explorer has been circling around Polly's heads since this morning:

Back to port...

Hopefully they were able to depoly "Wall-E" (see post # 1977) and gotten a few good shots from Polly's many muggs?

I am impressed at how skilled the webcam operators have become in the handling of their toys... almost as skilled as the Atlantic Explorer's skipper in coasting his ship!

On another hand...

According to Earthquake-report.com [has been reworded now] there was something looking like a Jacuzzi on the Las Calmas Sea's surface this morning that could have been related to a stain/plume observed by Joke Volta later on in the day...

If they continue in that line of thinking/wording, they'll end up writing something like:

" It seems that there could possibly be a submarine volcano south of La Restinga that could possibly be related to all these phenomena that are alegedly observed at sea surface since we are not discounting mirages or camera artifacts nor weird interaction between sun scintillations, waves and local currents...."

Oh, well... English can be tricky as a second or third language... I guess... since it's only my second language.

[Hervé]

Strongest so far (no data):

For the day: :

Frequencies spectrogram, the vertical streaks indicate “events” (tremors/EQs) whereas the horizontal ones reflect volcanic/magmatic activity:

From Wikipedia: A Harmonic tremor is a sustained release of seismic and/or infrasonic energy typically associated with the underground movement of magma and/or venting of volcanic gases from magma. Being a long-duration continuous signal from a temporally extended source, a volcanic tremor contrasts distinctly with transient sources of seismic radiation, such as tremors that are typically associated with earthquake and explosion.

See top of page for the other auto-updating diagrams

[observer]

Thank you for all your vigilance, here, Amzer. I've been aware of this situation all the way back to 05, or 06 when that documentary 'Mega Tsunami' first aired. Since I live on the New Jersey Cape at about 8 feet above sea level, I'm keeping an eye on this. Here on the Cape, we are really on a sandbar out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

[Anam Cara]

Posted by Amzer Zo (here)

Posted by Anam Cara (here)
Gee....what happenied to randles? Isn't this her thread?

Correct about this thread being started by randles, however, if you did follow this thread you may have noticed randles went AWOL in November 2011...

Good for you if you can bring her back!

I have gone over the thread, yes all of it, and I don't think she went AWOL so much as she conceded to you commendeering her thread. I'm glad to know she is OK knowing that she started this thread so that those interested here would know that as she gave us her daily report. Thanks randles for keeping us posted. I wonder if she knows she can close the thread if she wants too?

[Hervé]

Posted by observer (here)
Thank you for all your vigilance, here, Amzer. I've been aware of this situation all the way back to 05, or 06 when that documentary 'Mega Tsunami' first aired. Since I live on the New Jersey Cape at about 8 feet above sea level, I'm keeping an eye on this. Here on the Cape, we are really on a sandbar out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

Hi observer!

I can understand your concern over a well publicized and orchestrated fear propaganda campaign, and that's the crux of that matter: it was an add campaign in disguise for insurance companies (see post # 739).

See this post for the latest on that "megatsunami" saga: https://projectavalon.net/forum4/showthread.php?42384-Fulford..Announcement-aired-live-on-March-13th-on-the-internet&p=447852&viewfull=1#post447852

For other posts on that same subject in this thread, a good one to start from and follow the links from there is this one: Post # 1829


For the time being and from where you stand, I'll be more concerned about HAARP enhanced storms/hurricanes in your area than a hypothetical tsunami managing its way across the Atlantic.

But that's another topic...

[Hervé]

Japan's M6.9 showing up at La Gomera's station:

CHIE station (El Hierro) has been tweaked so as to filter out any non-local events.

[avid]

Randles left - end of - she was quite rude to anyone with any other views. Amzer has been logical throughout. I am happy to see Amzers regular reports - we are very grateful for all the science background. Hopefully 'Randles' is back with her husband and family, and not in any crisis situation any more. We thank her for her original post, but we also must thank those who have kept up the real scientific information. No panic unless science eh?
Avid

[observer]

Posted by Amzer Zo (here)
[....snip]

For the time being and from where you stand, I'll be more concerned about HAARP enhanced storms/hurricanes in your area than a hypothetical tsunami managing its way across the Atlantic.

But that's another topic...

Thanks again Amzer,

I've seen most of the evidence from both points of view. I'm an evidence kind of guy, so I think it's important to look at as much - both historic and scientific - as one can.

I personally don't think the H.A.A.R.P. issue is "another topic" at all. I submitted my original 'thanks' because there is a need for vigilant observers to stand on the perimeter of reality in the capacity of a sentry for the protection of the human condition.

....Least some 'templar psychopath' choose to eat more babies in a display of shock-and-awl.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_o...arrat_al-Numan

In your video feed, when you see something that looks like this on the horizon, please, alert me with a personal message:



Or,

[Hervé]

Posted by observer (here)
I personally don't think the H.A.A.R.P. issue is "another topic" at all. I submitted my original 'thanks' because there is a need for vigilant observers to stand on the perimeter of reality in the capacity of a sentry for the protection of the human condition.

Thanks for the feedback observer.

"Another topic" omitted: "as far as this thread is concerned," meaning that it could be the subject of another thread.

Otherwise, yes HAARP and radar arrays can get their cotton picking wavy fingers into about anything and I have been debating that point in many posts about the so-called Japan earthquake and its accompanying tsunami disaster. [Edit: addendum: see also post # 792 and following]

As far as this thread is concerned, check post # 447.

In your video feed, when you see something that looks like this on the horizon, please, alert me with a personal message:
[...]

Although you could have PMed me for that one; duly noted!

In a long lost post (post # 260) I hinted to the weather warfare Spain has been subjected to, due to these monster M.F^( |< & Rs! Apparently, the dolphin family loves leaving gifts around these monsters....

Now, if you don't mind:

[Hervé]

Strongest so far (no data):

For the day: :

Frequencies spectrogram, the vertical streaks indicate “events” (tremors/EQs) whereas the horizontal ones reflect volcanic/magmatic activity:

From Wikipedia: A Harmonic tremor is a sustained release of seismic and/or infrasonic energy typically associated with the underground movement of magma and/or venting of volcanic gases from magma. Being a long-duration continuous signal from a temporally extended source, a volcanic tremor contrasts distinctly with transient sources of seismic radiation, such as tremors that are typically associated with earthquake and explosion.

See top of page for the other auto-updating diagrams

[Hervé]

I thought Atlantic Explorer had gone home and was surprised to see the now familiar silhouette reappear on the screens:

Quite a roller-coaster at sea, today, for a small vessel....

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=7DpSSMe1_I8

Notice that the ACNpress webcam will quit streaming this weekend... too bad since they have been the most reliable visual source for the area. A big thanks to them!

Hopefully we'll soon get some real life shots of Polly, if the Atlantic Explorer crew manages to publish them somewhere... to be followed.

Edit:

From SOS Oceanos' webpage:

SOS OCEANS

Maneuvering the ROV in the water, volcano eruption area. Tomorrow the ULPGC will give out a press release and video of these days. The Qstar ROV, called Wall-e has captured the first images of the volcano yesterday and today, despite many difficulties in maneuvering.

20 hours ago...

[Hervé]

Looking at the Harmonic Tremor getting fluffier and revving up the higher frequency domains (gradiently changing from deep blue to pale blue to turquoise to yellow on the above Harmonic Tremor graphs) I wondered what was happening to the ground deformation according to these GPS graphs... and... ... did I ever hit a snag!

No wonder Geolurking ran into trouble with dear Nemesio Perez...

[Start rant mode]

See, when one goes past the eye-candy graphs on the IGN page, one may realize as I did, and Geolurking long before, that these graphs are totally useless!

Why?

No frame of reference given!

That translates into no indications whatsoever as to which direction the positive displacement corresponds to: is it straight line? North component? South component? East component? West component? Up vertical/oblique? Down vertical/oblique? With respect to what taken as the immobile centre of coordinates... Ouagadougou? Vega? Orion? Galactic Centre?

Moreover, it seems that IGN also resets the "Zero" displacement from time to time to one of the already displaced, prior position as exemplified by this graph from marcelo at Todogeologica.com:

In the present, data on the deformation of January (blue graph) in the graphic by CalidoT, the graph that shows the current data from the IGM [IGN]. (brown graph), and values ​​that IGM [IGN] should put. (green graph)

As you can see the legend in the third graph is marked with question marks because the data given by CalidoT also start from scratch since Aug. 15, but we did not consider at that time the value of the deformation, with two-month and would have to have values ​​much greater than zero. With the current strain, these stations would be higher at 24-25 mm from the green graph.

See? A ground strain/deformation translated into the displacement of one of its point is decomposed into three components along three orthogonal coordinate axes from an original position at the intersection of these axes:

Here the point (2, 4, 5) is shown in three-dimensional Cartesian coordinates X, Y, Z.

IGN just moves the axes' intersection to the new position and continues from there... hope I am wrong, but that's what it looks like...

One would also assume that the X and Z axes above belong to the horizontal plane but there is no indication on the IGN webpages that they indeed do use such a reference frame... could very well be a slented plane as far as I can ascertain!

So, when Carmen Lopez or Maria Jose Blanco mention that there is a northward motion of some part of El Hierro island... Hummmhhh... that could very well mean that the entire African plate moved northward by a few millimeters...

[End rant mode]

[Hervé]

Strongest so far (no data):

For the day: :

Frequencies spectrogram, the vertical streaks indicate “events” (tremors/EQs) whereas the horizontal ones reflect volcanic/magmatic activity:

From Wikipedia: A Harmonic tremor is a sustained release of seismic and/or infrasonic energy typically associated with the underground movement of magma and/or venting of volcanic gases from magma. Being a long-duration continuous signal from a temporally extended source, a volcanic tremor contrasts distinctly with transient sources of seismic radiation, such as tremors that are typically associated with earthquake and explosion.

See top of page for the other auto-updating diagrams

[Hervé]

Not much visible from space lately (14 March):

[Hervé]

All right, finally!

Polly has been spotted and recorded on digital media spewing fresh lava when the scientific aristocracy decided to be done and over with her...

Here is from AVCan Enrique:

To kill the itch waiting for the images of the volcano obtained by the ROV SOS Atlantic Oceans on the Explorer, where it seems that images of the submarine volcano are clear enough, and even seems to have captured the exhaust of fluids and .. of LAVA in one of the craters; I leave you this video of Feb. 26 in Puerto de la Restinga as an appetizer, it's amazing the amount of bugs that swarm through the bottom of this port ... (Enrique)

I think that's befitting for the 2000th post dedicated to the growth of a submarine volcano.